₦airaland Forum

Gerrard59:
Mr RodgersAkpafu,

I have seen your quote and will reply soonest.

That's aii

RodgersAkpafu:
@Gerrard59

Let's talk about the Plaza Accord

On a final note, it is very easy to say that the plaza accord was this. "weapon' used by the weat to cripple Japan, but again ask yourself, did the Japanese really think that this will go on forever? i.e continued weakening of the currency plus trade restrictions via violating NT?]

Well thought out explanation. I do agree that China controls its currency. However, certain policies by the US-led West point to fear and anger that the Chinese are surpassing them in new technologies such as electric vehicles/batteries, solar panels/wind blades, ownership of mines, etc. It is not the Chinese's fault that they developed their manufacturing industry to be so efficient. It is not their fault that they unlike Westerners move out to far-flung countries to open new markets. The West is just jealous. The tale of IP theft is platitudinous. Many of the top class researchers in the West are ethnic Chinese. So, why is it surprising that the country which churns out more engineering graduates than any other cannot replicate the same thing? The home of those top class ethnic Chinese in Western laboratories?

Gerrard59:
Well thought out explanation. I do agree that China controls its currency. However, certain policies by the US-led West point to fear and anger that the Chinese are surpassing them in new technologies such as electric vehicles/batteries, solar panels/wind blades, ownership of mines, etc. It is not the Chinese's fault that they developed their manufacturing industry to be so efficient. It is not their fault that they unlike Westerners move out to far-flung countries to open new markets. The West is just jealous. The tale of IP theft is platitudinous. Many of the top class researchers in the West are ethnic Chinese. So, why is it surprising that the country which churns out more engineering graduates than any other cannot replicate the same thing? The home of those top class ethnic Chinese in Western laboratories?

In my spare time

I'm gonna break this into different Sentences/Paragraphs, and then respond with my thoughts on each one of them

RodgersAkpafu:
In my spare time

I'm gonna break this into different Sentences/Paragraphs, and then respond with my thoughts on each one of them

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3315871/why-are-fewer-wealthy-chinese-likely-emigrate-year?utm_source=copy-link&utm_campaign=3315871&utm_medium=share_widget

Remember when I stated that Chinese, both middle class and the wealthy, aren't keen on emigrating or studying in the West as yesteryears? Well, a study by Henley and Partners has corroborated my earlier statement. At least, the founders of Henley are Westerners and the firm is headquartered in London.

The talk about freedom in the West for Chinese is totally superfluous considering no freedom defeats economic and personal safety freedoms - both of which are enjoyed unparalleled by Chinese across Asia (especially Southeast and East Asia).

So, why move to the West to chop insults? Only ignor.ant Hong Kongers do🤣🤣🤣🤣

---

BTW, the same Hong Kong that was doomed to fail is glowing with investments, IPOs and inward migration.

Gerrard59:
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3315871/why-are-fewer-wealthy-chinese-likely-emigrate-year?utm_source=copy-link&utm_campaign=3315871&utm_medium=share_widget

Remember when I stated that Chinese, both middle class and the wealthy, aren't keen on emigrating or studying in the West as yesteryears? Well, a study by Henley and Partners has corroborated my earlier statement. At least, the founders of Henley are Westerners and the firm is headquartered in London.

The talk about freedom in the West for Chinese is totally superfluous considering no freedom defeats economic and personal safety freedoms - both of which are enjoyed unparalleled by Chinese across Asia (especially Southeast and East Asia).

So, why move to the West to chop insults? Only ignor.ant Hong Kongers do🤣🤣🤣🤣

---

BTW, the same Hong Kong that was doomed to fail is glowing with investments, IPOs and inward migration.

Man I forgot about this

I have read the article
There is still outflow, despite the drop
and the number came up in 2024 from 2023 and down from 2024 to 2025...

Let's still see how it goes in 2026 and 2027

I'm currently in London and when you go to the "new build areas" in East London (was there ob Monday) you still see many many of them living there and trust me, they prefer it here than in China where the CCP is pressing their neck *especially millennial and zoomers"


It is even projected that more Chinese students will be coming in this year due to the wahala going on in America

Let's see

"only ignorant Hong Kongers do"
Again, revealing your bias lol
You just no like Western Europe lol.

