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Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane - Business (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Business / Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane (20239 Views)

Naira Under-valued In Official, Parallel Forex Markets – Bismarck Rewane / Bismarck Rewane: Naira Redesign May Cause GDP Fall But Not Increased Inflation / Bismarck Rewane Claims Naira Overvalued By 200%, Begs CBN To Set Currency Free (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Electorate: 5:26pm On Jun 16, 2023
Parachoko:


So far there's no scarcity of the $, everything will be fine

I doubt the $ will even go beyond #800 before it start falling

On the long run, Aboki $ might even become cheaper than Banks $

Fellow Nigerians, Let's suffer today and enjoy tomorrow

Asiwaju is in Control

Na your family go suffer today not fellow Nigerians...brainwashed Nigerians can never learn, same way Buhari brainwashed you lots with 'Buhari's body language nonesense" and that the suffering will be temporal, we all saw out how it played out eventually...So, you and your family want to start Tinubu's tenure with suffering just like in Buhari's tenure, ride on suffer no kuku dey tire una.

1 Like

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by plaetton: 5:27pm On Jun 16, 2023
Theboss001:


That's why I wonder what these clowns are cheering About?
We haven't started producing/exporting more.
So how will the naira now magically appreciate
I wonder o ?

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Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Mabizeka: 5:35pm On Jun 16, 2023
helinues:
Bismarch has been consistent with his analysis about Nigeria economy .
Hi, did you attend primary and secondary School?
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Parachoko: 5:36pm On Jun 16, 2023
plaetton:


Little guy,
You can sing praises to your God Tinubu as much as you want.
That is not the issue here.
The issue here is about fundamental economics. And by any fundamental economic forces, the Naira, now that it is freely floating, will gradually float to N1200 to N1500 per USD.
How soon in the next 3 to 6 months that would happen is something that I would not speculate .
You're entitle to your opinion

The Naira will never go beyond #800

Right now the dollar to naira exchange rate is not even up to #600 when you apply through the banks
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by professorPABX: 5:45pm On Jun 16, 2023
nlfpmod:


https://nairametrics.com/2023/06/16/naira-fair-value-should-settle-between-n640-n680-bismarch-rewane/

Sir Henry Boyo will be highly missed by President Tinubu. This is the period he is much needed around.

Our consolation is that people like Bismarck Rewane is still very much around.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Princeton92(m): 5:54pm On Jun 16, 2023
Avast:
good

Since you understand very well... A little help here?
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by wealthnet: 5:56pm On Jun 16, 2023
Shigishege2:
Asiwaju should make this man one of his financial advisers

This man was a member of economy team of Buhari.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by professorPABX: 5:59pm On Jun 16, 2023
Mabizeka:
Hi, did you attend primary and secondary School?

Oyigbo,

He told you Mr Bismarck Rewane has been consistent with his analysis of the Nigerian economy, you are asking if he attended Primary and Secondary School. What is the meaning of that? Are we talking about Alaba or Onitsha market or clearing & forwarding business or importers business?

Sir Henry Boyo (rip) and Mr Bismarck Rewane have been consistent with their analysis of the Nigerian economy. If his analysis is too technical for you just keep quiet.

1 Like

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by XAUBulls: 5:59pm On Jun 16, 2023
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by AwoOkeIjero: 6:01pm On Jun 16, 2023
What some are not factoring is that this high rate is also as a result of certain things gulping the dollars like fuel subsidy, refined fuel importation, and the CBN spending billions of dollars to defend the naira in a year. What should go to things that will generate more revenue to us. remove all that and it will stabilise...the pressure will go down. However, the govt must at the moment use it to do what it is meant for...if not, it is back to square one and even worse.

And with the electricity bill...it will help rather than unnecessary fuel consumption...so it is a win-win.
Parachoko:
You're entitle to your opinion

The Naira will never go beyond #800

Right now the dollar to naira exchange rate is not even up to #600 when you apply through the banks

1 Like

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by viodemus: 6:09pm On Jun 16, 2023
you are joking, in a fair market, nigeria should be $1 to 1300 naira or more.


it is oil that is keeping Nigeria afloat, then they are also adding other suppression mechanisms that are using to keep it low.


A country without at least 60% reliable electricity is like 500 lower, then if that country is not really productive and their financial system is too shady -- that's like another 350 to 500, then enabling environment like good roads or transportation for logistics --- that's like another 300 to 500, then security, education, resources management, that's like 250 to 400. we have lots of oil that is really more than Saudi Arabia, so that gives nigeria like 550 advantage, that is it. The rest is suppression to keep it where it is.

