₦airaland Forum

The winner of the election will be required to score the highest number of votes and then score 25% in 24 states and the FCT.

According to the recent physical poll and happenings, I am projection that this is the percentage of voters that every region will contribute.

NW- 24%
Sw- 19%
NC- 17%
SS-15%
NE: 13%
SE: 11%
TOTAL: 100%

The breakdown of percentages that every candidate is going to get from each region here:

NW
Atiku: 10%
Tinbu 7%
Kwankwaso 5%
Obi: 2%
TOTAL: 24%

SW
Tinubu: 9%
Obi: 5%
Atiku: 2%
Others: 1%
TOTAL: 19

NC
Obi 7%
Tinubu: 5%
Atiku: 4%
Kwankwaso: 1%
Total: 17%

SS
Obi 9%
Atiku: 4%
Tinubu 2%
Total: 15%

NE
Atiku 5%
Tinubu: 3%
Obi: 2%
Kwankwaso: 2%
Total: 13%

SE
Obi: 9%
Atiku: 1%
Tinubu: 1%
Total: 11%


Total votes for candidates accross board:

Obi: 34%
Tinubu: 27%
Atiku: 26%
Kwankwaso: 7%.


Obi will most likely win the popularity vote because votes in Northwest will be effective splitted.

Relax, your prediction will change nothing, start drinking lots of water so that your eyes would have enough tears to shed.

You Obidients are simply Obifools, una no get sense to reason like human at all

Obi is our incoming president

That is your own personal opinion

Ttalk:
Relax, your prediction will change nothing, start drinking lots of water so that your eyes would have enough tears to shed.

You Obidients are simply Obifools, una no get sense to reason like human at all

lol ok

Op definitely smokes Marijuana!

Fantasizing about impossibilities

CoronaVirusRelo:
Op definitely smokes Marijuana!

The statistics didn't favour your own candidate?

For anyone to think Obi would win North central is the height of stupidity

CoronaVirusRelo:
Op definitely smokes Marijuana!

Fantasizing about impossibilities

ok, lol.

I am marking the monikers that I will be trolling next weeknd 😂

Ttalk:
For anyone to think Obi would win North central is the height of stupidity

ok 😂

Pure nonsense

Trollronaldo:
ok, lol.

I am marking the monikers that I will be trolling next weeknd 😂

Thanks for bookmarking my comment.

I cannot wait!

Ttalk:
For anyone to think Obi would win North central is the height of stupidity

North Central is thoroughly Obidient. Maybe You think North Central is only Kwara and parts of Kogi

Pauldollars:
North Central is thoroughly Obidient. Maybe You think North Central is only Kwara and parts of Kogi

leave him, the largest voting blocks of the Northern central plateau and Benue. I also included Abuja there, which I am sure that Obi will win these 3.
Obi will get 25% in Kogi

Na everyone be data analyst now even the ones wey know even remember the ovulation dates of them wives.

Ttalk:
Relax, your prediction will change nothing, start drinking lots of water so that your eyes would have enough tears to shed.

You Obidients are simply Obifools, una no get sense to reason like human at all

Senseless emilokan mumu

Pauldollars:
North Central is thoroughly Obidient. Maybe You think North Central is only Kwara and parts of Kogi

You are a 🤡

Trollronaldo:
The winner of the election will be required to score the highest number of votes and then score 25% in 24 states and the FCT.

According to the recent physical poll and happenings, I am projection that this is the percentage of voters that every region will contribute.

NW- 24%
Sw- 19%
NC- 17%
SS-15%
NE: 13%
SE: 11%
TOTAL: 100%

The breakdown of percentages that every candidate is going to get from each region here:

NW
Atiku: 10%
Tinbu 7%
Kwankwaso 5%
Obi: 2%
TOTAL: 24%

SW
Tinubu: 9%
Obi: 5%
Atiku: 2%
Others: 1%
TOTAL: 19

NC
Obi 7%
Tinubu: 5%
Atiku: 4%
Kwankwaso: 1%
Total: 17%

SS
Obi 9%
Atiku: 4%
Tinubu 2%
Total: 15%

NE
Atiku 5%
Tinubu: 3%
Obi: 2%
Kwankwaso: 2%
Total: 13%

SE
Obi: 9%
Atiku: 1%
Tinubu: 1%
Total: 11%


Total votes for candidates accross board:

Obi: 34%
Tinubu: 27%
Atiku: 26%
Kwankwaso: 7%.


Obi will most likely win the popularity vote because votes in Northwest will be effective splitted.

You are right, people lie, but numbers don't. And the numbers favour obi.

Based on maths, 2 people are fighting for 70% of the northern Muslim votes(Atiku & Tinubu)
2 people(Obi & RMK) are fighting for the remaining 30%
3 People(Tinubu, Atiku, RMK) are fighting for 30% of the northern Christians votes.
1 Person(obi) is getting 70% of the northern Christian votes.
The northern Christians are the super minority. Hence they will ensure their voices must be heard.
Now to the calculations,
Tinubu & Atiku
(70÷2=35% each)
(30÷3=10% each)
35+10=45÷2=22.5% each for Atiku and Tinubu
Obi
30÷2=15% each.
70% only for obi
70+15=85÷2=42.5 for obi
RMK
30÷2=15% Each
30÷3=10% each
15+10=25÷2=12.5% for RMK
FINAL CALCULATIONS FOR THE NORTH
Obi - 42.5
Tinubu - 22.5
Atiku - 22.5
RMK - 12.5
What this calculations means is, the likelihood of obi getting 25% or more from the north(NE & NW) is highly possible.
Therefore, it's impossible for there to be a run off. Obi is winning first ballot.