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Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes - Politics (7) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsRerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes (48918 Views)

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Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Nobody: 10:37am On Jul 23, 2022
MARRIAGE NOT MARRAIGE. Olodo


Antimarraige:
which one be unlettered again oh grin

antimarraige meaning I'm against marraige because no good women anymore, the last good woman got married about 15 years ago
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Meekha(m): 10:46am On Jul 23, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.
Bold of you to think that Tinubu will win Kogi.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 10:54am On Jul 23, 2022
SmartPolician:
Peter Obi cannot states in South South.

PDP is strong in that region and Labour Party is still new.

Peter Obi may just win Edo and Delta, while PDP clears the rest.

As for South East, Peter Obi will clear the entire region.

A runoff is very likely.
Peter Obi cannot win Delta, Okowa will deliver his state for Atiku. Peter Obi also cannot win the entire SE. PDP had a strong structure in SE and might win two states while Obi will win three States.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by BluntTheApostle(m): 11:04am On Jul 23, 2022
Fahdiga:
Las las Obi is our incoming president.
Did you read the report at all?

Obi and Kwankwaso are going to be mere spoilers.

The real contest is between PDP and APC.

In the event of a rerun, both parties may turn to support from these third parties to outdo each other, like it happened in 2018 in Osun.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 11:12am On Jul 23, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.
Election is not won on Social media but through political structures. PDP has a formidable structure in SS/SE which Peter Obi cannot easily dismantle. Hence Atiku will win at least 5 states in SS. Atiku will also win at least 2 States in SE.
APC has her Structure in NW. Like Obi, Kwankwaso will try to dismantle the structure. However,Tinubu will win at least 4 states in NW and at least 3 states in NE while Atiku will win 3 states in NE.
Tinubu will win all 6 SW states although Obi and Atiku will perform well in the region. The NC will be shared btw Tinubu and Atiku.
Hence either Tinubu or Atiku will win the election. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso will contest for the 3rd position.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by JoeNL22(m): 11:20am On Jul 23, 2022
dre11:
.....Say confidence in govt declining



https://punchng.com/rerun-likely-over-obi-kwankwasos-emergence-us-institutes/
By FORCE of OBIDIENCE and by FIRE of YUS-FULNESS. Nigeria must be great again.
#GetYourPvc

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by seunjungle1(m): 11:25am On Jul 23, 2022
Have you forgotten that I'm a Christian? You bettee reset your brain right now....my vote as Christian is for Jagaban. Get it right


EmeraldJD:
Kwankwanso, Atiku and Tinibu can share all the Muslim votes among themselves, let Obi have all the christian votes.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by kabillionaire(m): 11:39am On Jul 23, 2022
So Kwankwaso is too proud to deputize for Obi?

You don't want to follow but want to lead.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Afamed: 11:42am On Jul 23, 2022
EmeeNaka:
Kwankwaso, Atiku, Tinubu and Obi will share Muslim votes.
Do you understand the thread at all?
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by PaChukwudi44(m): 11:42am On Jul 23, 2022
MikeofAfrica:
Election is not won on Social media but through political structures. PDP has a formidable structure in SS/SE which Peter Obi cannot easily dismantle. Hence Atiku will win at least 5 states in SS. Atiku will also win at least 2 States in SE.
APC has her Structure in NW. Like Obi, Kwankwaso will try to dismantle the structure. However,Tinubu will win at least 4 states in NW and at least 3 states in NE while Atiku will win 3 states in NE.
Tinubu will win all 6 SW states although Obi and Atiku will perform well in the region. The NC will be shared btw Tinubu and Atiku.
Hence either Tinubu or Atiku will win the election. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso will contest for the 3rd position.
Comedian
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by SupremeSpecimen: 11:45am On Jul 23, 2022
Zico5:
You will be good as a football analyst but as a political analyst you goofed big time. Tinubu is Ur president. Take it to the bank
I have been offering bets up n down n all of you are pussy. Why?

Is it by mouth only?

IK International
DWickedLandLord
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by SmartPolician: 11:51am On Jul 23, 2022
MikeofAfrica:
Peter Obi cannot win Delta, Okowa will deliver his state for Atiku. Peter Obi also cannot win the entire SE. PDP had a strong structure in SE and might win two states while Obi will win three States.
Peter Obi will clear the entire east.

I can bet for this.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 12:04pm On Jul 23, 2022
SmartPolician:
Peter Obi will clear the entire east.

