garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 1 million
Pdp 400,000
Labour 600,000

Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Labour 100,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 250,000
Labour 50,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 100,000
Labour 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 250,000
Labour 40,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Labour 100,000


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Helinues
Canal
Midolian
Noethnicity
Frankest
Igboid
Frowland
Warriaproko
Afamed
Yarimo
Esseite
Nowenuse
Ebubu4

Guy stop abeg
You are over rating labour aswesr
I promise you, na for 2023 you go know say Igbos and Yorubas no dey see face to face, forget talk
Lagos will give tinubu same thing Kano and katisna gave Buhari in 2015 and 2019, if not more

VaginaMiners:

Remember 2011. That's the only state ACN won
I have my reasons for saying that



Mark this post !

You have a point.but with the death of adeleke and defection of adeleke to PDP,things kook rough for apc

APC - 7.5 million votes
PDP - 10,000 votes
LP - minus 780 votes

Kyase:

Guy stop abeg
You are over rating labour aswesr
I promise you, na for 2023 you go know say Igbos and Yorubas no dey see face to face, forget talk
Lagos will give tinubu same thing Kano and katisna gave Buhari in 2015 and 2019, if not more

and you forget we have rivers, delta and amambra to finish the job?

ken6488:
and you forget we have rivers, delta and amambra to finish the job?

The hunted state Anambra or the emperor's state rivers?

Kyase:

The hunted state Anambra or the emperor's state rivers?

atleast no boko haram iswap here

ken6488:
atleast no boko haram iswap here

yep only barbarians, flesh eaters, issh

garfield1:


You have a point.but with the death of adeleke and defection of adeleke to PDP,things kook rough for apc

The Adeleke family is loved in Ede no doubt but APC would take the whole of Osun West without sweating next year
I'm from that axis bro.
Tinubu's emergence is changing a whole lot.
If Tinubu should win next year , Seyi Makinde is likely to lose his seat.

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 1 million
Pdp 200,000
Labour 50,000

Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 50,000
Labour 5,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 60,000
Labour 3000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 60,000
Labour 1,500

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 150,000
Labour 3,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Labour 8,000

FIXED.

ken6488:
and you forget we have rivers, delta and amambra to finish the job?

yobe, jigawa, gombe kebbi, Niger

NaijaCowFarm:


If you think APC will exceed 600K in Lagos, please, go back to your dream again. Please, tell me what is changing between 2019 and 2023? Because Tinubu has always been on Lagos ballot. He is not changing anything from past results, in fact, APC will lose steam. Or did you think that APC got whatever votes in 2019 because of Sanwuolu?

One thing I know is that LP and PDP will wreak havoc on APC both in Lagos and all SW states, because of the Muslim-Muslim ticket.

This I know, and this I have seen.

You may like likely wake up after the election. Continue sleeping for now.

seunmsg:


FIXED.

This is worst case scenario.lagos should give 1.5,Ogun and ondo 600,Oyo 1 million.

ken6488:
and you forget we have rivers, delta and amambra to finish the job?

Wike will not bring rivers,apc will get 25% in delta and obi will take anambra

babyfaceafrica:
yobe, jigawa, gombe kebbi, Niger

Are for their son Kwankwanso and Atiku

garfield1:


Obj and gej almost beat a very popular buhari up north.tinubu will beat an unpopular atiku

Tinubu is popular ?
Unpopular ATIKU ?, be decieving yourself .

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 1 million
Pdp 400,000
Labour 600,000

Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Labour 100,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 250,000
Labour 50,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 100,000
Labour 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 250,000
Labour 40,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Labour 100,000


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Helinues
Canal
Midolian
Noethnicity
Frankest
Igboid
Frowland
Warriaproko
Afamed
Yarimo
Esseite
Nowenuse
Ebubu4

Garfield1 you are very generous to PDP & LP in the SW. This is my take pending final alliances/VP selections

1. LAGOS
APC 55% PDP 2O% OTHERS 30%
2. OGUN
APC 75% PDP 15% OTHERS 10%
3. OSUN
APC 75% PDP 20% OTHERS 5%
4. OYO
APC 70% PDP 25% OTHERS 5%
5. EKITI
APC 80% PDP 15% OTHERS 5%
6. ONDO
APC 75% PDP 20% OTHERS 5%

majole:



Garfield1 you are very generous to PDP & LP in the SW. This is my take pending final alliances/VP selections

1. LAGOS
APC 55% PDP 2O% OTHERS 30%
2. OGUN
APC 75% PDP 15% OTHERS 10%
3. OSUN
APC 75% PDP 20% OTHERS 5%
4. OYO
APC 70% PDP 25% OTHERS 5%
5. EKITI
APC 80% PDP 15% OTHERS 5%
6. ONDO
APC 75% PDP 20% OTHERS 5%

My prediction for ss

Cross river
Apc 35% pdp 50% others 15%

Akwa ibom
Apc 30% pdp 55% others 15%

Rivers
Apc 30% pdp 50% others 20%

Delta
Apc 25% pdp 55% others 20%

Bayelsa
Apc 40% pdp 50% others 10%

Edo
Apc 40% pdp 40% others 20%

NaijaCowFarm:


If you think APC will exceed 600K in Lagos, please, go back to your dream again. Please, tell me what is changing between 2019 and 2023? Because Tinubu has always been on Lagos ballot. He is not changing anything from past results, in fact, APC will lose steam. Or did you think that APC got whatever votes in 2019 because of Sanwuolu?

One thing I know is that LP and PDP will wreak havoc on APC both in Lagos and all SW states, because of the Muslim-Muslim ticket.

This I know, and this I have seen.

