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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? (4744 Views)
President Bola Tinubu Need To Find This Igbo Man And Compensate Him Personally / Promises Obi, Tinubu And Atiku Made To The North In Kaduna Today / Nigerians Post Roads In The North In Response To Peter Obi's CNN Statement (2) (3) (4)
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Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 3:31pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ttalk: Get a Biro and Book and educate your self Kaduna is divided into 3 North, Central & South The south most populated part and also major Christians zone They on their own with out Peter Obi visiting them said they are giving Bulk vote to PO Datti is from Central Kaduna :- He would be able to get 5-20% here if he does enough grassroot North and Central would be shared between Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu If block vote of Southern Kaduna and 20% of Central Kaduna vote for PO He would see nothing less than 45% -60% The rest would be shared among the muslim candidates ![]() ![]() ![]() 2 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by odduduwa: 3:33pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
sapele914:Yoruba man you are giving yourself out, only yorubas apply this line of reasoning to rattle up the north 3 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by majole: 3:37pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: YOU TRY FOR THIS ANALYSIS BUT YOU STILL SPOIL AM WHEN YOU STARTED SAYING MR A HAS LOST ZONE C ETC. LET BVAS/NIGERIANS DECIDE |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by a4cube: 3:46pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
From only 4 people "tweeting from Facebook" in a room to giving him SE/SS with some flash up north. That is progression for Obi. While Asiwaju is now going from Landslide Victory nationwide to this your permutation and combination of 60% 20% here and there. That is retrogression. Don't you think so? 5 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by majole: 4:06pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Why don't we form a whatsapp group for the 2023 elections? Email me your number or give me your email so i can send me number. It's easier on whatsapp. I hardly know when to reply here: maajimaaji@yahoo.com |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by sunboy(m): 4:42pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: Kwakwanso being popular in his region how’s that affecting Tinubu’s chances? It made it easier for Tinubu, in my opinion. The election should have has only two front runners, Atiku and Tinubu. Obi and Kwakwanso made it easier for Tinubu cos at the end of the day everybody gets majority in their each zones excluding Atiku… Tinubu is the only one that’s likely to get his 25% in more than 24 states… Obi cannot get 25% in 24 states… take that to the bank. Atiku can get that or close to it, but won’t make majority of votes. Kwakwanso just like Obi cannot get 25% in 24 states. Only Tinubu has the chance of meeting the criteria of the winner here. It’s very logical. I hate to see that these set of people made it to the frontline… it shows how unready we are as a nation, but at this point, it is what it is. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 4:43pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
majole: You are right.I should do like inec when announcing polling unit or ward results.I'll only announce figures and allow the chief returning officer to announce a winner or loser |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Teddy0147(m): 4:43pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
OnyeAshuaUru: Do you think Yoruba Christian will vote obi?…. I’m from south west just name one state obi will win in south west or have 40% |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by sunboy(m): 4:43pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ttalk: Yes but not a win. Ofcourse, he will get votes I never disputed that, and that’s why I put him 2nd in those Christian states and 3rd or 4th everywhere else in the North and he just won’t win any states in any part of Northern Nigeri. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by sunboy(m): 4:48pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: I have no wish here.. just being objective here, I know it’s not what you wish to hear but the constitution says; majority vote + 25% in 2/3 of the nation states. There’s no way Obi is meeting both criteria. He could get his 25% in SS, SE and SW states but all combined not upto 24, even if you add Abuja to the list. He also cannot get majority of the total vote casted across the nation for obvious reason that I don’t need to state. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 4:51pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
mrvitalis: Is atiku sure of winning even his Adamawa? Tinubu will win lagos albeit narrowly... Listen,in 2019,we argued this.hope,rochas,ouk,agege,uche nwosu,izunaso,araraume,all delivered their lgas for buhari.buhari highest votes in those states were from their zones.they will still do same.pdp has been weakened by defections to lp and apc and the g-5 while apc is intact so tinubu has made inroads.according to anap polls,he will defeat atiku in se/ss I said tinubu will thrash obi in core north not atiku.but,they are areas in the north where tinubu will thrash atiku like borno,yobe,zamfara,kwara,kogi.atiku is overrated,he is depending on pdp structure.on his own he is weak.let him go to another party and let's see how strong he is.can't you see what obi is going with lp,kwankwaso with nnpp? Atiku is an idiot, a coward |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 4:55pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: Tinubu will win lagos,beat atiku in kaduna and katsina is 50 50., |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 4:56pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: Not true.Kaduna south is the least populated.atiku and obi will share it.tinubu will ein kaduna central while kaduna north will go to tinubu and kwankwaso.so tinubu win followed by obi then kwankwaso |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by MyMouth(m): 4:57pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