I can bet for this.
It is possible for Peter Obi to clear the entire SE but that will be difficult. Remember that Ojukwu could not clear the entire SE in 2003 under APGA. Ojukwu is more popular in SE than Obi and APGA is stronger than LP yet the formidable structure of PDP in SE won the 5 states for Obasanjo.
Obi has the chance of winning Anambra, Imo and Ebonyi while PDP will finish closely second in the 3 states. However PDP will win Enugu and Abia unless their Governors decide to secretly work for Obi over Atiku.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 12:07pm On Jul 23, 2022
PaChukwudi44:
Comedian
I don't analyze politics base on emotions. I like Obi and wish that he win the 2023 election.
However the reality on ground shows that either Tinubu or Atiku will win. Hence after the election, we will know who is the real comedian btw you and me.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Lovelive: 12:15pm On Jul 23, 2022
You said it all







The gas in the Igboland comes in my mind. EU is now supporting Peter Obi.







Me and I remain Obidient without structures


successmatters:
Peter Obi is winning this election.

All the signs are there.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Nobody: 1:03pm On Jul 23, 2022
KarmaXNow:
MARRIAGE NOT MARRAIGE. Olodo
all join na the idea matter. my Auto keyboard brought out Marraige so marraige it is
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Nobody: 1:16pm On Jul 23, 2022
tongue
Gbenusoun Olodo cheesy

Antimarraige:
all join na the idea matter. my Auto keyboard brought out Marraige so marraige it is
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by CSTRR: 1:36pm On Jul 23, 2022
KingKO22:
grin
You forgot to mention 4th force grin


Kwankwaso is no longer working for Tinubu again grin


My own is that, I don't want to hear Beerfraud or referendum or Zoo or Cow after 2023 election


Infact Beerfraud have died a natural death in 2022 so whoever that's going to start Beerfraud agitation after 2023 election should prepare for Python dance extra grin
I don't understand your mentality.

The so called biafra whatever is because people are not happy with the status quo. They want a change in their living conditions.

So if you elect a bad leader and conditions worsen, why would you think everybody will start living in peace and harmony?

You get sense so?
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by CSTRR: 1:38pm On Jul 23, 2022
MikeofAfrica:
I don't analyze politics base on emotions. I like Obi and wish that he win the 2023 election.
However the reality on ground shows that either Tinubu or Atiku will win. Hence after the election, we will know who is the real comedian btw you and me.
Both of you will be the comedian.

The only winner would be tinubu or atiku and their respective friends and families.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by mixta140: 3:50pm On Jul 23, 2022
tctrills:
Yes but it's a dangerous view. He wants others to shut up because he is not comfortable with their views.
No great nation is built that way.
In the US, till today people still fly the confederate flag.
Imagine a time when every Nigerian truly has freedom of speech. When we no longer cut out each other because we don't like what they are saying.
Smiles...
I see everyday now where people condemn one if you show support for him Tinubu... Everyone just playing the victim card sha
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by tctrills: 3:54pm On Jul 23, 2022
mixta140:
Smiles...
I see everyday now where people condemn one if you show support for him Tinubu... Everyone just playing the victim card sha
Don't blame anyone. People are angry. The suffering has been too much. We can't continue like this. And yes we are a nation of victims thanks to our gov
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by mixta140: 3:59pm On Jul 23, 2022
tctrills:
Don't blame anyone. People are angry. The suffering has been too much. We can't continue like this. And yes we are a nation of victims thanks to our gov
Do people ever blame their parent or themselves...
It's always the government... If am asked ... I tell people around me that Nigeria is what it is today because of the masses....
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by nameo: 5:03pm On Jul 23, 2022
MikeofAfrica:
Election is not won on Social media but through political structures. PDP has a formidable structure in SS/SE which Peter Obi cannot easily dismantle. Hence Atiku will win at least 5 states in SS. Atiku will also win at least 2 States in SE.
APC has her Structure in NW. Like Obi, Kwankwaso will try to dismantle the structure. However,Tinubu will win at least 4 states in NW and at least 3 states in NE while Atiku will win 3 states in NE.
Tinubu will win all 6 SW states although Obi and Atiku will perform well in the region. The NC will be shared btw Tinubu and Atiku.
Hence either Tinubu or Atiku will win the election. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso will contest for the 3rd position.
Oh!! You people should keep shut with all these "structure" talk abeg.

Didnt Buhari win the NW and NE twice massively WITHOUT structure?

