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"Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPolitics"Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) (674 Views)

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"Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by JPartick(op): 11:35pm On Sep 05, 2022
His comments

1. Peter Obi has followers no doubt and is likely to get massive votes in south East and south south

2. Kwankwanso undoubtedly is in charge of most North west; particularly Kano and Kastina and his NNPP is the major party there, APC etc. are opposition parties there.....he has spread indomitable tentacles into North East. Even El-rufia recognized his political strength and said he is a serious mountain for APC to surmount in 2023 in North west.

3. Atiku Abubakar is from Adamawa; North East. Unfortunately, Kashim Shettima, Tinubu VP, is also fom North East, particularly Borno. APC intentionally picked from North East to break Atiku's wing there, being that Shettima as former governor is very popular around north East, infact he was among the forces that formed boko haram with Ali Sheriff as their political thug before it eventually grew out of control to become a terrorist organization. North East is a stronghold of APC because of Shettima, I've a colleague doing master's degree there and has given me intelligence of the political terrain of that region.

Atiku Abubakar will be struggling with Peter Obi in south east and south south for votes, you'll not believe it, but hear me, PDP will get their major votes from south East and south south.....PDP is not joking about this 2 regions at all.

4. Tinubu has south west.....yoruba land is an impregnable region. Obi was there to campaign for LP governorship aspirant in Osun, only less than 400 people came out to cheer them....i watch the video myself. You may say many Yorubas are Obi's followers, let's watch and see.

ow compare a candidate that has south west and North East solely.


Atiku Abubakar with 16 PDP governors, a fierce south East and south south powerful contender

kwankwanso with almost the whole North west. You don't know who kwankwanso is �

And then, Peter Obi, that even a strong body like Ohanaeze Ndi'gbo, his own people, with their governors publicly rejected him. Politicians that should stand by him are distancing themselves because they know too well that his style of politics is so bad and annoying (no man supports someone that will not allow fellow party men to be eating national cake) ....just politically weak youths are the ones promoting him.

More to come...

Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by JPartick(op): 11:36pm On Sep 05, 2022
Kindly share your thoughts on this
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by Nobody: 11:43pm On Sep 05, 2022
How can agbado win?
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by blazingblender(m): 11:45pm On Sep 05, 2022
So this shit you just typed make sense to you abi??
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by BurialGround: 12:00am On Sep 06, 2022
Too many nonsense in one thread.
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by Nobody: 12:02am On Sep 06, 2022
Never
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by Wisetrue99: 12:16am On Sep 06, 2022
So we should base our judgment on one person's opinionhuh

Is like your friend is not staying in Nigeria or he is blind to the teeming youths vying for the post of the president via OBI

Keep making up stories, e go shock you!
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by ForumNL(m): 12:28am On Sep 06, 2022
Pre Republican era
First and only Governor General (Nnamdi Azikiwe)
First Speaker (Jaja Nwachukwu, Present day, Abia)
First President of the Senate (Nnamdi Azikiwe)

First Republic
First President (Nnamdi Azikiwe)
First President of the Senate (Nwafor Orizu)
First Acting President (Nwafor Orizu)
First Foreign Minister (Jaja Nwachukwu)
First GOC, NA (Aguiyi Ironsi)

Military Era
First Military Head of State (Aguiyi Ironsi)

Second Republic
First Vice President (Alex Ekwueme)
First Speaker (Ume Ezeoke)

Third Republic
We already know what happened here.

Abiola a wealthy Yoruba Muslim ran for President on the platform of SDP. He won a decisive victory to become the first and only Southerner to defeat a Northern overwhelming in the North.

Second republic Governors took office on January, 1993, while IBB postponed the Presidential election to June 12. Which he eventually won decisively.

According to New York Times (1993) "Many Yoruba have long resented the domination of Nigeria's political life by the mostly northern Hausa-Falani ethnic group, and were ecstatic when one of their own, Mr. Abiola, appeared to have won the recent balloting," but 11 days later, he annulled the election.

11 days again, on July 4, 1993, General Babangida took Chief Abiola and family into confidence. He told them point blank, 'they' (North) will kill you (MKO) rather than allow you to become the elected President,
Commander-in-Chief of Nigeria'.
https://m.thenigerianvoice.com/news/53716/1/the-secret-behind-the-annulment-of-june-12-amp-wha.html

In 1994, he declared himself President and was imprisoned for 4 years in solitary confinement.

On the day was due to be released, on the 7th July 1998, he died of natural cause after agreeing to renounce his mandate upon learning that the world has abandoned him, telling him they won't recognize a 5 year old election.

The government of Ernest Shonekan that took over from IBB was dismantled within 3 months by the same power that doesn't want Abiola as President. Failing to consolidate his power within 3 months, his government was dismantled with just 40 soldiers.

Announcing his Cabinet list, Shonekan became the First Civilian Head of State to alienate Ndi Igbo from government, giving Ndi Igbo 4 out of 31 Cabinet appointments.

