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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour (3338 Views)
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Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by FatherOfJesus: 8:55pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70:if it's not then you won't open this topic. You are opening this thread because Peter Obi is not a push-over right now 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by CYBERSOLDIERSre: 8:56pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
searchng4love: Have you suddenly abandoned Tinubu the Chicago fraudster. |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by searchng4love: 8:56pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:
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Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by searchng4love: 8:57pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
CYBERSOLDIERSre: Sowore> Obi |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by FatherOfJesus: 9:03pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
[quote author=searchng4love post=116605019][/quote] what I am suppose to do with this? |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:12pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq: TBH if obi can win the SS and SE, forget it, obi win will the election... How? If he can win SS and SE ,lets assume he gets 50% of SS and SE total votes of 5.4m here, while APC and PDP gets the other 25% each, that will be about LP 2.7m APC 1.3m PDP 1.3m he will be getting 30-40% of sw votes,Lets assume APC gets 40% here while PDP gets 30% and LP gets 30% too SW total votes is 3.8m that will be LP 2.7m +1.1m =3.8 APC 1.3 +1.5m =2.8 PDP 1.3 + 1.4m =2.7 three out of north centrals are already in the bag... 25% from NW and 25%NENW and NE total vote is 12.6m lets assume either of APC or PDP gets 45 here LP =3.8 +3.5m =7.3m PDP/APC = 2.7 +5.6m =8.3m Obi still lost 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Buckeyemedia1: 9:15pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:Ipobian why not 1979 & 1983? |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by toneroforever(m): 9:20pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: Ur vote is part of the remaining 20%. Vote whoever u want- Atiku, Kwankwaso & BAT. We've taken our 80%. |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:22pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
toneroforever:In 2019 only APC got 32% of SS votes. How come u feel both APC and PDP combined will get just 20%? while LP alone takes 80%? be reasonable, emotions will not help u out here 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 9:25pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Buckeyemedia1: Keep displaying your dumb ass. |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:27pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Kingspin:why doesnt Obi support Tinubu? Afterall he declared his intentions even before Obi 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:28pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
CYBERSOLDIERSre:No wonder its the original |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by BlazinGlory40: 9:30pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: The odds are not in his favour then leave it na. Why opening threads up and down? Nawa |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 9:32pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: So PDP and APC is now one party ?? even your analogy shows that PDP and APC will have to work together to outscore LP. Lol. You not mentioned kwakwanso.. Lol As it is now, PDP and APC need work to do.. It is not like two horse race anymore.. Anyone from the four can win it except kwakwanso(but he will have many votes in the North like buhari in 2007) Have it in mind that votes will be shared in the north between APC, PDP, and NNPP.. LP will be having the least fraction among the four... Then here in the south, Lp has 70%. Leaving APC, PDP and NNPP to share 30% ... So with that Lp is winning... |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Bomboiy: 9:34pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
The are regions Obi will perform NW/NE. The mistake most people make is joining NC together with the core Northern states forgetting that NC don't usually go the same way with core North. There will be fierce competition in the NE between Atiku and APC will Kwankwaso will join the competition in the NW. Obi already have the SE on lock entirely and is about to dislodge PDP in SS. Being the only major Christian comes with it's peck with regards to votes from the NC. Abuja will definitely go his way and he won't perform poorly in Nasarawa and Benue. I still think Atiku is the favorite but Obi is definitely not a walk over in next year's election. 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:35pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:so u did not see where i said either? anyone that collects the 45% will cruise home with victory 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:37pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:Kwankwasor is only a weight in Kano state and few parts of NW. He doesnt stand a 10% chance in Southern part hence i didnt include him |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Kingspin(m): 9:39pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70:I hate playing game, is amateur thing. If Osibanjo is there, I will support him. If AfdB president, Akinwumi Adesina, I will support. Bring in a sound leader. The candidate matter, not the dirty politics. We took off the campaign with the credible, issue-based etc. They are seeing what is happening, and knowing they will fail with issue-based campaigns that why they result to tribalism and religion. This is what many of them are doing right now including social media influencers 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 9:39pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: What about kwakwanso?? He will also partake in the shared votes.. Keep calling him light weight until reality slap your face on the D-Day |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by SenatePresdo(m): 9:43pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: Why didn't Buhari win election in 2011,because he literally won in the north? |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:45pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:If Kwankwasor partakes in it, then that 25 that u gave to Obi is so unreasonable. Cos if Obi takes 25%, there is 75% remaining for the other three to share. which means they will collect an average of 25% each. thats like sharing the votes equally with Obi That was even the main reason why i didnt give PDP and APC different votes in that region and just put the word either because the 25% value u gave to Obi is unreasonable. APC or PDP should atleast have 2times the vote Obi will get up there. But i dont want to spoil ur fun So if u give him 25%, then i should give the winner 45% |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 9:48pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
SenatePresdo:because unlike 2011, 2015 and 2019 was a protest voting, thanks to politicians who sew seeds of tribalism in politics. 2023 will also be a protest vote. SE will put their full support on PO North will go against him with their full support |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by cicero(m): 9:55pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
You’ve got to love obedients for their swift and devastating responses to insensitive posts. 2 Likes |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 10:01pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: Keep deceiving yourself in the name of fun.. If Lp can battle PDP in SS and SE, tell me why NNPP can't battle APC or PDP in NW... Smh The truth and reality is that anything(votes) Kwakwanso is getting will be affecting both APC and PDP.. That is kwakwanso will collect the votes of northerners(tribal ones) who don't trust tinubu and atiku.. Obi will still get his 25%.. You might think is not fair to say APC or PDP might get less than 40% but that is the truth, it will happen before your eyes come 2023.. One of them will fall in the north, and the odds are all going against APC as massive defections are hitting the party from all angle in the North.. Beat that. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 10:06pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:Oga. Obi will not get more votes in the north than NNPP, APC or PDP. If u give Obi 25%, it automatically mean the rest will share 75% votes. Obi takes 25% and maybe the winner takes 27%, that means the other two will take 24% each. LP cannot have more votes than any party in the north 1 Like |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 10:23pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: That doesn't still favour either APC or PDP. that is where their block votes will be coming from. |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 10:29pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:they dont need bloc. A 40% vote is already more than enough |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by 4teenblaq: 10:35pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: Lol! What is their chances in SS AND SE? 40% in north What about the south? Someone already got 70%-80% in south... So how is the 40% going to make him win? 1 Like
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Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by ambale(m): 10:56pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
What we've had in times past is voter apathy in the South, while the north has been coming out even with underaged voters Remember none of the candidates have a cult-like follower-ship in the north like Buhari, so bloc votes might not come And the south will definitely come out more this time around. 2 Likes |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by JewsAreSatanic: 11:04pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
Michelle70: Pls stop lumping the SS with the SE. |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 11:07pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
4teenblaq:Northern votes is 17m while southern votes is 9m 40% northern votes is 6.8m 100% SS and SE votes combined is 5.4m when we were telling u that the north has massive votes, u think we are playing |
Re: To be honest, The Odds Doesnt Seem To Be In Obi's Favour by Michelle70(m): 11:12pm On Sep 12, 2022 |
JewsAreSatanic:Igbos said the SS will vote massively for Obi, so i am saying that even with the massive SS help, he will still loose cos SE votes is to small to assist the bulk votes from SS. The SE is just holding the SS back |
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