₦airaland Forum

An Analysis By A Notorious BATIST, Sunday Wale Adeniran (SWA)

Let me give us a little analysis on one angle that will give Tinubu a massive victory.

Before we go into the details, let’s observe this breakdown:

APC States
NW - 6/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 5/6
SW - 4/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 1/6
Total - 21/36

PDP States
NW - 1/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 1/6
SW - 2/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 5/6
Total - 14/36

Chicken Republic aka APGA
1 State

Now let’s go one by one.

North West
I will not mince words in telling you that the only state in NW that is under PDP govt will not be won by Atiku. Tinubu will win Sokoto state.
I don’t see him losing any other state as well in North West. NNPP will put up a good fight in Kano but it is PDP that will suffer from that excepted good showing because Kwankwaso was with Atiku in the last election.

North East
I still don’t give Adamawa and Taraba to APC but the remaining four states of Borno, Yobe, Gombe and Bauchi (a PDP governed state) will be won by Asiwaju and whatever margin Atiku may gain in Adamawa, Yobe should be able to cancel it and we will have a reservoir of votes from Borno.

North Central
PDP has only Benue in NC but their only Governor is openly against Atiku’s ambition. Ortom is more concerned about his senatorial ambition than Atiku’s presidential race. However, I still see PDP getting a good number of vote in Benue despite the fact that LP will do some damage to them.
Plateau is also not a state I have enough conviction to say would go Tinubu’s way and so I stick with Niger, Nasarawa, Kogi and Kwara.

South West
Oyo and Osun are PDP states but Seyi Makinde did not attend Atiku’s rally. It is true that a Governor doesn’t solely determine the outcome of a presidential election in his state but it is safer, better and of more electoral importance to have a Governor of your party working for you.
Adeleke is an Atiku man but the people of Osun will vote for Tinubu.
Ekiti, Ogun, Ondo and Lagos are only concerned about the margin not about winning.

South East
APC has two Governors but I am not one of those who say that Asiwaju will win a state in South East. However, whatever our loss in that zone, LP will help minimize it against our real opponent, PDP and we shouldn’t over flog that because it is too late at this point in time for SE voters to all go back to PDP. They want to make a loud statement and while I agree that they may still win that zone overall, their historic margin will be greatly reduced.

South South
This is the zone where PDP has its highest number of Governors but things have really fallen apart in Delta and Edo almost beyond repair. I have not said that Atiku won’t win these states but I have not also said that he will win. LP will have good number of natural PDP votes here too.
Cross River is an APC controlled state and we are expected to have a good showing there. Akwa Ibom will be won by PDP. Bayelsa will be fair too but the real battle is Rivers state.
Wike has a point to prove and he will prove it.

If you take time to digest this, you’ll know that Insha Allah, Tinubu is Nigeria’s next President.

#SWA
Source: https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02rQYUcUuBmW6UN5Y7KDzGnGwpZLRZhZQkt2bNV96eU8dG4x9xiDP1j4MHLaCpR49hl&id=100002462624712&mibextid=Nif5oz

Almost fair.

🥱

Dream on my dear!
There is only one chief cook in the kitchen and his name is Reality.

worldTina:
🥱

You see reality.. don't Jones or your pussy go catch fire 🤣🤣

Vote LP.
A new Nigeria is POssible.

Slumber land 😴

Clevite:
An Analysis By A Notorious BATIST, Sunday Wale Adeniran (SWA)

Let me give us a little analysis on one angle that will give Tinubu a massive victory.

Before we go into the details, let’s observe this breakdown:

APC States
NW - 6/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 5/6
SW - 4/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 1/6
Total - 21/36

PDP States
NW - 1/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 1/6
SW - 2/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 5/6
Total - 14/36

Chicken Republic aka APGA
1 State

Now let’s go one by one.

North West
I will not mince words in telling you that the only state in NW that is under PDP govt will not be won by Atiku. Tinubu will win Sokoto state.
I don’t see him losing any other state as well in North West. NNPP will put up a good fight in Kano but it is PDP that will suffer from that excepted good showing because Kwankwaso was with Atiku in the last election.

