₦airaland Forum

rolams:
I don't think this your calculations will work ooo.

There is no way Tinubu will get 40% of northern votes. Again, Obi won't get up to 70% in the south south and even some south eastern states.

I can tell you that the number of votes to be casted in this election won't be as high as you projected. Reason: there won't be much rigging as a result of non availability of the incident form, compulsory accreditation, non availability of multiple votes and electronic transmission of the results.

This can easily be noticed in both Ekiti and Osun State election.

You are funny.tinubu can get 40% or more.his party dominates the north,atiku is not popular plus kwankwaso will eat into votes of both...
Apart from Adamawa,anywhere atiku wins up north with will he narrow esp in a three or 4 horse race.a big win in borno/yobe will go a long way for tinubu.
I didnt say obi will get 70% in ss,I said se.ss will be massively divided...rigging can always be done under any form whether manual or electronic or with incident forms..
Ekiti and edo elections have always been tough right from time immemorial.it us difficult to rig in those regions esp sw.you can't use those regions to conclude.use north,riverine areas

I'm in kaduna now as I'm speaking here every where is Atikulated I'm on visiting to Rigasa and bakinruwa kaduna every where I s Atiku both young and old fear just cash me.. they should just go and tell Tinubu to withdraw huge disgrace awaiting him

I'm in kaduna now as I'm speaking here every where is Atikulated I'm on visiting to Rigasa and bakinruwa kaduna every where I s Atiku both young and old fear just cash me.. they should just go and tell Tinubu to withdraw huge disgrace awaiting him[color=#006600][/color]

I'm in kaduna now as I'm speaking here every where is Atikulated I'm on visiting to Rigasa and bakinruwa kaduna every where I s Atiku both young and old fear just cash me.. they should just go and tell Tinubu to withdraw huge disgrace awaiting him

Kyase:
Atiku don too mumu

Bro, remember we had a discussion here when you Atikulated. So tell me what changed?

Timatayo1:
I'm in kaduna now as I'm speaking here every where is Atikulated I'm on visiting to Rigasa and bakinruwa kaduna every where I s Atiku both young and old fear just cash me.. they should just go and tell Tinubu to withdraw huge disgrace awaiting him

No one cares. Point is Shettima should be withdrawn for a North central. Backstabbing Ungrateful selfish people can't be requesting Muslim Muslim ticket from Tinubu yet wanting to betray him? Na ment?

Okoroawusa:
Bro, remember we had a discussion here when you Atikulated. So tell me what changed?

A lot
I followed Atiku during this period and menh, the dude is a waste
He has nothing to offer

And the Fulani menace in Benue will triple under him

Kyase:
A lot
I followed Atiku during this period and menh, the dude is a waste
He has nothing to offer

And the Fulani menace in Benue will triple under him

My brother,I told my WhatsApp political group last year and they hailed me again today, atiku is another buhari or a worse version.he is just camouflaging and disguising but he has pretended for too long and his real self has started manifesting.look at buhari,he never tried to hide his fanaticism,pro north or bigotism.he owns up to his weaknesses and decisions.he knew he was never a Democrat but tried to force and restrain himself to fit into civilian presidency.atiku is a polished devil,a demon in a liberal clothing using western things to discuss his radicalism... Cc fergie001

Kyase:
A lot
I followed Atiku during this period and menh, the dude is a waste
He has nothing to offer

And the Fulani menace in Benue will triple under him

So where are you now?

garfield1:
Obi too has some momentum.it is a tight election with fine margins.atiku greatest weakness is not having a natural base..the election is now like a ucl tie,winning well at home and scoring away goals...atiku is focusing too much on the core north to the detriment of other regions.for atiku to win,he needs to reenact what happened in 2015...

For guber it seems like pdp are focusing more on guber than presidential.though a section are against wike,they will still want to deliver their local candidates.for delta,if okowa focuses too much on presidential, he will lose delta esp with ibori camp lurking.you can see how omo agege is relaxed and focused while okowa is gallivanting with atiku

If PDP loses presidential election, there's is no how they will lose delta guber.
Okowa boys are fully on ground.
Some of Ibori men are at peace with Sheriff candidature.
If the right concession and power sharing is made, the two camp will settle.
For presidential election, winning the north and coming second in all the three zone in the south equates victory.

