₦airaland Forum

Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

You are right

Kikikiki... Self consolation.
In the north, 90% Christians will vote Peter Obi
SS, SE and 50% SW are OBIdient.

For now
18% Lagos is for Atiku
5% Kwankwaso
4% Sowore
45% Peter Obi
20% Tinubu
6% invalid votes for APC

In the next few days PO will increase

Add 500k to Obi in the Nw (guaranteed 700k in KD)

Add 300k to Obi in the SW

Add 1M to Obi in the SS (Tinubu is Non existent)

Add 300k to Obi in the NC

Add 500k to Obi in the NE (Taraba, Gombe, Bauchi)

Add 500k to Obi in the SE.

The elections have been won and lost already, I understand your trying very hard to give Atiku an edge, but Peter Obi is Nigeria’s President in waiting.

Naira20:
Kikikiki... Self consolation.
In the north, 90% Christians will vote Peter Obi
SS, SE and 50% SW are OBIdient.

For now
18% Lagos is for Atiku
5% Kwankwaso
4% Sowore
45% Peter Obi
20% Tinubu
6% invalid votes for APC

In the next few days PO will increase

are you suggesting that Peter Obi will beat Tinubu in Southwest?

Obi will soundly defeat Tinubu in Lagos. Watch and see. The margin may be very wide.

AbujaCitiBlog:
Obi will soundly defeat Tinubu in Lagos. Watch and see. The margin may be very wide.

Well, while that's possible but it's still doesn't mean that Tinubu won't win southwest with 50% margin

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

you try but to think tinubu will get 1million votes in SS, that is another joke, Atiku might win SS by slight margin against LP

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

Tinubu is more likely to win a rerun. Most Obi voters would rather not vote than vote any of the 2 candidates. Kwakwanso is more likely to deliver his voters over to Tinubu than to Atiku. North Central will more likely support Tinubu than Atiku because of the Fulani factor

lagbaja:
Tinubu should win a rerun. Kwakwanso is more likely to deliver his voters over to Tinubu than to Atiku. North Central will more likely support Tinubu than Atiku because of the Fulani factor

If Atiku and Tinubu gets into a rerun, the election will be over before it started.

Tinubu will not have any chance

YES
Tinubu's major votes are from 60% SW Muslims and 1% Churchgoers (who are his beneficiaries) which are not much.
Other Muslims would vote Atiku, Kwankwaso, and Even PO.

The Muslim-Muslim Ticket would backfire here in the SW.

Trollronaldo:
are you suggesting that Peter Obi will beat Tinubu in Southwest?

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.

Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 35% 3,115,778
2. TINUBU 30% 2,670,667
3. Kwankwaso 25% 2,225,556
4. Obi 5% 445,111

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 25% 1,7996,876
3. Atiku 15% 1,077,526
4. Kwankwaso 2% 143,670

Southsouth
1. Obi 45% 2,599,328
2. Atiku 30% 1,732,885
3. Tinubu 20% 1,155,257
4. Kwankwaso 2% 115,525

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 15% 752,545
Obi 10% 501,697

Southeast
Obi 70% 3,054,129
Atiku 15% 654,456
Tinubu 10% 436,304
Kwankwaso 1% 43,630


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11,202, 719
Atiku: 10,431,080
Obi: 10,239,788
Kwankwaso: 3,895,475


I see Tinubu getting the most votes, however, this is not certain. Tinubu will get the most votes but won't get 25% required coverage. Tinubu will go into a rerun with Atiku.
Atiku will beat Tinubu in the rerun by winning SE and SS. However, it's still too close to call, Tinubu and Atiku may lose the momentum to Obi.


Thanks for reading guys

Good,I think this is the best result.it is closest to reality.mind you tinubu may narrow the gap in ne nw or even win.same for obi and tinubu in nc...
But it won't get to a rerun.if tinubu is getting over 1 mil in ss and 400k in se,he will get 25% there.I see obi having more votes than atiku

senatordave1:
Good,I think this is the best result.it is closest to reality.mind you tinubu may narrow the gap in ne nw or even win.same for obi and tinubu in nc...
But it won't get to a rerun.if tinubu is getting over 1 mil in ss and 400k in se,he will get 25% there.I see obi having more votes than atiku

the election will get to a rerun, no two ways about it

Naira20:
YES
Tinubu's major votes are from 60% SW Muslims and 1% Churchgoers (who are his beneficiaries) which are not much.
Other Muslims would vote Atiku, Kwankwaso, and Even PO.

