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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra (818 Views)
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What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by MERCHANDISER: 5:55pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
**NOTES to IPOBians
From ;Nnoruka Udechukwu SAN**
"I, like many other Igbos have stood on the side lines for
far too long, wishing this Biafran breeze fizzles away, but
it’s now dangerously turning into a major storm that
constitutes an existential threat to Igbo civilization as we
know it. Those of you IPOBians, Sympathizers, Rumour
Mongers, Facebook Warriors, Facebook megastars,
Opinion Leaders and Propagandists escalating the
already tense situation must understand that in the end,
you'll all be losers, victims and at the same time in more
bondage than you ever were. Not my wish anyway, but
the perceptible reality. No war ever got won by emotions.
Preparation and strategy does, ask any battle-tested
soldier. Even the best of them get eaten. Little by little
you guys are doing everything possible to attract
avoidable conflict to our region hoping that the
international community will intervene. You'll be in for a
shocker when this meal you've cooked for so long is
served up.
Understand this, I have monitored many revolutionary
conflicts around the world and know this for a fact, the
international community foot-drags at less than a snail
pace, if at all, before attempting any interventions in
internal conflicts in a sovereign nation and that includes
America and Israel you're hoping on. War is a huge
liability and no Country wants to meddle. The best they
give these days are reliefs not military aids and that is
after many must have died including those who started
the fire. I watched it happen to Libyans, Yemenis, Syrians
and till now they still don't have peace. Besides, you’d be
stupid to believe that those countries, if ever there is any,
promising to support Nnamdi Kanu are really in for it.
Some of them want to use him to initiate conflict and sell
their weapons to both sides and make blood dollars. War
is an all-comers affair and all kinds of demonically
vicious players come to the slimy field to play the hellish
game of blood and death. In this case, Boko Haram that
has largely been caged by the army will break free to
roam with ambitions to finally establish their Caliphate
across Nigeria, all because the Army now fighting on two
fronts can no longer concentrate on them having become
too stretched. Guess what, they’ll come with ISIS on their
back. Nigerian Army will be fighting to keep Nigeria
together on one front, Boko Haram (ISIS Nigerian Branch)
with Caliphatist ambition on the other and Biafra with
secessionist ambition on yet another front.
That was how Syria got so complex till date and any war
in Nigeria today will have a similar picture. Whoever gets
overwhelmed will face the other. It will be a long and
difficult journey and unlike the first civil war without Boko
Haram in the equation, no one can predict the tortuous
end. Other Jihadists from across Africa and Middle-East
will join in as they always do wherever there’s instability
to advance their different brands of Islam. In the end
you’ll leave Nigeria and discover you’re fighting other
strangers you don’t even know how they came into the
picture.
The big boys (international players) like Iran will be there
to get there pound of flesh from Nigeria in revenge for
the Shiites, Saudi will be there to defend Nigeria, and all
will play. Weapons merchants will the start smiling to the
banks. Guess where the theatre of war would be,
Igboland. We must not allow this! Libyans thought they
were fighting Ghaddafi but after Ghaddafi, they
discovered other strangers fighting them to establish their
different brands of Islam. Same thing in Syria. The words
of Saif Al Islam Ghaddafi (Ghaddafi’s first son) keeps
ringing in my ears as he forewarned Libyans of these grim
possibilities, but okuko nti ike nánu ife n’ite ofe. I never
took him seriously at the time but in retrospect, I now
see he knew better because it panned out just as he
predicted and Libya still isn’t out of the woods.
That’s the way it is these days of jihad consciousness
across the world. If you ever experience war, you'll never
take peace for granted. War is not a movie as some of
you think. You could be the first victim. Can you stomach
watching your loved ones maimed, killed, raped, tortured,
starve to death under slow and painful circumstances?
Those are the grim realities of war and in Africa, it is
executed with luciferous savagery and psychopathic
sadism. The worst of peace is still better than the best of
wars.
