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2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE - Politics - Nairaland

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Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes / It Is Less Likely For Buhari To Be Defeated In 2019, Says US Institute Peace / Osun Elections 2018: Rerun Likely As PDP Leads APC In Narrow Margin (2) (3) (4)

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2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by ManirBK: 4:27pm On Aug 19, 2022
The 2023 presidential election may go into rerun
with the emergence of Labour Party presidential
candidate, Peter Obi and candidate of the New
Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), Rabiu Kwankwaso, an
international delegation of National Democratic
Institute (NDI) and International Republican Institute
(IRI) have said.
The United States-based institutes said the 2023
elections would be a departure from some of the
political dynamics that defined previous polls in
Nigeria.
The delegation of the NDI/IRI, which visited Nigeria
on July 13 through 22, led by the Secretary of State
for Ohio, Frank LaRose, stated these while presenting
its first joint pre-elections assessment statement to
journalists in Abuja on Friday.
The institutes, which described the duo of Obi and
Kwankwaso as a viable ‘third forces’ said their
emergence as presidential candidates for the 2023
elections has excited many young Nigerians.
They noted that if a third party draws sufficient
support, a runoff presidential election could be a real
possibility for the first time since the transition to
democracy, adding complexity to the 2023 elections.’
Maintaining that the 2023 elections present a
significant opportunity to consolidate Nigeria’s
democracy,
They observed that the Independent National
Electoral Commission (INEC) is now better positioned
than in past elections to take on the logistical and
administrative arrangements necessary to organise
elections for 85 million registered voters.
The organisations said, “The 2022 Ekiti and Osun
gubernatorial elections, the first elections held since
the electoral law was passed, demonstrated the
positive impact of initiatives implemented by INEC
since 2019 to improve results transparency, including
the introduction of the INEC Result Viewing Portal
(ReV) and elimination of voting points.’
“Other improvements include the adoption and
proper configuration of the Bimodal Voter
Accreditation System (BVAS) for voter accreditation,
which has quickened the voting process and reduced
tensions in polling units.’
“The recent surge in voter registration numbers and
increased voter turnout in the 2022 Osun polls,
especially among young people, point to a renewed
interest in political participation among Nigerians.
“However, there are questions about whether the
2022 Electoral Act will be fully implemented and
whether political parties will take advantage of this
increased enthusiasm to engage Nigerians on issues
that matter to them. There are also questions about
whether these new technologies — IReV and BVAS –
would perform at the same level when scaled up for
the national elections.”
The institutes said while there had been some
positive changes since the 2019 elections,
stakeholders with whom its delegation met expressed
concern about the direction of the country.
According to them, confidence in the government and
elections has declined over the past 10 years,’ as
exemplified by the #EndSARS movement that gained
traction in 2020 to protest security forces abuses.’
“In addition, insecurity has deepened, spreading to
every corner of the country, extremist and sectarian
violence continues to spread, banditry and
criminality are endemic, separatist elements are
gaining traction, and informal security forces are
proliferating.
“This intensifying violence takes place against a
backdrop of increasing religious and regional division
permeating the political discourse. If the 2023 polls
fail to improve upon past elections, Nigerians may
lose faith in the ability of democracy to deliver,” the
organisations warned.
They called on the government to allocate remaining
funding to INEC, saying this would ensure completion
of procurement processes, training, and deployment
of necessary staff and materials.
According to them, INEC should extend the period for
voter registration to capitalise on excitement from
the Osun and Ekiti elections and nomination of final
presidential and vice presidential candidates.
“The courts should be allocated sufficient funding to
ensure members of Election Tribunals have the
necessary resources for training, transportation, and
security.
“INEC and security forces should anticipate and plan
for areas where violence may be used to suppress
votes/change outcomes. The government should
formally address the role that informal security
outfits (such as Amotekun and Ebube Agu) may play
in the lead up to and during elections.
“The government should resolve the Academic Staff
of Union of Universities strike. This is critical for
security, as young people unable to study could be
easily recruited into cults, gangs, or other groups
that could contribute to electoral violence,” they
added.

https://guardian.ng/news/2023-rerun-likely-over-emergence-of-obi-kwankwaso-us-institutes/
mynd44 oam4j lalasticlala seun
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by ManirBK: 4:27pm On Aug 19, 2022
Tinubu will win at 1st ballot mark my words . Obi and kwankwaso are just paving way for APC.


