₦airaland Forum

Michelle70:
south means SW which will definitely give him at least 1.7m votes, SS will give him 300k and SE will give him 98k

Thinking he wont get 10% when SW alone produces the most votes among the three SS region is risibly rich

Norwichsailor:
Feb 23 no far.

kcnwaigbo:
Lol very funny Tinubu might win Lagos but he will not be able to secure up to 50% of the votes there.Lagos with almost half of the SW voters is too cosmopolitan to give to just anyone.The three leading candidates will secure 25% there.

garfield1:
Why will the osun people abandon their son tinubu and vote for another northerner? How you they reason? Adeleke even won narrowly,it was very difficult.you already know that wike is against atiku plus rivers people won't vote a northerner again...
Dont trust voters.they made noise in 2019 but still voted buhari

kcnwaigbo:
Lol very funny Tinubu might win Lagos but he will not be able to secure up to 50% of the votes there.Lagos with almost half of the SW voters is too cosmopolitan to give to just anyone.The three leading candidates will secure 25% there.

The SS and the SE have far more voters than the SW.Obi's votes in these two regions will dwarf whatever Tinubu will be able to get from the SW

kcnwaigbo:
Lol very funny Tinubu might win Lagos but he will not be able to secure up to 50% of the votes there.Lagos with almost half of the SW voters is too cosmopolitan to give to just anyone.The three leading candidates will secure 25% there.

The SS and the SE have far more voters than the SW.Obi's votes in these two regions will dwarf whatever Tinubu will be able to get from the SW

Michelle70:
In 2019, SW produced 3.8m.
if i give him 1.7million, that will be 44% and not 50%

frank14011991:
obi can't win south south.structure matters in politics.buharis CPC trended more than lp is doing in the north but coz of Jonathan structure he was able to get 10 million from the north alone while all buharis 12 million came from the north

kcnwaigbo:
SW can even produce 20m but APC will not be taking all the votes.

I am also a registered voter in the SW

Norwichsailor:
You're being hopeful, but too much hope kills.
So pdp and apc governors will be drinking coffee and do nothing. FYI last election the SW gave the PDP more votes than the SE. With the impending voter apathy in the SE because of UGM lol the reality will hit u so hard you will cry. As for the SS my region PDP will win but with meagre margins

Norwichsailor:
Copy them obidients and tell them
Even advanced democracies in the world their candidates still rely on party structure

Liebermantic:
You're far from being real.
There is no voter apathy in south South and South East. The Muslim -Muslim ticket revived people's interest in the election. OBI WILL GET OVER 6 MILLION VOTES IN SOUTHEAST AND 7 MILLION IN SOUTH SOUTH. Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nassarawa, Abuja, Kaduna, parts of Adamawa, Kogi, Bauchi and Gombe will vote Peter Obi to spite APC for choosing Muslim -Muslim ticket.
Obi will get almost 90% votes from Christian voters.
Go to Southern Kaduna, Plateau Benue, Gombe and Bauchi Christians, Obi is the only hope. This election Will be 3 Muslims vs PETER OBI

Norwichsailor:
Copy them obidients and tell them
Even advanced democracies in the world their candidates still rely on party structure

Michelle70:
make i burst ur head too.
Bayelsans do not like Goodluck Jonathan when he was a Governor, infact the only governor they loved was DSP alameyesigha, Seriake dickson was like a curse in BY, but u see how they voted GEJ in 2015.
Brotherhood is the new love in Nigerian politics

Victoronah1:
exactly the same thing, Okowa is an igbo vice president, peter obi is an igbo. So if they are voting in terms of brotherhood, Peter obi wins it because he is coming out from a better position as president and not vice which has no say in the government. If Atiku thinks he can with the SS cause of Okowa, he has made a huge mistake because Okowa brother is also in the race and in a better position

Liebermantic:
You're far from being real.
There is no voter apathy in south South and South East. The Muslim -Muslim ticket revived people's interest in the election. OBI WILL GET OVER 6 MILLION VOTES IN SOUTHEAST AND 7 MILLION IN SOUTH SOUTH. Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nassarawa, Abuja, Kaduna, parts of Adamawa, Kogi, Bauchi and Gombe will vote Peter Obi to spite APC for choosing Muslim -Muslim ticket.
Obi will get almost 90% votes from Christian voters.
Go to Southern Kaduna, Plateau Benue, Gombe and Bauchi Christians, Obi is the only hope. This election Will be 3 Muslims vs PETER OBI

OldNairalander:
You guys should be smart bro, this thread was opened to help the APC in planning their campaign strategy.
You are spilling too much

Michelle70:
lolz, blindman advising the blind.

