₦airaland Forum

Michelle70:
Youtube video that could be edited and remove what does not favour u

Obi will not win the NC and whichever votes difference he got from that region will be cancelled by SW vote difference gotten by Atiku and Tinubu.

His strong hold is only SE
APC stronghold is NW
Atiku SH is NE

The rest regions could go either way.

From the look of things, the odd does not favour Obi

Michelle70:
Youtube video that could be edited and remove what does not favour u

Obi will not win the NC and whichever votes difference he got from that region will be cancelled by SW vote difference gotten by Atiku and Tinubu.

His strong hold is only SE
APC stronghold is NW
Atiku SH is NE

The rest regions could go either way.

From the look of things, the odd does not favour Obi

Michelle70:
Lolz.
No be to deh talk out of point, i don tell ona to remove emotions wen u people want to discuss but with convincing facts

both SE and SS entire voting population no even reach that 6m, where Obi wan get that figure weh u just bring out from ur azz?

maybe ona go borrow votes from newyork and Mumbai.
That muslim-muslim ticket is the best Tinubu will do cos even if he choose Rev Fr Mbaka as running mate, he will still loose the SE.

Liebermantic:
You're far from being real.
There is no voter apathy in south South and South East. The Muslim -Muslim ticket revived people's interest in the election. OBI WILL GET OVER 6 MILLION VOTES IN SOUTHEAST AND 7 MILLION IN SOUTH SOUTH. Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nassarawa, Abuja, Kaduna, parts of Adamawa, Kogi, Bauchi and Gombe will vote Peter Obi to spite APC for choosing Muslim -Muslim ticket.
Obi will get almost 90% votes from Christian voters.
Go to Southern Kaduna, Plateau Benue, Gombe and Bauchi Christians, Obi is the only hope. This election Will be 3 Muslims vs PETER OBI

Michelle70:
These people no know wetin go hit them in 2023.

A vote for LP is a vote wasted.

The place they are very sure of only produces 5m votes while the places Atiku and Tinubu is sure of produces 17million votes.

Assuming SW is a no man's land, Peter Obi will still loose.

its not by where u control but how many votes will that region give to u

garfield1:
Ita enang has almost lost his case against akan udofia...cc fergie001

Penguin2:
Oh!

Finally you are accepting there are LP financiers in different states?

I thought you guys said he doesn’t have structure?

kokoA:
Why did you say so?

garfield1:
Why will the osun people abandon their son tinubu and vote for another northerner? How you they reason? Adeleke even won narrowly,it was very difficult.you already know that wike is against atiku plus rivers people won't vote a northerner again...
Dont trust voters.they made noise in 2019 but still voted buhari

EndsarsReloaded:
You're just deceiving yourself out of desperation. You keep yapping about how Tinubu will in NW and NE when he is not from there but you don't want to accept that he can lose his own zone??!

How do you even reason? Is Tinubu popular right now? Even with his Muslim-Muslim ticket? Even with top Yoruba pastors like Oyedepo against him?

You believe NW and NE will abandon Atiku or even Kwankwaso to vote Tinubu, an outsider but you don't believe same can happen in reverse?!

Stop allowing emotions do the thinking for you, instead reason logically and objectively.

Liebermantic:
You're far from being real.
There is no voter apathy in south South and South East. The Muslim -Muslim ticket revived people's interest in the election. OBI WILL GET OVER 6 MILLION VOTES IN SOUTHEAST AND 7 MILLION IN SOUTH SOUTH. Benue, Plateau, Taraba, Nassarawa, Abuja, Kaduna, parts of Adamawa, Kogi, Bauchi and Gombe will vote Peter Obi to spite APC for choosing Muslim -Muslim ticket.
Obi will get almost 90% votes from Christian voters.
Go to Southern Kaduna, Plateau Benue, Gombe and Bauchi Christians, Obi is the only hope. This election Will be 3 Muslims vs PETER OBI

OBALOLA55:
SOUTH SOUTH AND MIDDLE BELT

ALREADY IN THE BAG FOR PETER OBI

ABIA
ANAMBRA
IMO
EBONYI
ENUGU
CROSS RIVER
AKWA IBOM
RIVERS
DELTA
BAYELSA
EDO
BENUE
TARABA
PLATEAU
LAGOS 50 PERCENT
ONDO 50 PERCENT
OSUN 25 PERCENT
OGUN 20 PERCENT
EKITI 25 PERCENT
KADUNA 25 PERCENT
NASARAWA 25 PERCENT
KATSINA 15 PERCENT
KANO 20 PERCENT
KOGI 25 PERCENT (NEIGHBORING IGALA FACTOR)
KWARA 10 PERCENT
BORNO 10 PERCENT
NIGER 10 PERCENT
ABUJA STRAIGHT WIN

