I think not.with kwankwaso in play and obi cornering northern Christian votes and with atiku losing out in ss/se,tinubu just needs to get 30% in the north alongside 60% in the sw.if tinubu gets 30% atiku 35% kwankwaso 25% obi 10%,it will be ok.if tinubu gets 35%,atiku 40% kwankwaso 20%,its still ok provided atiku does not beat tinubu by more than 10%.worst case scenario should be tinubu 30% atiku 40% kwankwaso 20% or tinubu 30% kwankwaso 40%, atiku 25%.but he must get 60% in sw and defeat atiku in the north central and as it stands,atiku has lost the north central yo obi and tinubu.its now left for tinubu to win one of ne/nw or if possible win both or lose narrowly while staying close to atiku in se/ss...


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Nplfmod
Noethnicity
Kyase
Majole
Immaculatejoe
Penguin2
Ojiofor
Murphyibiam
Pakute
Osunoriginal
Omonnakoda
Indispensable
Okoroawusa
Arewanorth
Ttalk
Ityp
Benuejosh
Oghenaogie

Tinubu's hope is on the northern APC govs and elite. But unfortunately, he doesn't know what they have in stock for him

February/March will be big moments in our polity.

Tinubu cannot win anywhere that Yoruba Muslims are not the majority. Unfortunately, Yoruba Muslims are an insignificant minority even in Yoruba land, and this makes the regional candidate tag on Tinubu look more like a flattering exaggeration.
Peter Obi is the next President of Nigeria.

So this boy still carry this Mumu behavior enter 2023.

No matter how much u pad and Bandy figures around, there’s no path way for Thiefnubuu to the Presidency.

It’s better you embrace the fact that Peter Obi is Nigeria’s President in waiting.

plusfield:
Tinubu's hope is on the northern APC govs and elite. But unfortunately, he doesn't know what they have in stock for him

And you know what they have in stock for him, right?

PVC distribution per region


.

Am glad reality is setting in
I thought APC votes are intact and PDP votes have been split into 3
We patiently wait for February. Let's see how governors will translate into millions of votes

Anybody supporting APC is wicked and heartless.

Who want vote for thief??

Tinubu cannot be president unless he wins the North.Stop dreaming

Zionmdde:
Am glad reality is setting in
I thought APC votes are intact and PDP votes have been split into 3
We patiently wait for February. Let's see how governors will translate into millions of votes

Anybody supporting APC is wicked and heartless.

No allow them to continue deceiving themselves

Moh247:



PVC distribution per region


.

The problem be say NW votes will be very much divided between the PDP and NNNP

seunmsg:


And you know what they have in stick for him, right?

A shock awaits the thief

Obi is winning already.

Lord we are grateful.

plusfield:
Tinubu's hope is on the northern APC govs and elite. But unfortunately, he doesn't know what they have in stock for him

Surprised how you people from southern Nigeria that claim you have insight reason? Even any logical thinking Almijiri in the North knows that 1 term seekerAtiku is a no show.

Firstly Fulani will not replace Fulani, secondly Igbo will not take over from Atiku in 2027 after only 1 term.

fergie001:
February/March will be big moments in our polity.

Bro, just say next month

Garfield1
Seems part of your new year celebration was visiting your favorite burukutu joint

But I see fear is now catching you about the prospect of your beloved APC in the North.
Why so? Care to share?

It is also instructive to note you've ceded SS and SE to arrive at this your permutation

If so, why then do your fellow urchins claim Obi will not win a single state not to mention a region?

Lastly, gave you ceded Kano to Kwankwaso and Katsina/Kebbi to Atiku too?

sapele914:
Even any logical thinking Almijiri in the North knows that Atiku is a no show.

Almajiris will leave Atiku and Kwankwaso to vote for Tinubu? Delusions at its peak.

The state Governors cannot even rig for him even if they so wished.

sapele914:
Even any logical thinking Almijiri in the North knows that 1 term seekerAtiku is a no show.

Firstly Fulani will not replace Fulani, secondly Igbo will not take over from Atiku in 2027 after only 1 term.

Though I am rooting for Obi but there is no part of our constitution that says a Fulani cannot take over from a Fulani.If Atiku wins he would be sworn in as president and will be eligible to run for a second term if he so wishes

kcnwaigbo:

Almajiris will leave Atiku and Kwankwaso to vote for Tinubu? Delusions at its peak.

The state Governors cannot even rig for him even if they so wished.

E be like say common Almijiri get sense pass you? I said logical thinking, not the types like you.

Only a foolish Almijiri will vote for Atiku that will hand over to a supposed Ndigbo in 2027, than for Muslim that will handover to them whenever either 2027 or 2031.

kcnwaigbo:

The problem be say NW votes will be very much divided between the PDP and NNNP

Presidential election, Senatorial election, Federal Rep election all holds same day

NNP is over hyped... Kwankwaso can't deliver Kano State when Ganduje, Ado Dogowa and Others are very much on ground for APC

Kaduna State under ElRufai is going to be shared by APC and PDP, Katsina , Zamfara are APC states

plusfield:
Tinubu's hope is on the northern APC govs and elite. But unfortunately, he doesn't know what they have in stock for him

you are dreaming, you are not from the north but you know what is in there mind

kcnwaigbo:

Though I am rooting for Obi but there is no part of our constitution that says a Fulani cannot take over from a Fulani.If Atiku wins he would be sworn in as president and will be eligible to run for a second term if he so wishes

There is no where in our constitution 1999 as Amended that talks about the 6 geographical zones, but we abide by it politically.