Maybe you are completely unaware of the changing dynamics of this election, most of which favour Obi(especially) and Kwankwaso
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Augustenite(m): 6:27pm On Jul 23, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.
U go school at all? Or then go for you?

What is the voting strength in SE?

E go shock you say, PDP will win SS with a big margin that will through your moniker into oblivion. Make una stop all this hyping.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 6:30pm On Jul 23, 2022
nameo:
Oh!! You people should keep shut with all these "structure" talk abeg.

Didnt Buhari win the NW and NE twice massively WITHOUT structure?

Maybe you are completely unaware of the changing dynamics of this election, most of which favour Obi(especially) and Kwankwaso
You have to understand that three factors win elections in Nigeria. They are Religion, Tribe and Party Structure. Religion and tribe are dominant factors in the north while Party Structure is the dominant factor in South. You also have to understand that the north will use her high population to determine the next president like they did in previous elections.
Buhari won the north against Jonathan in 2011 through tribe and religion factors. Having also contested two previous elections, he had personal structures in the north.
Both Atiku and Kwankwaso have the advantage of religion and tribal sentiments in the north. Atiku also has the advantage of contesting under a party with a good structure in the north. For Tinubu, his party has the strongest structure in the north but the factor of tribe does not favour him.
Hence he tries balancing it by going for a Muslim/ muslim ticket. It is a risk that will make him either win the election or loss it to Atiku.
Obi would have stand a good chance if all Christians can unite and vote for him. But many SW Christians will not mind a Muslim/ Muslim ticket as long as the candidate is a Yoruba. SS is also the stronghold of PDP hence religion will not play a major role in her decision.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MikeofAfrica: 6:38pm On Jul 23, 2022
CSTRR:
Both of you will be the comedian.

The only winner would be tinubu or atiku and their respective friends and families.
I do not support Atiku or Tinubu and will not vote for either of them. However the fact that Nigeria is not ready for a change has made me to accept that one of them will win the next election without my vote.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by nameo: 6:40pm On Jul 23, 2022
MikeofAfrica:
You have to understand that three factors win elections in Nigeria. They are Religion, Tribe and Party Structure. Religion and tribe are dominant factors in the north while Party Structure is the dominant factor in South. You also have to understand that the north will use her high population to determine the next president like they did in previous elections.
Buhari won the north against Jonathan in 2011 through tribe and religion factors. Having also contested two previous elections, he had personal structures in the north.
Both Atiku and Kwankwaso have the advantage of religion and tribal sentiments in the north. Atiku also has the advantage of contesting under a party with a good structure in the north. For Tinubu, his party has the strongest structure in the north but the factor of tribe does not favour him.
Hence he tries balancing it by going for a Muslim/ muslim ticket. It is a risk that will make him either win the election or loss it to Atiku.
Obi would have stand a good chance if all Christians can unite and vote for him. But many SW Christians will not mind a Muslim/ Muslim ticket as long as the candidate is a Yoruba. SS is also the stronghold of PDP hence religion will not play a major role in her decision.
You dont know what you are talking about

I will just pass
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Olotu41: 7:15pm On Jul 23, 2022
ArewaNorth:
Do u mean they're truly enlightened with the worst leaders they have been choosing since 1999?
That is why the leaders don't take you serious at all!
Still way better than what you have up north.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Everlastingson: 7:26pm On Jul 23, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.
Don't know why you think will win anywhere at all. SW belongs to Obi.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by ArewaNorth: 10:03pm On Jul 23, 2022
Olotu41:
Still way better than what you have up north.
Go and make a research about how North was and how it is today between 1999-2022.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Olotu41: 8:46am On Jul 24, 2022
ArewaNorth:
Go and make a research about how North was and how it is today between 1999-2022.
Lol...
What is there to research about bokoharam,ISWAP,bandits,herdsmen,almagiri and educational backwardness?Many of you can't go to your farms.

The most silly governor in the South is better than the best up North.Including the El-rufais of this world.
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by ArewaNorth: 9:18am On Jul 24, 2022
Olotu41:
Lol...
What is there to research about bokoharam,ISWAP,bandits,herdsmen,almagiri and educational backwardness?Many of you can't go to your farms.

The most silly governor in the South is better than the best up North.Including the El-rufais of this world.
All groups of people have their peculiar challenges just like how u have IPOB terrorists, baby factories, drug peddlers, cultists, ritualists, child prostitutes, human trafickers as the order of your many societies. Your claim any better governance have proven your submission to bad governance in your effirt to shy away from your shameful leaders.
Travel widely wnd avoid this embarrassing statements!
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