₦airaland Forum

14.06.2015

Sudan - Sierra Leone (Africa, Nations Cup Qualifications)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.95 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
The two teams are not among the most powerful in Africa. But Sudan always had reputation of a tough home team. Sierra Leone is without an away victory this century.

Markets:
There is a big decrease on Sudan (41%) in the positioning. The home odds are going down everywhere but in the last hours Asian bookies changed their position and now are top on Sudan.

Mates, you don't have to wait for me to post. Just visit my website pecheli.net for predictions!

13.06. 2015

UD Las Palmas - Real Valladolid (Spain, Segunda Division)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.9 (Unibet)

Head to Head
26-04-15 Las Palmas – Valladolid 1-1
29-10-11 Las Palmas – Valladolid 1-0
12-03-11 Las Palmas – Valladolid 2-0

Probable lineups
Las Palmas (4-3-3): Lizoain – Simon, Garcia, Artiles, Lopez – Gomez, Castellano, Roque – Culio, Araujo, Viera
Valladolid (4-2-3-1): Varas – Herrero, Samuel, Rueda, Pena – Leao, Rubio – Perez, Oscar, Mojica - Roger

Preview:
Las Palmas got an important 1-1 in the first leg and will now have a big advantage even failed to beat Valladolid at home in the regular season at home. But in the first leg two Valladolid players Javi Chica and Timor have been sent-off and now will miss this match.

Markets:
So far there is a small interest on Las Palmas. But bookies with solid positions on the Spanish market like bwin placed themselves in the middle without want to attract many bets on Las Palmas.

8.06.2015 FC KTP - IFK Mariehamn (Finland, Veikkausliiga) - 2 - WON!

9.06.2015

St Patrick's Dublin - Bohemians FC (Republic of Ireland, Premier League)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.67 (bet365)

Head to Head
30-09-14 Saint Patricks – Bohemians 3-1
12-09-14 Saint Patricks – Bohemians 3-2
18-04-14 Saint Patricks – Bohemians 3-1
30-08-13 Saint Patricks – Bohemians 1-1
20-04-13 Saint Patricks – Bohemians 1-1

Injured & Suspended
Saint Patricks: Byrne (m, 14, 4)
Bohemians: Pender (d, 13, 0), Best (d, 3, 0), Griffin (f, 10, 2)

Preview:
Saint Patricks will host Bohemians in a city clash in Dublin after their most impressive performance of the season. On Friday The Saints trashed Derry City 3-0 away but their realistic aim this season will be another qualification for Europe. Bohemians were impressive too on Friday beating Dundalk away. This was Dundalk’s first league home defeat since September 2013. The home side won their last 3 matches against Bohemians and the visitors looks like slowing down after impressive start of the season.

Markets:
A drop of the home odds everywhere which passed 30%.

6.06.2015 Juventus FC - FC Barcelona - 2 - WON.

8.06.2015

FC KTP - IFK Mariehamn (Finland, Veikkausliiga)
Pick: 2
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.02 (188Bet)

Head to Head
07-04-13 KTP – Mariehamn 0-4

Preview:
Mariehamn has collected just a point from their last 2 matches and went behind in the battle for the top 3. But today they are away to a comfortable opponent. Mariehamn won here 4-0 in the cup in 2013 and 20 days ago has beaten KTP at home 2-1.

Markets:
The 138% decrease in the positioning on Mariehamn is pretty important fact. The away odds are going down with Scandinavian markets leading the moves.

6.06.2015

Juventus FC - FC Barcelona (Europe, Champions League 2014-15)
Pick: 2
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.62 (bet365)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Probable lineups
Barcelona (4-3-3): Ter Stegen; Alves, Piqué, Mascherano, Alba; Rakitić, Busquets, Iniesta; Messi, Suárez, Neymar.
Juventus (4-3-1-2): Buffon; Lichtsteiner, Bonucci, Barzagli, Evra; Marchisio, Pirlo, Pogba; Vidal; Tévez, Morata.