Funny enough, most of our chest-beating IPOBians will
likely die off within the first month or two of the conflict
leaving those who knew nothing or are on the sidelines to
defend themselves. There will be nowhere to run to as no
country in West Africa will agree to accept the ocean-
sized volume of refugees. When the Rwandan genocide
was looming, everyone was running his mouth until the
death hurricane they courted so hard swept across their
country, they wailed and shouted for international
community to intervene but none came. That's the way it
is. Paul Kagame, their current President it was who ended
it. And they vowed to “never again”. They learnt from
history and have completely removed tribalism from
every facet of national life and are admirably making
astounding progress as one of Africa's best.
My advice, agreed, Buhari hasn't treated us as well as we
wanted, but wait till 2023 and make amends. I have
listened to Nnamdi Kanu on several videos and my
conclusion is that he is plain naive on how things roll in a
conflict situation. On one occasion he bragged that it
would take him only two weeks to reach Sokoto in the
event of war. I don't know what weapons and extra-
terrestrial strategies he has to execute that. War is an
unpredictable undertaking that you'll be ignorant to
estimate which direction it goes. As it is, he has no
weapons just yet and is bragging. Many of you believe
him and even ascribe infallibility to his words. I have
lived a couple of years abroad and what some of you
don't know is that many of our people there egging you
on don't have immigration papers and are praying for an
outbreak of hostilities in Nigeria so they can claim
asylum on the back of it.
We must advise ourselves on this current path of self-
annihilation. Some of you think Biafra will be the end of
all your problems, so South Sudan thought, as did Eritrea,
but sorry it will be the beginning of new ones. Now take
this to the Bank, it will even be far more difficult for any
country to touch any conflict here with a long spoon than
it was in the sixties. Reason? Then there was the
prospect of oil but today oil is out of fashion and even as
it is, Nigeria is begging for buyers and nobody's buying.
Osinbajo said that much a few days back. Now, tell me, if
they spend their money intervening in your conflict to
save your asses, what will they get in return? The best
they can do for you is to condemn what is going on, then
more out-pouring of condemnations and then more
unleashing of floodgates of condemnations, but NO
ACTION while you die in numbers.
You often argue that a call for referendum is not a call
for war. I agree completely! Very true! Referendum is a
right not a privilege. Even Buhari asserted that much in
favour of Palestine when he addressed the UN. However,
it is plain naivety to assume that all that is enshrined in
international law is enforceable. UN has no mechanism of
enforcement. Countries and Dictators constantly flout it
and nothing happens. Even if something were to happen
you’ll all have decomposed in your graves by then. A
show of bravado will not lead you anywhere Umunnem.
Call me a coward if you like, but Chinua Achebe told us
that we often stand in the house of a coward to point at
where a brave man ONCE lived. In any case, isn’t it
foolishness to challenge an army that has been
stockpiling arms since 1960 when you on the other hand
haven’t bought a bullet just yet?
Papa Achebe puts it this way, “Only a foolish man can go
after a leopard with his bare hands”. As impulsive and as
tempting as it may get, tone down your rhetorics,
invectives, acerbics, and cursing on social media. Cherish
the peace you now have at least Igbos are not worse-off
than other regions despite never being in power. While
there is grinding poverty in other regions, the highest
income per capita in the country is posted by Anambra
and other Igbo states ain’t doing badly. Our people live
well, build better houses compared to other regions and
it's all a miracle given the scratch we started from after
the war. Why do we want to throw all that away because
of ego and start all over again? Is it a curse? The Hausas
though having been in power do not even live a better
quality of life than Igbos. Let's be wise and not give
opportunity to destroy all we've achieved as a people.
I condemn in the strongest of terms the killing of
unarmed people by Nigerian soldiers, killer herdsmen,
and do not by any means say Nigeria is what we want it
to be but understand Biafra wasn't Ojukwu's first choice.
