₦airaland Forum

Was enjoying this your analysis until I got to the north west region, note that tinubu can't win atiku in kastina, kaduna, kebbi, jigawa and kano. Don't know how you got your bias for your north west analysis.
NB This election is between Atiku and Obi, Tinubu doesn't have a strong-hold, even his south-west is been penetrated by Peter obi, As yorubas are more educated.

garfield1:
Obi is only strong in urban areas like calabar,ugep,ikom,ogoja but inside villages like aningeje,owakande,adim, who knows him?

lol, you don't know anything.

You think this is 2019 and 2015, you are living in the past.

Osamabinladenik:
Nope, BVAS is different from card reader in the sense that it first reads your card then scans your finger print. If your finger print doesn't tally, you are out even if your card is read.

Hope you get it?
And results will be readmitted live from polling Units and not after collation. Stop rigging has been minimized

So give us an analysis from non-rigging perspective

You lie sir.I told you bvas is an upgrade on card reader.if it doesnt read your fingerprint,then it can scan your face.it is bimodal hence the B.it does not vote,it only accredits voters.it can be hacked.you yourself said it minimizes rigging,it doesnt stop it.before results are transmitted live,people can manipulate it

Landowner101:
Was enjoying this you analysis until I got to the north west region, note that tinubu can't win atiku in kastina, kaduna, kebbi, jigawa and kano. Don't know how you got your bias for your north west analysis.
NB This election is between Atiku and Obi, Tinubu doesn't have a strong-hold, even his south-west is been penetrated by Peter obi, As yorubas are more educated.

He csn sir esp with kwankwaso on board.pdp is weak in nw.it is atiku that doesnt have a base

garfield1:
You lie sir.I told you bvas is an upgrade on card reader.if it doesnt read your fingerprint,then it can scan your face.it is bimodal hence the B.it does not vote,it only accredits voters.it can be hacked.you yourself said it minimizes rigging,it doesnt stop it.before results are transmitted live,people can manipulate it

BVAS is not just a card reader, it does a long way to make sure that the card read tallies with the genetic make up of the holder. It's an upgrade of card reading.

This makes sure that you cannot overfingerprint with anothet persons cards. Only those capture and identied by BVAS will vote, over voting won't work

garfield1:
He csn sir esp with kwankwaso on board.pdp is weak in nw.it is atiku that doesnt have a base

So you telling me the north will vote Tinubu over their son?

garfield1:
Yes if he mobilizes more and weakens apc

What do you mean by mobilization?

Osamabinladenik:
What do you mean by mobilization?

Campaign at the grassroot

Landowner101:
So you telling me the north will vote Tinubu over their son?

Their son is buhari

garfield1:
Campaign at the grassroot

who are the grassroot?

Osamabinladenik:
BVAS is not just a card reader, it does a long way to make sure that the card read tallies with the genetic make up of the holder. It's an upgrade of card reading.

This makes sure that you cannot overfingerprint with anothet persons cards. Only those capture and identied by BVAS will vote, over voting won't work

I told you that it accepts fingerprint and or facial capture not only fingerprint.now when 200 are captured and accredited,inec and the stronger party say apc can agree and transmit apc 180 lp 10 pdp 10 matching bvas figures

garfield1:
I told you that it accepts fingerprint and or facial capture not only fingerprint.now when 200 are captured and accredited,inec and the stronger party say apc can agree and transmit apc 180 lp 10 pdp 10 matching bvas figures

so, how then is it just a card reader?
It means that you cannot just her putting thumb prints on ballot paper. This wouldn't be possible without BVAS

realistic perspective but like you know...nigerian youths are quietly but patiently waiting for that election day...decisions have been made and nothing will make it drift because no one can compare apple with oranges

Osamabinladenik:
online polls are good, but we cannot overrule the Nigeria effect and rigging as well.

This election is between PDP and LP to win. Had Atiku not emerged, Tinubu would have cleared Northwest and Northeast because those guys are not sensible voters by average. Now they have to chose their person against APC structure, this is when Tinubu started losing the election. APC go try, but their bad performance and Tinubu's image will be used against them a lot, even in the north.

Had Obi not emerged from Labour Party, The election would have been over before it started because it automatically means that southeast and southsouth will vote for Atiku. He will beat Tinubu to stupor.

The emergency of Obi favours Tinubu, in many ways. He wouldn't have had any chance at all

Lawalatm:
realistic perspective but like you know...nigerian youths are quietly but patiently waiting for that election day...decisions have been made and nothing will make it drift because no one can compare apple with oranges

Are you carrying the uninformed northern youths along?
Seems like they are yet to wake from their slumber

Osamabinladenik:
so, how then is it just a card reader?
It means that you cannot just her putting thumb prints on ballot paper. This wouldn't be possible without BVAS

I said it is an upgrade on card reader.

garfield1:
Obi is only strong in urban areas like calabar,ugep,ikom,ogoja but inside villages like aningeje,owakande,adim, who knows him?