Injured & Suspended
Barcelona: no
Juventus: Chellini (d, 28, 0), Caceres (d, 10, 1)

Preview:
The champions of Italy and Spain will chase a unique treble after winning the domestic honors this season. Barcelona will count on their best squad and will hope to win fifth title in the competition and fourth in the last 10 years. Juventus suffered a heavy blow and will not count on their best defender Giorgio Chiellini, who is injured. Juventus passed all the expectations so far but must be extremely better than their standard to win this one and also Barcelona must be at the same time extremely worse.

Markets:
Bookies which released early odds suffered and slashed the down by more than 50%. It is a big risk match and it will be on Barcelona. This is why the odds on Catalan team are very low for such a final.

19.05.2015

MFK Kosice - Sport Podbrezova (Slovakia, Corgon Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.8 (188Bet)

Head to Head
13-09-14 Kosice – Podbrezova 3-0

Preview:
Both teams play almost for nothing despite pride. But it is a clash between strong home team and weak away side. Kosice won 6 of their last 7 home matches and lost only to Zlate Moravce in the period. Podbrezova lost 6 successive away games and the last time they remained unbeaten was on November 5 against Zilina.

Markets:
The bettors find a value in the opening home odds and have pressed them. As a results odds on Kosice dropped by more than 20% with some bookies.

18.05.2015

Atlético CP - CD Aves (Portugal, Segunda Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:6/10
Odds: 1.98 (188Bet)


Head to Head
27-07-14 Atletico CP – Aves 0-0
14-09-13 Atletico CP – Aves 1-0
12-05-13 Atletico CP – Aves 0-2
21-04-12 Atletico CP – Aves 0-0

Preview:
The simple calculations shows that only a victory here could save Atletico’s chances to stay in the Segunda Liga. And also they have to win their last match away to Olhanense. Aves is playing for nothing so it is must win situation for the home side.

Markets:
Bookies are cautious to Atletico since the start of the year. The 81% decrease in the positioning this time was followed by a solid drop and big bets.

16.05.2015

Inter Milano - Juventus (Italy, Serie A)
Pick: 1
Confidence:5/10
Odds: 2.25 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
14-09-13 Inter – Juventus 1-1
30-03-13 Inter – Juventus 1-2
29-10-11 Inter – Juventus 1-2
03-10-10 Inter – Juventus 0-0
16-04-10 Inter – Juventus 2-0

Probable lineups
Inter (4-3-1-2): Handanovic – D’Ambrosio, Ranocchia, Vidic, Juan Jesus – Brozovic, Medel, Kovacic – Shaqiri – Icardi, Palacio
Juventus (4-3-1-2): Storari – Lichtsteiner, Barzagli, Bonucci, Padoin – Sturaro, Marchisio, Pogba – Pereyra – Morata, Matri

Preview:
Inter will chase European qualification in the Derby d’Italia. The champions Juventus put all their efforts in the midweek clash against Real Madrid in the Champions League and now will use many substitutions. This will have a big impact.

Markets:
The drop of the home odds reversed the initial favourite.

14.05.2015

FK Stumbars Kauno - FK Trakai (Lithuania, A Lyga)
Pick: 2
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.53 (Paddy Power)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Trakai won 10 successive league matches including against the champions Zalgiris. They look capable of chasing the title. This away match to the newcomer Stumbras can’t cause problems.

Markets:
A mass drop of the away odds and the low position of the bookies who are specialist in the Lithuanian market show the real situation here.

13.05.2015

Siroki Brijeg - Olimpik Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premijer Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.57 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
12-03-14 Siroki Brijeg – Olimpic 2-0
03-11-13 Siroki Brijeg – Olimpic 0-0
23-09-12 Siroki Brijeg – Olimpic 0-0
23-05-12 Siroki Brijeg – Olimpic 1-1
13-03-11 Siroki Brijeg – Olimpic 1-3

Preview:
Siroki Brijeg are chasing a place in Europe even their title chances are also alive trailing 4 points to the leaders Sarajevo with 4 matches remaining. But Sarajevo have a difficult task today away to Radnik and a derby match with the other contenders Zelejeznicar in the weekend which will allow Siroki Brijeg to be involved in the title race with a victory here. The match against Olimpic is a general training for the cup final against the same opponent later this month so a victory could give an important advantage with the moral. Siroki Brijeg conceded just one goal in their last 6 league home matches but at the same time won just last of the 6 home league matches against Olimpic.

Markets:
The drop of the home odds is not impressive but the Asian bookies keep a very low position.