The Muslim-Muslim Ticket would backfire here in the SW.

lol

Trollronaldo:
the election will get to a rerun, no two ways about it

It will not if any of them achieved the spread

Calling all Urchins. Finally a poll that projects the microphone licking crack head as the winner. Even if the analysis is a product of too much agbado, u guys can masturbate on this while waiting for the next Obi news to jump on

senatordave1:
It will not if any of them achieved the spread

none can.
If any does and doesn't have the largest number of votes, there will be a rerun still

Trollronaldo:
none can.
If any does and doesn't have the largest number of votes, there will be a rerun still

Whoever will have the spread will have the highest votes.atiku and tinubu have the capacity to get the spread in ss/se while obi can't make it in ne/nw

Trollronaldo:
Below is the amount of registered voters by regions.
I am going to make this analysis based on 40% voters turnout in every region, it's not certain but it's enough to give us an insight to as to what will happen in February.
CORRECTIONS
Based on 40% voters turnout, here is the figure from each region

1. NW 8,902,224
2. SW 7,183,506
3. NC 6, 145, 492
4. SS 5, 776, 285
5. NE 5,016,971
6. SE 4,363,042


Analysis based on regions based on my predictions are as follows

Northwest
1. Atiku 30% 2.7m
2. TINUBU 40% 3.6m
3. Kwankwaso 10% 890k
4. Obi 20% 1.8m

SouthWest
1. Tinubu 50% 3,591,753
2. Obi 40% 2.9m
3. Atiku 10% 718k

Southsouth
1. Obi 70% 4.1m
2. Atiku 20% 1.2m
3. Tinubu 10% 580k

Northcentral
1. Atiku 30% 1,843,647
2. Obi 30% 1,843,647
3. Tinubu 30% 1,843,647
4. Kwankwaso 10% 614,549

Northeast
Atiku 40% 2,006,788
Tinubu 30% 1,505,091
Kwankwaso 10% 502k
Obi 20% 1 m

Southeast
Obi 80% 3.5m
Atiku 10% 440k
Tinubu 10% 440k


TOTAL
Tinubu : 11.5m
Atiku: 9.8m
Obi: 15.1m WINNER

No reruns.......obi is winning first ballot.


Thanks for reading guys

The Muslim ticket will play a huge role.

The kkk states will be divided by 3 people(Tinubu, Atiku, RMK) instead of 1 person(Buhari).

Obi will cancel many votes from Tinubu in the ss & se with his(obi) sw votes

Atiku will win NE, Tinubu will win NW.

A divided core north can't beat a united SE & SS.

ATIKU OR RMK must step down for Tinubu. If not. Tinubu can't win the elections.

In the SW, the elections is between obi & Tinubu.

In the SE & SS Its between obi & Atiku.

In the NC, Its between obi, Atiku & Tinubu

In the core north ( Tinubu, Atiku, kwankwanso and Obi[Muslim ticket | Christians will definitely do protest votes and ensure they are not marginalised] )

No reruns.

Trollronaldo:
the election will get to a rerun, no two ways about it

It won't.
Obi is wining first ballot

A very possible scenario.

[quote author=JoeNL22 post=119959477][/quote]you are really underestimating kwankwaso

senatordave1:
Whoever will have the spread will have the highest votes.atiku and tinubu have the capacity to get the spread in ss/se while obi can't make it in ne/nw

can you read this comment again, does it make any sense to you?

You can have the spread and still not get the highest number of votes dude, use this our beautiful brain na

South east will never produce up to 3million votes

Trollronaldo:
you are really underestimating kwankwaso

Am not.
Kwankwanso influence doesn't supersede kano at least and NW at most. The Zoning his not favouring kwankwanso. Obi is more popular than you think.

Naira20:
Kikikiki... Self consolation.
In the north, 90% Christians will vote Peter Obi
SS, SE and 50% SW are OBIdient.

For now
18% Lagos is for Atiku
5% Kwankwaso
4% Sowore
45% Peter Obi
20% Tinubu
6% invalid votes for APC

In the next few days PO will increase

religion fanactic... Ipob fool... Same logic wey your PATHOLOGICAL liar used in anambra state... Dis your campaign style will harm obi more... Continue to use religion tactics to woe vote for that collasal failure ...

The closest I have seen maybe small changes here & there.

senatordave1:
It will not if any of them achieved the spread

Tbh, I don't see any 3 of them getting that spread.

senatordave1:
Good,I think this is the best result.it is closest to reality.mind you tinubu may narrow the gap in ne nw or even win.same for obi and tinubu in nc...
But it won't get to a rerun.if tinubu is getting over 1 mil in ss and 400k in se,he will get 25% there.I see obi having more votes than atiku

you hate Atiku

Lol, here is a reason why Atiku will win it

Though, Tinubu will win some states, Peter Obi will win some states

Atiku will take top 2 in atleast 25 of these states

Naira20:
Kikikiki... Self consolation.
In the north, 90% Christians will vote Peter Obi
SS, SE and 50% SW are OBIdient.

For now
18% Lagos is for Atiku
5% Kwankwaso
4% Sowore
45% Peter Obi
20% Tinubu
6% invalid votes for APC

In the next few days PO will increase

obi will shock tunubu in Lagos.

Fasten your seat belt.

Trollronaldo:
can you read this comment again, does it make any sense to you?

You can have the spread and still not get the highest number of votes dude, use this our beautiful brain na

If you used your brain and common sense well,you will have deduced that whoever will get the spread will likely get highest votes boy