garfield1:


Not true,am in rivers.the riverine and ogoni people are ready

How many lga does the riverine and ogoni areas have? What's their voting strength. Are they bigger than the ikwerre?

fergie001:

Maybe in the North not in the South.

The only States I believe could be flipped in 2023 will likely be Ebonyi or CRS. I don't think there will be upset anywhere else in the South.

The North is a different game but Generally Speaking, since the President's election comes first it will decide a lot.

We are saying the same thing.if you look at the guber polls in the northwest and most part of Muslim north east objectively,it will be a walkover for apc except pdp wins presidency.

Again,ebonyi and crs are states that look like remaining in apc if pdp do not act fast.rivers,delta,aks,abia are states that PDP will retain except the tamper with the zoning arrangement esp rivers and abia.hope might not be popular but that man looks like retaining his seat

garfield1:


We are saying the same thing.if you look at the guber polls in the northwest and most part of Muslim north east objectively,it will be a walkover for apc except pdp wins presidency.

Again,ebonyi and crs are states that look like remaining in apc if pdp do not act fast.rivers,delta,aks,abia are states that PDP will retain except the tamper with the zoning arrangement esp rivers and abia.hope might not be popular but that man looks like retaining his seat

The last time I made a statement about Abia PDP I got threatened from Villa. I am not happy please.

garfield1:


I didn't invite you here so disappear

Do I need any invite to comment?

This is me sensitizing some people who don't know how you operate with your drunken analysis.

garfield1:


No.how can.didn't you see where I said pdp will take Enugu,abia,delta,aks,tarabba,Adamawa? The problem for pdp is that they have been too complacent, allowing apc to penetrate its territories while being unable to make gains in apc areas.

Painful but true

Aiel123:

How many lga does the riverine and ogoni areas have? What's their voting strength. Are they bigger than the ikwerre?

Oga,ikwerre has only 4 LGAs.the riverine areas has 8 LGAs plus they also are in alliance with ogoni which has large population. Majority of the voters in ikwerre are non indigenes.if the riverine areas with ogoni unite,they will defeat ikwerre esp now that rigging is becoming more difficult.in 2019 presidential polls,wike couldn't inflate ikwerre votes.during the guber polls,he could only inflate obio akpor votes and the riverine areas gave more votes than the ikwerre areas

fergie001:

The last time I made a statement about Abia PDP I got threatened from Villa. I am not happy please.

How? Anyway,some abia govt officials that called for zoning were sanctioned and now you.it is crystal clear that power is not shifting to abia north.

garfield1:
How? Anyway,some abia govt officials that called for zoning were sanctioned and now you.it is crystal clear that power is not shifting to abia north.

It was finalised yesterday. Someone who knows me from NL here reported me. The Deputy is from Arochukwu (I mean grandpas). I don't want to say more abeg, just upset!

Norwichsailor:

Painful but true

Orrr.apart from Enugu,apc has penetrated all pdp states.they even won bayelsa if not for the court.see crs that used to be pdp totally,it is now 50 50

fergie001:

It was finalised yesterday. Someone who knows me from NL here reported me. The Deputy is from Arochukwu (I mean grandpas). I don't want to say more abeg, just upset!

My brother,I foresaw this.I hope the deputy is not an ohuabunwa.it is time the non ngwas unite around apc.at least abaribe and ikuku got nothing

garfield1:


Oga,ikwerre has only 4 LGAs.the riverine areas has 8 LGAs plus they also are in alliance with ogoni which has large population. Ma
jority of the voters in ikwerre are non indigenes.if the riverine areas with ogoni unite,they will defeat ikwerre esp now that rigging is becoming more difficult.in 2019 presidential polls,wike couldn't inflate ikwerre votes.during the guber polls,he could only inflate obio akpor votes and the riverine areas gave more votes than the ikwerre areas

Okay
I believe Wike will be wise to see the handwriting on the wall. Ikwerre has ruled for the past sixteen years. It is wickedness for any ikwerre man to contest let alone PDP fields Ikwerre.

garfield1:
My brother,I foresaw this.I hope the deputy is not an ohuabunwa.it is time the non ngwas unite around apc.at least abaribe and ikuku got nothing

It is not him. Ikuku is fully involved 100% with the Gov. OUK is treading softly because they have pencilled down someone to push him out if he doesn't fall in line. A three-timer (won't mention the name).

garfield1....let's change subject abeg!