Senate President (NC)
Fourth Republic (First 8 years)
First President (SW)
First Vice President (NE)
First Senate President (SE)
First Speaker (NW)

Note: In the 4th Republic, the SW was just compensated with the Presidency because of the 3rd republic debacle.

To achieve this, all parties were directed to field only SW, because in a liberalized election, Obasanjo the anointed can not win the election. So 4th Republic Presidency is NOT an achievement for the SW, because their own preferred candidate, Olu Falae was roundly defeated, and forced into political irrelevance. In essence, greater Nigeria imposed Obj on the SW.

They were allowed to that position not as a result of political clout or sophistication, but as result of benevolence of Nigerians. In 2003, Obj had to beg Atiku, his subordinate in a kneeling position to allow him complete his term.

www.dailypost.ng/2017/12/11/obasanjo-knelt-atiku-begging-second-term-idahosa/

Fourth Republic (Second administration)
President (NW)
Vice President (SS)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (SW)
Deputy Speaker (SE)
Deputy SP (SE)

Note: SW was kicked out of the House after the first tenure. They were not allowed to complete their zoned 8 years. Tambuwal took from Bankole.

Fourth Republic (third Administration)
President (SS)
Vice President (NW)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (NW)
Deputy Speaker (SE)
Deputy SP (SE)

Fourth Republic (fourth Administration)
President (NW)
VP (SW)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (NE)
Deputy SP (SE)
Deputy Speaker (SW)

Note: VP is the only achievement of SW in the fourth Republic, a position they got by the benevolence and popularity of His Excellency, the President.

When they tested their political clout and sophistication at the national level outside the benevolence of Northern backed political clout, they were roundly defeated and political sophistication demystified during the tussle for the position of SP and Speaker.

The political sophistication of SE/SS got the SE the Deputy SP even though they don't truly deserve it. This means the North still prefer their age lond Political Cooperation with the East to their recent cooperation with the West, even though the East didn't help them achieve the Presidency.

Don't forget the 4th Republic is just 18 years. You don't expect all the 6 regions to produce President within that 18 years. 3 regions have done their part (SW (cool SS (4) NW (6, remaining 2 years), 3 are yet to do theirs, hence if power goes to NE through Atiku. When time comes, nobody will stop Igbo Presidency. SS will as well complete the other 4 years when time comes.

When it comes to politics at National level, SW are just crawling. They can't beat SE political records or ever catch up with them.

The SW got the Presidency and Vice Presidency out of benevolence of people. The same way they love free owambe in real life. The only position they truly fought for President in 3rd Republic and Speaker in fourth Republic they were both disgraced out. While they were not even allowed to test the 3rd Republic Presidency, they were not allowed to complete their 8 years for speakership. Even the Military they got was out of necessity and Obj was pressured to return power to Civilian Government where a North-East cooperation got them the Vice President for a 2 terms.
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by Validated: 12:42am On Sep 06, 2022
Tonubu will be dragging 5th position with SDP.
Peter Obi - 1st
Atiku Abubakar 2nd
Rabiu Kwankwaso 3rd
Bola Tinubu and Adewole of SDP 5th grin

The SW result wlll be like this:
Lagos: Peter Obi/Tinubu/Atiku 50/40/10%
Oyo: Atiku/Tinubu/Obi 40/35/25%
Osun: Atiku/Tinubu 55/30/15%
Ondo Peter Obi/Tinubu 42/30/28%
Ekiti:Tinubu/Obi/Atiku 51/30/19%
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by viyon02: 1:05am On Sep 06, 2022
YOU ARE EVIL. OP
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by ForumNL(m): 1:08am On Sep 06, 2022
Validated:
Tonubu will be dragging 5th position with SDP.
Peter Obi - 1st
Atiku Abubakar 2nd
Rabiu Kwankwaso 3rd
Bola Tinubu and Adewole of SDP 5th grin

The SW result wlll be like this:
Lagos: Peter Obi/Tinubu/Atiku 50/40/10%
Oyo: Atiku/Tinubu/Obi 40/35/25%
Osun: Atiku/Tinubu 55/30/15%
Ondo Peter Obi/Tinubu 42/30/28%
Ekiti:Tinubu/Obi/Atiku 51/30/19%
Pre Republican era
First and only Governor General (Nnamdi Azikiwe)
First Speaker (Jaja Nwachukwu, Present day, Abia)
First President of the Senate (Nnamdi Azikiwe)

First Republic
First President (Nnamdi Azikiwe)
First President of the Senate (Nwafor Orizu)
First Acting President (Nwafor Orizu)
First Foreign Minister (Jaja Nwachukwu)
First GOC, NA (Aguiyi Ironsi)

Military Era
First Military Head of State (Aguiyi Ironsi)

Second Republic

First Vice President (Alex Ekwueme)
First Speaker (Ume Ezeoke)

Third Republic
We already know what happened here.

Abiola a wealthy Yoruba Muslim ran for President on the platform of SDP. He won a decisive victory to become the first and only Southerner to defeat a Northern overwhelming in the North.

Second republic Governors took office on January, 1993, while IBB postponed the Presidential election to June 12. Which he eventually won decisively.