Peter Obi plus kwankwaso will not get half of the votes of PDP or APC in the 2023 presidential election..??

1 Like

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by jkpbestseries: 4:28pm On Aug 19, 2022
USA steer clear of our elections

1 Like

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by mrvitalis(m): 4:30pm On Aug 19, 2022
It's basic knowledge ...a rerun between obi and Atiku would be easy win for Atiku
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Igbodicool(m): 4:31pm On Aug 19, 2022
Rerun between LP and PDP.
Finally the will of the masses will prevail!

APC in Nigeria again? God forbid!

1 Like

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Racoon(m): 4:33pm On Aug 19, 2022
The United States-based institutes said the 2023 elections would be a departure from some of the political dynamics that defined previous polls in
Nigeria.
Yeah! Let the democratic process be deepened some more.

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Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by ManirBK: 4:33pm On Aug 19, 2022
jkpbestseries:
USA steer clear of our elections
This american will just be in their comfort zone and predict election outcome that is far away
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Nobody: 4:33pm On Aug 19, 2022
Peter Obi Thank you oooo....
.

.
.
.
.Rip Adah ameh.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Nobody: 4:34pm On Aug 19, 2022
Okay
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by LegalWolf: 4:34pm On Aug 19, 2022
I don't know which data they are privy to but my hard guess is that it would not lead to a re-run. And even if it does, either Atiku or Tinubu will emerge and not RMK or PO. That is the sad reality some people are unwilling to accept
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Racoon(m): 4:36pm On Aug 19, 2022
ManirBK:
Tinubu will win at 1st ballot mark my words . Obi and kwankwaso are just paving way for APC.
"...The pent-up emotion from many Nigerians is understandable. For many of them, the failure of the APC-led government and by extension the party is unimaginable. It could be felt in the level of hardship in the land, the hopelessness of its economic policy, the frightening insecurity, and the zero premiums attached to the sanctity of human life in the country, among other indicators.

APC is certainly faced with the difficulty of packaging the presidential candidate, currently enmeshed in several storms. It is also battling with the hard-sell Muslim-Muslim joint presidential ticket option, which is almost becoming an insoluble teething challenge confronting the party.

From all indications, apart from the sentiments of religion and ethnicity, the level of bitterness against the APC-led government has continued to build up to a boiling point...."
https://www.sunnewsonline.com/2023-tough-challenges-for-apc-as-campaigns-begin-next-month-2/

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Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Kagd10: 4:37pm On Aug 19, 2022
We will actually like each candidate to rule their region. No one should impose their failure on us.

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Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Nobody: 4:38pm On Aug 19, 2022
LegalWolf:
I don't know which data they are privy to but my hard guess is that it would not lead to a re-run. And even if it does, either Atiku or Tinubu will emerge and not RMK or PO. That is the sad reality some people are unwilling to accept

In your 2by2 room, you are more vast and technology inclined than an institute undecided...

1 Like

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Racoon(m): 4:39pm On Aug 19, 2022
ManirBK:
This american will just be in their comfort zone and predict election outcome that is far away
You need America more than America needs you.

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by ManirBK: 4:40pm On Aug 19, 2022
Esseite:
Peter Obi Thank you oooo.... . . . . .Rip Adah ameh.
Peter Obi is just a criminal like nnamdi kanu
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Betanaija42moro: 4:40pm On Aug 19, 2022
Obi is the hope of the masses, we should not give up.

Africa is waking up, Zambia and Kenya did it, Nigeria will be next.

A better Nigeria is possible

1 Like

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by leokid866: 4:44pm On Aug 19, 2022
Racoon:
You need America more than America needs you.
that is actually not true......a lot of our resources helps to service their economy......if we decided to stop selling them oil I assure it will be big problem for them especially with the Russian Ukraine situation
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Sergio101(m): 4:45pm On Aug 19, 2022
ManirBK:
Peter Obi is just a criminal like nnamdi kanu

Tinubu flying baboon has landed grin
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Sergio101(m): 4:46pm On Aug 19, 2022
Peter Obi is the incoming president of federal republic of Nigeria(if for anything the structure issue will not affect the climate)


Then if structure should come into play......Atiku will be favoured.

For those hyping Tinubu.....6 months is not far again. You will really understand
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Racoon(m): 4:49pm On Aug 19, 2022
leokid866:
that is actually not true......a lot of our resources helps to service their economy......if we decided to stop selling them oil I assure it will be big problem for them especially with the Russian Ukraine situation
Same country our leaders go to for their endless health tourism, buying Tuscano jets from and an average Nigeria desperately wish to migrate to?

