₦airaland Forum

sunboy:
It’s not about the constitution it’s about the northern politics. It’s shared between the Hausa and Fulanis. Right now it’s either an Hausa turn or it goes to southern Nigeria and Hausa can come next.

Which northern politics?

sapele914:
There is no where in our constitution 1999 as Amended that talks about the 6 geographical zones, but we abide by it politically.

Even logical thinking Almijiris that understand the politics of Nigeria 1979 till date will tell you that Fulani cannot take over from Fulani, most especially when the Fulani that wants to take power, was the same person that enthroned his successor.

Who and who abide by it? If there are abiding by it we will not be having this argument

sapele914:
E be like say common Almijiri get sense pass you? I said logical thinking, not the types like you.

Only a foolish Almijiri will vote for Atiku that will hand over to a supposed Ndigbo in 2027, than for Muslim that will handover to them whenever either 2027 or 2031.

If I am an almajiri I will rather vote for my brother this year than hope to be handed over in 2031.You people actually take other regions for fools

Moh247:
Presidential election, Senatorial election, Federal Rep election all holds same day

NNP is over hyped... Kwankwaso can't deliver Kano State when Ganduje, Ado Dogowa and Others are very much on ground for APC

Kaduna State under ElRufai is going to be shared by APC and PDP, Katsina , Zamfara are APC states

Lol about Kaduna LP will score more votes than APC in Kaduna

Ennoloa:
Get a Biro and Book and educate your self

Kaduna is divided into 3 North, Central & South

The south most populated part and also major Christians zone

They on their own with out Peter Obi visiting them said they are giving Bulk vote to PO
Datti is from Central Kaduna :- He would be able to get 5-20% here if he does enough grassroot

North and Central would be shared between Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu

If block vote of Southern Kaduna and 20% of Central Kaduna vote for PO
He would see nothing less than 45% -60%

The rest would be shared among the muslim candidates

Are you mad?

Southern kaduna the most populated? You dey follow vanguard news abi?

Even the people from Southern Kadunn won't utter such. If SK is the most populated, they should produce the next Governor Nah.

Metcheww, nonsense elements

kcnwaigbo:
Lol about Kaduna LP will score more votes than APC in Kaduna

If you truly believe that in all honesty then you are naive about KD Politics

dreamxhaser:
Are you mad?

Southern kaduna the most populated? You dey follow vanguard news abi?

Even the people from Southern Kadunn won't utter such. If SK is the most populated, they should produce the next Governor Nah.

Metcheww, nonsense elements

Deluded soul, go and check the last census of the Local govt under South Kaduna before you talk Bala bu here

kcnwaigbo:
Which northern politics?

We can have this conversation again when “Atiku wins”

Ennoloa:
Buhari did not even get 25% total in SE

So with your other guys that call SE nyamri, ipob you still expect 25% in SE total vote

Lol

only cross river would give Tinubu a certain % from 5-15 as my other SS vote in line with SE most time and Bayelsa are not happy with How Tinubu and Buhari remove Goodluck
Okowa is not even sure of wining Delta then Akwa Ibom is PDP state but PO and Atiku would share it

Okay!

Ennoloa:
This is where you are missing it Niger is mainly Aboki and its going to Atiku 60%
Kwara margin would very minimal as Saraki grass root here is more than what Apc is doing

So don't get too much hope
That's why every Poll show Obi to win NC because Kwara, Niger and Kogi is going to be shared between them and the margin would be little

Tinubu is more popular in Niger state far ahead of all other Aspirants combined.
Obi won't even get up to 10% in these 3 states you mentioned, so I wonder how he's planning to win the region.
Note: I'm currently in Niger state and Kwara is my state of origin.

Moh247:
If you truly believe that in all honesty then you are naive about KD Politics

Okay we shall see

Ennoloa:
Nobody is going to rig any election in SE as there would be high turnout even INEC had to cancel the election in some part of Osun where there were thugs interference

Any area with APC thug interference in SE might be responded with violence from the Youth themselves that are not happy with the marginalization they feel they are facing and INEC would cancel and redo those areas

So don't think you can rig there even APC, PDP and other parties house of reps use PO with their billboards

Be sleeping on imaginary 25%

I know one local govt in Abia that the PDP and APC house of rep are using PO as their President

You begin to wonder where APC want to see 25%

SE elites like Soludo and Arthur eze are most likely to work for Atiku than Tinubu as its easier to market Okowayo instead of Shetimma because they know shetima as boko haram in east

You are funny.when they want to rig,they do it secretly.the youths won't know.if they is violence,they will cancel elections and will not re do it which means obi is losing votes.
Se won't record high turnout.they have the lowest votes and turnout,it can never change.they just dont like voting.don't forget even the great ojukwu lost in the east.
Buhari was hated in se,he was seen as a terrorist and a boko haram member.they hated him for dealing with nnamdi KANU and bringing python dance yet buhari still got votes how much more tinubu my son?
There is no guarantee that Arthur eze or soludo will support atiku.anambra people hate them for attacking obi.but in pdp,sen nnamani and Enugu speaker Edward ubosi and many in Enugu govt are working for tinubu already.more people in the se are already working for tinubu against atiku

garfield1:
Gbam.no one has more loyalists than tinubu not even buhari.Tinubu learnt well from late abiola.atiku should have learnt we from late shehu but was impatient. He inherited his structure pdm but doesnt know how to maintain a political structure.

