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Opadiya's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 5:26pm On Jul 07
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:24am On Jun 24
SimpleGuy001:
Bro, I’m better off buying Seplat and MTN than Aradel currently. It seems you don’t get it. I’m not trying to de market anything chief. What I am telling you is, Aradel current fundermentals does not support 1750. It’s that simple, what do I gain from demarketing Aradel? I no understand. Stock wey I still Dey in… I don’t do sentiments please. If you don’t understand my post then fine. Eventually, the market will rerate. It’s that simple chief
"Eventually, the market will rerate" Many thanks and God bless
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:05am On Jun 24
SimpleGuy001:
I have absolutely nothing to gain from Aradel going down. But no go inflate Wetin no suppose be when somebody is coming here to predict 2000 - 3000 as current price when it has no fundermentals to support it.

As I am typing this, Aradel is on full offer again this morning. Have you asked yourself why? Even after releasing a great FS? It’s because the main analysts from these institutional funds saw what I saw from my analysis based on their current FS.

I have nothing against it. Moreover, read and pass if you don’t like what I am saying or constructively engage. No come dey antagonize me chief.
Those institutional investors must have seen what you saw in Seplat, MTN, Presco, etc too
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:07pm On Jun 23
yMcy56:
I'm beginning to think that you have a mission to see ARADEL down, maybe you're planning to accumulate and needs to badmouth it as much as possible....

Over 3bn transactions done in ARADEL today....
So who are those buying when you're aggressively marketing against it?
Why are some analysts bullish about the share price against your assertions?
Can you tell us the metrics used and your fair value so we can know where you're coming from?

I've not seen this moniker's comment here before now....
Can you tell us what your previous moniker is if you don't mind?
He claimed to be a "good guy" and you don't need to question his motive even when his intention ought to be visible to the least informed person.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:52am On Jun 23
SimpleGuy001:
I am advising them not to buy because I am a good guy. This is NOT a good time to buy Aradel.

I have already taken my profit off it and redirected to MTN and Zenith. Go and check the order, Aradel is on Full offer and no bid as at the time I am typing this. The game is the game. I love Aradel a lot but with the dividend coming up (which means it will have a markdown again). I need to be smart by taking my profit and then wait for it to approach my buy zone for me to load up again.

This is my investment thesis and I’m just doing good by saying don’t buy Aradel now. You can hold which is good, I would have done that but upon analyzing my strategy and the wait time for Q2, I prefer to deploy my profit to another stock. I still have money in Aradel, I am only taking the profit it has given me before market takes it back
Very good.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:30am On Jun 23
awesomeJ:
Like you rightly said, he's giving an advice even though he's poised to lose should people follow that advice and you're calling him outhuh for putting the interestoif others over his own selfish interesthuh Haba na.


What he has exhibited should be commended not at all condemned.

Even though he holds the stock, he doesn't mind saying that at 40x PE, it's overvalued, yet you prefer if he deceives people that the stock is a gold that should be pursuedhuh come on na. Obviously if you were chnaced you would rather prefer to lure people into buying.

It's your own stance that people should watch carefully.
You are correct.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 10:55am On Jun 23
awesomeJ:
Why does his advice seem contradictory to you? The advice is in line! If I hold a stock, and now current realities imply that it's overvalued, Me deciding to SELL and then telling people not to BUY is exactly an advice in good faith, I don't know if I'm missing something in your interpretation??

Me wanting to sell cos it's overvalued while advising people to buy is what's in bad faith and is called Monkey Hunting here.
His advice should naturally attract a question mark in a commercial transaction of this nature.

Since higher demands is linked to higher stock price and higher stock price is linked to profit, and that rational investor will seek to maximise profit:-

It is therefore important to question the fellow who wants to take profit while advising other not to buy, the reason he wants to take his profit at 'loss'.

Advising people to buy when a stock is overvalued (Monkey Hunting) is not the point here. The reason for advising when your interest will be adversely affected is the point here.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 9:36am On Jun 23
mikeapollo:
People buy/invest in stocks for different goals, based on various criteria. So there will always be someone that would buy what anyone may want to sell. It is a market!
This does not address my concern.

