Michelle70:
The north always produce votes almost twice the number that the south produce.

Using 2019 as a case study.

The entire north produced about 17.1m votes for both APC and PDP while the south produced 9m votes.

Anyone who scores 40% of northern votes will be having 6.8m.
That is more than the SS and SE votes combined which is (5.4m)

How will Obi balance this huge gap when his hope is just SS and SE?

Got me thinking what kind of abracadabra LP will pull in 2023 ceteris paribus

searchng4love:

Peter Obi is not contesting. Sowore is the man to vote for

FatherOfJesus:
if it's not then you won't open this topic.
You are opening this thread because Peter Obi is not a push-over right now

CYBERSOLDIERSre:


Have you suddenly abandoned Tinubu the Chicago fraudster.

4teenblaq:
.

If he can win SS and SE ,

he will be getting 30-40% of sw votes,

three out of north centrals are already in the bag... 25% from NW and 25%NE

4teenblaq:


Why not use 2011 and 2007 as case study?

Michelle70:
80% SS votes?
who is ur weed supplier?

toneroforever:


Ur vote is part of the remaining 20%. Vote whoever u want- Atiku, Kwankwaso & BAT.
We've taken our 80%.

Buckeyemedia1:
Ipobian why not 1979 & 1983?

Kingspin:
The odd is in Obi's favour.
The problem is the Nigerian factor, not Obi
If Tinubu support Peter Obi or Atiku most propaganda and blackmailing will stop immediately.
Reno, Deji and co will disappear.
Is a Nigerian problem

CYBERSOLDIERSre:


Tinubu is his supplier.

Michelle70:
The north always produce votes almost twice the number that the south produce.

Using 2019 as a case study.

The entire north produced about 17.1m votes for both APC and PDP while the south produced 9m votes.

Anyone who scores 40% of northern votes will be having 6.8m.
That is more than the SS and SE votes combined which is (5.4m)

How will Obi balance this huge gap when his hope is just SS and SE?

Got me thinking what kind of abracadabra LP will pull in 2023 ceteris paribus

Michelle70:



TBH if obi can win the SS and SE, forget it, obi win will the election... How?
lets assume he gets 50% of SS and SE total votes of 5.4m here, while APC and PDP gets the other 25% each, that will be about
LP 2.7m
APC 1.3m
PDP 1.3m


Lets assume APC gets 40% here while PDP gets 30% and LP gets 30% too SW total votes is 3.8m that will be
LP 2.7m +1.1m =3.8
APC 1.3 +1.5m =2.8
PDP 1.3 + 1.4m =2.7

NW and NE total vote is 12.6m
lets assume either of APC or PDP gets 45 here

LP =3.8 +3.5m =7.3m
PDP/APC = 2.7 +5.6m =8.3m


Obi will still loose

4teenblaq:


So PDP and APC is now one party ?? even your analogy shows that PDP and APC will have to work together to outscore LP. Lol.

You not mentioned kwakwanso.. Lol

As it is now, PDP and APC need work to do.. It is not like two horse race anymore.. Anyone from the four can win it except kwakwanso(but he will have many votes in the North like buhari in 2007)

4teenblaq:


So PDP and APC is now one party ?? even your analogy shows that PDP and APC will have to work together to outscore LP. Lol.

You not mentioned kwakwanso.. Lol

As it is now, PDP and APC need work to do.. It is not like two horse race anymore.. Anyone from the four can win it except kwakwanso(but he will have many votes in the North like buhari in 2007)

Michelle70:
why doesnt Obi support Tinubu?

Afterall he declared his intentions even before Obi

Michelle70:
so u did not see where i said either?

anyone that collects the 45% will cruise home with victory

Michelle70:
The north always produce votes almost twice the number that the south produce.

Using 2019 as a case study.

The entire north produced about 17.1m votes for both APC and PDP while the south produced 9m votes.

Anyone who scores 40% of northern votes will be having 6.8m.
That is more than the SS and SE votes combined which is (5.4m)

How will Obi balance this huge gap when his hope is just SS and SE?

Got me thinking what kind of abracadabra LP will pull in 2023 ceteris paribus

4teenblaq:


What about kwakwanso?? He will also partake in the shared votes.. Keep calling him light weight until reality slap your face on the D-Day

SenatePresdo:


Why didn't Buhari win election in 2011,because he literally won in the north?

Michelle70:
If Kwankwasor partakes in it, then that 25 that u gave to Obi is so unreasonable.

Cos if Obi takes 25%, there is 75% remaining for the other three to share.
which means they will collect and average of 25% each.

Thay was even the main reason why i didnt give PDP and APC different votes in that region and just put the word either because the 25% value u gave to Obi is unreasonable.

APC or PDP should atleast have 2times the vote Obi will get up there.
But i dont want to spoil ur fun So if u give him 25%, then i should give the winner 45%

4teenblaq:


Keep deceiving yourself in the name of fun.. If Lp can battle PDP in SS and SE, tell me why NNPP can't battle APC or PDP in NW... Smh

The truth and reality is that anything(votes) Kwakwanso is getting will be affecting both APC and PDP.. That is kwakwanso will collect the votes of northerners(tribal ones) who don't trust tinubu and atiku.. Obi will still get his 25%.. You might think is not fair to say APC or PDP might get less than 40% but that is the truth, it will happen before your eyes come 2023.. One of them will fall in the north, and the odds are all going against APC as massive defections are hitting the party from all angle in the North..

Beat that.

Michelle70:
Oga. Obi will not get more votes in the north than NNPP, APC or PDP.

If u give Obi 25%, it automatically mean the rest will share 75% votes.

Obi takes 25% and maybe the winner takes 27%, that means the other two will take 24% each.
LP cannot have more votes than any party in the north

4teenblaq:




That doesn't still favour either APC or PDP. that is where their block votes will be coming from.

Michelle70:
they dont need bloc.

A 40% vote is already more than enough

Michelle70:
The north always produce votes almost twice the number that the south produce.

Using 2019 as a case study.

The entire north produced about 17.1m votes for both APC and PDP while the south produced 9m votes.

Anyone who scores 40% of northern votes will be having 6.8m.
That is more than the SS and SE votes combined which is (5.4m)
That means if the most impossible happens and PO scores 100% from these two regions while APC and PDP scores zero votes each, LP will still loose

How will Obi balance this huge gap when his hope is just SS and SE?

Got me thinking what kind of abracadabra LP will pull in 2023 ceteris paribus

4teenblaq:


Lol! What is their chances in SS AND SE?

40% in north
What about the south?

Someone already got 70%-80% in south... So how is the 40% going to make him win?

JewsAreSatanic:


Pls stop lumping the SS with the SE.