Whether we agree or not, the US is a major player in world policy being one of the world powers. Forget petroleum. The US have a large swathes of deposits in Alaska and other coastlines in reserve.
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by LadyExcellency: 4:52pm On Aug 19, 2022
This US Institute wrote the electoral amendment act that was passed into law.

Senators didn't know the full interpretation of many clauses they passed. The HOR knows nothing about most clauses even after passing the amendments.

It was the office of the Attorney General and the Ministry of Justice that took the time to preview the clauses, read meaning into them and told Buhari not to sign it.
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Nobody: 5:02pm On Aug 19, 2022
ManirBK:
Peter Obi is just a criminal like nnamdi kanu

Amongst Tinubu, Atiku and Obi, pick two criminals out of the three?..
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by ManirBK: 5:37pm On Aug 19, 2022
Sergio101:

Tinubu flying baboon has landed grin

Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by slivertongue: 5:37pm On Aug 19, 2022
ManirBK:
Tinubu will win at 1st ballot mark my words . Obi and kwankwaso are just paving way for APC.


Peter Obi plus kwankwaso will not get half of the votes of PDP or APC in the 2023 presidential election..??


Tinubu can't beat Atiku. At best it wud be a run off btw the duo. Though I see only one of the duo in the run off. Atiku is likely going to win atleast ten states in the North with majority votes. He will secure 25% in rest nine. No southern candidate will secure majority votes in more than five states and 25% in same. Atiku challenge will be in the South especially in the SW, he may struggle to get 25% there but wud achieve same in five states in SE and SS. Tinubu will struggle to achieve 25% in the eleven states in the SE and SS. 2023 dynamics will surprise Nigerians. North ain't smiling after the APC disaster.
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by Indispensable85(m): 5:52pm On Aug 19, 2022
slivertongue:



Tinubu can't beat Atiku. At best it wud be a run off btw the duo. Though I see only one of the duo in the run off. Atiku is likely going to win atleast ten states in the North with majority votes. He will secure 25% in rest nine. No southern candidate will secure majority votes in more than five states and 25% in same. Atiku challenge will be in the South especially in the SW, he may struggle to get 25% there but wud achieve same in five states in SE and SS. Tinubu will struggle to achieve 25% in the eleven states in the SE and SS. 2023 dynamics will surprise Nigerians. North ain't smiling after the APC disaster.


Maybe you're liking Atiku to Buhari. Atiku does not have the clout to win the north in the manner you're describing. Not possible!
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by NaijaRoyalty(m): 5:54pm On Aug 19, 2022
The newly signed Electoral reform by president Buhari will make it impossible for Tinubu APC to rig election

We all saw the wonders it performed in Osun state governorship election..
E go shock everybody in 2023
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by leokid866: 6:09pm On Aug 19, 2022
Racoon:

Same country our leaders go to for their endless health tourism, buying Tuscano jets from and an average Nigeria desperately wish to migrate to?

Whether we agree or not, the US is a major player in world policy being one of the world powers. Forget petroleum. The US have a large swathes of deposits in Alaska and other coastlines in reserve.
lol how long do you think their reserves will last them? Your first disposition is that we will die without them......you think American hospitals are the only hospital in the world.....do you know Canada and Cuba have a better health care system than the US.......or you think America is the weapon supplier. In the world?..what we have is a symbiotic trade relationship and should either country exit that relationship both I repeat both will suffer........
Re: 2023: Rerun Likely Over Emergence Of Obi, Kwankwaso – US INSTITUTE by slivertongue: 7:21pm On Aug 19, 2022
Indispensable85:



Maybe you're liking Atiku to Buhari. Atiku does not have the clout to win the north in the manner you're describing. Not possible!


Notice the North ain't talking much. We know those on ground. Buhari is seen as a religious leader, an Al mumin. Atiku is seen as a business man and politician. Buhari with the support of Muslim clerics gained prominence and eventually won elections but he is not a politician. He is no match for Atiku politically who was disliked by the clerics but Buhari's failures has made the clerics politically irrelevant. No Northern state will outrightly reject Atiku. 25% of the votes is the least on a bad day. But with APCs failure it's Atiku, Obi, Kwankwaso that is on the mind of the people, Tinubu is also there but hardly talked about cos he is part of the APC train of disaster

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