OnyeAshuaUru:Unfortunately, Yoruba no dey carry religion for head. Ethnicity matters more to them in politics than religion. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 5:00pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
sunboy: Buhari did not even get 25% total in SE So with your other guys that call SE nyamri, ipob you still expect 25% in SE total vote Lol only cross river would give Tinubu a certain % from 5-15 as my other SS vote in line with SE most time and Bayelsa are not happy with How Tinubu and Buhari remove Goodluck Okowa is not even sure of wining Delta then Akwa Ibom is PDP state but PO and Atiku would share it 2 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Superwave16320: 5:00pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
And what they have in stock is same as they displayed in the APC primary plusfield: |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:01pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
MyMouth: Gbam.tinubu should win kogi |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Raheeqilmaktoom: 5:02pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
sapele914: And who told you that the Almajirci have problems with an Igbo president? If you are banking on that to push your drug Lord forward, better wake up. 3 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:04pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: Buhari got 25% in abia,ebonyi and imo.with two governors,apc will have 25% in at least two se states now that obi is killing pdp and pdp is divided there... Cross river is my state,tinubu will get 25% there.he will also get 25% in edo, delta.Buhari got 40% in bayelsa,tinubu will get same |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by MyMouth(m): 5:04pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1:Most definitely! No doubt. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:06pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
MyMouth: I know he will do well in kogi central and west.dont know for east |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Svoboda(m): 5:09pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Haha Atiku is always running helter skelter. Where is the pdm he formed today? People forget he once ran to this same tinubu for shelter in 2007. Highly overated, whose loyalists have scattered to everywhere. I will always say, if youths want to study contemporary politics in nigeria and how rewards for loyalty are earned and shared, look no further than Tinubu. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 5:12pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: So you still think SE would vote by Party this year when they have their Son I love this ![]() ![]() ![]() Tinubu is not marketable in SE at all except they rig some local government which by this time no single thumb printing from one person Do you think PO can win 25% in any SW state apart from Lagos 2 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by MyMouth(m): 5:13pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1:Am from the east, he will get the required numbers there even though pdp has the 2 former governors from the area. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 5:13pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
MyMouth: If Oyedepo a Yoruba Pastor tell his members to vote PO Who do you think they would listen to Ethnicity or Religion? 2 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Raheeqilmaktoom: 5:16pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
a4cube: ![]() ![]() ![]() 2 Likes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by MyMouth(m): 5:16pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa:E go shock you! They would still vote a Yoruba person expecially now that they believe it's the turn of the Yorubas |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:19pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
MyMouth: I think sen echocho and onoja will try for him.am not sure ex govs wada and idris are syi very relevant.also obi will get some votes |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:21pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Ennoloa: 70% of se will vote their son obi but the remaining 30% will be open to rigging and apc will out muscle pdp and get more votes.there are few lgas where apc will dominate.pdp will be third. Obi will get 35% in lagos but I dont see him getting 25% outside except he puts effort in oyo |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by garfield1: 5:23pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
Svoboda: Gbam.no one has more loyalists than tinubu not even buhari.Tinubu learnt well from late abiola.atiku should have learnt we from late shehu but was impatient. He inherited his structure pdm but doesnt know how to maintain a political structure. Atiku is making gains in katsina and bauchi. |
Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 5:24pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: This why I say you guys are deluded You base on assumptions instead of researching only SK has 51% of the total Kaduna Population: A block vote from here up to 52% of 1.6M in-respect to the total vote of Kaduna 2019 election is 800k+ it would cover to an extent for Katsina and Kano margins than Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwanso is going to share 1 Like
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Re: Does Tinubu Need To Win The North In 2023? by Ennoloa: 5:31pm On Jan 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Nobody is going to rig any election in SE as there would be high turnout even INEC had to cancel the election in some part of Osun where there were thugs interference Any area with APC thug interference in SE might be responded with violence from the Youth themselves that are not happy with the marginalization they feel they are facing and INEC would cancel and redo those areas So don't think you can rig there even APC, PDP and other parties house of reps use PO with their billboards Be sleeping on imaginary 25% I know one local govt in Abia that the PDP and APC house of rep are using PO as their President You begin to wonder where APC want to see 25% SE elites like Soludo and Arthur eze are most likely to work for Atiku than Tinubu as its easier to market Okowayo instead of Shetimma because they know shetima as boko haram in east 2 Likes |
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