I want to counter analysis someone gave on north east. Which I termed him as naive about my region.
Let me ask him these questions:
1. Do you believe with BVAS Borno can give almost a million votes with deserted towns as usual?
2. Do you know that most politicians in Yobe don't join their campaign posters with Tinubu?
3. Do you know that with naira scarcity people are not happy with APC?
4. Do you know that Buhari's love has declined?
5. Are you aware that Tinubu couldn't recite suratul Fatiha well?
6. Are you aware that Izala leaders cast votes and about 80% settle for Atiku.
7. Are you aware that Tinubu's children are not Muslims?
8. Do you know that in Islam, leaders that are old are not to be chosen as leaders.
9. Are you aware that Alhaji Balarabe of Nguru Yobe State decamped to labour party because of Machina case? He paid for 50 vehicles to convey people to Damaturu for Obi.
10. Do you know the masses are saying they have no any agreement with Tinubu?
Even the masses are saying they are concerned about presidential election.
In Yobe the story has changed. See the unbiase analysis in the north East.
1. Borno
APC 65%
PDP 32%
Others 3%
Reason: SHETTIMA Kanuri Region.
2. Yobe
APC 55%
PDP 43%
Others 2%
Reason: Kanuri are dominant but Zone B of Adamu Maina Waziri are PDP even produces Dambu PDP senator and won. Cosmopolitan towns like Nguru, Gashua and Machina factions in Machina will vote for Atiku.
3. Gombe
APC 30%
PDP 58%
Others 12%
Reason: Gombe south and most Hausa Fulanis will vote for Atiku.
4. Bauchi
APC 20%
PDP 72%
Others 8%
Reason: The PDP Governor a.k.a Kauran Bauchi is loved beyond measure and he's seriously working for Atiku.
5. Taraba
APC 22%
PDP 60%
Others 18%
Reason: Christians have good structure of PDP in remote areas and Muslims in Taraba are comfortable with Atiku.
6. Adamawa.
APC 23%
PDP 69%
Others 9%.
Reason: Both APC and PDP are united in the presidential election.
Search Facebook and read Hausa preaching.

I have always thought BAT was a major force in this election due to the numbers of supporters(mostly paid) he gathers at any of his campaign rally in the North, but after speaking with a friend who has more knowledge of the "Northern politics of Nigeria" and with the antecedent of naira scarcity coupled with some (not all) the factors listed by OP, gave up on BAT.
The battle line is now and obviously between Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar.

I am Obidient, but Atiku I fear. Things are getting into shape as we move close to the election.

Hmm 🙁

Let us wait till Saturday.

This is it..

Pure and honest..

Anyone doubting this must bookmark it for Saturday

Power to the people
North 2023

Asgard13:
This is it..

Pure and honest..

Anyone doubting this must bookmark it for Saturday

Power to the people
North 2023

This is my region and I know in and out. Tinubu is not marketable here. Except Borno and Kanuri part of Yobe

Bookmarking you for future reference
PDP governor will work for Atiku but APC Governors won't work for APC.

Reader530:
I want to counter analysis someone gave on north east. Which I termed him as naive about my region.
Let me ask him these questions:
1. Do you believe with BVAS Borno can give almost a million votes with deserted towns as usual?
2. Do you know that most politicians in Yobe don't join their campaign posters with Tinubu?
3. Do you know that with naira scarcity people are not happy with APC?
4. Do you know that Buhari's love has declined?
5. Are you aware that Tinubu couldn't recite suratul Fatiha well?
6. Are you aware that Izala leaders cast votes and about 80% settle for Atiku.
7. Are you aware that Tinubu's children are not Muslims?
8. Do you know that in Islam, leaders that are old are not to be chosen as leaders.
9. Are you aware that Alhaji Balarabe of Nguru Yobe State decamped to labour party because of Machina case? He paid for 50 vehicles to convey people to Damaturu for Obi.
10. Do you know the masses are saying they have no any agreement with Tinubu?
Even the masses are saying they are concerned about presidential election.
In Yobe the story has changed. See the unbiase analysis in the north East.
1. Borno
APC 65%
PDP 32%
Others 3%
Reason: SHETTIMA Kanuri Region.
2. Yobe
APC 55%
PDP 43%
Others 2%
Reason: Kanuri are dominant but Zone B of Adamu Maina Waziri are PDP even produces Dambu PDP senator and won. Cosmopolitan towns like Nguru, Gashua and Machina factions in Machina will vote for Atiku.
3. Gombe
APC 30%
PDP 58%
Others 12%
Reason: Gombe south and most Hausa Fulanis will vote for Atiku.
4. Bauchi
APC 20%
PDP 72%
Others 8%
Reason: The PDP Governor a.k.a Kauran Bauchi is loved beyond measure and he's seriously working for Atiku.
5. Taraba
APC 22%
PDP 60%
Others 18%
Reason: Christians have good structure of PDP in remote areas and Muslims in Taraba are comfortable with Atiku.
6. Adamawa.
APC 23%
PDP 69%
Others 9%.
Reason: Both APC and PDP are united in the presidential election.
Search Facebook and read Hausa preaching.