Western Europe is still the region that enjoys the highest levels of freedom and stability than any region in the world
And that's what attracted many of us here in the first place and will continue to in the decades to come, even from the mainland China lol

RodgersAkpafu:
Man I forgot about this
I have read the article There is still outflow, despite the drop and the number came up in 2024 from 2023 and down from 2024 to 2025...
Let's still see how it goes in 2026 and 2027
I'm currently in London and when you go to the "new build areas" in East London (was there ob Monday) you still see many many of them living there and trust me, they prefer it here than in China where the CCP is pressing their neck *especially millennial and zoomers"

The outflow is there, but mostly towards Asia. I met an ethnic Chinese woman (originally from Taiwan but now an American) yesterday who lamented that Asian students are discriminated against on entrance into top schools in the US simply because they score too high. As a result, many are leaving for China or places with a significant Chinese population, all of which are in Asia. There are studies where ethnic Chinese academics in the US contemplate leaving or have left for Asia. So, I am not making this up. In Bunkyo Ward, where the University of Tokyo has its main campus, Chinese parents are buying up properties and settling down. Those with bigger wallets go to Singapore, and those with smaller pockets go to Malaysia.

A Chinese person is safer in Southeast and East Asia than anywhere else.

It is even projected that more Chinese students will be coming in this year due to the wahala going on in America.Let's see

A rerouting, not a new and massive inflow. Still, there are complaints by some Chinese students in the UK about the work visa process in the UK, but largely by students who study programs with funny looking names. One of such studied History. A stoopid decision for someone who does not speak close to native English.

"only ignorant Hong Kongers do"
Again, revealing your bias lol
You just no like Western Europe lol.

Western Europe is still the region that enjoys the highest levels of freedom and stability than any region in the world
And that's what attracted many of us here in the first place and will continue to in the decades to come, even from the mainland China lol

We have to define what "freedom" exactly means here. According to Lee Kuan Yew, to the average human being, there is no greater freedom than economic and personal freedom. So, how does Western Europe offer both to a Chinese or Japanese? As for Black people, we lack both in Africa, so I understand why we flood Western Europe. However, for a Chinese national, this is not the case when options such as those from South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam are available.

Just scanned through the list of AI whizzes Meta poached and my reaction is LOL.
$100m signing bonus is nuts.

-Lord

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/20/us/politics/trump-china-technology.html
China held its own, as expected, in the US-imposed economic war.
Xi had more arrows in the quiver.

This is only the first round and the confrontations will continue.

-Lord

Earlier, I recall stating with crystal clarity that the Great Power confrontation had only begun.
The Hegemony was not going to take the multipolarity beatdown without lashing out.
They might be in decline, but they still have potent arrows in the quiver.

Well, we've had an eventful couple of months.
The intense salvos will continue at brisk pace.

Bolivia is having its Argentina and Philippines moment.
Venezuela is next on the chopping block.
Potential kinetic action billed as necessary for hemispheric defense.
Economic war arrived on the doorsteps of Brazil and India.
Syria, Iran, Armenia, the list goes on and on.

---

Going forward, the most important sign to watch out for is the resolution amongst the Big 4 -- China, Russia, India, Iran -- on how to handle the Hegemony.
You see, with the push for multipolarity, the Quartet had sought to gradually help down the US from its unipolar perch.
Get it used to sharing the podium as opposed to pushing for an all-out collapse.
I am certain they anticipated some push back, but they will be revisiting some preconceptions they had on how to manage the Hegemony's geopolitical decline.

Consultations are rife. As I type, the Iranian President just concluded a trip to Belarus where he signed new cooperation agreements. The Chinese Foreign Minister is concurrently in India. While there is a revolving door of Russian dignitaries in North Korea. Indian decision makers in Russia. It's a busy hive and it's a great time to be in the defense cargo business..

You get this intense surge of activity prior to global wars.
All players, including the eternal optimists, realize we are firmly within one now. Hybrid in nature -- a mixture of kinetic as in Iran, Ukraine, and soon in Venezuela; economic as in China, India, Brazil, the tariff war; and interstitial schemes like the ongoing civil action in Serbia. This will be a full-domain conflict spanning years and possibly a few decades.

Brazil is the 8th largest economy by PPP. It has no destroyer or cruiser (the warship types).
Clearly, some are better prepared for fisticuffs than others. There'll be several acts in this play.

---

This confrontation is peculiar within a historical context because it has no clear fixed goals.
China, the US, and India will remain the world's largest economies over the next 7 decades.
Russia will remain a top 3 nuclear power over the same timeframe.
So we essentially have the US stirring sh*t to make life difficult for and hopefully trip its competitors.
Who cares if people die, leaders are toppled, countries are totaled.
This is not unprecedented. For eons before Allied victory in WW2, Great Power games were played like this.