According to New York Times (1993) "Many Yoruba have long resented the domination of Nigeria's political life by the mostly northern Hausa-Falani ethnic group, and were ecstatic when one of their own, Mr. Abiola, appeared to have won the recent balloting," but 11 days later, he annulled the election.

11 days again, on July 4, 1993, General Babangida took Chief Abiola and family into confidence. He told them point blank, 'they' (North) will kill you (MKO) rather than allow you to become the elected President,
Commander-in-Chief of Nigeria'.
https://m.thenigerianvoice.com/news/53716/1/the-secret-behind-the-annulment-of-june-12-amp-wha.html

In 1994, he declared himself President and was imprisoned for 4 years in solitary confinement.

On the day was due to be released, on the 7th July 1998, he died of natural cause after agreeing to renounce his mandate upon learning that the world has abandoned him, telling him they won't recognize a 5 year old election.

The government of Ernest Shonekan that took over from IBB was dismantled within 3 months by the same power that doesn't want Abiola as President. Failing to consolidate his power within 3 months, his government was dismantled with just 40 soldiers.

Announcing his Cabinet list, Shonekan became the First Civilian Head of State to alienate Ndi Igbo from government, giving Ndi Igbo 4 out of 31 Cabinet appointments.

Senate President (NC)
Fourth Republic (First 8 years)
First President (SW)
First Vice President (NE)
First Senate President (SE)
First Speaker (NW)

Note: In the 4th Republic, the SW was just compensated with the Presidency because of the 3rd republic debacle.

To achieve this, all parties were directed to field only SW, because in a liberalized election, Obasanjo the anointed can not win the election. So 4th Republic Presidency is NOT an achievement for the SW, because their own preferred candidate, Olu Falae was roundly defeated, and forced into political irrelevance. In essence, greater Nigeria imposed Obj on the SW.

They were allowed to that position not as a result of political clout or sophistication, but as result of benevolence of Nigerians. In 2003, Obj had to beg Atiku, his subordinate in a kneeling position to allow him complete his term.

www.dailypost.ng/2017/12/11/obasanjo-knelt-atiku-begging-second-term-idahosa/

Fourth Republic (Second administration)

President (NW)
Vice President (SS)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (SW)
Deputy Speaker (SE)
Deputy SP (SE)

Note: SW was kicked out of the House after the first tenure. They were not allowed to complete their zoned 8 years. Tambuwal took from Bankole.

Fourth Republic (third Administration)
President (SS)
Vice President (NW)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (NW)
Deputy Speaker (SE)
Deputy SP (SE)

Fourth Republic (fourth Administration)
President (NW)
VP (SW)
Senate President (MB)
Speaker (NE)
Deputy SP (SE)
Deputy Speaker (SW)

Note: VP is the only achievement of SW in the fourth Republic, a position they got by the benevolence and popularity of His Excellency, the President.

When they tested their political clout and sophistication at the national level outside the benevolence of Northern backed political clout, they were roundly defeated and political sophistication demystified during the tussle for the position of SP and Speaker.

The political sophistication of SE/SS got the SE the Deputy SP even though they don't truly deserve it. This means the North still prefer their age lond Political Cooperation with the East to their recent cooperation with the West, even though the East didn't help them achieve the Presidency.

Don't forget the 4th Republic is just 18 years. You don't expect all the 6 regions to produce President within that 18 years. 3 regions have done their part (SW (cool SS (4) NW (6, remaining 2 years), 3 are yet to do theirs, hence if power goes to NE through Atiku. When time comes, nobody will stop Igbo Presidency. SS will as well complete the other 4 years when time comes.

When it comes to politics at National level, SW are just crawling. They can't beat SE political records or ever catch up with them.

The SW got the Presidency and Vice Presidency out of benevolence of people. The same way they love free owambe in real life. The only position they truly fought for President in 3rd Republic and Speaker in fourth Republic they were both disgraced out. While they were not even allowed to test the 3rd Republic Presidency, they were not allowed to complete their 8 years for speakership. Even the Military they got was out of necessity and Obj was pressured to return power to Civilian Government where a North-East cooperation got them the Vice President for a 2 terms.

An Igbo wrote this, why do you think I will ever support Peter Obi

Check my threads, I was attacking Tinubu before but no more
Re: "Why Jagaban Will Win The 2023 Election" - An Interview With A Friend (PART 1) by AdolfHitlerxXx: 2:52am On Sep 06, 2022
Validated:
Tonubu will be dragging 5th position with SDP.
Peter Obi - 1st
Atiku Abubakar 2nd
Rabiu Kwankwaso 3rd
Bola Tinubu and Adewole of SDP 5th grin

The SW result wlll be like this:
Lagos: Peter Obi/Tinubu/Atiku 50/40/10%
Oyo: Atiku/Tinubu/Obi 40/35/25%
Osun: Atiku/Tinubu 55/30/15%
Ondo Peter Obi/Tinubu 42/30/28%
Ekiti:Tinubu/Obi/Atiku 51/30/19%

1 Reply

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