₦airaland Forum

NaijirianKing:
The SW has led themselves into political isolation.

The SS President was ousted in part due to the SW, the SE theoretically should have the greatest claim to the southern presidency, but the SW has made two enemies of the two southern regions. The North sees this. We know the south is too politically fragmented to pose any resistance to a united Northern front.

The SW will have to do some serious bridge re-building after 2023 clears the fog from their eyes. The Presidency will go to the NE, no Northerner will vote Jagaban over a Northerner, and no Northerner will vote a southern Pastor in the form of Osibanjo over a Northern Muslim.

The North is quietly waiting. 2023 is not far.

dheilaw1:
but the same Jonathan supported APC a perceived Yoruba/fulani party in bayelsa governorship election

ProudImolite:
You should also focus on selling agbo that una poison

DubaiLandLord:
So Penguin2 is a Yoruba Muslim ?

HedwigesMaduro:
Human beings sell agbo. Now, one can't consider animals that eat human flesh as humans. Or, what do you think?

chrisxxx:
I tell us all it is finished with the south. When I will particularly vote anybody other than Yorubas in 2023. When that northerner spends 8 years, the same north will remind Yorubas how the others fail to vote them in 2023. This vicious circle will not end.

ProudImolite:
Na you follow dem dey eat the flesh? Anuohia

yorubakid:
Apt!! I keep asking yoruba,who will vote for them in 2023.. from the way things are going, pdp might give Atiku the ticket and he will pick his vice from either SS or SE.. can't wait for 2023 to reach

chrisxxx:
Bros it is easier for Buhari to get third term and winning in Imo State than South West getting the presidency. Quote me anywhere.
South West needs the other components of the south to win. You can't lose South South and South East and become the president when you are from the South.
Do the permutations. Someone from North East comes out against South West. The contender wins North East and South East and South. The person from South West win South West then share votes with the North East person in North West and North Central. No be game over is that?
Politician's in the East and South South know this. Even some Yorubas know this. The best is to support a South East person or support South South to complete their terms. The latter north prefers.

hakeemhakeem:
See that way you are reasoning naija politics.lobbying and promising top political actors across the south would do the job on presidential level but States and local may have different dimensions

NaijirianKing:
This is actually a surprising twist from the SE, if this was the old SE they would be yelling up and down how the must have, and must be given, and it is their turn... But to our surprise, they are being strategic and pragmatic, they are politically maturing.

For them to make such a practical decision shows that they are finally beginning to understand that politics is about helping others while helping yourself through such an action.

I initially wanted a NC candidacy, since the NC has not tasted power since democracy, but has sacrificed more than any other region for the continuity and unity of Nigeria that it is a shame that the NC is constantly overlooked. that aside, the NE deserves the presidency and it won't be bad to have a SE as the VP.

The SE has had a recent image problem, but a competent VP may help bring them back into the mainstream of Federal politics, they just need to deal with the rising insecurity in its infancy stages before it grows uncontrollably.

Bendeco02:
Don't even know when south west will have sense.... U're banking on northern votes when a northerner may contest under PDP.

Can a yoruba man win someone like Atiku in the North?

What happened in Edo State will repeat itself... Buhari will play neutral game leaving both candidates to battle it.

They maybe hoping on buhari to gather the votes.

Penguin2:
A northern Muslim actually

NaijirianKing:
The issue is that the election is not between the SW and the SE, but between the SW and the NE, or potentially, but less likely the NC.

The North is not making noise because at the end of the day, the North holds the yam and the knife as the southerners say.
Shehu Sani tried to give Jagaban some insight as to what will befall him, a word is enough for the wise. If Tinubu really wanted to be in power he should sponsor a Northerner and use him as a proxy against the North, the same way the SE is sponsoring a Northerner in Atiku to take power, but the SW is acting as if the North will leave a Northerner and vote him... this is a key flaw in his reasoning.

Following speculations that Bola Tinubu, the National Leader of the All Progressives Congress, APC, will be running for the presidency in 2023, Shehu Sani, a former Kaduna Central Senator, has warned him against trusting northern politicians.

Sani warned that Northern politicians may sabotage Tinubu’s presidential ambition as they did to MKO Abiola.

The former lawmaker who spoke in Osogbo, Osun State capital, said Tinubu should learn from the story of Abiola, who the Northern elites conspired against.

He said: “Well, the person of Asiwaju is the one I know in the field of struggle. We worked together for MKO’s project and for the resistance against the annulment.

