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Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong - Politics (3) - Nairaland

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Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Angelfrost(m): 7:10am On Mar 12, 2023
The only thing the pollsters got wrong was not factoring rigging, violence, and deliberate disenfranchising of sections of the voting population!


So this lengthy post by an APC apologist is just stupid!
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Abdulqareem: 7:14am On Mar 12, 2023
jlinkd78:
The pollsters were right
Obi won free and fair
Tinubu mandate is a stolen mandate
Obi will reclaim his mandate
IPOB POLLSTER MISLED OBI AND HIS HORDES OF DISOBIDIENT FOLLOWERS. TINUBU WON THE ELECTION, HE'S PRESIDENT ELECT. ACCEPT THIS AND KNOW PEACE

5 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Theunbothered: 7:14am On Mar 12, 2023
Because it was rigged
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by obailala(m): 7:18am On Mar 12, 2023
muykem:
Where and where did rigging occurred?
Okay sorry, the electuon was free and fair. My bad!
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by HardMirror(m): 7:19am On Mar 12, 2023
maTutora:
The election must be re-done
whoch country are you talking about? Definitely not nigeria

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by TheNiceGuy(m): 7:21am On Mar 12, 2023
Nzogbu Nzogbu Politics deceived them.

Headless mob can't do sh!t aside online noise

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Abdulqareem: 7:24am On Mar 12, 2023
Angelfrost:
The only thing the pollsters got wrong was not factoring rigging, violence, and deliberate disenfranchising of sections of the voting population!


So this lengthy post by an APC apologist is just stupid!
IPOB POLLSTERS DECEIVED YOU LOTS. TINUBU WON THE ELECTION. I'M SORRY BRO. ELECTIONS ARE WON NOT BY POLLSTER BIASED OPINION

5 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by vikstandon(m): 7:25am On Mar 12, 2023
Xbobtage:
What they got wrong?? haha The Election was MASSIVELY RIGGED, Voter suppression where necessary and Absolute fake votes to pump the already chosen candidate of the Thieving INEC. The stupid article is only speaking to their usual dense illiterates that usually take them serious. No one else is being fooled.

For the record, this election even though very flawed has exposed the right parameters we have to use and start identifying ourselves in Nigeria. All the fraudulent lines of North or South or East etc is no longer tenable. These are the lines that the Europeans came and started drawing in Africa as part of their divide and conquer strategy.

Their was a call for a new nigeria, built on equity, mutual respect, integrity and competence. The difference between the candidates couldnt be more clearer, one was a Godless, extremely corrupt, former drug lord sick with Alzheimers and the other is a God Fearing, and practically The most Prudent Elected Officer in the History of Sub Saharan Africa, The candidate to choose was clear to blind and audible to the deaf.

The drive for a New Nigeria is one that will pull this country and continent out of the shackles of Poverty. The face of the movement was Obi. and for lack of a Better name, the name of the movement is Obidients. From the results Nigeria is Now Divided into three types of territory, The fully Obidient States. The Partially Obidient States and Non Obidients States.

So Mr. Thunder if you are not sure how to make your decision before you strike, please use the new parameters and target the right people. Because Obidients are nigerians who wanted a total U turn from the direction we are going. Evil and wickedness should stay away from us. We are not part of the Problem.

I am from the Obidient state of Rivers State, My BRUDA! What is yours?? If your whole state is not Obidient, Name your local Government and say it with pride!



I agree with you, Obidient is a movement that would outlive Peter Obi. If you want people to be Obidient for you, deliver on your electoral promises you get a place or another place in the Office.
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Nobody: 7:30am On Mar 12, 2023
Xbobtage:
What they got wrong?? haha The Election was MASSIVELY RIGGED, Voter suppression where necessary and Absolute fake votes to pump the already chosen candidate of the Thieving INEC. The stupid article is only speaking to their usual dense illiterates that usually take them serious. No one else is being fooled.

For the record, this election even though very flawed has exposed the right parameters we have to use and start identifying ourselves in Nigeria. All the fraudulent lines of North or South or East etc is no longer tenable. These are the lines that the Europeans came and started drawing in Africa as part of their divide and conquer strategy.

Their was a call for a new nigeria, built on equity, mutual respect, integrity and competence. The difference between the candidates couldnt be more clearer, one was a Godless, extremely corrupt, former drug lord sick with Alzheimers and the other is a God Fearing, and practically The most Prudent Elected Officer in the History of Sub Saharan Africa, The candidate to choose was clear to blind and audible to the deaf.