Floating the naira now, is naive in my view. It will help mostly smart people with funds, but not the populace. if he can't level up in a year or 2, he runs the chance of creating an even worse situation.


He should build an indiscriminate infrastructure as much as he can. Also open the ports in ph, akwa ibom, cross Rivers.


They are many things he can do, if only he can avoid letting his criminal instincts becloud his judgement. A long term criminal might see that as a huge sacrifice to give.

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Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by professorPABX: 6:19pm On Jun 16, 2023
viodemus:
you are joking, in a fair market, nigeria should be $1 to 1300 naira or more.


it is oil that is keeping Nigeria afloat, then they are also adding other suppression mechanisms that are using to keep it low.


A country without at least 60% reliable electricity is like 500 lower, then if that country is not really productive and their financial system is too shady -- that's like another 350 to 500, then enabling environment like good roads or transportation for logistics --- that's like another 300 to 500, then security, education, resources management, that's like 250 to 400. we have lots of oil that is really more than Saudi Arabia, so that gives nigeria like 550 advantage, that is it. The rest is suppression to keep it where it is.

Floating the naira now, is naive in my view. It will help mostly smart people with funds, but not the populace. if he can't level up in a year or 2, he runs the chance of creating an even worse situation.


He should build an indiscriminate infrastructure as much as he can. Also open the ports in ph, akwa ibom, cross Rivers.


They are many things he can do, if only he can avoid letting his criminal instincts becloud his judgement. A long term criminal might see that as a huge sacrifice to give.

You have said nothing. You have not done any analysis and made any suggestion. You only displayed bitterness and hatred in your last paragraph which summarized all your intentions from the beginning of your essay. Thanks.

Mr Bismarck Rewane has been consistent for years with his analysis of the Nigerian economy. We missed Henry Boyo but still have the likes of Wale Edun and Yemi Cardoso around.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by viodemus: 6:42pm On Jun 16, 2023
professorPABX:


You have said nothing. You have not done any analysis and made any suggestion. You only displayed bitterness and hatred in your last paragraph which summarized all your intentions from the beginning of your essay. Thanks.

Mr Bismarck Rewane has been consistent for years with his analysis of the Nigerian economy. We missed Henry Boyo but still have the likes of Wale Edun and Yemi Cardoso around.



You are funny.

I wonder what you said, in what you just said.

Get your head out of your nyah, I will try to rephrase what I said, am bitterless, I will benefit immensely, because I happen to see the light and have an understanding of how to move in these kinds of situation. The problem is, most of the the populace will not benefit from their motion.

As for the renowned fraudulent criminal, he is still an ongoing criminal, he is not changing for anything. He is just more advanced in his criminality.


Those names you listed are good, but their sample size shows that they were not good enough, so they have to take a back seat and be assistants to a more hopeful intelligent people. People that can really advance things.


If Tinubu does good, I will give him his credit; if stealibu does something I will point it out, same for sillybu.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by stampo: 7:30pm On Jun 16, 2023
nlfpmod:


https://nairametrics.com/2023/06/16/naira-fair-value-should-settle-between-n640-n680-bismarch-rewane/


I don't know what Tinubu is waiting for bfor he can bring this man close to him and make him a member of his economic growth committee..

This guy is a guru in economics and I have known him overtime...

Nigeria will Rise again for sure..

The predictions from all angles are on the positive side....

Best of luck to us again.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by PARADIZEPRIEST: 7:30pm On Jun 16, 2023
PROSPERITY GROWS WHEN IT IS SHARED grin
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by stampo: 7:32pm On Jun 16, 2023
Shigishege2:
Asiwaju should make this man one of his financial advisers



Abi ooo.

Me I don't know what he is waiting for...
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by lildush(m): 7:41pm On Jun 16, 2023
lomprico:
From 490 to 600-650 to a dollar and idiots are saying 'its good, fine, nice one, tinubu is working, etc'
When black market arrange their own it will be between 900-1000 to one dollar. Make una continue to the praise nonsense, na everybody go collet.


Don't mind them.. supporting this vegetables blindly

1 Like

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by didymario7(m): 8:13pm On Jun 16, 2023
datola:
Good analysis from the finicial guru!

Economy guru not finance
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by francotunsco: 8:41pm On Jun 16, 2023
helinues:
Bismarch has been consistent with his analysis about Nigeria economy .