Welcome to the future. If it looks like the past, don't sweat it. History rhymes.
This is why I encourage folks to act based on their economic interest.
If you want to buy US stocks? Go ahead.
Buying property in the UAE? Have at it.
Establishing a trade connection in China or anywhere else in Eurasia? By all means.
Getting multiple passports? That's what's up.

China, India, Russia, US, UK, EU, Iran, Belarus are all doing trillions in business with each other while killing each other.
Your 8 figures ($) or less NW is statistical noise.
Until this whole sh*t goes up in an inferno. Get that bag however and wherever and observe like a hawk so you don't get caught up as collateral damage.

-Lord

PLEASE BEWARE OF SEMANTICISM IN THIS GAME OF POLITICS.

TRADITIONAL RULERS ARE THE CUSTODIANS FOR LANDS FOR GOD AND FOR THEIR RESPECTIVE PEOPLES. IN REPUBLICS AND VIABLE STATES, PRESIDENTS PRIME MINISTERS AND HEADS OF STATES ARE ACCEPTABLE TRS TOO.

LordAdam16:
China, India, Russia, US, UK, EU, Iran, Belarus are all doing trillions in business with each other while killing each other.
Your 8 figures ($) or less NW is statistical noise.
Until this whole sh*t goes up in an inferno. Get that bag however and wherever and observe like a hawk so you don't get caught up as collateral damage.

-Lord

I cant imagine the world going on in smoke because the hegemon refused to gracefully go down in peace.

Rebuilding the world wont be a matter of decades like WW2, but a thing of centuries, if not a millenium. The amount of nukes laying down under mountains, submarines, silos, etc, are just an existential threat to the survivial of humanity, even not participants like the third world.

The world is paying a very big price of allowing hegemony to sprung up after the fall of USSR, an anomaly that havent exist before.

This just goes to show the importance that prevention is better than cure

@Lord Adam I was going through your posts when I came across this thread. It's a pleasant surprise to see that there are other NL threads that haven't been overridden by mindless US-worshipping dimwits.

I can't help but wonder if the USSR could have endured longer should the Chinese choose not to side with the Yankees.

usmanpogo:
I can't help but wonder if the USSR could have endured longer should the Chinese choose not to side with the Yankees.

The dynamism of the USSR was lacking.

The USSR had four decades to offer an appetizing global alternative to the Western socioeconomic order and fell short.
That's the nub that precipitated the fall.

The Sino-Soviet split had three triggers.
The first was ideological. The USSR denouncing the Stalinistic interpretation of Communism rubbed Maoist China the wrong way.
The second was political. The USSR sought to establish a two-tier echelon with Communist China, while China understandably favored a yoke of equals.
The third was defense related. The USSR seriously considered militarily coaxing China to be its junior partner. A monumental error and supremely arrogant. Mao had to be evacuated from Beijing because there was a credible threat of a Soviet-launched nuclear decapitation strike.

Mao scoffed at the Soviets seeking coexistence with the West.
His successors then evaluated the pros and cons and did the same thing Mao criticized.
That is dynamism.
But while the Soviet rapprochement with the West had little positives, the Chinese rapprochement was easily one of history's most fruitful political move.
And they did it while retaining key elements of Marxism, retaining their functional independence, and establishing their own leverage.
That is functional dynamism.

Like the USSR, China does have its weaknesses and blind spots.
But the USSR didn't have geopolitical finesse. It did have dreamy advantages, way better than modern day China and Russia, but could not leverage them.

If Chinese premiers since Deng had the might of the Soviet Union, the US would have long been cut to size.
China is still in the process of building out its power projection, nuclear, space, biotechnological, and more capabilities.
Most of which the Soviet Union already had before many of us here were born.
But look at the difference between the embrace of the Soviet Union and China by the global majority.

I can't say I miss the USSR.
It had to give way to a better version of itself but was unable to cross the Rubicon.

-Lord

Here: https://www. nytimes. com/2025/08/26/climate/africa-china-solar-panels. html

There has been a surge of solar exports from China to African countries. "Sierra Leone imported the equivalent of more than half its total current electricity capacity, and Chad, nearly half."

This phenomenon reminded me of the popularity of Tecno phones between 2011 and 2017, which enabled the deepening of smartphones in most sub-Saharan African countries. Since these Chinese made phones were/are powered by Android, many Africans could access the Internet at very affordable prices. I cannot forget the comment by a then popular Nairalander "Bluetooth2" who boasted how he was one of the few in his circle to be on Instagram because he owned an iPhone. With Tecno and Infinix, anyone at anywhere could also be an Instagram user. With TikTok, people have an alternative to Western-owned social media platforms and can make good money from it as well.