Someone who is so altruistic to advise unknown people in faceless forum not to buy and wants to sell should not be taken seriously.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 8:51am On Jun 23
SimpleGuy001:
lol, I find it very funny when people base their analysis on the PAT and surface figures. If you do your analysis well, you will know Aradel is an expensive stock based on Q1 results and will advise if you have it, hold for now. It’s freaking expensive than Seplat… 40X PE, the heck? Seplat is just 7x PE, and this is normalized PE oooo.

Omo don’t buy Aradel now please, I hold Aradel but I am taking profit for now to redirect into better priced stocks at the moment. I’ll leave my cost amount in Aradel until it get to the region where I am comfortable buying.
You claimed you hold Aradel and you are selling now, yet you advise people not to buy. Who do you want to sell to? Many people may not take you seriously.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 2:55pm On Jun 22
Mpeace:
The full year result didn't bring anything different from what we expected. They only got Thier new asset just before the close of q4 so not so much was expected.
The main game should be q1 2026. That's where our interest is.
And you are spot on!

The Q1 is simply fantastic.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 7:44am On Jun 20
Sunrisepebble:
Aradel 33/670*100=4.925%
Seplat $.25c*1400=N350
350/5089*100=6.878%
The conclusion is the same. I used price as at dividend date declaration for the last one
Many thanks.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 3:15am On Jun 20
Sunrisepebble:
Ofcourse. It’s reflected in the final dividend paid
Is it true that Aradel's dividend yield is higher than Seplat's for the financial year 2025?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 8:02pm On Jun 16
megawealth01:
UNITY BANK responded with a form but I told them that I ain't interested in cash settlement... I'm still awaiting their response...

Na MERISTEM assure me that my shares still intact at their end and in cscs
You may need to consult a capital market solicitor.

You cant demand shares of private company in CSCS as Providus Bank of today is a private company.

And there is nothing your stockbroker can do. It is outside their mandate or obligation to you.

It is very very glaring that emerging Providus Bank doesn't want a public Company from day one.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:20am On Jun 16
megawealth01:
Update from my MERISTEM when I chatted them this morning about my concerns on my UNITY BANK shares. I also sent them an email as a followup

JESUS be praised 😘 💕 😘


MEGAWEALTH01
It is not certain that the emerging Providus Bank will be listed on the NGX. The new 'providus people' appear not keen on NGX listing
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 12:32pm On Jun 02
jonnysessy:
Hmmmmmm. Something is fishy here. You sure say this result go good ? This excuse upon excuse is getting too much. On or before 19th June is crazy.
https://dailynewsngr.com.ng/renaissance-tops-africas-oil-and-gas-producers-chart/
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 2:57pm On Apr 07
HesInMe:
See the bolded. This is like saying a person's success was beyond his ritual killing. After all, he was also very strategic. grin
If your own interpretation of "transcends" or "beyond" in the context does not mean 'outside of' or 'independent of', I am not responsible for any other malicious meanings of yours.

And mind you, " a person's success was beyond his ritual killing" cannot be equated with ' a person's success was beyond ritual killing". If you can't see the difference in the two sentences, I can't help.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 12:24pm On Apr 07
HesInMe:
Let's not make it personal. But there's so much wrong with this statement. First, you shouldn't be trading at all on insider information. It's actually illegal to do so, and it's the reason insiders are subject to closed periods. Second, you can be smart and still do insider dealing. Doesn't make it legit.
What is wrong with the statement? I commented that someone was very strategic and you responded that his being strategic was as a result of insider information. I gave a reply that what made the man thick was beyond insider information. I even advised you to read the man's numerous comment on this thread.

Stick to the disscussion and stop teaching me
your nutshell knowledge of what insider information is.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:50am On Apr 07
HesInMe:
Lol. If you had inside info, your moves would also be "strategic."
You may need to read the man's trading/investing positions here to know that his enormous strength transcends insider information.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 10:01am On Apr 07
Mfunkynation:
Damn!
No only be whisper, you KNEW it already
I am suspecting you!
The man is awesome.
His knowledge of the market is top class.
His moves are always strategic.

And his opinion about the market or stock is always predicated on sound reasonings.

