₦airaland Forum

9jalyte:
How do you people reason. Let me start from you, do you mean to tell me that your Governor or a Party chairman in your State will tell you what to do. If that is the case, you should not be here discussing where with people who are in control of their minds and if that is not the case, why do you think it will work in other areas.

Even before the coming of BVAS, you have seen incumbent Governors and party Charmen losing their States. Take Oshomole as an example, how did his being party chairman win Edo for APC. How did Muazu being Party chairman win his State for PDP. How did Rochas being a Governor win Imo for APC.

The Plateau Governor did not win his second term, he was rigged in for his loyalty then and the Loath the Plateau people have for him has even increased the more. The mistake you people make is calling Nigerian people Zombies that rely on some politicians to take decision or make political choices. What is happening now is that every politician wants to even survive the tide before saving anyone.

Wake up, People are voting based on these important factors in the North: 1. Religion, 2. Tribe and 3. Competence. You can situate your candidate here and assess his chances.

Rochas gave buhari 25%.gov lalong win his election clean.oshiomhole gave buhari 48% in edo.

IRAPADA:
Wake up from this your terrible dream

Is a dream that must come through.

Dream it..
Live it..

Workch:
While the roles of governors are still vital but the electoral reform and introduction of BVAS has limited their power of rigging for their party candidates. This election, if BVas works, Peter obi will most likely win these states.

1. Anambra
2. Imo
3. Abia
4. Ebonyi
5. Enugu
6. Benue
7. Plateau
8. Akwa ibom
9. Cross Rivers
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Bayelsa
13. Abuja

States Peter Obi will do well but may not win:

1. Nasarawa
2. Kogi
3. Lagos
4. Delta

Regions where Peter Obi may get more than 25% votes if he won't win there:
1. Southwest

If obi can steal some votes in the Northeast and Northwest, win nasarawa, he will become president

Obi won't get 25% in bayelsa.will get 25% in akwa ibom but can't win.he won't do well in kogi..outside lagos obi won't get 25% in any western state

senatordave1:
Obi won't get 25% in bayelsa.will get 25% in akwa ibom but can't win.he won't do well in kogi..outside lagos obi won't get 25% in any western state

5:14pm Nigerian Time and you're already drunk.


It is well oh.

Workch:
Winning K states doesn't win you the election.
That's not a hard mathematics to solve.

If you like win all K-states, you will lose if you don't win at least 10 to 12 other states

believe me Kano and Kaduna votes alone cancel all the vote in south east that is why no presidential candidate take them serious, have you see where any of the presidential candidate visit south east ever since the campaigns Begin?
Do you know that river and delta state alone are politically important that the whole of south east? people don't take south east serious when it come to presidential election.
they are the reason why Jonathan loose.

senatordave1:
Obi won't get 25% in bayelsa.will get 25% in akwa ibom but can't win.he won't do well in kogi..outside lagos obi won't get 25% in any western state

so Atiku will win Bayelsa and Akwa ibom right?

Jones4190:
believe me Kano and Kaduna votes alone cancel all the vote in south east that is why no presidential candidate take them serious, have you see where any of the presidential candidate visit south east ever since the campaigns Begin?
Do you know that river and delta state alone are politically important that the whole of south east? people don't take south east serious when it come to presidential election.
they are the reason why Jonathan loose.

you are obviously ignorant how to how things work and the Constitution of Nigeria.

Go and educate yourself

9jalyte:
Oh wow!!! With this, why is Tinubu not showing up to confidently brief Nigerians on his plan already. You guys really have started believing your own lies and that is dangerous for you. I wish you well in your hallucination.

tinubu is meeting the real voters in town halls meetings not online voters like you who will not be voting on that day

Workch:
you are obviously ignorant how to how things work and the Constitution of Nigeria.

Go and educate yourself

the KS determine who will be your president simple

Workch:
While the roles of governors are still vital but the electoral reform and introduction of BVAS has limited their power of rigging for their party candidates. This election, if BVas works, Peter obi will most likely win these states.

1. Anambra
2. Imo
3. Abia
4. Ebonyi
5. Enugu
6. Benue
7. Plateau
8. Akwa ibom
9. Cross Rivers
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Bayelsa
13. Abuja

States Peter Obi will do well but may not win:

1. Nasarawa
2. Kogi
3. Lagos
4. Delta

Regions where Peter Obi may get more than 25% votes if he won't win there:
1. Southwest

If obi can steal some votes in the Northeast and Northwest, win nasarawa, he will become president

Kwankwaso, Tinubu and Atiku would get 25 to 30% votes from NW and NE. Obi would get 10 to 15% from the regions.