Atiku is making gains in katsina and bauchi.

Youre right. Atiku is impatient and doesnt sacrifice. He is too selfish.

Dont you think buharis influence will count in tinubus favour in katsina and bauchi?

Ennoloa:
This why I say you guys are deluded

You base on assumptions instead of researching

only SK has 51% of the total Kaduna Population: A block vote from here up to 52% of 1.6M in-respect to the total vote of Kaduna 2019 election is 800k+ it would cover to an extent for Katsina and Kano margins than Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwanso is going to share

This is false and unreliable.it is from sokapu which is a socio political organisation like ohanaeze.only NBS ors NPS can give you the correct data.if southern kad are so many,why can't they win the guber seat? In 2015,they gave gej 200k votes and gave ,atiku 300k in 2019.that means they can't give obi more than 200k and many will vote atiku and tinubu

Svoboda:
Youre right. Atiku is impatient and doesnt sacrifice. He is too selfish.

Dont you think buharis influence will count in tinubus favour in katsina and bauchi?

I think it will if he campaigns for tinubu openly

Ennoloa:
Deluded soul, go and check the last census of the Local govt under South Kaduna before you talk Bala bu here

Kid,kaduna south has 8 lgas kaduna central has 7 lgas.kaduna north has 8 lgas.kaduna south has the least amount of population

garfield1:
You are funny.when they want to rig,they do it secretly.the youths won't know.if they is violence,they will cancel elections and will not re do it which means obi is losing votes.
Se won't record high turnout.they have the lowest votes and turnout,it can never change.they just dont like voting.don't forget even the great ojukwu lost in the east.
Buhari was hated in se,he was seen as a terrorist and a boko haram member.they hated him for dealing with nnamdi KANU and bringing python dance yet buhari still got votes how much more tinubu my son?
There is no guarantee that Arthur eze or soludo will support atiku.anambra people hate them for attacking obi.but in pdp,sen nnamani and Enugu speaker Edward ubosi and many in Enugu govt are working for tinubu already.more people in the se are already working for tinubu against atiku

Why didn't APC rig Osun with BVAS there is nothing like secretly or quietly, In Apc Major areas in Osun during the election

Do you know the youths and people stood till the electoral officer uploaded the result before they left

Its now SE that don't like Tinubu that APC would rig

Such a delusion

garfield1:
Kid,kaduna south has 8 lgas kaduna central has 7 lgas.kaduna north has 8 lgas.kaduna south has the least amount of population

I said it you are deluded

Your principal drug is even affecting you when you have not met your principal

South Kaduna has 12 LGA

Out of 23 they have 12 and they are giving block vote to PO

The rest would be share among Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso

Ennoloa:
I said it you are deluded

Your principal drug is even affecting you when you have not met your principal

South Kaduna has 12 LGA

Out of 23 they have 12 and they are giving block vote to PO

The rest would be share among Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso

My boy,mention the 12 lgas in kaduna south and how many are in kaduna central?

Ennoloa:
Why didn't APC rig Osun with BVAS there is nothing like secretly or quietly, In Apc Major areas in Osun during the election

Do you know the youths and people stood till the electoral officer uploaded the result before they left

Its now SE that don't like Tinubu that APC would rig

Such a delusion

Lp is a poor party.a lot of its officials will be bribed and compromised to betray obi.all eyes of the world were in Osun so APC was careful but during presidential elections, the focus is on lagos and cities.they dont go to villages were lp will be humiliated

garfield1:
My boy,mention the 12 lgas in kaduna south and how many are in kaduna central?

You can first do me the favour of mentioning how many local govt you known in Kaduna and i would help you a deluded soul to pick the LGA in South Kaduna if you haven't been to Kaduna

garfield1:
I think it will if he campaigns for tinubu openly

Buhari will eventually. He is a man of his words.

Besides, Tinubu is one big politician who can actually succeed on his own structure with minimal external input.

I increased my respect for tinubu when he was fetched by the intl community
to persuade and convey stubborn Yaya Jammeh, fmr Gambian president away from his seat.

garfield1:
Lp is a poor party.a lot of its officials will be bribed and compromised to betray obi.all eyes of the world were in Osun so APC was careful but during presidential elections, the focus is on lagos and cities.they dont go to villages were lp will be humiliated

Lol, you are banking on bribery

It shows your principal can't win in a free and fair election

And let me tell you is the North West and NE that have a lot of villages and those place Atiku have someone there also to checkmate APC if you don't know

in the SE & SS part the youths know Obi and those villagers are also Obedient so don't expect much

You can't rig in another man land hope you know

Can PO rig in Osun? No

So don't expect Tinubu to Rig in SE when he could not rig Osun

Ennoloa:
Lol, you are banking on bribery

It shows your principal can't win in a free and fair election

And let me tell you is the North West and NE that have a lot of villages and those place Atiku have someone there also to checkmate APC if you don't know

in the SE & SS part the youths know Obi and those villagers are also Obedient so don't expect much