At Aburi his choice was a return to true federalism which
he knew was a better deal for us than secession. Nigeria
failed to honour that agreement and continued the killings
forcing him to declare a Biafran Republic to save his
people from slaughter and it's understandable. Nigeria
owes us tons of apologies, I agree. But brothers, let's
think again! A Biafra today will even be far less
economically viable than it would have been then. Reason
is because then we would have used oil money to jump-
start the new country but today oil is so unsellable to the
extent that Venezuela with arguably the largest reserves is
grappling with severe economic problems. Kick-starting a
new country from the basics would be painfully slow and
may outlive our generation to even get the basic things in
place. Arewa youths know that, the reason they have
asked Nigerian Government to let Igbos go, only for
Nnamdi Kanu to start asking for Benue and Rivers
because he knows that Igboland alone isn’t viable.
Asking for Benue is laughable because they were never
part of Biafra and have made it clear to all, as did
different Rivers groups that they don’t want Biafra. A
handful of his collaborators from those regions pledging
allegiance to him does not equate to an entire people.
Majority of their people hate this Biafran idea and have
made that much clear. Some funny IPOBians are also
hoping on Asari Dokubo and FFK. What a funny bunch
being used to fight other people’s fight. Why won’t they
take up the gauntlet or is it only us that is suffering
injustice? Don't even think corruption will suddenly
disappear in a new Biafra as some naive IPOBians hope.
If they give you Biafra today, your eyes will open up to
new unpleasant realities many of you haven't even
factored-in in your agitation but then it would have been
late.
I know voices like mine are often loathed and cursed by
IPOBians but some of us who know the truth can no
longer keep quiet while you drag us all into avoidable
chaos. I owe our people the truth as I see it. Curse me all
you want, it's OK. Umunnem, ka ako’n’uche na udo
chianu biko! Patience solves all things, with time. Let our
people think again and know what is looming. Stop your
facebook and social media vituperations, cursing, grand
standing and join me to educate others. De-escalate this
situation and speak words of kindness to others. Even
mighty America de-escalates after tensions with Russia.
It’s called wisdom. North Korea provokes South Korea
most times but the South always de-escalates tensions
knowing that the North hasn’t got anything to lose in the
event of war but beautiful South Korea will lose quite a
lot. In our case, all the beautiful houses and streets in
Igboland will be razed to the ground. Why should we be
starting afresh all the time? It will even be more painful if
we lose again as was the case in 1970. As it is, it’s not
looking good! One more thing. We can join other ethnic
groups to demand restructuring. Let us not face our
common enemy alone. Britain is our enemy using minority
Fulani to enslave Nigerians. We can together liberate
Nigeria from Fulani if only we can unite. Let's stop all
these provocative language and join forces with the West
and the Middle belt. See all over where Igbos are killed
on daily bases. 6 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by illmatic101(m): 6:04pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
Those that did not read the op post should click like those that read should share. 7 Likes 4 Shares |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by Divoc19(f): 6:13pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
War is not the Way. Patience is the way now. We can't risk all we have now and lose twice in one country. Please let's stay together 1 Like |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by paramakina202: 6:19pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
Stop wasting your ink on IPOBians because they are deaf and daft. |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by Nobody: 7:01pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
paramakina202: GOD BLESS BIAFRA GOD BLESS MNK GOD BLESS THE IGBOS GOD BLESS ESN.. 2 Likes |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by Ebenezer2021(m): 7:06pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
Kings999:the civil war is only on nairaland forum, twitter and other social media. Here in the South East everything is peaceful and we're going about with our normal lives 2 Likes |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by StaffofOrayan(m): 7:14pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
The more soldiers are sent to the SE, the more northern children are taken by terrorists, the more women are raped by bandits, the more men are killed, it's a funny equation 1 Like |
Re: What The Outcome Of The Looming Second Civil War Would Look Like. #nigvsbiafra by BelloP: 10:12pm On Jun 02, 2021 |
Great writing. Did you pluck enter from your keyboard? |
(1) (Reply)
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