I do not envy the Rewane guy jare. He was always seen around Buhari's economic team. He advised, advised and advised yet, the only thing that happened to Nigeria's enonomy was South ward trending galore. Shioor.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Johzhier97(m): 8:45pm On Jun 16, 2023
Helpfromabove1:
Time will tell

U are saying 640 another is saying 600 but I want 300
Me I want 150
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by abbiboy: 9:06pm On Jun 16, 2023
Bismarch should rest abeg, ur comment has no influence on fx-naira rate. Sometime ago he said naira is overvalued now is btw 640-680 confuse economist.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by esemes256: 10:16pm On Jun 16, 2023
My fear is that the naira doesn't just crash kpatakpata, like some other countries where their currency has been obliterated by the dollar.

Argentina comes to mind.

Nigeria has entered another level of uncertainty.
God help us.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Passionet: 10:35pm On Jun 16, 2023
Theboss001:


Why you go dey allow payoneer cut cut your money like that?

I tried geegpay but i don't know if they have grown fat. So i'm stuck with payoneer.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by Theboss001: 10:49pm On Jun 16, 2023
Passionet:


I tried geegpay but i don't know if they have grown fat. So i'm stuck with payoneer.

Ok
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by vanitybutiwanti: 12:20am On Jun 17, 2023
plaetton:


Dream on , dream on.

I'm not sure how old you are , but but we have attempted this rate unification several times before, and it has failed each time. There is nothing different about this latest attempt that would ensure its success.
Our productive capacity is still very well below par. Our exports are below par. Ease of doing business is below par. Agricultural production is already hampered by terrorism.
Upon what basis can we hope to sustain a good value for the currency ?
So because your Igbo brother didn't win, then Nigeria should burn? Are you aware that as long as the rates are not uniform, no foreign investor will bring in funds to invest in Nigeria, FDI will keep dwindling. The manufacturing and exports that you're advocating for is driven by foreign investors. Perhaps, if obi had been announced winner of the election and he took the same measures, you'd have applauded and supported him. It's mind boggling, the hate from the Easterners on social media platform is crazy, everywhere you go on the internet, you'll see them wishing the country bad. Economics expert like Sanusi lamido lauded the move by the new president, do you know more than him? No disrespect to you but are an authority in Economics and development like SLS. Before the unification stocks on the NSE were undervalued, when the announcement was made, stocks like zenith, GTB, and a host of other companies that sold below it's intrinsic value shot up. Now who is responsible for the renewed interest in the NSE? Off course, informed persons that know more than people blinded by hate and sentiments
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by loswhite(m): 12:49am On Jun 17, 2023
Parachoko:
You're entitle to your opinion

The Naira will never go beyond #800

Right now the dollar to naira exchange rate is not even up to #600 when you apply through the banks
What was it before? You sure say you understand this English you type?
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by MeineMutter: 12:51am On Jun 17, 2023
Me I want it to get to N150
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by gare(f): 2:25am On Jun 17, 2023
nlfpmod:


https://nairametrics.com/2023/06/16/naira-fair-value-should-settle-between-n640-n680-bismarch-rewane/

Leave all this calculation, it doesn't work in Nigeria, yesterday I changed $1 for N760

1 Like

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by plaetton: 3:40am On Jun 17, 2023
vanitybutiwanti:
So because your Igbo brother didn't win, then Nigeria should burn? Are you aware that as long as the rates are not uniform, no foreign investor will bring in funds to invest in Nigeria, FDI will keep dwindling. The manufacturing and exports that you're advocating for is driven by foreign investors. Perhaps, if obi had been announced winner of the election and he took the same measures, you'd have applauded and supported him. It's mind boggling, the hate from the Easterners on social media platform is crazy, everywhere you go on the internet, you'll see them wishing the country bad. Economics expert like Sanusi lamido lauded the move by the new president, do you know more than him? No disrespect to you but are an authority in Economics and development like SLS. Before the unification stocks on the NSE were undervalued, when the announcement was made, stocks like zenith, GTB, and a host of other companies that sold below it's intrinsic value shot up. Now who is responsible for the renewed interest in the NSE? Off course, informed persons that know more than people blinded by hate and sentiments


Another inarticulate, meaningless babble.

Must tribal and political sentiments be pre-eminent in every national discourse?

The laws of economics does care about tribe, politics or self-serving patriotism.
Just like the laws of physics, no amount wishful thinking changes anything.