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kenkenn - Please use your own topic to post picks.

12.05.2015

Kardemir Karabükspor - Eskişehirspor (Turkey, Süper Lig)
Pick: 1
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.85 (Sportingbet)

Head to Head
21-04-14 Karabuk – Eskisehir 0-0
10-03-13 Karabuk – Eskisehir 0-0
05-11-11 Karabuk – Eskisehir 1-2
22-10-10 Karabuk – Eskisehir 1-2

Probable lineups
Karabuk: Waterman, Mabiala, Ozgenc, Kayhan, Incedemir, Ozcal, Cagiran, Kas, Ozek, Viola, Candan
Eskisehir: Vural, Diego Angelo, Yumlu, Parlak, Guler, Cek, Kanak, Causic, Sismanoglu, Aydin, Sissoko

Injured & Suspended
Karabuk: Sow (m, 15, 0)
Eskisehir: Corekci (d, 29, 0), Funes (f, 28, 7)

Preview:
The 2-0 victory over Rizespor in the last home match was not only second successive at their stadium, but gave Karabuk hope they will survive in the top flight. But Karabuk suffered a heavy away defeat 1-7 at Bursa in the weekend and now is in a must win situation. Eskisehir plays for nothing but is unbeaten in 4 matches. The visitors are without their top scorer Funes who is suspended.

Markets:
The big decrease on Karabuk in the positioning was followed by a pretty big drop of the home odds. The interest on the home win is unusually big.

I am back, thank you guys! You can always check my website (see signature) for predictions.

Thank you for your kind words, lads. Let's see if we can nail this one too:

29.04.2015

Sassuolo - Roma (Italy, Serie A)
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.78 (bwin)

Head to Head
30-03-14 Sassuolo – Roma 0-2

Probable lineups
Sassuolo (3-4-3): Consigli – Cannavaro, Acerbi, Peluso – Lazarevic, Missiroli, Biondini, Longhi – Floro Flores, Zaza, Sansone
Roma (4-3-3): De Sanctis – Florenzi, Yanga-Mbiwa, Manolas, Cole – Pjanic, De Rossi, Nainggolan – Ibarbo, Totti, Gervinho

Injured & Suspended
Sassuolo: Megnanelli (m, 26, 0), Donis (f, 0, 0), Vrsaljko (d, 19, 0), Polito (g, 0, 0), Terranova (d, 9, 0), Antei (d, 8, 0)
Roma: Strootman (d, 8, 0), Maicon (d, 14, 1)

Preview:
Roma failed to win their last 3 league matches (0-2-1) and put under treat their qualification for the Champions League which was looking pretty certain. A new fail today will mean dropping out of Top 3 with 5 matches remaining. Sassuolo is also not in a good form winning just one in 5 matches but their place in the top flight next season is sure.

Markets:
The fair opening odds on Roma are dropping and the outcome accumulated a big risk for the bookies.

Thank you.

26.04.2015 RC Lens - AS Monaco - 2 - WON.

27.04.2015

Norrköping - Gefle IF (Sweden, Allsvenskan)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.78 (bwin)


Head to Head
02-06-14 Norrkoping – Gefle 1-0
16-03-14 Norrkoping – Gefle 1-1
08-04-13 Norrkoping – Gefle 2-1
02-09-12 Norrkoping – Gefle 0-1
21-09-11 Norrkoping – Gefle 1-1

Probable lineups
Norrkoping (4-4-2): Mitov-Nilsson –Wahlqvist, Johansson, Dagerstål, Telo –Tekie, Fransson, Sjölund, Traustason –Nyman, Kujovic.
Gefle (4-4-2): Hedvall –Florén, Fällman, Rauschenberg, Portin –Bertilsson, Nilsson, Lantto, Ericsson –Oremo, Williams.

Injured & Suspended
Norrkoping: Bärkroth (f, 1, 0), Falk Olander (m, 0, 0), Meneses (d, 0, 0)
Gefle: Wikström (d, 0, 0), Bååth (d, 1, 0), Olsson (m, 0, 0), Hjelte (m, 3, 0)

Preview:
The visitors had more solid start with two victories in the first two matches and another point last week at home against Halmstad. But they lost by an odd goal their last two league matches in Norrkoping and will miss their young midfielder Hjelte who is injured. Norrkoping had defensive problems in their last 2 matches conceding total 7 goals and will try to change this trend.