Respect.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 8:40pm On Mar 30
Streetinvestor2:
This begs for explanation from cbn.It is even more funny when access took over intercontinental. The bank was worth more in assets than access bank
IB was no doubt a bigger bank in terms of assets and customers. Even Access had to relocate their head office from Oyin Jolayemu to Danmole, the then IB headquarters, after the merger. The power that be at the time wanted to get rid of the Bank and Akingbola.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 6:24pm On Mar 18
mikeapollo:
There would have to be an approval at AGM before such decision could be taken. Unity Bank shareholders are currently the majority in number and would not agree to such.
In the absence of such approval, the bank cannot go private, especially when they are merging with a public-listed entity like Unity Bank.
And it has been officially reported severally that Providus bank is preparing to list on NGX.
Time will actually tell. We are only try to make permutations based on our assessment of the dominant figures in the 'merger'.
I think the word 'likely' I used is also pointing to the fact that my position is not a certainty. It is highly probable, though.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 5:54pm On Mar 18
PropTrader:
I doubt Unity Bank is going to be relisted. It's likely going to be a cash for share transaction regardless of the term used e. g. Merger, Acquisition etc. If you know the major owner of Providus, he appear averse to stock exchange quotation. He is even trying to take the Insurance company he is a major stakeholder in, private.
You are very very very correct on "he appear averse to stock exchange quotation" The situation may not be perfectly clear now, it is nonetheless a fact that Providus Bank post whatever arrangement is likely to be a privately owned bank.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 11:28am On Mar 18
wiki15:
CBN exists all national banks be public to aid transparency
I feel constrained to say that this position is not rooted in law or any regulatory directive. Even the licenses of the major fintech companies have been upgraded to national licences and they still remain private companies.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 7:10pm On Mar 17
Bizibi:
bank privatehuh
Yes. Yes.

Or is there a law that compels all banks to be a public company?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 7:01pm On Mar 17
megawealth01:
E be like na UNITY BANK I go leave as inheritance 😜
Oga Mega, what if Providus Bank ends up as a private company? Well, a pay off can be an inheritance too.
InvestmentRe: Commercial Papers by opadiya: 7:46am On Dec 13, 2025
Many thanks!

freeman67:
Yes. The lead arranger is Codros Advisory Services while the joint arrangers are; Cardinalstone Partners, FSDH Capital, Greenwich Merchant Bank and Aiico Capital.

You can contact any of them for it.
InvestmentRe: Commercial Papers by opadiya: 3:51pm On Dec 11, 2025
Please do you know the operator in charge of the ongoing Mecure Commercial Paper?

freeman67:
Instead of Afrinvest, just contact Coronation Merchant Bank, FBNquest Merchant Bank or Cardinalstone for it. You will be better for it.
InvestmentRe: Commercial Papers by opadiya: 7:22pm On Aug 12, 2025
ernie4life:
I heard Citi bank CP is in the market
Many thanks on this information. Do you have the details of the CP? I am interested.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 7:48am On Jul 24, 2025
stokfrick:
After the price has moved like 50percent then, they release results and start dumping on gullible investors.
Same thing they do with sensitive info like rights issue
Insider trading is a form of market abuse. It is criminalized in all financial markets. Many big time investors and corporate executives have gone down because of their involvement in insider trading in the west. The challenge in Nigeria is lack of will power on the part of the SEC to bring the offenders to book. I am optimistic SEC will wake up to their responsibility as many knowledge investors start voicing out against the scourge as you have done here.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 3:04pm On Jul 23, 2025
zendi:
I do not see any market rule they're breaking in the process of getting rich quick there.

And let me not see you and Agba there tommorow morning when I come to check out what is going on.

grin
Very true. And I am happy some of the promoters of the junk stocks are bold enough to tag the junk stocks with their appropriate names "gamble" "speculation" e.t.c. The tag is enough caveat.

There is no law prohibiting letting out or selling inhabitable property. The rule is let the buyer beware.
InvestmentRe: Commercial Papers by opadiya: 8:41pm On Jul 14, 2025
donshady:
Hello, How do I get alerts on the next commercial paper auction from Stanbic Ibtc ?
I also solicit information on the available commercial papers offers in the market at present
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by opadiya: 12:38pm On Jul 05, 2025
IamR:
I think both liquid and non-liquid (fixed) assets are generally considered when calculating net worth. Maybe it has changed.
I think this link can be of help https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/wealth-management/high-net-worth-individual-hnwi/.

And the SEC Rules attached by Oga Emma in his last post is clear and unambiguous too. It can also be a useful guide.

It is commonsensical to define networth as amalgam of all form of assets. But the conceptual meaning is the challenge here.

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