Aiel123:

Okay
I believe Wike will be wise to see the handwriting on the wall. Ikwerre has ruled for the past sixteen years. It is wickedness for any ikwerre man to contest let alone PDP fields Ikwerre.

Gbam

fergie001:

It is not him. Ikuku is fully involved 100% with the Gov. OUK is treading softly because they have pencilled down someone to push him out if he doesn't fall in line. A three-timer (won't mention the name).

garfield1....let's change subject abeg!

Abia is a lost cause.before we change topic,is prof ikonne an ngwa?.I now find joy in discussing crs politics.

garfield1:
Abia is a lost cause.before we change topic,is prof ikonne an ngwa?.I now find joy in discussing crs politics.

Yes....He is.

https://www.nairaland.com/7054962/abia-pdp-consensus-candidate-ikonne

garfield1:
Kano; with the defection of kwankwaso from pdp,apc will likely or easily win the governorship poll in the state.ganduje should install a successor...

Katsina: the apc will easily retain the state.

Zamfara; bello matawalle will easily be reelected.
Kaduna: the apc will likely retain his state with senator uba sani likely to pick the ticket.
Kebbi; apc will likely retain the state although there is a struggle between who will win the right to install a successor between bagudu and aliero factions...
Jigawa; another state apc will retain with the ticket being fought for by senator hadejia,farouk adamu etc

Yobe: mai- mala buni will retain his seat
Borno; walkover for zulum
Bauchi; with governor bala contesting for presidency,he will be distracted from his guber ambition.votes from hon dogara's LGA made him governor but now,dogara is in apc and in 2019,the apc were divided and conspired with pdp to fail then governor abubakar.I. see apc regaining this state..

Gombe; despite stiff resistance from pdp's gwamna and nafada,governor yahaya will be reelected.
Taraba; pdp should retain the state if they zone it to taraba north. If they dont and APC abide by zoning,it will be a 50 50 fight..
Adamawa: incumbent governor fintiri will be reelected despite stiff res instance from apc..

Niger: it will be a stiff fight especially as both parties will zone to Zone A dominated by the Nupes.if nasko picks pdp ticket,it is advantage apc...
Kwara; incumbent governor abdulrazak will get reelected despite feeble attempts from the lai and saraki camps.
Nasarawa; the incumbent will stroll to victory.
Benue; this is a complex state with complicated system.it is 50 50.
Kogi; whoever yahaya bello anoints will succeed him.
Plateau; both parties having zoned to plateau central,the race will be 50 50 but with plateau pdp being divided between jerry boy and jang,APC might have the advantage and frontrunners are senator dimka,prof sunny tyoden the deputy governor and hon Yusuf gagdi of kanam fed con...

Oyo: with apc factionalized,makinde has the advantage.

Lagos; walkover for apc
Ogun: walkover for apc.other. parties are too weak to challenge.

Rivers: except pdp zone to thee riverine area,apc will take rivers esp as wike attention is on aso rock and he is rumoured to have anointed either Austin opara or emeka woke his chief of staff both fellow ikwerres while the apc has zoned to the riverine area.

Akwa ibom; if governor udom succeeds in imposing umo eno,it will divide pdp and give apc the advantage.
Cross river: with pdp about to zone to the central and APC zoning to the south,apc may narrowly take the state.

Bayelsa; if APC presents David Lyon again,he will humiliate the failed governor diri.

Delta; pdp should retain the state but if they zone the ticket to delta south and APC gives its ticket to DSP agege,it will be an evenly matched battle.

Ebonyi: except pdp zones to ebonyi north,apc will take this state easily.
IMO; despite stiff resistance from ihedioha,smart abdd crafty hope will retain his seat.

Enugu; walkover for pdp
Abia; pdp will win here if they zone the ticket to abia north.anything else will hand the advantage to apc


Mynd44
Fergie001
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Sonoyom
Canal
Watch over
Jrusky
Jaxxy
Asobo
Ekpeitit

Your analysis is saying APC will win all state.

Let wait and see.

2023 election is a year away which no prediction by today cannot foretold.

No primary yet.

So........... it remains the OP mind thinking

garfield1:


We are saying the same thing.if you look at the guber polls in the northwest and most part of Muslim north east objectively,it will be a walkover for apc except pdp wins presidency.