North East
I still don’t give Adamawa and Taraba to APC but the remaining four states of Borno, Yobe, Gombe and Bauchi (a PDP governed state) will be won by Asiwaju and whatever margin Atiku may gain in Adamawa, Yobe should be able to cancel it and we will have a reservoir of votes from Borno.

North Central
PDP has only Benue in NC but their only Governor is openly against Atiku’s ambition. Ortom is more concerned about his senatorial ambition than Atiku’s presidential race. However, I still see PDP getting a good number of vote in Benue despite the fact that LP will do some damage to them.
Plateau is also not a state I have enough conviction to say would go Tinubu’s way and so I stick with Niger, Nasarawa, Kogi and Kwara.

South West
Oyo and Osun are PDP states but Seyi Makinde did not attend Atiku’s rally. It is true that a Governor doesn’t solely determine the outcome of a presidential election in his state but it is safer, better and of more electoral importance to have a Governor of your party working for you.
Adeleke is an Atiku man but the people of Osun will vote for Tinubu.
Ekiti, Ogun, Ondo and Lagos are only concerned about the margin not about winning.

South East
APC has two Governors but I am not one of those who say that Asiwaju will win a state in South East. However, whatever our loss in that zone, LP will help minimize it against our real opponent, PDP and we shouldn’t over flog that because it is too late at this point in time for SE voters to all go back to PDP. They want to make a loud statement and while I agree that they may still win that zone overall, their historic margin will be greatly reduced.

South South
This is the zone where PDP has its highest number of Governors but things have really fallen apart in Delta and Edo almost beyond repair. I have not said that Atiku won’t win these states but I have not also said that he will win. LP will have good number of natural PDP votes here too.
Cross River is an APC controlled state and we are expected to have a good showing there. Akwa Ibom will be won by PDP. Bayelsa will be fair too but the real battle is Rivers state.
Wike has a point to prove and he will prove it.

If you take time to digest this, you’ll know that Insha Allah, Tinubu is Nigeria’s next President.

#SWA
Source: https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02rQYUcUuBmW6UN5Y7KDzGnGwpZLRZhZQkt2bNV96eU8dG4x9xiDP1j4MHLaCpR49hl&id=100002462624712&mibextid=Nif5oz

You would think these people are educated until they open mouth.....

They believe personal projections( done in their clave) but a reliable poll that has been used in the past with high accuracy is inconsequential..

Apophenia24k:
You would think these people are educated until they open mouth.....

They believe personal projections( done in their clave) but a reliable poll that has been used in the past with high accuracy is inconsequential..

for your stupid mind ,you can fuvking dream on mumu guy with mumu analysis.nonsense

I have saved this your analysis. After February 25, we will visit it again to check if it happens.

Because I know for sure, your candidate can't win NW, NC and NE. North will always vote their son.

We warned GEJ in 2015 about the North and he didn't listen. We are still warning again and you don't want to listen.

I wish you the Best. February 25 is 30days from now, just month day. No need for speculations. Reality is fact.

As a northerner, I totally agree with most of these points! My only objections are; I don't think Tinubu will win any state in SE, however he will definitely get 25% in Ebonyi and Imo. Tinubu will clear all the SW states

These are my 2 corrections

Clevite:
An Analysis By A Notorious BATIST, Sunday Wale Adeniran (SWA)

Let me give us a little analysis on one angle that will give Tinubu a massive victory.

Before we go into the details, let’s observe this breakdown:

APC States
NW - 6/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 5/6
SW - 4/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 1/6
Total - 21/36

PDP States
NW - 1/7
NE - 3/6
NC - 1/6
SW - 2/6
SE - 2/5
SS - 5/6
Total - 14/36

Chicken Republic aka APGA
1 State

Now let’s go one by one.

North West
I will not mince words in telling you that the only state in NW that is under PDP govt will not be won by Atiku. Tinubu will win Sokoto state.
I don’t see him losing any other state as well in North West. NNPP will put up a good fight in Kano but it is PDP that will suffer from that excepted good showing because Kwankwaso was with Atiku in the last election.

