₦airaland Forum

If not for Fubara Tinubu is fighting, I wouldn't have supported this coalition.

Funflipper:
Una go learn another lesson soon say Tinubu no be GEJ or Buhari.

We dey look

And wait

franchasng:
I love your honest analysis but the truth is, if the coalition manages to convince Peter Obi to deputize Atiku, Tinubu is gone for real no matter his rigging plans.


Atiku/Obi ticket with El Rufai, Amaechi and all the coalition forces will win:

Southeast
Northeast
Northwest
SouthSouth

North-central will be 60 - 40 in favor of Tinubu

😂 😂 😂

Add Putin and Trump to that list, Tinubu still wins before 2pm on election day. 😆

they won't talk about that again, primarily because their son isn't in power anymore. We are now in the present.
Insecurity is the only excuse they can use against tinubu

Funflipper:
What did their son do about the security situation for 8 consecutive years?

franchasng:
I love your honest analysis but the truth is, if the coalition manages to convince Peter Obi to deputize Atiku, Tinubu is gone for real no matter his rigging plans.


Atiku/Obi ticket with El Rufai, Amaechi and all the coalition forces will win:

Southeast
Northeast
Northwest
SouthSouth

North-central will be 60 - 40 in favor of Tinubu

I think the core northern Muslims who don't like Obi will withdraw from voting Atiku in making Tinubu to win Nw massively and lose NE... Atiku will win SS narrowly

Freshtruth:
Obi nor know wetin he dey do so o Atiku wey even North hate na u dey follow dey drink water?

why are u bothered?

dalongjnr:
We in the north knows better.
As a part of the ongoing northern coalition, I can beat my chest on the fact that my permutations are true. I can tell you that, even most of the northern governors/elders/people are not with him (Tinubu),but they are just playing safe until the right time 😉.
The president should situp or the setup would be tragic to him and the APC.
The day Buhari said,"ku yi abunda kuke so!". That would be the end.
The middle belt is his saving grace. You may not understand the point but the handwriting will be clearer, as time goes on.

You are not correct sir. Most of the governors and national Assembly members in the north are with him. Even if they don't like him, they will still curry votes for him because tinubu losing will affect their. People like Wamakko, Aliero who are senators will have their elections same day with Tinubu. Working against Tinubu will affect them. Any governor that doesn't work for Tinubu will feel his wrath during their own elections. So sir, they may not like each other but their interests align so they will work together...

Feelers from the core north shows they prefer tinubu that is why a mighty man like Aliero and two PDP senators decamped same as reps in zamfara and Katsina. No notable northerner apart from El rufai is with Atiku. Those decamping are not foolish. They know that worst case, the core north will divide. The only gov that can work against Tinubu is Buni but Sen Geidam is there to neutralize him. If Gov Yahaya also tries to betray, Goje is there. Even in Adamawa, Fintiri is pro Tinubu. They may not like Tinubu but they also do not particularly like Atiku..

Not all middle belt will go Tinubu. Places like Jos south , Barakin ladi, Riyom, Bassa will vote against Tinubu same as Christian parts of Taraba and Adamawa.

Just like in 2023, Buhari will endorse Tinubu at the dying minutes and it will be crucial

franchasng:
I love your honest analysis but the truth is, if the coalition manages to convince Peter Obi to deputize Atiku, Tinubu is gone for real no matter his rigging plans.


Atiku/Obi ticket with El Rufai, Amaechi and all the coalition forces will win:

Southeast
Northeast
Northwest
SouthSouth

North-central will be 60 - 40 in favor of Tinubu

If Obi deputize Atiku he will lose the whole south and middle belt.
South will never allow another fulani to short change a southern president for another fulani after what they witness during buhari's 8 years.

kennyz247:
Serious fall await APC

See this one?
Serious heart ache await you

No oposition will see 15% votes in 2027.
It will be a consensus votes for the RP.

Akpakomiza2:
You are not correct sir. Most of the governors and national Assembly members in the north are with him. Even if they don't like him, they will still curry votes for him because tinubu losing will affect their. People like Wamakko, Aliero who are senators will have their elections same day with Tinubu. Working against Tinubu will affect them. Any governor that doesn't work for Tinubu will feel his wrath during their own elections. So sir, they may not like each other but their interests align so they will work together...

Feelers from the core north shows they prefer tinubu that is why a mighty man like Aliero and two PDP senators decamped same as reps in zamfara and Katsina. No notable northerner apart from El rufai is with Atiku. Those decamping are not foolish. They know that worst case, the core north will divide. The only gov that can work against Tinubu is Buni but Sen Geidam is there to neutralize him. If Gov Yahaya also tries to betray, Goje is there. Even in Adamawa, Fintiri is pro Tinubu. They may not like Tinubu but they also do not particularly like Atiku..

