₦airaland Forum

[quote author=Penguin2 post=114282295]And you think it’s only people you see talking or taking pictures that will vote Obi?

You think there are no silent Obi

Iamgrey5:
There are two portions of voters in every region in Nigeria

The educated voters and the "not so educated" voters

The percentage they are to each other varies in every region.
For example, it's like 10% educated and 90% uneducated in the Northwest, and 25% educated and 75% uneducated in the Southwest.


Now back to your question:

Amongst educated Northwesterners

Kwakwaso will get 60%

Atiku will get 20%

Tinubu will get 13%

Rest will get 7%

Kwakwaso will do well here because he needs very little money to mobilize the voters as most of these voters are tech savvy and have strong opinions. However, these people only make up 10% of the voting block

Non educated voters

Kwakwaso will get 40%

Atiku should get 25%

Tinubu will get 30%

Others 5%

Tinubu will do better than Atiku because Apc have better party structure and finances to influence electorates in the North West.

To be continued.

You are talking about money and structure as APC winning strategy. When the evil conquers, you hit your church or mosque asking for divine intervention. Nigeria is indeed irredeemable.

Penguin2:
Except Tinubu supporters are banking on rigging, I want them to systematically state regions and states that will vote Tinubu in 2023.

Kwankwaso has conquered Northwest where Tinubu was banking on so much which made him even send private jet to bring Senator Shekarau to his house to beg him to settle his rift with Ganduje.

The Northeast is gone with Atiku. Except for maybe Yobe and Borno. It is instructive to state that Christians in this region seem to be leaning towards Obi candidacy.

The North Central with Christian majority seem to be leaning towards Obi especially after an APC government has supervised the worst carnage their region has experienced in history. Only Kwara and Niger may vote Tinubu in this region; but when you remember men like Saraki and Babaginda Aliyu are from these states, you would agree that PDP will not perform badly and therefore it will not be a clean sweep for Tinubu.

Then the Southeast and Southsouth are gone with Peter Obi and Atiku on a ratio of 70:30. Before you argue it, if Edo people, who are the only people that had the likelihood of voting Tinubu because of Oshiomole, are supporting Peter Obi to the extent that the state governor had to acknowledge it, then I do not think any serious political strategist should write off what is going on there. Need I speak of Southeast?

Only the Southwest holds a prospect for Tinubu. But even that is 70% at best. Because when you factor in the fact that half of Lagos voters are non-indigenes, nay Igbo, who are not best fans of Tinubu, and also considering the results of previous presidential elections from the state, then you’d admit that if Tinubu gets up to 60% of votes in Lagos, then it’s a good showing for him. Another factor to consider in the Southwest is the fact that the Muslim/Muslim ticket which Tinubu is understandably preparing to fly, will be highly unpopular amongst Yoruba Christians who might vote against Tinubu ( no sane and objective strategist will dismiss this fact). However, I must note that Tinubu’s vote buying strategy, which was test run in Ekiti, will be highly effective in the Southwest and as such will swell the number of votes he will get in this region.

Lastly, there is the factor of youth revolution sweeping across Social Media and even the streets across southern Nigeria and some parts of the north in support of Peter Obi. As much as these old politicians would want to dismiss what is going on as mere online shenanigans that “there’s no polling unit on Twitter”, trust me when I tell you that deep down they are concerned; especially when you recall that Nayib Bukele of El Salvador, Volodomr Zelensky of Ukraine, Emmanuel Macron of France, etc, all won their elections in a similar pattern.

All these are facts and representation of reality devoid of sentiments and biases and I would expect respondents to do same without resorting to insults and gutter language.

Penguin is a bird of reason!

Mynd44
Lalasticlala

I hope you have learnt your lesson in hard way

Penguin2:
Except Tinubu supporters are banking on rigging, I want them to systematically state regions and states that will vote Tinubu in 2023.

Kwankwaso has conquered Northwest where Tinubu was banking on so much which made him even send private jet to bring Senator Shekarau to his house to beg him to settle his rift with Ganduje.

The Northeast is gone with Atiku. Except for maybe Yobe and Borno. It is instructive to state that Christians in this region seem to be leaning towards Obi candidacy.

The North Central with Christian majority seem to be leaning towards Obi especially after an APC government has supervised the worst carnage their region has experienced in history. Only Kwara and Niger may vote Tinubu in this region; but when you remember men like Saraki and Babaginda Aliyu are from these states, you would agree that PDP will not perform badly and therefore it will not be a clean sweep for Tinubu.

Then the Southeast and Southsouth are gone with Peter Obi and Atiku on a ratio of 70:30. Before you argue it, if Edo people, who are the only people that had the likelihood of voting Tinubu because of Oshiomole, are supporting Peter Obi to the extent that the state governor had to acknowledge it, then I do not think any serious political strategist should write off what is going on there. Need I speak of Southeast?

Only the Southwest holds a prospect for Tinubu. But even that is 70% at best. Because when you factor in the fact that half of Lagos voters are non-indigenes, nay Igbo, who are not best fans of Tinubu, and also considering the results of previous presidential elections from the state, then you’d admit that if Tinubu gets up to 60% of votes in Lagos, then it’s a good showing for him. Another factor to consider in the Southwest is the fact that the Muslim/Muslim ticket which Tinubu is understandably preparing to fly, will be highly unpopular amongst Yoruba Christians who might vote against Tinubu ( no sane and objective strategist will dismiss this fact). However, I must note that Tinubu’s vote buying strategy, which was test run in Ekiti, will be highly effective in the Southwest and as such will swell the number of votes he will get in this region.

Lastly, there is the factor of youth revolution sweeping across Social Media and even the streets across southern Nigeria and some parts of the north in support of Peter Obi. As much as these old politicians would want to dismiss what is going on as mere online shenanigans that “there’s no polling unit on Twitter”, trust me when I tell you that deep down they are concerned; especially when you recall that Nayib Bukele of El Salvador, Volodomr Zelensky of Ukraine, Emmanuel Macron of France, etc, all won their elections in a similar pattern.

All these are facts and representation of reality devoid of sentiments and biases and I would expect respondents to do same without resorting to insults and gutter language.

Penguin is a bird of reason!

Mynd44
Lalasticlala

Rubbish
He has won

Cajal:
Rubbish
He has won

Through rigging!

Have some shame

Clueless n useless tinibu.. history will never forget u as the worst n most incompetent ruler that naija ever had..

Penguin2:
Through rigging!

Have some shame

Elupi....
Your pain is unlimited

Penguin2:
Through rigging!

Have some shame

You won't say he won in the first place, We understand.

Tinubu does not bank on legitimate votes

Pocca:
obi does not bank on legitimate votes

Fixed

Penguin2:
Through rigging!

Have some shame

go to court

I hope this OP has not drunk Sniper

Penguin2:
Watch Kano people respond to questions about 2023 elections and you’d find out you are the one who is actually ignorant.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSwZ-C65Xq0

Hello

Who is now the ignoramus here?

simpleseyi:
I hope this OP has not drunk Sniper

Shame don send all of them packing