So with the proliferation of solar panels, it means by the end of this decade, many Africans will gain access to cheap electricity for their needs and wants. In return, they would become more comfortable in purchasing "White goods", most of which would be Chinese-owned. Thus, living standards would improve exponentially just as the presence of smartphones enabled quick information to be at one's fingertips.

May the Han Chinese live forever and ever!

---

Here: https ://archive .md/2025.08.29-015845/https ://www.bloomberg .com/news/articles/2025-08-29/indian-exporters-look-to-expand-in-africa-to-dodge-50-us-tariff

Indian companies are moving factories to Africa since we are less tariffied than most parts of the world. Unsurprisingly, during the negotiations by the US, aside from South Africa, Trump never negotiated with other African countries to reduce the tariffs. With AGOA coming up for renewal, some countries might be excluded, or the entire program is scrapped.

But then, I wonder how one country can be fighting every other country with sanctions and now tariffs. Russia, China, Iran, Brazil, South Africa, and now India. How can you continually and successfully fight these people? Something has to give way; either you win or these countries team up to stop the bullying.

Gerrard59:
Here: https://www. nytimes. com/2025/08/26/climate/africa-china-solar-panels. html

There has been a surge of solar exports from China to African countries. "Sierra Leone imported the equivalent of more than half its total current electricity capacity, and Chad, nearly half."

This phenomenon reminded me of the popularity of Tecno phones between 2011 and 2017, which enabled the deepening of smartphones in most sub-Saharan African countries. Since these Chinese made phones were/are powered by Android, many Africans could access the Internet at very affordable prices. I cannot forget the comment by a then popular Nairalander "Bluetooth2" who boasted how he was one of the few in his circle to be on Instagram because he owned an iPhone. With Tecno and Infinix, anyone at anywhere could also be an Instagram user. With TikTok, people have an alternative to Western-owned social media platforms and can make good money from it as well.

So with the proliferation of solar panels, it means by the end of this decade, many Africans will gain access to cheap electricity for their needs and wants. In return, they would become more comfortable in purchasing "White goods", most of which would be Chinese-owned. Thus, living standards would improve exponentially just as the presence of smartphones enabled quick information to be at one's fingertips.

May the Han Chinese live forever and ever!

This gets at a topic I have wanted to touch on recently.
The budding age of abundance trailblazed by China.

One of the canaries in this mine is the persistent deflation in China that is now seeping into the Asian-Pacific region.
In Indonesia, the annual inflation rate from 2001 to 2014 hovered between 5% and 11%. More than double the regional average.
In January 2025, the inflation rate was 0.75%. Lowest in 25 years.

This is the direct result of "overcapacity".
Everything can be obtained at the lowest possible price in the region thanks to the Chinese.
As China automates more, there will be a stubborn suppression of prices.

Everyone who wants an air conditioner can get one.
Everyone who wants a robotic vacuum can get one.
You don't need a high salary to get the basic models of modern conveniences.
This used to be a perk exclusive to the Golden Bill, particularly the Americans.
You could just pick a TVs on a McDonald salary during Black Friday without punching a calculator.
The Asians are now experiencing that reality. Not just the Chinese either or the Japanese and Koreans.

As China domesticates more high valued industries, like high powered chips, next-gen biologics, commercial jetliners; overall wealth will increase and this snowballing abundance will yield dividends in ways we cannot comprehend yet.
What happens when fully specced jetliners cost half they do currently?
When the Chinese and other Asians in the Chinese-led global superchain cut out the Western factory and software equipment providers and introduce indigenous replacements that cost half as much.
QoL of the Asia-Pacific region will keep surging and eventually outpace the West.

The Chinese make futurism exciting.

---

Here: https ://archive .md/2025.08.29-015845/https ://www.bloomberg .com/news/articles/2025-08-29/indian-exporters-look-to-expand-in-africa-to-dodge-50-us-tariff

Indian companies are moving factories to Africa since we are less tariffied than most parts of the world. Unsurprisingly, during the negotiations by the US, aside from South Africa, Trump never negotiated with other African countries to reduce the tariffs. With AGOA coming up for renewal, some countries might be excluded, or the entire program is scrapped.

But then, I wonder how one country can be fighting every other country with sanctions and now tariffs. Russia, China, Iran, Brazil, South Africa, and now India. How can you continually and successfully fight these people? Something has to give way; either you win or these countries team up to stop the bullying.

The US is in a use-it-or-lose-it mode.