The drive for a New Nigeria is one that will pull this country and continent out of the shackles of Poverty. The face of the movement was Obi. and for lack of a Better name, the name of the movement is Obidients. From the results Nigeria is Now Divided into three types of territory, The fully Obidient States. The Partially Obidient States and Non Obidients States.

So Mr. Thunder if you are not sure how to make your decision before you strike, please use the new parameters and target the right people. Because Obidients are nigerians who wanted a total U turn from the direction we are going. Evil and wickedness should stay away from us. We are not part of the Problem.

I am from the Obidient state of Rivers State, My BRUDA! What is yours?? If your whole state is not Obidient, Name your local Government and say it with pride!


Uhn?

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Shattuck(m): 7:40am On Mar 12, 2023
The only thing they got wrong they didn't take corruption,rigging,and Mahmood yakubu's compromise into consideration.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by DeOTR: 7:42am On Mar 12, 2023
They simply allowed emotions get in their. It's hard to tell that Obi would come in the last election. I've mentioned it severally, but when you have a people that conducts a survey with a desired outcome in mind, this is what you get.
I'm a trained Applied Economist so we know how these things work.
Your survey is a waste of time if your sampling is wrong or intentionally chosen to give you the outcome you want.

5 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by themanderon: 7:51am On Mar 12, 2023
Bobloco:
.‘Some worked in cahoots with politicians’




https://dailytrust.com/presidential-poll-why-pollsters-got-outcome-wrong/


People keep posting nonsense to push a rubbish narrative that will justify absolute rubbish. Did you take into consideration the massive rigging that goes on? What about the millions who are deliberately disenfranchised from casting their votes? The ballot box snatching in areas were the ruling party are not popular? Who can verify the total hogwash that Inec announced as results? And why must you rely on Inec who has always deliberately doctored election results as a reliable source? That is why the issue of BVas and all those nonsense came about but trust Inec to go back to their old habit of always muddling everything and announcing unverifiable nonsense as election results.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by reddingtonblack: 7:55am On Mar 12, 2023
Xbobtage:
What they got wrong?? haha The Election was MASSIVELY RIGGED, Voter suppression where necessary and Absolute fake votes to pump the already chosen candidate of the Thieving INEC. The stupid article is only speaking to their usual dense illiterates that usually take them serious. No one else is being fooled.

For the record, this election even though very flawed has exposed the right parameters we have to use and start identifying ourselves in Nigeria. All the fraudulent lines of North or South or East etc is no longer tenable. These are the lines that the Europeans came and started drawing in Africa as part of their divide and conquer strategy.

Their was a call for a new nigeria, built on equity, mutual respect, integrity and competence. The difference between the candidates couldnt be more clearer, one was a Godless, extremely corrupt, former drug lord sick with Alzheimers and the other is a God Fearing, and practically The most Prudent Elected Officer in the History of Sub Saharan Africa, The candidate to choose was clear to blind and audible to the deaf.

The drive for a New Nigeria is one that will pull this country and continent out of the shackles of Poverty. The face of the movement was Obi. and for lack of a Better name, the name of the movement is Obidients. From the results Nigeria is Now Divided into three types of territory, The fully Obidient States. The Partially Obidient States and Non Obidients States.

So Mr. Thunder if you are not sure how to make your decision before you strike, please use the new parameters and target the right people. Because Obidients are nigerians who wanted a total U turn from the direction we are going. Evil and wickedness should stay away from us. We are not part of the Problem.

I am from the Obidient state of Rivers State, My BRUDA! What is yours?? If your whole state is not Obidient, Name your local Government and say it with pride!



Why minicing words then, why not kuku place Peter OBi side by side with God, you see that Biafra mentality of how you people worship Nnamdi kanu as god you people think you can transfer that to OBi and impose it on Nigerians

You can not outsell a product that we know, PEter obi was a big failure as a governor, it was 8yrs of Uni strike, Doctor strike and clearly no infrastructural development, even OBi knows he dare not use his tenure to campaign

Nigeria economy needs to be revive and moved from a dependant economy to a producing economy, only a half baked graduate would think "Frugality" is what nigeria needs after just trying Buhari.

Nigeria dodged a bullet, i heard in the East now if you talk bad about Peter Obi such person is most likely not survive it ... that is the New Nigeria they want for us but God pass them.