Aiel123:
If PDP loses presidential election, there's is no how they will lose delta guber.
Okowa boys are fully on ground.
Some of Ibori men are at peace with Sheriff candidature.
If the right concession and power sharing is made, the two camp will settle.
For presidential election, winning the north and coming second in all the three zone in the south equates victory.

Most of okowa boys were ibori boys..
If atiku wins north by 300k,loses sw by 2 million,wins tinubu in ss/se by 500k,he lules

Moh247 don chop another punch from Satanically
hahahahaha

garfield1:
Most of okowa boys were ibori boys..
If atiku wins north by 300k,loses sw by 2 million,wins tinubu in ss/se by 500k,he lules

Do you believe Tinubu can win the west that massively?
You're underrating PDP in SS/SE.

garfield1:
My brother,I told my WhatsApp political group last year and they hailed me again today, atiku is another buhari or a worse version.he is just camouflaging and disguising but he has pretended for too long and his real self has started manifesting. look at buhari,he never tried to hide his fanaticism,pro north or bigotism.he owns up to his weaknesses and decisions.he knew he was never a Democrat but tried to force and restrain himself to fit into civilian presidency.atiku is a polished devil,a demon in a liberal clothing using western things to discuss his radicalism... Cc fergie001

You speak from the both side of your mouth. From 'Atiku is a liberal pretending to be a bigot for votes' to 'Atiku is a bigot pretending to be liberal.'

From 'Atiku is not Fulani but pretending to be one' to 'Atiku is pure Fulani'.

Confused soul!

Okoroawusa:
So where are you now?

Neutral

Kyase:
Neutral

Ok... that's fair. We still have few months to the election.

Okoroawusa:
Ok... that's fair. We still have few months to the election.

True

Aiel123:
Do you believe Tinubu can win the west that massively?
You're underrating PDP in SS/SE.

The yorubas have always won the west massively and with tinubu against obi and atiku...hmmm.the 45% pdp had in 2015 and 2019 is now divided...
I am not underrating pdp in se/ss.the difference between apc and pdp there isn't much esp with obi tsunami.70% of se is gone.the 68% atiku had is now divided.look at how apc won bayelsa,doing well in crs.

garfield1:
The yorubas have always won the west massively and with tinubu against obi and atiku...hmmm.the 45% pdp had in 2015 and 2019 is now divided...
I am not underrating pdp in se/ss.the difference between apc and pdp there isn't much esp with obi tsunami.70% of se is gone.the 68% atiku had is now divided.look at how apc won bayelsa,doing well in crs.

APC won Bayelsea solely because of the infightings in the PDP, soaring popularity of the APC candidate and the insistence of Southern Ijaw, the most populated area in Bayelsea to produce a governor.
PDP also did well in the west na
They have added another PDP flag in the government houses in SW., that covers for crs.

Aiel123:
APC won Bayelsea solely because of the infightings in the PDP, soaring popularity of the APC candidate and the insistence of Southern Ijaw, the most populated area in Bayelsea to produce a governor.
PDP also did well in the west na
They have added another PDP flag in the government houses in SW., that covers for crs.

Before Lyon won,buhari had almost 40% from less than 5% in 2015...what a miraculous rise..

.pdp has always done well in the west.pdp almost won Osun in 2018.even in 2015,buhari won the west narrowly.it covers for guber not presidential.its like apc winning abia and ebonyi in guber when you know they won't win there in presidential. In terms of presidential,losing crs and ebonyi are deadly blows...

garfield1:
My brother,I told my WhatsApp political group last year and they hailed me again today, atiku is another buhari or a worse version.he is just camouflaging and disguising but he has pretended for too long and his real self has started manifesting.look at buhari,he never tried to hide his fanaticism,pro north or bigotism.he owns up to his weaknesses and decisions.he knew he was never a Democrat but tried to force and restrain himself to fit into civilian presidency.atiku is a polished devil,a demon in a liberal clothing using western things to discuss his radicalism... Cc fergie001

same you that support buhari and always defending him? Damn now I know you guys don't like nigeria. U just hate the igbos ND also want ur party to keep winning. You knew buhari is a failure but kept supporting him. That's wickedness.