Even logical thinking Almijiris that understand the politics of Nigeria 1979 till date will tell you that Fulani cannot take over from Fulani, most especially when the Fulani that wants to take power, was the same person that enthroned his successor.

garfield1:
I think not.with kwankwaso in play and obi cornering northern Christian votes and with atiku losing out in ss/se,tinubu just needs to get 30% in the north alongside 60% in the sw.if tinubu gets 30% atiku 35% kwankwaso 25% obi 10%,it will be ok.if tinubu gets 35%,atiku 40% kwankwaso 20%,its still ok provided atiku does not beat tinubu by more than 10%.worst case scenario should be tinubu 30% atiku 40% kwankwaso 20% or tinubu 30% kwankwaso 40%, atiku 25%.but he must get 60% in sw and defeat atiku in the north central and as it stands,atiku has lost the north central yo obi and tinubu.its now left for tinubu to win one of ne/nw or if possible win both or lose narrowly while staying close to atiku in se/ss...


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Nplfmod
Noethnicity
Kyase
Majole
Immaculatejoe
Penguin2
Ojiofor
Murphyibiam
Pakute
Osunoriginal
Omonnakoda
Indispensable
Okoroawusa
Arewanorth
Ttalk
Ityp
Benuejosh
Oghenaogie

When you're referring to North, hope you're aware that middle belt is among. If so, then you're underating Obi's possible percentage/performance.

If Obi win 2 - 3 states including Abuja, with enough votes from Taraba, Nasarawa and Kaduna due to the number of christians in those states, then he will get like 30 - 35 percent from north.

Note: you can't predict who will win Nasarawa, Taraba and Kaduna.

Unless your rating is base on NW & NE

Bendeco02:

When you're referring to North, hope you're aware that middle belt is among. If so, then you're underating Obi's possible percentage/performance.

If Obi win Two 3 states including including Abuja, with enough votes from Taraba, Nasarawa and Kaduna, then he will get like 30 - 35 percent from north.

Note: you can't predict who will win Nasarawa, Taraba and Kaduna.
You can

Unless your rating is base on NW & NE

In all honesty I don’t think Peter Obi will win any state across the River Benue, no way those tribes will vote for an Igbo man on Election Day, unless he is a fluent speaker of The Hausa language, like a Northern affiliated Rochas Okorocha or Orji Kalu, never a Peter Obi.

Ndigbos are known for sweet talk, when he gets there, only their tribes men everywhere, Fulani style.

Moh247:



PVC distribution per region


.

Dis one don carry PVC distribution enter discussion.

You cannot confuse this glaring reality. There's no way Tinubu can win the southwest @ 60%, impossible.

He will perform at the ebb in NC behind Atiku, while Obi carries the region. And for some of you who believe Tinubu will win either NE or NW, I have a bridge in my village to sell to you.

The most Tinubu can expect from Kano as it now stands is 25% or likely less. Katsina is currently in play and hotting up by the day. Kaduna is a hotbed for LP as we speak, south of it, so to say, and they are numerically superior to their northern Kaduna mates in that location.

Tinubu will be, literally speaking, stoned politically in SE and SS. It is for this reason he went cap in hand, begging Wike and the G-5, and was summarily rejected by those formidable truth seekers.

Tinubu and Atiku are in soup already and they both know it.
Say hello to president Peter Gregory Obi already.

sapele914:
In all honesty I don’t think Peter Obi will win any state across the River Benue, no way those tribes will vote for an Igbo man on Election Day, unless he is a fluent speaker of The Hausa language.

Bro, all those slogan of not voting igbo man is now a stale.

The better you realize that tinubu is the most hated politician alive by masses the better for you.

No body reason about that your Igbo propaganda again except your tribalistic mindset.

Hope you travel, not staying in one state since you were born and be concluding some hateful thoughts.

If this coming election is conducted free and fair between tinubu and any other contestants, any of those contestants will beat tinubu hands down.

Know that and know peace.

Bendeco02:

Bro, all those slogan of not voting igbo man is now a stale.

The better you realize that tinubu is the most hated politician alive by masses the better for you.

No body reason about that your Igbo propaganda again except your tribalistic mindset.

That is to you, only speaking as I perceive it, mind you I did not say all igbos, I said those like Peter Obi that cannot speak fluent Hausa, they will laugh with Peter Obi, on Election Day it is Nyamiri they will be saying, if you can point to any statement where Peter Obi condemned the activities of ipob, then he can come & beg other tribes of Nigeria for consideration.

sapele914:
That is to you, only speaking as I perceive it, they will laugh with Peter Obi, on Election Day it is Nyamiri they will be saying, if you can point to any statement where Peter Obi condemned the activities of ipob, then he can come & beg other tribes for consideration.

Bro, no need for unecessary arguments. North is not only NW & NE.

Most of those christian minority don't allign with Hausa/Fulani mentally because anytime there's any religious crisis, they kill and attack any christian including yoruba and northern Christians.

Northern sentiments are more of religion than tribe. Know that and know peace

Igbos are victims of religious crisis in NW/NE most times because they travel more than any other tribe. And when that happens Igbos in South East retaliate by killing Hausas/Fulani, that's why it looks like tribal war sometimes.

Those northern Christians sees Igbos as brother than Hausa/Fulani.