OldNairalander:
You are still a small boy.
If you've been in a core caucus political meeting where key campaign strategies are planned you will understand.

I know all the strategies BAT and his urchins are pulling. Funnily enough, it's just copy and paste strategy. No creative idea

Michelle70:
SS cannot be decided yet.

but nobody is winning it convincinly.
What we know is that Obi will loose the north convincinly and that is where 65% of the votes is coming from using 2019 as a case study

The Obi stronghold is just SE and lets give him SS as part of our benevolence. the total votes from this two region is just 20% of the total votes

so if he wins all 20% and take just 5% from the north. Atiku and Tinubu will still collect average of 37% from total votes

Michelle70:
The guy who u quoted said Obi will get 6m votes in SE and i laugh.

If na person like u deh attend caucus meeting of LP, then i really feel sorry for the party.

nameo:
Obi will loss the north convincingly abi?

Does the "north" include the Middle Belt.

Una nova know werin dey happen abi?

Watch this poll of villagers in Plateau(a place that, according to you, Obi will loss convincingly

Enjoi


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jnnlLgk68w&feature=youtu.be

garfield1:
Obi can't get nasarawa

garfield1:
Ss is my region,a lot here do not like igbos if I must tell you the truth.the only state obi is sure of is edo for now.he hasn't penetrated the rural areas of crs.whatever happens,he will do well.
National elections are different from state polls.we were all joking in anambra,it is always apga through and through except for nass.Edo is always a difficult place just like the south west.based on reality on ground,obaseki should have lost...we didn't realize that some people in apc were supporting him plus the bvas helped him...
Actually,bigwigs matter.you saw how oshiomhole delivered his area.even though obaseki won,it was a tightly contested poll...even in osun,bigwigs helped adeleke to victory which might be short lived sha.in crs,hon Daniel asuquo is the one bankrolling labour party.in benue,Herman hembe is there.in almost all states now,lp have bigwigs from apc and pdp

Michelle70:
Northwest alone gave a total of 8.2 votes in 2019.

Using 2019 as a case study.
Northern votes of 17m was almost twice the southern votes of 9m.

If APC and PDP take 7m each from the north and give Obi 3m, which is
APC 7m
PDP 7m
LP 3m
where Obi wan get 4million to balance up?
knowing that Tinubu is sure of another 2m from the entire south
with this, Tinubu is 6m more than Obi, and since taking 2m from the 9m southern votes, Obi and Atiku will struggle for the remaining 7m votes, and if Obi is as popular as u all claim and collect 4m and gives Atiku 2m
it will be
APC =9m
PDP =9m
LP =8m
The race is between APC and PDP

Politics isnt bu emotions but calculating how to win

OldNairalander:
I know why I quoted him. The number he's quoting is irrelevant to me.
FYI I am a card carrying member of APC and key player in R/S APC gubernatorial campaign in my LGA.
This country is too messed up for APC to take over as Presidency in 2023. I am not playing party politics at the Presidential level that's why I'm routing for Obi.
Unless they will give APC members special ID card for buying things at a lower price in the market.

Godjone:
remove middle belt votes and add it to Obi then do the maths

Michelle70:
because that place is Obi's company or what?

Michelle70:
Then u better throw ur weight on Atiku cos a vote for Obi is a vote wasted.
The part he is sure of winning doesnt have the voters strength to help him win the election.

I am also a card carrying member of APC and will vote APC both in state and Presidency.
If u didnt use emotions then u will know that Obi is just cutting Atiku's vote

Godjone:
remove middle belt votes and add it to Obi then do the maths

Michelle70:
I am already benevolent giving him 3m from the entire north and give Tinubu Atiku 2m from entire south and u still no deh satisfied.
ur greed is phenomenal

Godjone:
we have an approximately 6.3million votes to give obi in the middle belt. Ague with your phone bro