The Global South will inevitably continue to grow.
So they want to hobble our rise while trying to up their self-sufficiency because they'd hate to be on the receiving end of the bullying they'd been ditching out.

They do have a shot at some kind of equilibrium.
We are entering the age of machines.
The holy grail is machines autonomously building machines that autonomously build the things we use.
With little human input.
In this context, repatriating manufacturing to the US is not really about returning sweatshops and labor-intensive production lines.
But expanding next-generation automation-heavy manufacturing facilities that produce most of the stuff Americans want. And shutting off or raising a high barrier to foreign competition. While simultaneously opening up foreign markets to excess merchandise.

That's my underlying thesis for still investing in the US.
I don't know if this plan will succeed.
But for the foreseeable future they'll put the sweat equity in and it'll keep the economy chugging along for the most part.

Still, your last sentence is the open question.
How would the US ultimately deal with a subdued international profile.
Norway is rich. Qatar. Switzerland. Luxembourg.
But neither of them went from unipolar superpower that dictated terms to the rest of the world to having to share the podium.
When the rest of the world teams up to say enough and they lose several of their prized perks, how would things look.

I don't think anyone in Washington has asked that question yet.
Most are either in the we can still rescue unipolarism or in the multipolarism is a rehash of the Great Power games and we'll do our darnest to win that game. Few, if any, are willing to embrace a perennial decline as the natural consequence of competing against a fire-breathing dragon that can outwork them in every facet and a global majority that has had it with their shenanigans.

-Lord

Gerrard59:
Here: https://www. nytimes. com/2025/08/26/climate/africa-china-solar-panels. html

There has been a surge of solar exports from China to African countries. "Sierra Leone imported the equivalent of more than half its total current electricity capacity, and Chad, nearly half."

This phenomenon reminded me of the popularity of Tecno phones between 2011 and 2017, which enabled the deepening of smartphones in most sub-Saharan African countries. Since these Chinese made phones were/are powered by Android, many Africans could access the Internet at very affordable prices. I cannot forget the comment by a then popular Nairalander "Bluetooth2" who boasted how he was one of the few in his circle to be on Instagram because he owned an iPhone. With Tecno and Infinix, anyone at anywhere could also be an Instagram user. With TikTok, people have an alternative to Western-owned social media platforms and can make good money from it as well.

So with the proliferation of solar panels, it means by the end of this decade, many Africans will gain access to cheap electricity for their needs and wants. In return, they would become more comfortable in purchasing "White goods", most of which would be Chinese-owned. Thus, living standards would improve exponentially just as the presence of smartphones enabled quick information to be at one's fingertips.

May the Han Chinese live forever and ever!

---

Here: https ://archive .md/2025.08.29-015845/https ://www.bloomberg .com/news/articles/2025-08-29/indian-exporters-look-to-expand-in-africa-to-dodge-50-us-tariff

Indian companies are moving factories to Africa since we are less tariffied than most parts of the world. Unsurprisingly, during the negotiations by the US, aside from South Africa, Trump never negotiated with other African countries to reduce the tariffs. With AGOA coming up for renewal, some countries might be excluded, or the entire program is scrapped.

But then, I wonder how one country can be fighting every other country with sanctions and now tariffs. Russia, China, Iran, Brazil, South Africa, and now India. How can you continually and successfully fight these people? Something has to give way; either you win or these countries team up to stop the bullying.

You never see anything. It will get better for the world majority.

- Right now, there are many dark factories operating all of China. No workers needed, just electricity and programming. Thats all. It works 24 hours every day, with accurate precision, chuning out millions of consumer goods, and high tech gadgets.

SO expext more crash in prices, cheaper and cheaper stuff that even an idiot on 30k per month will still use high tech stuff. Technology should not be a luxury, it should be almost free as water.

- In the recently concluded SCO summit, The Chinese government has proposed an alternative to every multilateral institutions from the UN, world bank, ICC, etc. The GGI (global governance initiative) is under works, and all the international institutions will be headquatered in the global south.

This was in line with what Putin announced in June 14 2024 at the MFA of Russia. Links below from the Russian and Chinese government to this effect.

https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/1957107/

https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202509/13/content_WS68c511bec6d00fa19f7a2680.html

- If all these GGI institutions becomes established, the bottleneck of international trade going through the US Swift system will end, and the unfair profits that runs into trillions that the US then uses to wage war globally will end. More win for the global south.

- We may enter an era of true global peace, and the rapid development of every region on the planet. The Chinese dream and international proposition of 人类命运共同体 (community with a shared future for mankind) will become a reality, and the globe becomes a unified chessboard regardless of differences in political system.