Markets:
A big decrease on Norrkoping in the positioning which can’t be explained, considering the results so far. Maybe the tradition is more solid factor for the bookies.

The name of the website is in my signiture - it's Pecheli.NET.

26.04.2015

RC Lens - AS Monaco (France, Ligue 1)
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.7 (bet365)

Head to Head
21-09-12 Lens – Monaco 0-4
29-08-11 Lens – Monaco 2-2
21-08-10 Lens – Monaco 2-2

Probable lineups
Lens (4-3-3): Riou - Gbamin, Landre, Kantari, Boulenger - Cyprien, Le Moigne, Nomenjanahary - Chavarra, A.Coulibaly, Touzghar
Monaco (4-2-3-1): Subasic - Raggi, Wallace, Abdennour, Kurzawa - Fabinho, Kondogbia - Silva, Moutinho, Carrasco - A.Martial

Injured & Suspended
Lens: Bourigeaud (m, 20, 2), Baal (m, 27, 0), Cavare (d, 20, 0), Fradj (d, 1, 0), Guillaume (m, 27, 2), N’Diaye (m, 7, 0), Seck(f, 1, 0)
Monaco: Toulalan (m, 26, 0)

Preview:
Monaco as been eliminated from the Champions League against Juventus in the midweek but now they aim at a new participation. They won their last 4 away matches and a new victory will mean they will keep their third position. Lens won just a points from their last 4 matches and will miss 4 important players today.

Markets:
The fair opening odds on Monaco have been pressured by the bettors and now all bookies made significant drops.

24.04.2015

Calcio Catania - Ternana (Italy, Serie B)
Pick: 1
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.53 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Probable lineups
Catania (4-3-1-2): Gillet; Del Prete, Schiavi, Ceccarelli, Mazzotta; Coppola, Rinaudo, Rosina; Castro; Calaiò, Maniero.
Ternana (3-5-2): Brignoli; Janse, Valjent, Fazio; Dianda, Eramo, Viola, Gavazzi, Vitale; Avenatti, Ceravolo.

Injured & Suspended
Catania: Sciaudone (m, 14, 1)
Ternana: Meccariello (d, 26, 0), Popescu (d, 21, 0), Ferronetti (d, 6, 0), Masi (d, 10, 0), Bastrini (d, 23, 0)

Preview:
Catania won 4 matches in a row but is just 3 points above the relegation zone. Considering their fixtures list today is a must win game as there follows trips to Bologna and Brescia and a home match against Livorno. The home side is without an important midfielder (Sciaudone) but the visitors will miss their almost entire defense.

Markets:
The heavy decrease on Catania (47%) in the positioning was followed by a pressure on the home odds and since the morning there are many sure bets being made.

21.04.2015

Milton Keynes Dons - Doncaster Rovers (England, Skybet League 1)
Pick: 1
Confidence: 10/10
Odds: 1.5 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
05-03-13 MK Dons – Doncaster 3-0

Injured & Suspended
MK Dons: no
Doncaster: Keegan (m, 32, 0)

Preview:
MK Dons is third in the table, just a point behind Preston. But they will have unbelievable easy task in the 3 remaining matches against opponents playing for nothing. Preston at the same time will have 3 difficult games. A simple calculation shows that if MK Dons win all 3 matches and Preston make just one mistake, than Milton Keynes’ team will the one which will finish second and win automatic promotion in the Championship. MK Dons ins in terrific form, winning 6 and drawing 1 match.

Markets:
MK Dons has been heavy decreased in the positioning with 46% and the odds are going below 1.50 after pressure of the bettors.

Hello, lads!

Pecheli is a well-recognized brand for football predictions that has been part of the market every day since 2004.

Our tipsters used to have their predictions published in a famous weekly newspaper in Bulgaria. To date, we have an international team of both tipster experts with extensive experience in the bookmakers’ industry and football journalists, who specialize in sports analysis.

The special thing about our site is that we cover the entire schedule of major football matches every single day. We offer extensive analysis, which include: sports results, odds, bookmakers’ behavior and market movement. In order for us to recommend a certain outcome, it must have passed various indicators, both in sports and in purely market terms.