You can't rig in another man land hope you know

Can PO rig in Osun? No

So don't expect Tinubu to Rig in SE when he could not rig Osun

You lie.apc and tinub. have more men and structure than atiku and pdp in all areas of the ne/nw.in borno,yobe,zamfara,pdp is non existent in most parts.apc dominates everywhere.the few people atiku have can easily be intimidated or compromised like they did in 2019.
Not everyone likes obi in the east.in some villages,the voters are not enlightened.if apc can't rig,they can reduce obi's votes

garfield1:
I think not.with kwankwaso in play and obi cornering northern Christian votes and with atiku losing out in ss/se,tinubu just needs to get 30% in the north alongside 60% in the sw.if tinubu gets 30% atiku 35% kwankwaso 25% obi 10%,it will be ok.if tinubu gets 35%,atiku 40% kwankwaso 20%,its still ok provided atiku does not beat tinubu by more than 10%.worst case scenario should be tinubu 30% atiku 40% kwankwaso 20% or tinubu 30% kwankwaso 40%, atiku 25%.but he must get 60% in sw and defeat atiku in the north central and as it stands,atiku has lost the north central yo obi and tinubu.its now left for tinubu to win one of ne/nw or if possible win both or lose narrowly while staying close to atiku in se/ss...


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Nplfmod
Noethnicity
Kyase
Majole
Immaculatejoe
Penguin2
Ojiofor
Murphyibiam
Pakute
Osunoriginal
Omonnakoda
Indispensable
Okoroawusa
Arewanorth
Ttalk
Ityp
Benuejosh
Oghenaogie

Don’t deceive yourself…

For anyone to win the 2023 elections, he needs to win 3 geopolitical zones.

So far, only Obi is sure of that with his expected victory in Southeast, Southsouth and North Central.

The next person that comes close to victory is Atiku if he can win Northwest and Northeast massively, then he might not need to win any southern region per se but to just get some considerable votes from Southsouth and maybe Southwest.

Right now, Tinubu is the most disadvantaged of the 3 front runners. He’s only sure of Southwest for now which should worry anyone that supports him.

Are you guys are ever going to be practical?

a4cube:
From only 4 people "tweeting from Facebook" in a room to giving him SE/SS with some flash up north. That is progression for Obi.

While Asiwaju is now going from Landslide Victory nationwide to this your permutation and combination of 60% 20% here and there. That is retrogression.

Don't you think so?

The fog will soon clear from their eyes

Almajiri are having a very difficult life now but you're telling them to think long-term? Obi is the next president

sapele914:
E be like say common Almijiri get sense pass you? I said logical thinking, not the types like you.

Only a foolish Almijiri will vote for Atiku that will hand over to a supposed Ndigbo in 2027, than for Muslim that will handover to them whenever either 2027 or 2031.

You still carry your tribalism enter 2023?

sapele914:
In all honesty I don’t think Peter Obi will win any state across the River Benue, no way those tribes will vote for an Igbo man on Election Day, unless he is a fluent speaker of The Hausa language, like a Northern affiliated Rochas Okorocha or Orji Kalu, never a Peter Obi.

Ndigbos are known for sweet talk, when he gets there, only their tribes men everywhere, Fulani style.

garfield1:
You are funny.when they want to rig,they do it secretly.the youths won't know.if they is violence,they will cancel elections and will not re do it which means obi is losing votes.
Se won't record high turnout.they have the lowest votes and turnout,it can never change.they just dont like voting.don't forget even the great ojukwu lost in the east.
Buhari was hated in se,he was seen as a terrorist and a boko haram member.they hated him for dealing with nnamdi KANU and bringing python dance yet buhari still got votes how much more tinubu my son?
There is no guarantee that Arthur eze or soludo will support atiku.anambra people hate them for attacking obi.but in pdp,sen nnamani and Enugu speaker Edward ubosi and many in Enugu govt are working for tinubu already.more people in the se are already working for tinubu against atiku

When the SE voters turn up in high numbers come and chase them back.

BTW if there will be violence against the LP voters ,it won't be in the SE as no one will dare

kcnwaigbo:
When the SE voters turn up in high numbers come and chase them back.

BTW if there will be violence against the LP voters ,it won't be in the SE as no one will dare

Se dont ever turnout and this year won't be different

garfield1:
You lie.apc and tinub. have more men and structure than atiku and pdp in all areas of the ne/nw.in borno,yobe,zamfara,pdp is non existent in most parts.apc dominates everywhere.the few people atiku have can easily be intimidated or compromised like they did in 2019.
Not everyone likes obi in the east.in some villages,the voters are not enlightened.if apc can't rig,they can reduce obi's votes

Damn, don't cry bro
Is it everyone that like Tinubu in South West


You also don't know the significance people travel to the east last year December.. 90% of those not enlightened are enlightened

Ennoloa:
Damn, don't cry bro
Is it everyone that like Tinubu in South West


You also don't know the significance people travel to the east last year December.. 90% of those not enlightened are enlightened

Just like not everyone like obi but majority will vote both.Tinubu will crush him with northern votes