- All these will create an incentive to bring Europe back to the global majority where it truly belongs. Eurasia is the most populous region on the planet, and Europe is naturally part of that plain. It is politics that separates Europe from Eurasia, not geography.

With a giant, interconnected economical region stressing from Africa to Asia, Europe must go through a painful divorce from Washington, since it is a matter of survival for them. The US is a giant island, and it defiles common sense to ally with them against the rest of the world.

- All these might seems like a dream, but it will all come to pass. The blueprints are there already, and it is only a matter of the mode of transition, whether it will be a hot war, or a peaceful one. But regardless, the train has left the shore.

pansophist:
You never see anything. It will get better for the world majority.

- Right now, there are many dark factories operating all of China. No workers needed, just electricity and programming. Thats all. It works 24 hours every day, with accurate precision, chuning out millions of consumer goods, and high tech gadgets.

SO expext more crash in prices, cheaper and cheaper stuff that even an idiot on 30k per month will still use high tech stuff. Technology should not be a luxury, it should be almost free as water.

- In the recently concluded SCO summit, The Chinese government has proposed an alternative to every multilateral institutions from the UN, world bank, ICC, etc. The GGI (global governance initiative) is under works, and all the international institutions will be headquatered in the global south.

This was in line with what Putin announced in June 14 2024 at the MFA of Russia. Links below from the Russian and Chinese government to this effect.

https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/1957107/

https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202509/13/content_WS68c511bec6d00fa19f7a2680.html

Na those kind factories I dey look for.

Enter into partnership with the company and mass produce absolutely anything I intend to advertise.

-

All these will create an incentive to bring Europe back to the global majority where it truly belongs. Eurasia is the most populous region on the planet, and Europe is naturally part of that plain. It is politics that separates Europe from Eurasia, not geography.

With a giant, interconnected economical region stressing from Africa to Asia, Europe must go through a painful divorce from Washington, since it is a matter of survival for them. The US is a giant island, and it defiles common sense to ally with them against the rest of the world

.

I don't see Europe, especially Western Europe, cutting off the US. The alliance is both cultural and racial. Rather, I wish to see how both regions would adjust a world with more Blacks and Indians, especially as these groups rise economically and adopt latest technologies.

Gerrard59:
Na those kind factories I dey look for.

Enter into partnership with the company and mass produce absolutely anything I intend to advertise.

- .

I don't see Europe, especially Western Europe, cutting off the US. The alliance is both cultural and racial. Rather, I wish to see how both regions would adjust a world with more Blacks and Indians, especially as these groups rise economically and adopt latest technologies.

Europe became complacent after the fall of the Soviet Union.
It is not in their nature to be subservient.
But when the US emerged as the unipolar power in what many had billed to be the end of history, they accepted their junior status and let sleeping dogs lie.
But as the global order is reworked and the Hegemony weakens, they'll countenance the Anglos until the earliest opportunity for them to strike out on their own.
That is their nature.

Washington is aware of this idiosyncrasy.
This informed their insistence on Zelensky provoking the war as well as the decision to blow up Nordstream.
Decisions that Berlin, Paris, and Milan opposed every step of the way.

Today, 47 asked Europe to stop all Russian oil purchases and impose up to 100% sanctions on China.
The equivalent of an economic decapitation strike.

As multipolarism flourishes, Washington will do everything in its power to ensure that Europe never breaks off their leash.
If that includes economic terrorism, so be it.
It is in the Axis' interest to be clear-eyed about Europe's predicament and be practical about their dealings with the Old Continent.

-Lord

LordAdam16:
I don't think anyone in Washington has asked that question yet.

I think they have. They have the Jesus card to play, so long time to go yet.

Love your analysis.

LordAdam16:
Europe became complacent after the fall of the Soviet Union.
It is not in their nature to be subservient.
But when the US emerged as the unipolar power in what many had billed to be the end of history, they accepted their junior status and let sleeping dogs lie.
But as the global order is reworked and the Hegemony weakens, they'll countenance the Anglos until the earliest opportunity for them to strike out on their own.
That is their nature.

Washington is aware of this idiosyncrasy.
This informed their insistence on Zelensky provoking the war as well as the decision to blow up Nordstream.
Decisions that Berlin, Paris, and Milan opposed every step of the way.

Today, 47 asked Europe to stop all Russian oil purchases and impose up to 100% sanctions on China.
The equivalent of an economic decapitation strike.