Again,ebonyi and crs are states that look like remaining in apc if pdp do not act fast.rivers,delta,aks,abia are states that PDP will retain except the tamper with the zoning arrangement esp rivers and abia.hope might not be popular but that man looks like retaining his seat

Presidency election will change all calculations except where candidates are more determined and had a touch with the citizen's

So in summary, it's still a year ahead.

A lot will change most especially the primaries

fergie001:

The last time I made a statement about Abia PDP I got threatened from Villa. I am not happy please.

Why the threat.

Good evening long time no see

fergie001:

It was finalised yesterday. Someone who knows me from NL here reported me. The Deputy is from Arochukwu (I mean grandpas). I don't want to say more abeg, just upset!

Na wa hoooo.

Please stay safe hooo

engineerboat:
Why the threat.

Good evening long time no see

My bro.......I dey ooooo

Thanks

garfield1:



Orrr.apart from Enugu,apc has penetrated all pdp states.they even won bayelsa if not for the court.see crs that used to be pdp totally,it is now 50 50

Bayelsa election case a case of revolt.

fergie001:
With what I have read,

36 States of the Federation, APC wins.

That's wonderful!

Lol... Don't mind Garfield1. That was how he projected for APC victory in Anambra and rest was the history.

engineerboat:


Bayelsa election case a case of revolt.

It is not.during the 2019 polls,buhari had 40%,apc won a senate seat and two reps seat

fergie001:

Maybe in the North not in the South.

The only States I believe could be flipped in 2023 will likely be Ebonyi or CRS. I don't think there will be upset anywhere else in the South.

The North is a different game but Generally Speaking, since the President's election comes first it will decide a lot.

Exat!! the party that wins presidential usually win majority of other seats. That has been the trend, and I'm not sure it's gonna change anytime soon.

engineerboat:


Presidency election will change all calculations except where candidates are more determined and had a touch with the citizen's

So in summary, it's still a year ahead.

A lot will change most especially the primaries

Yes.I'll bring another one after the presidential poll

You couldn't even hide your sentiments.
I'm glad this is your opinion but I'm gladder because your opinion doesn't count

garfield1:


Not true,am in rivers.the riverine and ogoni people are ready

Which riverine.. Bonny l, Ndoki and Opobo are PDP left, right and center, up and down..

Your analysis is woke.

ImmaculateJOE:

Which riverine.. Bonny l, Ndoki and Opobo are PDP left, right and center, up and down..

Your analysis is woke.

Yes,they may be pdp but if pdpp neglects them,they can switch afterall bayelsa switched.bonny,opobo do not even give heavy votes like asari toru,akuku toru,andoni,degema,okrika,ogoni

Aiel123:

How many lga does the riverine and ogoni areas have? What's their voting strength. Are they bigger than the ikwerre?

The Votes from the Riverine area and Ogoni areas will overwhelm ikwerres vote.

garfield1:


Not true,am in rivers.the riverine and ogoni people are ready

You just dey kap kap dirty... Very jonsing analysid... Aboi you no mount for ptown... APC no go win reach 10 states for Nigeria ...

Good analysis but for Rivers state PDP holds the ace. But the stake might swing if APC gives the ticket to Dakuku Peterside.

Dakuku will not allow the shenanigan that happened the last time happen this time. Wike is losing in both ends if he dares give the PDP ticket to a fellow Ikwerre. That will be his downfall but stubborn Wike will not listen.

garfield1:


Oga,ikwerre has only 4 LGAs.the riverine areas has 8 LGAs plus they also are in alliance with ogoni which has large population. Majority of the voters in ikwerre are non indigenes.if the riverine areas with ogoni unite,they will defeat ikwerre esp now that rigging is becoming more difficult.in 2019 presidential polls,wike couldn't inflate ikwerre votes.during the guber polls,he could only inflate obio akpor votes and the riverine areas gave more votes than the ikwerre areas

Which yeye Riverine with 8 LGA. Don't let Ijo scam deceive you.

We have no Riverine so-called voting bloc. It died in 1996 and could not even defeat mere Odili from Ndoni. If it existed those who boasted with it during elections have tasted the bitter pill. The Bayelsa clowns who keep sponsoring the expired idea in Rivers through INC should be tired by now as it's not bearing fruit.

Mind you Ogoni want the Governorship same as the Kalabari. Each will have to battle Ikwerre but at the end both the Ikwerre, Ogoni and Kalabari will lose to a viable candidate in Dakuku Peterside.