The Muslim Muslim ticket will not wreck any havoc in South West and Edo state. The margin will be very wide between now APC and others

Kyase:

Guy stop abeg
You are over rating labour aswesr
I promise you, na for 2023 you go know say Igbos and Yorubas no dey see face to face, forget talk
Lagos will give tinubu same thing Kano and katisna gave Buhari in 2015 and 2019, if not more

seunmsg:


FIXED.

garfield1:


Lagos always gives a Yoruba presidential candidate 1 million votes.pdp votes will be heavily suppressed.if you vote pdp,it will be voided

I have gone through numerous predictions on this thread and I can only laugh.

I believe majority of commenters are overestimating Tinubu's performance in SW. Though, I agree that he will win all six states in SW, I don't believe he will win convincingly like many of you are proposing. The reason for this is simple ; PDP is culturally strong in the SW and irrespective of the ethnicity of the contenders, they will always have an impressive outing.

Also, consider that many strong SW politicians are running for House of Reps and Senate seats under PDP. These people will expressly campaign for PDP Presidency since the elections are the same day. It won't entirely be a tribal thing. So, I don't think Tinubu can get those 70%-80% votes I saw up there. He can do 60%-65% though.

DontBullshitMe:






I have gone through numerous predictions on this thread and I can only laugh.

I believe majority of commenters are overestimating Tinubu's performance in SW. Though, I agree that he will win all six states in SW, I don't believe he will win convincingly like many of you are proposing. The reason for this is simple ; PDP is culturally strong in the SW and irrespective of the ethnicity of the contenders, they will always have an impressive outing.

Also, consider that many strong SW politicians are running for House of Reps and Senate seats under PDP. These people will expressly campaign for PDP Presidency since the elections are the same day. It won't entirely be a tribal thing. So, I don't think Tinubu can get those 70%-80% votes I saw up there. He can do 60%-65% though.

No, Tinubu would garner nothing less than 85% of south west votes, and you also wrong, 2023 will be all about ethnicity in the south, the only place I'm not sure for Tinubu is the south south, south east is a no go area
Tinubu just need to perform very well in the North west to win the presidency
If he can win at least 3 states there then he's winning the presidency

garfield1:



My prediction for ss

Cross river
Apc 35% pdp 50% others 15%

Akwa ibom
Apc 30% pdp 55% others 15%

Rivers
Apc 30% pdp 50% others 20%

Delta
Apc 25% pdp 55% others 20%

Bayelsa
Apc 40% pdp 50% others 10%

Edo
Apc 40% pdp 40% others 20%

I DON'T SEE APC GETTING 25% IN ANY SS/SE state with a Muslim/Muslim ticket except Edo state

Lexy123O:
Anambra? Lmao. Soludo won with 112k votes .

Don't laugh. This was inspite of heavy attacks and threat by unknown gunmen. Pray tell what security threat kept people from coming out to vote in Ekiti?

Kyase:

No, Tinubu would garner nothing less than 85% of south west votes, and you also wrong, 2023 will be all about ethnicity in the south, the only place I'm not sure for Tinubu is the south south, south east is a no go area
Tinubu just need to perform very well in the North west to win the presidency
If he can win at least 3 states there then he's winning the presidency

I don't think Tinubu will get 85% in SW

He will get like 60% in Lagos and will increase gradually as we go further hinterland

obyrich:
Don't laugh. This was inspite of heavy attacks and threat by unknown gunmen. Pray tell what security threat kept people from coming out to vote in Ekiti?

Ekiti is the least populated state in the SW while Anambra is the most populated state in the SE

If the least populated SW state is dragging with the most populated SE state then there is a problem

raumdeuter:


I don't think Tinubu will get 85% in SW

He will get like 60% in Lagos and will increase gradually as we go further hinterland

Alright then
We'll see

OBALOLA55:
PETER OBI WILL FLOOR EMILOKAN IN LAGOS STATE


SCREENSHOT THIS

should we bet?

okeysoninv:
don't mind those ye ye Yoruba people. only vote from obiakpor local government will neutralize that rubbish they bought in ekiti. Anambra votes will knock out their votes in Lagos. tinubu is going nowhere. i just dey pity tinubu urchins

Peter Obi will receive nothing less than 1.8M votes in Anambra.

raumdeuter:


Ekiti is the least populated state in the SW while Anambra is the most populated state in the SE

If the least populated SW state is dragging with the most populated SE state then there is a problem

Not true. Anambra election that brought Soludo was married with tension and fear. Don't compare Ekiti with Anambra on a normal Presidential poll.

Bash92:
The Muslim Muslim ticket will not wreck any havoc in South West and Edo state. The margin will be very wide between now APC and others

Same Edo that disgraced Tinubu and Oshiomhole in their last guber? Continue deceiving urself.

garfield1:



My prediction for ss

Cross river
Apc 35% pdp 50% others 15%

Akwa ibom
Apc 30% pdp 55% others 15%

Rivers
Apc 30% pdp 50% others 20%

Delta
Apc 25% pdp 55% others 20%

Bayelsa
Apc 40% pdp 50% others 10%

Edo
Apc 40% pdp 40% others 20%

Delusion. Even PMB with his incumbency couldn't secure above 25% in SS. Continue living in fool's paradise.

garfield1:


This is worst case scenario.lagos should give 1.5,Ogun and ondo 600,Oyo 1 million.

Ondo 600K
Abeg how many people dey Ondo??

VaginaMiners:

The Adeleke family is loved in Ede no doubt but APC would take the whole of Osun West without sweating next year
I'm from that axis bro.
Tinubu's emergence is changing a whole lot.
If Tinubu should win next year , Seyi Makinde is likely to lose his seat.

Which region is Tinubu's stronghold apart from SW??