As multipolarism flourishes, Washington will do everything in its power to ensure that Europe never breaks off their leash.
If that includes economic terrorism, so be it.
It is in the Axis' interest to be clear-eyed about Europe's predicament and be practical about their dealings with the Old Continent.

-Lord

I do not think that Europe accepted their status as a junior partner. I think they were FORCED into a subservient position through decades of underground works which has bare fruits for the hegemon.

In my Opinion, the foundational grip of Europe's subservience was the Marshall plan, afterall he who feeds you, controls you. Germany (just like Japan) was prevented from rearming, only allowed to pursue a commercial path, and not military.

Security and sovereignty cant be separated. Washington made sure that Europe's security is under its tight grip, making Europe vulnerable and in alignment to US foreign policies.

I Still consider it a miracle that France was able to develop nuclear weapon and maintain an independent military doctrine outside Nato's framework, and the only Nato country not part of the Nato's integrated military command structure. Little surprise why the push for Europe's security independence comes mainly from France.

Charles De Gaulle foresight paid off, and I still also wonder why the hegemon let him slide, creating a future precedence for other Nato members to follow (particularly Germany) and a potential resurrection for Europe's security independence.

Over the past decades after WW2, the US has worked tirelessly to keep Europe under its leash, firstly, by consolidating leadership under the umbrella of the EU for easy control, installing US puppets as leaders, and either hook or crook, made sure other countries joining the EU align internal policies to match with the EU for easy control.

I honestly do not see how Europe will regain its freedom, because they have gone so deep into the abyss, that I cant think of a way out. Europe's situation is so bad that they do not have an independent tech and financial ecosystem, like the Chinese and US.

As I see it, Washington needs money, and if they cant recruit new markets to mint, then they will cannibalise their allies. Who would have thought that Trump would tariff the EU, or expect their Nato contribution to rise up to 5% of their GDP?

I have travelled through Brussels alot of times, even in the front of Nato, EU commission headquartered, or Brussels north station, you see lots of homeless folks sleeping under tents and being fed by charity organisation on mobile trucks, but all these folks hold no value in the eyes of EU leaders, but to send more billions to Ukraine, and pour more fund into Nato.

budaatum:
I think they have. They have the Jesus card to play, so long time to go yet.

Love your analysis.

Appreciate the kind words.

-Lord

I disagree with those who say Europe was "forced" into a "junior partnership" with America

This is a continent that has CENTURIES of multi continental simultaneous warfare, even america is still learning the ropes in this regard.


The mistake I believe Europe made was believing that documents signed were sacrosanct, and Washington will always be led by level headed people

I mean Europe's input was key to the creation od the Bretton Woods neo liberal order we live in today, so what we talking bout ?

Its just that Washington has shown that all it takes is for one knuckle head to occupy that office and the norms go out the window.

Now Europe has seen it, they are now realigning themselves, which will be detrimental to America long term

On Monday the 15th of September 2025, The PLA eastern theatre command released this new music video titled ''Plant the flag of victory on treasure island''. In Chinese, Taiwan is often referred to as the ''treasure island''.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL4elT00Ll4

The video is in Chinese, I have managed to translate the opening line.

Embrace Penghu Bay, Dock at Keelung Harbour,
The flag of victory must be planted on Taiwan

Mind you, the video is released after the parade, a clear demonstration that China is committed to peaceful reunification, but have the might to engage militarily. This is consistent with the Chinese military doctrine of winning wars without fighting.

The significance of this war video is that the PLA have not released a war video for decades, and this particular video is coming from the eastern command theatre that covers Fujian province, a stone throw from Taiwan.

I predict that reunification will happen before the year runs out. The signs are everywhere.

For example few days ago, the US have prioritise defence of their mainland than imperialistic adventure, this was demonstrated by the reduction/withdraw of their military from the Pacific. The US have quietly accepted that it cant defeat Russia and China is the Asian hemisphere.

Also, I believe the war in Ukraine is about to escalate, as EU leaders are hellbent on confronting Russia one on one.

If they confront Russia, then China will be involved in the war, and such involvement means China will rather kill many birds with one stone.

No point assisting Russia, then fight another battle for the liberation of Taiwan, then later the complete destruction of all US military infrastructure in the pacific, better achieve all goals at once.

For the Chinese, liberating Taiwan is NOT just one of their goal, but pushing the US away from the pacific entirely, or the so called ''second island chain'', alongside bases in Guam, Japan, Korea, Philippines etc all totally destroyed, is their goal.

pansophist:
On Monday the 15th of September 2025, The PLA eastern theatre command released this new music video titled ''Plant the flag of victory on treasure island''. In Chinese, Taiwan is often referred to as the ''treasure island''.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL4elT00Ll4

The video is in Chinese, I have managed to translate the opening line.