We will try to post predictions here every day, but if we miss a day, feel free to visit our website (see the signiture below).

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14.04.2015

Leeds United - Norwich City (England, Skybet Championship)
Pick: 2
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.57 (bet365)

Head to Head
19-02-11 Leeds – Norwich 2-2
19-10-09 Leeds – Norwich 2-1

Probable lineups
Leeds: Silvestri, Berardi, Bellusci, Bamba, Wootton, Taylor, Byram, Murphy, Mowatt, Phillips, Antenucci.
Norwich: Ruddy, Whittaker, M. Olsson, Bassong, Martin, Tettey, Hoolahan, Dorrans, Howson, Redmond, Jerome.

Injured & Suspended
Leeds: Cook (m, 37, 0), Austin (m, 27, 3)
Norwich: Johnson (m, 38, 13)

Preview:
Norwich won 4 matches in a row and is second in the race for automatic promotion in Premiership. The last minute victory at Bolton in the weekend could have a big price but only if The Cannaries continue their winning streak. The visitors again will not count on suspended Johnson and at Elland Road they are without a victory in 5 matches. But Leeds won only one of their last 5 home matches.

Markets:
Starting from positioning where Norwich was heavy decreased and going through the market moves, bookies consider this as a banker away win.

26.03.2015

Lyngby BK - Brønshøj BK (Denmark, Nordicbet Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.45 (Unibet)

Head to Head
21-04-14 Lyngby - Bronshoj 0-3
25-08-13 Lyngby - Bronshoj 1-3
05-07-13 Lyngby - Bronshoj 2-0
08-05-13 Lyngby - Bronshoj 2-2

Preview:
Lyngby started with two victories without conceding a goal and the ambitions are for a promotion to the top flight. It is difficult to see them losing here.

Markets:
There is a pretty big decrease on Lyngby in the positioning and the home odds are going down. But some moves on the draw make us reduce the risk.

13.03.2015

Patro Eisden - Eupen (Belgium, Belgacom League (2e Klasse))
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.6

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Eupen lost twice in a row which happened only for a second time this season. But they continue their push for promotion which can happen only through the playoffs. To qualify there, Eupen must win the third period or finish in the top 3. Eupen which is owned by Aspire Zone Foundation from Qatar, who are also owners of PSG, will battle with another two clubs but can count on a bigger budget and more quality in the team. Patro Eisden earned just a point from their last 5 home matches.

Markets:
Bookies intentions to increase slightly Eupen before opening of the market made bettors finding a value and the away odds collapsed very soon.

9.03.2015

Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNK Rijeka (Croatia, 1. HNL)
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.83

Head to Head
04-03-15 Lokomotiva – Rijeka 0-4
24-08-14 Lokomotiva – Rijeka 2-1
10-05-14 Lokomotiva – Rijeka 1-5
19-12-13 Lokomotiva – Rijeka 0-2
11-11-12 Lokomotiva – Rijeka 2-1

Preview:
Just a couple of days ago Rijeka won 4-0 away to Lokomotiva. Today the match is for the league where Rijeka will be second in Croatia. And the bigger class will be decisive.

Markets:
The fair opening odds on Rijeka dropped with more than 20% since opening of the market.

18.02.2015

Esperance ST - JS Kairouanaise (Tunisia, Ligue Professionnelle 1)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.75 (bet365)

Head to Head
24-11-13 Esperance – Kairouan 1-0
08-12-12 Esperance – Kairouan 5-1
20-06-12 Esperance – Kairouan 2-0
28-11-10 Esperance – Kairouan 2-1
24-11-10 Esperance – Kairouan 1-0

Preview:
The biggest club in Tunisia Esperance is fourth in the table, 8 points behind the leaders. They will target at least a Top 3 finish and qualification in the Champions League of Africa. They usually win at home to Kairouan.

Markets:
Small interest to this match at the market and bookies will release odds just before the beginning. But with releasing odds some bookies like Bet365 got immediate risk on Esperance.