Niklaus398:
same you that support buhari and always defending him? Damn now I know you guys don't like nigeria. U just hate the igbos ND also want ur party to keep winning. You knew buhari is a failure but kept supporting him. That's wickedness.

I supported him because it was the turn of the north and I hate pdp.no Igbo was contesting

garfield1:
My brother,I told my WhatsApp political group last year and they hailed me again today, atiku is another buhari or a worse version.he is just camouflaging and disguising but he has pretended for too long and his real self has started manifesting.look at buhari,he never tried to hide his fanaticism,pro north or bigotism.he owns up to his weaknesses and decisions.he knew he was never a Democrat but tried to force and restrain himself to fit into civilian presidency.atiku is a polished devil,a demon in a liberal clothing using western things to discuss his radicalism... Cc fergie001

Wow!! What a take.

Kyase:
A lot
I followed Atiku during this period and menh, the dude is a waste
He has nothing to offer

And the Fulani menace in Benue will triple under him

Haba! babana, har de kai?

garfield1:
You are funny.tinubu can get 40% or more.his party dominates the north,atiku is not popular plus kwankwaso will eat into votes of both...
Apart from Adamawa,anywhere atiku wins up north with will he narrow esp in a three or 4 horse race.a big win in borno/yobe will go a long way for tinubu.
I didnt say obi will get 70% in ss,I said se.ss will be massively divided...rigging can always be done under any form whether manual or electronic or with incident forms..
Ekiti and edo elections have always been tough right from time immemorial.it us difficult to rig in those regions esp sw.you can't use those regions to conclude.use north,riverine areas

Atiku is not popular ke, haa! Don't say it out ooo, the Atiku that has been in Northern politics for long, you underated Atiku much. Kwakwaso popularity ends in Kano.

Pls get my point, there won't be much rigging this time. Again what I believe firmly is, the north will always support their own.

Kwakwaso is not serious at the moment but what I understand about him is, he is only preparing for future.

slivertongue:
Haba! babana, har de kai?

ya zai yi
Atiku has messed up

Kyase:
ya zai yi
Atiku has messed up

haka siasa ta gada.

slivertongue:
haka siasa ta gada.

Toh ya duba magana shi
Gada yayi yawa

Kyase:
Toh ya duba magana shi
Gada yayi yawa

Haka fa!

rolams:
Atiku is not popular ke, haa! Don't say it out ooo, the Atiku that has been in Northern politics for long, you underated Atiku much. Kwakwaso popularity ends in Kano.

Pls get my point, there won't be much rigging this time. Again what I believe firmly is, the north will always support their own.

Kwakwaso is not serious at the moment but what I understand about him is, he is only preparing for future.

Kwankwaso is the most popular in nw.you can't compare atiku popularity to buhari.atiku is popular mainly among the elites not the masses who prefer a simple fanatic like buhari....the northwill not support their own like in 2015.they are divided between three parties...
Kwankwaso is preparing for 2031 and atiku winning won't help him

garfield1:
Kwankwaso is the most popular in nw.you can't compare atiku popularity to buhari.atiku is popular mainly among the elites not the masses who prefer a simple fanatic like buhari....the northwill not support their own like in 2015.they are divided between three parties...
Kwankwaso is preparing for 2031 and atiku winning won't help him

We are talking about North in general, Atiku has an edge over other Northerners but not Buhari. Buhari is their father.

Yes, Kwakwaso is preparing for the future, but I don't see him do any damage to Atiku's ambition but if his calculation is 2031, he won't want Atiku to win in 2023.

rolams:
We are talking about North in general, Atiku has an edge over other Northerners but not Buhari. Buhari is their father.

Yes, Kwakwaso is preparing for the future, but I don't see him do any damage to Atiku's ambition but if his calculation is 2031, he won't want Atiku to win in 2023.

With buhari out of the way,north is divided.if atiku is to win, it will be narrowly and vice versa