Reader530:

This is my region and I know in and out. Tinubu is not marketable here. Except Borno and Kanuri part of Yobe

I know very too well..

Kanuri are not even sellable to northwest..

What will a fulani man be doing with an over superior kanuri man ..with their very wide differences and knowing each other boundaries

Tinubu encroachment on northwest is based on his funds and personality not on his kanuri mumu ticket

A lot is very much at stake .. and hoping to manipulate you guys based on Presidency .

We know

Atiku is winning kaduna hands down ..

This is about the most dispassionate and informed analysis of the state of affairs in the NE I have seen in a while.
It’s pretty simple:
With their divisive and ill-advised all Muslim ticket, Thi.e.fn.u.b.u and his APC have already lost Bauchi, Adamawa, Taraba and Gombe by virtue of the sizable Christian population in those states.

In fact, the percentage you allocated to the APC could be lesser on election day in Bauchi and Adamawa. Kaura as you rightly opined enjoys cult-following and with Dogara and his Siyawa people currently in open rebellion against the party, baba Balablu should brace up for utter annihilation up there.

I do not know much about Yobe and Borno though.

Why you guys continue to underrate kwankwaso is what I don't understand. In as much as people will not vote for tifnubu in the NE, they will still not vote atifku as they see him as a thief which he is. E no too far again

Qtrpst4:
Why you guys continue to underrate kwankwaso is what I don't understand. In as much as people will not vote for tifnubu in the NE, they will still not vote atifku as they see him as a thief which he is. E no too far again

Even in Kano, they are concerned about Governor. Kwankwasiyya movement in only Kano. And people in Kano agree than Kwankwaso won't win. Saturday is not far

FORHII:
I have always thought BAT was a major force in this election due to the numbers of supporters(mostly paid) he gathers at any of his campaign rally in the North, but after speaking with a friend who has more knowledge of the "Northern politics of Nigeria" and with the antecedent of naira scarcity coupled with some (not all) the factors listed by OP, gave up on BAT.
The battle line is now and obviously between Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar.

I am Obidient, but Atiku I fear. Things are getting into shape as we move close to the election.

From day1, I knew BAT was building castle in the Air.

The Northern elites are very wise and will never surrender power to the likes to Tinubu.

Forget the drama that the APC governor's forum is acting, they know what they are doing.

Have you ever being to Kano? When did Kano people tell you that kwankwaso will not win?

Reader530:

Even in Kano, they are concerned about Governor. Kwankwasiyya movement in only Kano. And people in Kano agree than Kwankwaso won't win. Saturday is not far

Reader530:

Even in Kano, they are concerned about Governor. Kwankwasiyya movement in only Kano. And people in Kano agree than Kwankwaso won't win. Saturday is not far

This one just dey talk rubbish

On Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Senator Kashim Shettima Mandate I Stand Gidigba

As far obi nor win, it is good

Are you aware that they are not robots?

They are also facing the economic hardship

Why do you think APC governors are hellbent in making sure Old naira notes is usable on election day, they are always APC don't stand a chance on a fair ground

Story story, they don't like old people as their leader but they have been voting buhari, omo obi will have majority of Christian vote in Nigeria, most northern Christian won't campaign openly for obi because of fear but deep down they will vote obi