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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Atiku's Path To Victory (617 Views)
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Atiku's Path To Victory by Sweetberry123: 6:43am On Feb 25, 2023 |
NW states Sokoto As things stand, this is the state where the APC is likely to get the most votes in the entire NW region. And that's due to the influence of the Sarkin Yamman of Sokoto himself, Alh. Magatakarda Wamakko, who is a formidable grassroots mobilizer. I'm giving APC 40% PDP 55% Katsina Katsina promises to be an interesting one. This is because, perhaps, in all of the NW states, nowhere is the APC more hated and vilified than in Katsina. Reason being...well your guess is as good as mine. So I give PDP 67% APC 23% Kano. Here Kwankwaso is Lord and Master. He's simply untouchable, so I give NNPP 55% PDP 24% APC 20%. The reason Kwankwaso will not get more than 60 percent of the votes is that there are quite a few adherents of the keankwasiyya movement who do not believe Kwankwaso can win the election and would rather vote Atiku instead of wasting their votes on their liege. Kaduna. In Kaduna, El Rufai is just as useless as the 'El' in his name. PDP have got this one in the bag already, even before the election commences. And as the saying goes, whatever enters a native doctor's bag never comes out. PDP 65% APC 30% . Obidients can forget Kaduna. LP votes in Kaduna will not even be enough to buy a single roasted corn Zamfara. The APC is badly divided in Zamfara coupled with the governor being a member of the PDP. I must say that here the outlook is quite gloomy for the ruling party. PDP 60% APC 30% Jigawa PDP 70% APC 29%. This is where Atiku is poised to have the most votes in the NW Kebbi PDP 60% APC 34% NB I have not assigned any percentage points to LP and other mushroom parties. This is because they will get less than 10% of the votes with the exception of Kano and Kaduna states. North East Atiku will win this convincingly, Borno is the only state in NE that APC stands a chance at winning. And even then it will only be by a slim margin. South West APC wins this convincingly. PDP will get 25-30 percent in all SW states. South South LP wins this but the PDP will put up a very strong show because this is a traditional PDP enclave, this is the region with the most PDP governors in the country. I say LP 50% PDP 40% APC 10 % South East LP 75%. Both APC and PDP will struggle to get 25% in the SE. Although LP will get more than 70% in this region, but as usual, there's likely to be voter apathy resulting in a low turnout. 50% of 10,000 is greater than 80% of 5000. North Central APC wins Kogi, Niger, Nassarawa and Kwara but PDP gets at least 40%. Benue and Plateau will be won by PDP with LP coming second. 2 Likes |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by tsephanyah(f): 6:45am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Good morning. You're very intelligent |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by ubandawaki: 6:48am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Zamfara governor is an APC member. |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Pierced(f): 6:55am On Feb 25, 2023 |
PDP will win south east........I am very sure of that. 1 Like |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by falcon01: 7:05am On Feb 25, 2023 |
This is interesting Kwankwaso >Peter Obi >Atiku >Tinubu Unfortunately the ones who are clearly Good won't win but maybe miracle will happen. |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Goodlady(f): 7:15am On Feb 25, 2023 |
tsephanyah:Very daft analysis. ITS PURELY ATIKU'S PATH TO FAILURE. The arrogance is too much. 4 Likes |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by JJfrank22(m): 7:21am On Feb 25, 2023 |
VOTE WISELY Whether OBI WHETHER ATIKU WHETHER TINUBU Don't kill or get killed for politicians There is hope for us for anyone of them who wins I'm still OBEDIENT and YUSFUL |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Legitisreal: 7:24am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Goodlady:na una no let anybody hear word for social media sharing victory to obi Na una dey talk of arrogance |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Sweetberry123: 7:24am On Feb 25, 2023 |
1 Like |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Sweetberry123: 7:27am On Feb 25, 2023 |
[/color] JJfrank22:[color=#006600] Everyone like Obi, even me. But be mindful that vote for Obi is a vote for Tinubu, knowing fully well he (Obi) cant win. So I'm sorry I hate Tinubu more than I love Obi |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Sweetberry123: 7:29am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Some people are talking of arrogance, is saying Obi will win Kaduna not the greatest arrogance, a whole Kaduna with a sitting APC governor and had always voted PDP? |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Jack500: 7:32am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Sweetberry123: Are sure you have brain? You said the governor in Zamfara is PDP? That alone has nullify all the nonsense you wrote up there. |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by luvmijeje(f): 7:33am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Tinubu has a fighting chance in North West and bigger chance in North East but Atiku doesn't have a chance in the South West. South East na war. South-South na war. So how do Atiku wants to win? There is limit to his dollars. Wike has dollars. Ganduje has dollars. Tinubu has dollars. So who does he want to intimidate with his dollars? 1 Like |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by press9jatv: 7:35am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Atiku Abubakar wins February 25th presidential poll |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Goodlady(f): 7:37am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Legitisreal:Atiku's a failure |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Sweetberry123: 7:39am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Jack500:[color=#006600][/color] Sorry Mr Obidient. Things will become clearer for you and your likes by 3pm today. Yes it was a mistake Matawalle is APC. But even then they are badly divided, I'm sure Yari wont work for Tinubu and neither will Marafa. |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by garfield1: 7:50am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Sweetberry123: Stop talking nonsense.apc in zamfara is united.marafa is tinubu campaign dg,yari is matawalle dg.it is pdp that is divided |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by seunlayi(m): 7:51am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Sweetberry123:you are right, before 3pm, most of the obi-ingredents will see the defeat clearly |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by JJfrank22(m): 7:58am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Sweetberry123: Life is a choice There's still hope |
Re: Atiku's Path To Victory by Jack500: 10:13am On Feb 25, 2023 |
Sweetberry123: We shall see. Keep fooling yourself |
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