05.02.2015

Panthrakikos - AEL Kalloni (Greece, Super Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.67 (bet365)

Head to Head
18-12-13 Panthrakikos – Kalloni 2-0
31-10-11 Panthrakikos – Kalloni 1-0

Probable lineups
Panthrakikos (3-5-2): Athanasiadis – Melissis, Mbow, Potouridis – Tsoumanis, Romeu, Iliadis, Baykara, Rogerio – Diguiny, Igor
Kalloni (4-2-3-1): Hogg – Tsambouris, Anastasiadis, Adejo, Pipinis – Marcelo, Keita – Mingas, Leozinho, Manousos - Petropoulos

Injured & Suspended
Panthrakikos: Ladakis (m, 17, 0), Christou (d, 8, 0), Cases (m, 18, 3), Cherfa (d, 13, 0), Tzanis (m, 20, 4), Mejia (m, 18, 0)
Kalloni: Vallios (d, 15, 1), Juanma (f, 18, 4)

Preview:
Panthrakikos ended their 7-matches unbeaten streak in the league since December 14 last weekend when they lost 0-1 away to Panionios. But their coach Jose Roca believes one defeat can’t blow away the overall good impression they leave with the recent performances and Komothini team is strong in the battle against relegation. Today opponent Kalloni ended an 11-matches streak without a victory in the league last weekend when they beat Asteras at home. But it was not a deserved victory after Arcadian team was clearly the better one.

Markets:
There was a big starting drop on Panthrakikos odds when they were released andnow sure bets are being made.

31.01.2015

Dartford - Bristol Rovers (England, The Skrill Premier Conference)
Pick: 2
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.62 (bwin)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Bristol Rovers is 8 points adrift from the leaders Barnet but also has a game in hand. We must consider them as the biggest club in the Conference this season and the battle for the first place is ahead. And Rovers are the dark horses. Dartford lost their last 5 league matches and also 9 of the last 10.

Markets:
There was a big decrease in the positioning on Bristol Rovers and impressive drop after opening of the market.

27.01.2015

South Africa - Ghana (Africa, African Nations Cup)
Pick: 2
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.17 (188Bet)

Head to Head
11-08-10 South Africa – Ghana 1-0

Preview:
Only victory will mean a certain qualification for Ghana and they are superior to South Africa in the recent years. Last official matches between these opponents have been in the World Cup qualifiers in 2006 when Ghana won twice.

Markets:
The away win is accumulating risk and bookies are dropping odds even with small steps.

26.01.2015

Pro Piacenza - AC Pistoiese (Italy, Lega Pro 1 Divisione)
Pick: 1
Confidence:6/10
Odds: 2.25 (bwin)

Head to Head
15-05-13 Pro Piacenza – Pistoiese 0-1
17-02-13 Pro Piacenza – Pistoiese 2-1

Probable lineups
Pro Piacenza (4-3-3): Alfonso; Sanè, Silva, Rieti, Castellana; Porcino, Schiavini, Barba; Mateassi, Speziale, Alessandro.
Pistoiese (4-3-1-2): Ricci; Celiento, Piana, Pasini, Golubovic; Calvano, Frascatore, Pacciardi; Mungo; Piscitella, Anastasi.

Preview:
Pro Piacenza is bottom of the table and also with a handicap of 8 deducted points before the start of the season. But if the league has started 5 rounds ago Pro Piacenza should have been among the top teams as they won 10 of their total 22 points in these 5 matches. They look reborn but every lost point in such matches until the end of the season could prove fatal. Pistoiese is in a bad form and without a victory in 5 matches.

Markets:
A big decrease in the home odds which show there was a big value in the opening odds of Pro Piacenza.

25.01.2015

NAC Breda - Willem II Tilburg (Holland, Eredivisie)
Pick: 2
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.4 (Unibet)

Head to Head
17-03-13 NAC Breda – Willem II 4-0
26-09-10 NAC Breda – Willem II 2-1
08-11-09 NAC Breda – Willem II 4-0

Probable lineups
NAC Breda (4-3-3): Ten Rouwelaar – De Roover, Van Bezooijen, Van der Weg, Swerts – De Kamps, Matic, Falkenburg – Fernandez, Seuntjens, Sarpong
WillemII (4-3-3): Lambrou – Heerkens, D. Wuytens, Peters, Dijks – S. Wuytens, Haemhouts, Ondaan – Sahar, Bruno Andrade, Armenteros

Injured & Suspended
NAC Breda: Dancevski (d, 11, 0), Drost (d, 10, 0), Amieux (d, 17, 0)
WillemII: Messaoud (m, 15, 2)

Preview:
The new NAC coach Robert Maaskand will have big problems in his home debut today after almost entire defense is missing. They took on loan the Croatian midfielder Stipe Perica but he will not play today. It is a fierce local derby and the stronger Willem IIwill not miss taking the 3 points.