7 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by reddingtonblack: 8:06am On Mar 12, 2023
Angelfrost:
The only thing the pollsters got wrong was not factoring rigging, violence, and deliberate disenfranchising of sections of the voting population!


So this lengthy post by an APC apologist is just stupid!



when was social media poll ever correct in history of Nigeria election. its like OBI just implant foolishness in most of you. you think electorate are social media freak.


Roger that

3 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by kazyhm(m): 8:09am On Mar 12, 2023
I didn't believe any of the pre-election polls....for just one reason.

The responders to the 2023 pre-election polls are the aggrieved.


The rest of the population are not keen to participate in pre-election poll.....this is what I believe introduced bias into the sample size of polls survey.

Ordinarily, you shouldn't expect 100% accuracy.......the election has its obvious irregularities........ notwithstanding, the pre-election polls presented the intentions of those that participated.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by 9jaRealist: 8:11am On Mar 12, 2023
Bobloco:
.‘Some worked in cahoots with politicians’

https://dailytrust.com/presidential-poll-why-pollsters-got-outcome-wrong/

The pollsters got it “wrong” because they failed to account for rigging, thuggery and INEC’s INCOMPETENCE…
>
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Lanre1st(m): 8:20am On Mar 12, 2023
The problem with opinion poll is sampling majorly drawn from literate or educated one who base in urban area. While those uneducated resided in rural who their choice usually determine by community Leader's directive were not considered in most of the opinion poll. That is why their predictions fail

3 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Jojomo: 8:39am On Mar 12, 2023
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Okoroawusa: 8:41am On Mar 12, 2023
Ofunaofu:
The election was flawed. What we all witness on the 25th of February, 2023 was an electoral heist

How can one describe the regrets, gnashing of teeth, forlorn faces that greeted the announcement of the winner of that election. The over 8 million people that was alleged to have voted for the winner were not seen anywhere celebrating.


INEC violated the electoral law and its guidelines

The beneficiary of that flawed process knows that he is with a stolen mandate
Anakogheri

When we were telling you that there is no polling unit on social media did you listen?

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Opeyemic01: 8:41am On Mar 12, 2023
They got it wrong simply because they didn't factor rigging into it
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by OGHENAOGIE(m): 8:45am On Mar 12, 2023
Eriokanmi:
Ballot Box snatching where Obi was seen leading, manipulation of result sheets and figures as seen in Rivers, Lagos( agege) , etc woth swapping of figures. Vote buying in Ondo and Ekiti States. I was in ekiti the upper week where voters were still seen receiving 5k alert as promised them, should they vote a particular candidate.

In Benue, up till last night , over 45 wards weren't allowed to vote by inec because of the attacks on communities a day to elecrion by bandits. The people of Benue appealed to INEC to move their PUs away from those areas so the same people won't be disenfranchised in this week's election.

Above all, inec's complicity in the election was a thing of concern. Server was deliberately shut down, results couldn't be posted on the inec server, while other political parties cried out and raised concerns, the APC kept mum over this worrisome situation. Since the matter is already in court, I wouldn't say much about it. Not all the polling agents who had copies of the original result sheets snapped and saved nationwide on their phones, which are also tenable in the court of law as evidence can be said to be lying in the end.

The outcome of the case would teach a lot some sense. Even the international communities had said the election was marred with irregularities, contrary to their previous reports since 1999.

You can't claim to be a popular candidate yet, you'd not win in your home state, including the fct. That alone has further casts doubts in the veracity of the Feb 25th elections.
I hope when supreme Court finally throw ur candidate aside u won't cry bitterly... Winning president elections in Nigeria is via two formula get the majority votes then get 25 percent in two thirds of 36 States plus Abuja tinubu scored both well had highest vote then 25 percent in 30 States... Losing Lagos is immaterial ok... Obasanjo Lost entire south west 1999 did it stop him from ruling?... Politics isn't a emotional contest until some of u learn ur obi ll continue losing til eternity

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by NEIGHBOUR(m): 8:48am On Mar 12, 2023
EmekaMD:
Polls were correct and accurate. Obi won the election
The only thing poll fail to factor in was INEC compromise and collusion with the APC rigging machine.

How could you say poll was wrong when LP won Lagos state with over 900k but was shortchanged to less than 600k votes.

Won Rivers state win miles of votes but was called for APC

Won Platue with wide margin but was closed up for APC

Won Benue state but was called for APC

Votes where not calculated properly in many Northern states. Example was Bauchi where he got over 5k in one local government but was assigned less than 800 in the whole state.