Workch:
so Atiku will win Bayelsa and Akwa ibom right?

Yes tbh

@Bolded is the problem. He can't win nasarawa, it is a majority muslim state, they won't vote for him. He can't get any votes in the northeast and northwest - those guys only know, tribe, religion and party..none of which favours him. In fact, as we speak, they don't even know he or labour party exists.
Obi, would have won if he was running on a major party plaftorm and/or all other major opposition heavy weights are with him. But as it currently stands, he will come a distant 3rd behind the other two evil men.
Sad, but the reality

Workch:
While the roles of governors are still vital but the electoral reform and introduction of BVAS has limited their power of rigging for their party candidates. This election, if BVas works, Peter obi will most likely win these states.

1. Anambra
2. Imo
3. Abia
4. Ebonyi
5. Enugu
6. Benue
7. Plateau
8. Akwa ibom
9. Cross Rivers
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Bayelsa
13. Abuja

States Peter Obi will do well but may not win:

1. Nasarawa
2. Kogi
3. Lagos
4. Delta

Regions where Peter Obi may get more than 25% votes if he won't win there:
1. Southwest

If obi can steal some votes in the Northeast and Northwest, win nasarawa, he will become president

Flora2Sweet:
My God is Different from Urs sir...

So pray to ur god...

U don't know who I serve, pls speak for yourself...

i don't need to know whatever or whoever you serve to know basic facts. Political elections are not won because your handle serves something.

Jones4190:
the KS determine who will be your president simple

Nope! They only seal the deal for you if you're already popular and acceptable in other regions.

The only issue in this election is that there are multiple gladiators that would share the KS spoils. It's never going to one person.

Jones4190:
the KS determine who will be your president simple

nope it doesn't. That's why Buhari didn't win in 2003 and 2007

Jones4190:
tinubu is meeting the real voters in town halls meetings not online voters like you who will not be voting on that day

Oh, is he still meeting the voters. I thought he had won already. Hmmm. Clapping with one hand.

senatordave1:
Rochas gave buhari 25%.gov lalong win his election clean.oshiomhole gave buhari 48% in edo.

Those didn't sound like winning to me. Well, with all the money spend without BVAS, those were the votes they got. With BVAS, count down to your embarrassment.

For your information, Lalong didn't win anything.

Mumu, in your dream. Someone that cannot win Anambra.

[I'm Obidient but he will not win Delta State but he will come a close second.PDP Is still popular and not forgetting a son of the soil is on the ballotquote author=PlayMaker14 post=118224477]He will also win my state convincingly....


Delta State is lockdown for Peter Obi.[/quote]

I'm Obidient but he won't win Delta.He will come a close second .PDP is still popular in the state and not forgetting a son of the land is on the ballot

PlayMaker14:
He will also win my state convincingly....


Delta State is lockdown for Peter Obi.

Orukomeno:
I'm Obidient but he won't win Delta.He will come a close second .PDP is still popular in the state and not forgetting a son of the land is on the ballot

Delta North, PDP is popular, but that popularity is dwindling with the remaining senatorial district.

Okowa is a big mistake and my boss, Chief James Onanefe Ibori is regretting that mistake.

So una still dey write this nonsense till now,u a fairytale noise go soon end,una reasoning go clear well when the election don end.

Okowa is the biggest mistake to happen too Delta state.I hope Omo Agege defeat his useless candidate.Can Ibori be a spoiler for the PDP in the presidential election when he have his candidates contestiing other offices.We Obidient have to do a lot of work .I visited my village last week and most of the old people don't know Obi

PlayMaker14:
Delta North, PDP is popular, but that popularity is dwindling with the remaining senatorial district.

Okowa is a big mistake and my boss, Chief James Onanefe Ibori is regretting that mistake.

Jones4190:
the ks state ( Kaduna, kano, kebbi kastina) vote alone handle all the state you mention,
whoever win the ks state is the next president of this country, peter obi will not win Kaduna, Katsina, Kano. this are the state were the real votes come from.
forget online politics peter obi will never be president.
if you get money to bet here I'm

t



BUHARI won this states Three times and still failed in each occasion.