Markets:
The away odds started to drop and at the exchange layers are worried by Willem II. Also the visitors has been heavy decreased in the positioning.

24.01.2015

Dundee United - Motherwell FC (Scotland, Premiership)
Pick: 1
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.4 (bwin)

Head to Head
13-08-14 Dundee United – Motherwell 1-0
26-04-14 Dundee United – Motherwell 5-1
21-02-14 Dundee United – Motherwell 3-1
22-09-13 Dundee United – Motherwell 2-2
19-04-13 Dundee United – Motherwell 1-3

Preview:
Dundee United won 3 successive victories at home this opponent. Motherwell is in expected crisis with 4 successive defeats.

Markets:
Dundee United has been decreased by 48% in the positioning and the interest to the home win is expected.

22.01.2015

RCD Espanyol - Sevilla FC (Spain, Copa del Rey)
Pick: 2
Odds: 2.6 (bwin)

Head to Head
31-08-14 Espanyol – Sevilla 1-2
10-11-13 Espanyol – Sevilla 1-3
07-12-12 Espanyol – Sevilla 2-2
28-11-12 Espanyol – Sevilla 0-3
13-05-12 Espanyol – Sevilla 1-1

Probable lineups
Espanyol (4-2-3-1): Pau – Arbilla, Gonzalez, Moreno, Duarte – Abraham, Canas – Vazquez, Garcia, Alvarez – Caicedo
Sevilla (4-2-3-1): Rico – Figueras, Carrico, Kolodiejczak, Navarro – Coke, Krychowiak – Deulofeau, Suarez, Aspas – Gameiro

Injured & Suspended
Espanyol: no
Sevilla: Tremoulinas (d, 10, 0), Cristoforo (m, 0, 0), Mbia (m, 11, 4)

Preview:
Sevilla is unbeaten in 11 successive matches against Espanyol winning the last 4. They have an excellent cup reputation and the good draw which helped them avoid a clash against the Spanish top teams until the final means Sevilla could be much interested in this competition and why not winning it. The visitors won 5 matches in a row and 9 of the last 10 with one draw which is an excellent form. Espanyol lost just twice at home this season but one of the defeats is against Sevilla in the league.

Markets:
A slight drop of Sevilla odds so far due to the good results of Espanyol at home but still the visitors are bookies favourite.

20.01.2015

Middlesbrough - Cardiff City (England, Skybet Championship)
Pick: 1 (-1.0 AH)
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.91 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
02-03-13 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2-1
07-04-12 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 0-2
11-12-10 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 1-0
13-12-09 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 0-1

Probable lineups
Middlesbrough (4-4-1-1): Konstantopoulos – Friend, Gibson, Daniel Ayala, Kalas – Tomlin, Whitehead, Leadbitter, Adomah – Bamford – Vossen
Cardiff (4-4-2): Marshall – Brayford, Turner, Morrison, Malone – Adeyemi, Gunnarsson, Whittingham, Noone – Revel, Le Fondre

Injured & Suspended
Middlesbrough: Fredericks(m, 10, 0), Carayol (m, 0, 0), Damia (d, 6, 0), Williams (d, 1, 0), Nsue (f, 17, 0)
Cardiff: Jones (f, 21, 9)

Preview:
Middlesbrough lost just one of their last 14 matches in all competition but too many draws are the reason why they are not top of the table. Borough is 4 points adrift from the leaders Bornemouth and could catch them only with consistency. Many players miss from the home side but only one is first choice – forward Nsue who is in Africa with his national team, but also failed to score in any of his 17 matches this season. The visitors will miss their most important forward Jones, who is injured and this cuts off their chances.

Markets:
The very big decrease of 60% in the positioning continued with a drop of the odds on Middlesbrough after the news that Cardiff will miss Kenwyne Jones was released.