Mind you, the video is released after the parade, a clear demonstration that China is committed to peaceful reunification, but have the might to engage militarily. This is consistent with the Chinese military doctrine of winning wars without fighting.

The significance of this war video is that the PLA have not released a war video for decades, and this particular video is coming from the eastern command theatre that covers Fujian province, a stone throw from Taiwan.

I predict that reunification will happen before the year runs out. The signs are everywhere.

For example few days ago, the US have prioritise defence of their mainland than imperialistic adventure, this was demonstrated by the reduction/withdraw of their military from the Pacific. The US have quietly accepted that it cant defeat Russia and China is the Asian hemisphere.

Also, I believe the war in Ukraine is about to escalate, as EU leaders are hellbent on confronting Russia one on one.

If they confront Russia, then China will be involved in the war, and such involvement means China will rather kill many birds with one stone.

No point assisting Russia, then fight another battle for the liberation of Taiwan, and also the destroy of all US military infrastructure in the pacific, better achieve all goals at once.

For the Chinese, liberating Taiwan is NOT just one of their goal, but pushing the US away from the pacific entirely, or the so called ''second island chain'', alongside bases in Guam, Japan, Korea, Philippines etc all totally destroyed, is their goal.

Lets watch and see how things will play out

My bet is that China will still "lule" (like they say in the streets of Nigeria) but let's be watching

When the current clown 🤡 leaves Washington and another "proper" American president takes the helm, we shall see how things play out

and yes, Russia losing the war in Ukraine and handicapped is a policy goal of Europe and they will see it to the last....
Its an existential issue for them, but especially their new friends in the baltics

RodgersAkpafu:
Lets watch and see how things will play out

My bet is that China will still "lule" (like they say in the streets of Nigeria) but let's be watching

When the current clown 🤡 leaves Washington and another "proper" American president takes the helm, we shall see how things play out

and yes, Russia losing the war in Ukraine and handicapped is a policy goal of Europe and they will see it to the last....
Its an existential issue for them, but especially their new friends in the baltics

Panso hypothesis is that if the Europeans escalate against Russia directly, China will use the opportunity to take Taiwan.
Which will neuter American presence in the first island chain.

What you're missing is that China will not only win in the Pacific, it'll enter the Western front on Russia's side.
90% of Ukrainian drone components come from China.
Wang already told the EU without ambiguity that China WILL not allow Russia to lose the war.
If China joins the war, it is finished. Both theaters are in China's backyard.

US policies are POTUS-agnostic.
48 will also antagonize China and if the Ukraine war has not been resolved by 2029, he'll still funnel weapons and money.

-Lord

LordAdam16:
Panso hypothesis is that if the Europeans escalate against Russia directly, China will use the opportunity to take Taiwan.
Which will neuter American presence in the first island chain.

What you're missing is that China will not only win in the Pacific, it'll enter the Western front on Russia's side.
90% of Ukrainian drone components come from China.
Wang already told the EU without ambiguity that China WILL not allow Russia to lose the war.
If China joins the war, it is finished. Both theaters are in China's backyard.

US policies are POTUS-agnostic.
48 will also antagonize China and if the Ukraine war has not been resolved by 2029, he'll still funnel weapons and money.

-Lord

Exactly my point
BUT
48 will go further and reverse from the isolationist foolishness of 47

The fear in Taipel in boiling.

Taiwan government few days ago released a booklet to be shared to Taiwanese citizens about what to do in the event of the mainland invasion.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkCx7MR3qjU

Pansophist:

What do you think China would get out of the recent trade meetings with the US held in Madrid? So far, I have read about the benefits the US and its companies are getting, but none so far from China.

Gerrard59:
Pansophist:

What do you think China would get out of the recent trade meetings with the US held in Madrid? So far, I have read about the benefits the US and its companies are getting, but none so far from China.

Honestly I dont know, I i did not follow up.

But if I will make a guess, then it could be that part of the agreement is non-disclosure from the Chinese side, while the US side can spin it anyhow they want, since they have an image to maintain to the world as a strong power.

RodgersAkpafu:
Exactly my point
BUT
48 will go further and reverse from the isolationist foolishness of 47

doesnt matter

the damage is done
it is obvious now that it is not a bug but a feature.

more so when the US govt may as well be a mafia boss demanding their cut or kissing the ring