North East
I still don’t give Adamawa and Taraba to APC but the remaining four states of Borno, Yobe, Gombe and Bauchi (a PDP governed state) will be won by Asiwaju and whatever margin Atiku may gain in Adamawa, Yobe should be able to cancel it and we will have a reservoir of votes from Borno.

North Central
PDP has only Benue in NC but their only Governor is openly against Atiku’s ambition. Ortom is more concerned about his senatorial ambition than Atiku’s presidential race. However, I still see PDP getting a good number of vote in Benue despite the fact that LP will do some damage to them.
Plateau is also not a state I have enough conviction to say would go Tinubu’s way and so I stick with Niger, Nasarawa, Kogi and Kwara.

South West
Oyo and Osun are PDP states but Seyi Makinde did not attend Atiku’s rally. It is true that a Governor doesn’t solely determine the outcome of a presidential election in his state but it is safer, better and of more electoral importance to have a Governor of your party working for you.
Adeleke is an Atiku man but the people of Osun will vote for Tinubu.
Ekiti, Ogun, Ondo and Lagos are only concerned about the margin not about winning.

South East
APC has two Governors but I am not one of those who say that Asiwaju will win a state in South East. However, whatever our loss in that zone, LP will help minimize it against our real opponent, PDP and we shouldn’t over flog that because it is too late at this point in time for SE voters to all go back to PDP. They want to make a loud statement and while I agree that they may still win that zone overall, their historic margin will be greatly reduced.

South South
This is the zone where PDP has its highest number of Governors but things have really fallen apart in Delta and Edo almost beyond repair. I have not said that Atiku won’t win these states but I have not also said that he will win. LP will have good number of natural PDP votes here too.
Cross River is an APC controlled state and we are expected to have a good showing there. Akwa Ibom will be won by PDP. Bayelsa will be fair too but the real battle is Rivers state.
Wike has a point to prove and he will prove it.

If you take time to digest this, you’ll know that Insha Allah, Tinubu is Nigeria’s next President.

#SWA
Source: https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02rQYUcUuBmW6UN5Y7KDzGnGwpZLRZhZQkt2bNV96eU8dG4x9xiDP1j4MHLaCpR49hl&id=100002462624712&mibextid=Nif5oz

Where is labour party abi na my eyes dey pain me

EdoBoy90:
I have saved this your analysis. After February 25, we will visit it again to check if it happens.

Because I know for sure, your candidate can't win NW, NC and NE. North will always vote their son.

We warned GEJ in 2015 about the North and he didn't listen. We are still warning again and you don't want to listen.

I wish you the Best. February 25 is 30days from now, just one day. No need for speculations. Reality is fact.

Yes, like they did for Bashir Tofa in 1993 against M.K.O Abiola;
for Muhammadu Buhari and Atiku Abubakar in 2003 & 2007 against Olusegun Obasanjo;
for Muhammadu Buhari and Nuhu Ribadu in 2011 against Goodluck Jonathan.

Chiboy419:
Where is labour party abi na my eyes dey pain me

He gave the whole SE to Labour Party o - 5 states for Obi

Rhapsody97:
for your stupid mind ,you can fuvking dream on mumu guy with mumu analysis.nonsense

I'm in Akure, Yoruba men were begging for fuel, bikes are parked across roads and the ones with fuel charge 1k for journey that's suppose to be 150.. you see why I love to be stupid in my mind and still do the right thing.... most of you are in pains and still screaming Yoruba lokan..

Flathead8:
As a northerner, I totally agree with most of these points! My only objections are; I don't think Tinubu will win any state in SE, however he will definitely get 25% in Ebonyi and Imo. Tinubu will clear all the SW states

These are my 2 corrections

The analysis is in agreement with your projection about SE. The analysis also doesn't project Tinubu to win any SE States, despite having 2 Governors in the Region. It only projects that whatever advantage PDP may have above APC over there will be weakened by LP's expected good showing.

Zulum500:
You see reality.. don't Jones or your pussy go catch fire 🤣🤣

why are you calling my name

Ooo okay

Clevite:
The analysis is in agreement with your projection about SE. The analysis also doesn't project Tinubu to win any SE States, despite having 2 Governors in the Region. It only projects that whatever advantage PDP may have above APC over there will be weakened by LP's expected good showing.