“I know him personally. But what I tweeted is more of a Biblical/Shakespearian allegory or whatever one can use in sending a message to someone and what I am trying to say is that as he is allegedly moving towards contesting for the presidency, he should try to know the actual feeling on the ground as far as the North is concerned because I know what Abiola went through.

“Abiola served the North more than any other businessman from the western part of Nigeria. He printed the Quran and shared it with many Muslims. But how did he end up? They (northerners) conspired against him and sabotaged him and at the end of the day, he was gone.”



https://www.nigerianeye.com/2021/04/2023-shehu-sani-warns-tinubu-against.html

Prinxzona10:
I've never dropped any message under the comments of any northerners here before buh you have to be the first and the reason is that you're educated and also got some reasonable mind.
I have to correct that your wrong impression of trying to pin Nigeria as a Muslim country or trying to say about Muslim been in majority,please don't say what you don't know.(psychological blackmail)
Another one is praising of shiek gumi,you shouldn't dive into that angle because it will make all these your analysis looks stupid.
Everything you said here apart from the aforementioned corrected ones are all truth buh it surprises me how people fails to understand all these or they know buh keep on deceiving themselves....I said before that Northerners will never allow Tinubu or even Osibanjo(Tinubu by proxy) to become president and if at all they prefer south west,they will rather pick nobody from Tinubu's camp because they're afraid of a powerful southerner and if Tinubu is very powerful as an ordinary citizen,how could he be when he becomes the president and northerners wouldn't want anybody to control them.
The truth is that Northerners knows that it's South Easterners time for the presidency buh they want to capitalise on South Westerner's selfishness and greediness to hang onto power in 2023 and the reason PDP still pipe low is because they're waiting if South West will concede the highest office to the South East and once the south west supports the south east for presidency,believe me,the PDP will zone their ticket to south east immediately buh if they(south west) refuses to do just that,then the PDP will present a northern candidate and it's gonna be win win for the north....
The earlier the south wakes up,the better for them or the north continues,which is likely to be so... Garcias!!!!

ProudImolite:
I can never vote Yoruba, they are too greedy and tribalistic

chrisxxx:
It is quite ridiculous that Yorubas through Tinubu would lead the ouster if Jonathan in 2015 and expect votes from same Jonathan in 2023. People forget easily.

God1000:
Everybody is talking about the prospect of tinubu or Osinbajo becoming the next president of Nigeria, both men are from south west.
What about south east, the most marginalized region in Nigeria, do you think northern Nigeria will support any candidate from south east considering the animosity between them?

Our fingers are crossed for now, I'm still waiting to see where PDP will zone their ticket to, as for APC we don't need a soothsayer to tell us at this point.

Ovamboland:
Hogwash, what stops the north from grabbing power via PDP once APC selects a SE candidate? You really think power is served alacarte or on basis of sentiment?

NaijirianKing:
Tinubu's real problem is that the religious dynamic is simply not in his favor.

Muslims from the south create a unique problem for themselves politically due to the fact that they either have to run with a Muslim-Muslim ticket to the chagrin of the Christian population in this nation. The Christian population is already in the minority according to the last census, which may or may not be accurate, but it is all we have to go by.

As such, most candidates have to balance the religious aspects of their candidacy, and a Muslim southerner has to run with a Christian Northerner, which of course is reduces the likelihood of success.

Osibnajo likewise has problems if PDP indeed runs a Northern Muslim, as a southern pastor, he is at a natural disadvantage in the North as a Muslim will garner more votes among Muslims. If the SW was wise they would back the SS by returning Goodluck, or throw their weight behind an Igbo man, which is impossible for them. Or they could simply forget this southern presidency scam and field a strong Northerner like El Rufai, but greed has blinded their eyes to political realities.

kurupt1:
Obasanjo that won Pdp ticket in 1999...... Did he contribute anything in formation of pdp?

chrisxxx:
Bros it is easier for Buhari to get third term and winning in Imo State than South West getting the presidency. Quote me anywhere.
South West needs the other components of the south to win. You can't lose South South and South East and become the president when you are from the South.
Do the permutations. Someone from North East comes out against South West. The contender wins North East and South East and South. The person from South West win South West then share votes with the North East person in North West and North Central. No be game over is that?
Politician's in the East and South South know this. Even some Yorubas know this. The best is to support a South East person or support South South to complete their terms. The latter north prefers.

Ayomide811:
I just did

helinues:
SE won't even get VP ticket under Pdp not to talk of Presidency.

You see in life, attitudes and manner really matter.

Just like the way you lay your bed

helinues:
SE won't even get VP ticket under Pdp not to talk of Presidency.

You see in life, attitudes and manner really matter.

Just like the way you lay your bed

helinues:
Toh toh toh