As it stands today peter have the best chance of winning among all.

Flora2Sweet:
He's an icon, Nigeria Needs him, more than evert now...

This country is gradually slipping out of hand, A country where law and order is no longer Relevant...

This is the Time, people needs to hear of the so called master plan their Bat Has...

But Man is feeling like a god already....

If i server the living GOD, Tinubu no go smell that seat...

If Obi no win, Make Atiku win

Atiku is not an option bro. It's Obi or never

Orukomeno:
Okowa is the biggest mistake to happen too Delta state.I hope Omo Agege defeat his useless candidate.Can Ibori be a spoiler for the PDP in the presidential election when he have his candidates contestiing other offices.We Obidient have to do a lot of work .I visited my village last week and most of the old people don't know Obi

Sheriff a leader of Okpe touts in the State will find it difficult to win if my boss, Chief James Onanefe Ibori decide to deal with the swollen lips called Okowa at the presidential election.

I rather waste my vote for Great Ovedje Ogboru than to vote for Sheriff.

Do your best to convince them.

basty:
Mumu, in your dream. Someone that cannot win Anambra.

South East for obi is 98% nothing less.

I don't care who win but the goal is to retire Okoqa and his dick sucker Sherrif

PlayMaker14:
Sheriff a leader of Okpe touts in the State will find it difficult to win if my boss, Chief James Onanefe Ibori decide to deal with the swollen lips called Okowa at the presidential election.

I rather waste my vote for Great Ovedje Ogboru than to vote for Sheriff.

Do your best to convince them.

Workch:
While the roles of governors are still vital but the electoral reform and introduction of BVAS has limited their power of rigging for their party candidates. This election, if BVas works, Peter obi will most likely win these states.

1. Anambra
2. Imo
3. Abia
4. Ebonyi
5. Enugu
6. Benue
7. Plateau
8. Akwa ibom
9. Cross Rivers
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Bayelsa
13. Abuja

States Peter Obi will do well but may not win:

1. Nasarawa
2. Kogi
3. Lagos
4. Delta

Regions where Peter Obi may get more than 25% votes if he won't win there:
1. Southwest

If obi can steal some votes in the Northeast and Northwest, win nasarawa, he will become president

With the exception of the 5 SE States and Abuja, Peter Obi will have to fight very hard to win any of the other States that you mention.

His popularity in these States are not in doubt but the elites in most of those states will want to influence the pattern of voting and stop Obi.

Take States like Rivers, Bayelsa , Delta and Akwa Ibom for instance. Many of the traditional rulers, religions leaders, political leaders and community leaders in these States are beneficially of the Crude Oil theft going on there.

These corrupt leaders know that an Obi presidency will be a big blow to them while an Atiku presidency will likely favour them since they are mainly PDP stakeholders.

These corrupt leaders are also very popular in their communities since they use part of their ill- gotten wealths to sustain many poor families. Thousands of poor people in their communities are their subjects. They can influnce these people to vote Atiku instead of Obi using propaganda and financial inducement.

Hence Corruption will be a major obstacle to Obi' s ambition in States that he is popular among the masses.

Obidient make una leave calculation and put more effort in the grassroots abeg.

Lol SS are not Northerner or SW they have a mind of their own.If Obi will favour their interest than Atiku they will vote him.Stop with all this conspiracy theories

MikeofAfrica:
With the exception of the 5 SE States and Abuja, Peter Obi will have to fight very hard to win any of the other States that you mention.

His popularity in these States are not in doubt but the elites in most of those states will want to influence the pattern of voting and stop Obi.

Take States like Rivers, Bayelsa , Delta and Akwa Ibom for instance. Many of the traditional rulers, religions leaders, political leaders and community leaders in these States are beneficially of the Crude Oil theft going on there.

These corrupt leaders know that an Obi presidency will be a big blow to them while an Atiku presidency will likely favour them since they are mainly PDP stakeholders.

These corrupt leaders are also very popular in their communities since they use part of their ill- gotten wealths to sustain many poor families. Thousands of poor people in their communities are their subjects. They can influnce these people to vote Atiku instead of Obi using propaganda and financial inducement.

Hence Corruption will be a major obstacle to Obi' s ambition in States that he is popular among the masses.

The only thing I can say is hmmmmmmm...
2023 will teach alot of people some hard lessons about Nigerias' politics. I just pray God give them the heart and strength to bear the outcome