Whomever would have won the past presidential election, Atiku or Obi, they would have equally faced the same econmic obstacles and catch-22 situations and tough decisions that must be made.

You and your ilk are so suffused in primitive tribalism, that you don't even take time to read, digest and understand a point of view , unless that point of view hails your almighty God Tinubu.

Now, for the record, allowing the Naira to float is long overdue. If it had been done long ago, it would have found its true value by now. So, it's a good move.

But any mo.ron who thinks that it is meant to or going to strengthen the Naira is , well, a mo.ron.
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by mbos: 9:00am On Jun 17, 2023
Parachoko:


So far there's no scarcity of the $, everything will be fine

I doubt the $ will even go beyond #800 before it start falling

On the long run, Aboki $ might even become cheaper than Banks $

Fellow Nigerians, Let's suffer today and enjoy tomorrow keep dreaming like you have been doing since buhari. Better jappa

Asiwaju is in Control
Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by IbeOkehie: 2:37pm On Jun 17, 2023
vanitybutiwanti:
So because your Igbo brother didn't win, then Nigeria should burn? Are you aware that as long as the rates are not uniform, no foreign investor will bring in funds to invest in Nigeria, FDI will keep dwindling. The manufacturing and exports that you're advocating for is driven by foreign investors. Perhaps, if obi had been announced winner of the election and he took the same measures, you'd have applauded and supported him. It's mind boggling, the hate from the Easterners on social media platform is crazy, everywhere you go on the internet, you'll see them wishing the country bad. Economics expert like Sanusi lamido lauded the move by the new president, do you know more than him? No disrespect to you but are an authority in Economics and development like SLS. Before the unification stocks on the NSE were undervalued, when the announcement was made, stocks like zenith, GTB, and a host of other companies that sold below it's intrinsic value shot up. Now who is responsible for the renewed interest in the NSE? Off course, informed persons that know more than people blinded by hate and sentiments

The same Tinubu helped destroy the economy by imposing Buhari on Nigerians in 2015. So he's only trying to fix his own mess. I don't even think he had a choice other than to abolish fuel subsidy and float the naira, 8 years of APC rule has bankrupted the Federal Government.

I support the liberalization of the naira, but it's not yet a full float, that the 43 banned item list still remains is one good indication that government is still in control of the forex market. Good start though, at least the naira is devalued. The withdrawal of fuel subsidies is also good....the same fuel subsidy Tinubu & Buhari told us didn't exist grin

The truth though is Nigeria needs a FULL, complete set of free market reforms, especially LAND and RESOURCE privatization, strong laws against all forms of price controls by government or unions and state or regional autonomy.

I wonder if President Tinubu still intends to establish Agric Commodity Boards as he promised? That will be a disaster worse than fuel subsidy.

Isolated policies, no matter how good they are, can only go so far.I suspect Nigeria will become like Lagos State, that's his record and I expect no different this time around. APC is an Islamist feudal-socialist party, they like to control everything, that's their instinct. Let's wait a few years and see what happens, it's early morning yet.

Good Luck to Nigeria.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Naira Fair Value Should Settle Between ₦‎640-₦‎680/$ – Bismarch Rewane by vanitybutiwanti: 3:25pm On Jun 17, 2023
IbeOkehie:


The same Tinubu helped destroy the economy by imposing Buhari on Nigerians in 2015. So he's only trying to fix his own mess. I don't even think he had a choice other than to abolish fuel subsidy and float the naira, 8 years of APC rule has bankrupted the Federal Government.

I support the liberalization of the naira, but it's not yet a full float, that the 43 banned item list still remains is one good indication that government is still in control of the forex market. Good start though, at least the naira is devalued. The withdrawal of fuel subsidies is also good....the same fuel subsidy Tinubu & Buhari told us didn't exist grin

The truth though is Nigeria needs a FULL, complete set of free market reforms, especially LAND and RESOURCE privatization, strong laws against all forms of price controls by government or unions and state or regional autonomy.

I wonder if President Tinubu still intends to establish Agric Commodity Boards as he promised? That will be a disaster worse than fuel subsidy.

Isolated policies, no matter how good they are, can only go so far.I suspect Nigeria will become like Lagos State, that's his record and I expect no different this time around. APC is an Islamist feudal-socialist party, they like to control everything, that's their instinct. Let's wait a few years and see what happens, it's early morning yet.

Good Luck to Nigeria.
you think politicians care about Islam or Christianity? Are you a devout christian yourself? Do you live your life according to the dictates of the holy bible?

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