ARGUE WITH YOUR KEYBOARD

garfield1:
What are the structures on ground? How many do you see in nasarawa supporting obi

garfield1:
Did oyedepo not campaign against buhari in2015 and 2019? If it did not affect buhari,how will it affect tinubu?
Oga,the sw has one tribe,the yorubas. The north east and north west has different tribes so all of them cannot see atiku as their son.moreover atiku is very liberal and is not a pure fulani....kwankwaso is even more appealing to them plus the Muslim Muslim ticket.

EndsarsReloaded:
How many tribes do they have in the NW? Is it not predominantly Hausa/Fulanis? In 2019, was SW votes not split evenly? What made it so?

With Obi's increasing popularity in Lagos and other SW states, attack on churches such as the Owo massacre and Tinubu's dangerous Muslim-Muslim ticket, you think Yoruba Christians will still prefer Tinubu?

Let Tinubu organize marches in SW cities let's see, oh I forget he already did in Lagos and it flopped miserably yet Yorubas are spending their own money and resources to organize for Obi. You think there aren't millions of others supporting Obi, from which yielded those marching on the streets?

Who do you think will attract more voters on his side when campaigns start fully, between Atiku, Obi and Tinubu? Certainly not Tinubu and most likely Obi. Tinubu has nothing more to say to voters after all the lies he told in 2019. He might even be pelted with pure water satchets because angry Nigerians will feel he takes them for fools.

Don't worry, 2023 election is not far again, you Will be shocked!

fergie001:
North Central as always.

Donsheddy:
What peter obi needs to win this election...

85% SE
60% S.S.
30% S.W.
30% N.C
10% N.W
10% N.E

Is this realistic.....

This is not 2019 with two parties....

We have 4 parties serious contending is all regions....

Michelle70:
Lets assume this skewed analysis stands.
Do u know this figures will make Obi loose?

Loosing NE and NW will automatically make u loose the election.
50% votes in NW alone will almost cancel out 90% in SS and SE combined.

Donsheddy:
Jonathan lost N.E and N.W and was declared president....

N.W voting strength 10m
You have atiku, tinubu, kwankwanso and obi aiming to get a slice of those vote.....

Donsheddy:
Jonathan lost N.E and N.W and was declared president....

N.W voting strength 10m
You have atiku, tinubu, kwankwanso and obi aiming to get a slice of those vote.....

Michelle70:
NW voting strength is 8
NE voting strength is 4m, three people will share votes of at least 12m

while SE voting strength is 2m

Now do the maths

Michelle70:
SS will also be shared between 3parties.

Forget Kwankwasor, he is playing bidding politics

Donsheddy:
S.E 2m
Let's be realistic and work with data.....

2011 S.E recorded 4.7m votes for Jonathan....
Recorded 3.5m for atiku in 2019...
We know the reason for that voters aparthy.....
Obi should be looking to inherit those votes.......

S.S voting strength falls between 5.5 million to 6 million and I can tell you with. Full confidence S.S is between PdP And L.P Apc has no show here...

The best Apc can get here is about 10 %,....

Rivers state where I currently I'm obl should do a good 55%....
That should give you a clear direction where the election is going In other states

garfield1:
It didnt decide in 2003,2007,2011,2015,2019 but it played decisive role in conjunction with sw in the buhari era

Michelle70:
Go and check 2019 stats Oga
APC got 400k+ votes from SE while PDP got 1.69m votes.

Entire votes from the south was 9million while north recorded 17million.
NW alone has 8m+ total votes

Michelle70:
Youtube video that could be edited and remove what does not favour u

Obi will not win the NC and whichever votes difference he got from that region will be cancelled by SW vote difference gotten by Atiku and Tinubu.

His strong hold is only SE
APC stronghold is NW
Atiku SH is NE

The rest regions could go either way.

From the look of things, the odd does not favour Obi

Donsheddy:
Who was contesting in 2019..

It's was between two northerns.....

Michelle70:
two northerns my foot.

SE was throwing their full support for PDP cos of Obi,
North was throwing full support for Buhari.

Atiku was not even declared as a brother there, he was seen as an outcast.
So it was definitely a vote between north and south.