Not all middle belt will go Tinubu. Places like Jos south , Barakin ladi, Riyom, Bassa will vote against Tinubu same as Christian parts of Taraba and Adamawa.

Just like in 2023, Buhari will endorse Tinubu at the dying minutes and it will be crucial

You are not on ground. All these people you mention are not pro Tinubu. Geidam is with buhari, wammako is same, buni doesn't need a mention, that one is buharis' mostly trusted ally among the youths in the northeast.
Fintiri,is not a threat to Atiku,he's not his boy,he's a boy of his biggest boy.
For goje,he's a core buhari guy and the current governor is more of a die hard buhari person.
For plateau state, we know and I know that if Tinubu will cut a deal with the governor, he would get 65% of the total vote cast.
Taraba can swing too,same with niger,but for benue, the choice it with the people, considering the level of havoc caused by the bandits, if Tinubu, successful bring calm in the state, he will win.

dalongjnr:
You are not on ground. All these people you mention are not pro Tinubu. Geidam is with buhari, wammako is same, buni doesn't need a mention, that one is buharis' mostly trusted ally among the youths in the northeast.
Fintiri,is not a threat to Atiku,he's not his boy,he's a boy of his biggest boy.
For goje,he's a core buhari guy and the current governor is more of a die hard buhari person.
For plateau state, we know and I know that if Tinubu will cut a deal with the governor, he would get 65% of the total vote cast.
Taraba can swing too,same with niger,but for benue, the choice it with the people, considering the level of havoc caused by the bandits, if Tinubu, successful bring calm in the state, he will win.

I never said all these people like Wamakko, Geidam are Tinubu people. I said because they are contesting elections same day with Tinubu, they will be forced to work with Tinubu since core north usually vote one way less they will be affected like in 2015 when PDP candidates supporting buhari lost all due to the tsunami. Mind you, buhari and Tinubu do not like each other but they respected each other and aligned. Buni secretly worked for Atiku in 2023 same as Gombe gov Yahaya. Goje is not a bubari person, he came from pdp. Infact, he was in ACN so he's more of a Tinubu person. Wamakko and Tinubu have been longtime friends. Even if they are not with tinubu, they are also not with Atiku. Buhari will endorse Tinubu at the last minute or remain neutral.

Just like in 2023, core north will divide. All indications shows that muftwang is already working with Tinubu. He can increase his votes but can't get him 65%. Don't forget that he narrowly won because he rigged Mangu

Dis one no get weight

Akpakomiza2:
Apart from El rufai who lost kaduna, who did he fight with? Tinubu will win kebbi,sokoto, Katsina, jigawa narrowly. He will lose kaduna to Atiku and Kano to RMK but beat Atiku there. Zamfara is 50 50. Tinubu will lose plateau but get up to 30%, win all other NC states except fct but he will get 30% there. Tinubu will win Yobe, Borno, lose Bauchi and Gombe to Atiku. He would lose narrowly in Taraba and Adamawa massively...

Tinubu will humiliate Atiku in every southern state unless Atiku contests with obi. If this happens, they will win SE, win SS narrowly and lose SW massively. Tinubu will still beat them in NC, beat them in NW and lose NE

Northeast and Southeast pose serious problems to PBAT's re-election . He will do well in other 4 zones

kunle4toyeyaho:
Northeast and Southeast pose serious problems to PBAT's re-election . He will do well in other 4 zones

You are very very correct. The worst will be south east. In NE tinubu will win Yobe and Borno

Lifestylecom:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahp5JnU4Nig

Senator Elisha Abbo has revealed the outcome of Atiku, Obi Coalition Talks and the summary of the National Consultative Group (North) crucial meeting in Abuja.

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, former Governor of Rivers State Rotimi Amaechi, former Vice Presidential candidate of the Labour Party Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, and Peter Obi met in Abuja.

.....


If Obi won in 2023 why coalition now?
If Atiku won in 2023 why coalition now?

Atiku himself knows the North does not trust the SE.

We will see how all the coalition members will use their new party to win in all states.
Sweet moments ahead!

Akpakomiza2:
I never said all these people like Wamakko, Geidam are Tinubu people. I said because they are contesting elections same day with Tinubu, they will be forced to work with Tinubu since core north usually vote one way less they will be affected like in 2015 when PDP candidates supporting buhari lost all due to the tsunami. Mind you, buhari and Tinubu do not like each other but they respected each other and aligned. Buni secretly worked for Atiku in 2023 same as Gombe gov Yahaya. Goje is not a bubari person, he came from pdp. Infact, he was in ACN so he's more of a Tinubu person. Wamakko and Tinubu have been longtime friends. Even if they are not with tinubu, they are also not with Atiku. Buhari will endorse Tinubu at the last minute or remain neutral.