Untill u enter villages in boki and etung you will be convinced almost every one in cross River state is obedient

Osamabinladenik:
who are the grassroot?

The masses,commoners,voters at the rural areas.marketwomen,traders,farmers,civil servants.they dont vote independently, they vote according to group interests,what their leaders want.they owe loyalty to some politicians

garfield1:
Obi will win those two states with apc coming 2nd with 25%

I don't want to comment on this nonsense post before.
I just want to remind you that labour can't win one seat of house of Representative or one senatorial zone in edo state.
Not to talk of winning the state. Can labour also win one seat in river state?
Wike, Abe and ameachi will allow labour to win.

garfield1:
The masses,commoners,voters at the rural areas.marketwomen,traders,farmers,civil servants.they dont vote independently, they vote according to group interests,what their leaders want.they owe loyalty to some politicians

So, what figures and statistics do you have to show that rurals in crossrivers don't know Peter Obi?

garfield1:
Their son is buhari

So atiku is not their son

Landowner101:
So atiku is not their son

How did Abiola defeat Tofa in the north in 1993?

Landowner101:
So atiku is not their son

Kwankwaso nko

Osamabinladenik:
So, what figures and statistics do you have to show that rurals in crossrivers don't know Peter Obi?

It is my state.all the big men controlling wards are either apc or pdp

Ransomtheking:
Untill u enter villages in boki and etung you will be convinced almost every one in cross River state is obedient

Unfortunately, apc and pdp are more rooted

garfield1:
Kwankwaso nko

We were talking Atiku vs Tinubu here in north western states, stop trying to deviate.

Delusions

Obi would win south eastern states with 70% margin (Not tribalistic) but Tinubu would win south western states with 60%margin (tribalistic), how do some of you think self?
You are saying Tinubu that has been Popular in the south west forever would win there with 60% because of the people are tribalist by Peter Obi who is just gaining popularity would win the south eastern states with a whooping 70% margin but the people are not tribalist but nationalist abi?
You self think about it yourself

garfield1:
It is my state.all the big men controlling wards are either apc or pdp

Show me data

buhariguy:
I don't want to comment on this nonsense post before.
I just want to remind you that labour can't win one seat of house of Representative or one senatorial zone in edo state.
Not to talk of winning the state. Can labour also win one seat in river state?
Wike, Abe and ameachi will allow labour to win.

Those guys you mentioned here now are codedly working for Peter Obi, come next year Tinubu won't smell second.

3ple9iner:
Obi would win south eastern states with 70% margin (Not tribalistic) but Tinubu would win south western states with 60%margin (tribalistic), how do some of you think self?
You are saying Tinubu that has been Popular in the south west forever would win there with 60% because of the people are tribalist by Peter Obi who is just gaining popularity would win the south eastern states with a whooping 70% margin but the people are not tribalist but nationalist abi?
You self think about it yourself

Obi is more competent that Tinubu. You can argue that if you want.

Obi is penetrating Southwest faster than Tinubu is penetrating southeast. This is because he's more competent than Tinubu. Forgot all the packaging APC is trying to package Tinubu

Osamabinladenik:
It's not about PDP being dead in borno or Yobe, it's about a Fulani man contesting against a Yoruba man to them. That only will sell Atiku straight.
In Northwest, Atiku will get votes as a Fulani man, it will be hard for a Yoruba man to outrightly beat a formidable Fulani man in Fulani/hausaland. Northerners are very very ethnocentric. Kwankwaso might even become second in Northwest if he plays his cards well.
It's not a matter of party now, it's a matter of our person. The same thing we Yoruba are doing with Tinubu, but unfortunately, yorubas are not as ethnocentric as Fulanis, this is why someone like me and many others will vote for Peter Obi.

No allow him to continue shouting APC and PDP as If the average almajiri is bothered about that.Imagine him saying Atiku a Fulani man is not popular in the NW

Lawalatm:
Y64r analysis is what's giving hope to BAT and Atikulate that they stand a chance.......

Endsars national protest was child's play compared to the tsunami of voters for OBIDATTI in the up coming election. Remember that these same duo have beaten all assumptions e.g online presence only, no physical presence in rallies, no money to finance campaigns, no reasonable running mate after Kwankwazo, etc.....they dwarfed all these early assumptions and more

I'm an Obidient, but his analysis is fair.
A lot can still happen before next year though.