Polls were conducted on the basis that the election would be free and fair.


You alone in all these places!!! You try Wella!

3 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by bangerman: 8:48am On Mar 12, 2023
SaintLucia:
Eeyah only Jagaban had the national spread to win election in Nigeria. Jagaban won in Southwest, Northwest, Northeast, North Central and South South. He was rigged massively in the southeast.

Obi Pandora used ethnicity and religion to campaign the reason why he won only in Christians dominated areas in Southwest, Southeast and North Central States.

Atiku used ethnicity to campaign the reason he won majorly in the Northwest and Northeast regions and had complimented votes in Osun and Akwa Ibom state.


Great and valid analysis, Obituary or Obi supporters are deluded, most Christian religions leaders EXCEPT KUMUYI told their shepherds to vote Obi.

4 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by OGHENAOGIE(m): 8:57am On Mar 12, 2023
reddingtonblack:



Why minicing words then, why not kuku place Peter OBi side by side with God, you see that Biafra mentality of how you people worship Nnamdi kanu as god you people think you can transfer that to OBi and impose it on Nigerians

You can not outsell a product that we know, PEter obi was a big failure as a governor, it was 8yrs of Uni strike, Doctor strike and clearly no infrastructural development, even OBi knows he dare not use his tenure to campaign

Nigeria economy needs to be revive and moved from a dependant economy to a producing economy, only a half baked graduate would think "Frugality" is what nigeria needs after just trying Buhari.

Nigeria dodged a bullet, i heard in the East now if you talk bad about Peter Obi such person is most likely not survive it ... that is the New Nigeria they want for us but God pass them.
exactly na why I de shame for some South South people wey no wan reason well... Obi Lacks substance... Someone who thinks Ipob has grounds for agitation isn't fit to be president... He kept saying Igbos are marginalized who marginalize them.. don't they have gorvenors and nass leaders... Is Igbo more special than over 300 tribes in Nigeria...

3 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by OGHENAOGIE(m): 9:00am On Mar 12, 2023
Lanre1st:
The problem with opinion poll is sampling majorly drawn from literate or educated one who base in urban area. While those uneducated resided in rural who their choice usually determine by community Leader's directive were not considered in most of the opinion poll.
what do u define as education? Who told u the vote of an urban dweller is superior to that of a rural dweller? Who told u the vote of a professor is superior to that of a vulcanizer... Democracy is choice... Whatever is anyone choice is valid... Obi has no pathway to president know this Kno peace

1 Like

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Nezan(m): 9:08am On Mar 12, 2023
The truth of the matter was that the pollsters neglected the rural voting population. This is where politicians rig elections the most
Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by tyinfinity: 9:15am On Mar 12, 2023
One Pandora obituary peter wants to use obidogs to enter Aso Rock through the back door ,where will obi peter gets vote when more than 90% Igbo men refuses to marry untill they finish their jail term in India prison.obi performed woefully in zamfara bornu ekiti katshina kebbi.most indigbo men marry one wife even this Nuisance called peter obi has only two children compared to zamfara state governor with 35 children.obi can not rule nigeria.he should go and buy senator's form

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by Franklerry: 9:17am On Mar 12, 2023
All three leading political parties rigged, but some have degree in rigging.lol

1 Like

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by pquaver(m): 9:46am On Mar 12, 2023
Ofunaofu:
The election was flawed. What we all witness on the 25th of February, 2023 was an electoral heist

How can one describe the regrets, gnashing of teeth, forlorn faces that greeted the announcement of the winner of that election. The over 8 million people that was alleged to have voted for the winner were not seen anywhere celebrating.


INEC violated the electoral law and its guidelines

The beneficiary of that flawed process knows that he is with a stolen mandate

Because ur candidate lost, but where he won same persons did not carry out the heißt Abi?

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Poll: Why Pollsters Got Outcome Wrong by georgeakins: 9:54am On Mar 12, 2023
Ofunaofu:
The election was flawed. What we all witness on the 25th of February, 2023 was an electoral heist

How can one describe the regrets, gnashing of teeth, forlorn faces that greeted the announcement of the winner of that election. The over 8 million people that was alleged to have voted for the winner were not seen anywhere celebrating.


INEC violated the electoral law and its guidelines

The beneficiary of that flawed process knows that he is with a stolen mandate

No way obi could have won that elections. He is only popular among his ibo people.

1 Like

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