Just like in 2023, core north will divide. All indications shows that muftwang is already working with Tinubu. He can increase his votes but can't get him 65%. Don't forget that he narrowly won because he rigged Mangu

Your submissions are not entirely true.
One thing I know is that Mutfwang didn't rig mangu local government, rather, his votes were less than expected,because the election was shifted and people from diaspora and in other states left for their work schedules. Mangu has the 3rd highest registered voters and 2nd most collected pvc in plateau state. They also has one of the most highest voters turnout.

dalongjnr:
Your submissions are not entirely true.
One thing I know is that Mutfwang didn't rig mangu local government, rather, his votes were less than expected,because the election was shifted and people from diaspora and in other states left for their work schedules. Mangu has the 3rd highest registered voters and 2nd most collected pvc in plateau state. They also has one of the most highest voters turnout.

Mangu votes are usually divided or goes to APC since 2015. All of a sudden, Muftwang won there with a margin of 50,000 which killed Nentawe. Jos north failed to deliver the usual bloc votes. Wase and Shendam also failed to deliver bloc. Only kanam tried to deliver alongside Kanke Nentawe LGA.

Akpakomiza2:
Mangu votes are usually divided or goes to APC since 2015. All of a sudden, Muftwang won there with a margin of 50,000 which killed Nentawe. Jos north failed to deliver the usual bloc votes. Wase and Shendam also failed to deliver bloc. Only kanam tried to deliver alongside Kanke Nentawe LGA.

You don't understand plateau politics.
Keep quiet and learn.
Mutfwang is from mangu LGC,so you expect him to get bloc vote.
Secondly,the reason why APC was winning in mangu, except for 2019 which we lost but rig out PDP. The the deputy governor,late prof sonni tyoden was from mangu Lgc(pushit district).
In 2019, both parties picked their deputies from Mangu LGC(late James Dalok from mangun district of mangu LGC and late sonni wetle tyoden of pushit district in mangu LGC),JUST to divide the large votes from mangu LGC, and it's the LGC that determines the winner of the governorship election, after the rerun.

dalongjnr:
You don't understand plateau politics.
Keep quiet and learn.
Mutfwang is from mangu LGC,so you expect him to get bloc vote.
Secondly,the reason why APC was winning in mangu, except for 2019 which we lost but rig out PDP. The the deputy governor,late prof sonni tyoden was from mangu Lgc(pushit district).
In 2019, both parties picked their deputies from Mangu LGC(late James Dalok from mangun district of mangu LGC and late sonni wetle tyoden of pushit district in mangu LGC),JUST to divide the large votes from mangu LGC, and it's the LGC that determines the winner of the governorship election, after the rerun.

Hmmm. But that rerun was a formality as lalong already led by a lead of 50k which was insurmountable. Shendam, Kanam, wase,Jos north delivered for him. Jerry boy didn't have what it takes to win him. Plateau since 2015 polls has been difficult. I still insist that Muftwang cannot on his own give tinubu 65% except Jonah Jang is involved.

Anyway, it's your state so I'll give you the benefit of doubt but I still feel that tinubu will win the core north

donleo92:
I pity this governors decamping..

It's the people against the elite this time around.

But let's keep our hands crossed

.. INEC will be the problem
Can INEC be trusted..can they give Nigerians free and fair election..we do want to here glitches in 2027 from INEC..can they be trusted..you know what happened in 2023 concerning INEC

Lifestylecom:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahp5JnU4Nig

Senator Elisha Abbo has revealed the outcome of Atiku, Obi Coalition Talks and the summary of the National Consultative Group (North) crucial meeting in Abuja.

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, former Governor of Rivers State Rotimi Amaechi, former Vice Presidential candidate of the Labour Party Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, and Peter Obi met in Abuja.

Gathering i of born losers

Agugbadin:
Abbo of all people, this people are irrelevant
They should stop threatening Jagaban because they want FG appointment. As a Senator what value did you Elisha add to your constituency.

No be Elijah's faulty. Somebody that's supposed to still be serving time since the sex shop incidence.
If animal with horn go knock somebody, na animal like snail? I laugh in Mandarin

ufotunang:
.. INEC will be the problem
Can INEC be trusted..can they give Nigerians free and fair election..we do want to here glitches in 2027 from INEC..can they be trusted..you know what happened in 2023 concerning INEC

Let's watch and see

Igbek76:
See this one?
Serious heart ache await you

No oposition will see 15% votes in 2027.
It will be a consensus votes for the RP.

No worry,time shall tell