₦airaland Forum

twosquare:
Prepare for the week!


Some of it are tentative!

You don't get tired. Thanks for being strong as always. 👌🏽

Please I am a newbie here and would appreciate some guidance. If the market crashes and a coin's value drops to zero, what happens to my investment? I purchased Wlfi at $0.34 USDT, but the value has since dropped to $0.11 and continues to decline. What will be my faith if it drops to zero?

Who remembered my November 2024 post? Where I did a deep research on when to sell and we all belonged to different teams.

Seanwilliam, I hope you remembered your team?

I'll do a recap of that post and the strategy we used.

Here is a link to read the full post: https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4013#132886886

Typing...

This was the post:

Choose Your Team: Bitcoin Bull Run Peaks and Details

While I await the 20 likes and contemplate if is should expose it, let me share another one I discovered from analyzing the chart as if my life depended on it.

I noticed a relationship between the date of the year of each Sell Year. For newbies who are new to this thread, Sell Years are part of the 4 year cycle. It's the year each cycle peaks, like 2013, 2017, 2021 and next is 2025.

Market usually picks in October, November or December and it may even do a pump in January, the following year. It's called the dead cat bounces.

With this information, I thoroughly researched the chart and noticed December is the best month to sell, but November and October have done great too, so I included all the months in my analysis and found out a good selling date from the last two digit of the year of that bullrun's peak.

There was a bullrun peak in 2013, right?

Now, the last digit of 2013 is 3 and a combination of second to last digit is 13. Therefore, sell 50% of your BTC on the 3rd and the 40% on the 13th. Then keep 10% incase of unforeseen magic even though the parabolic pump seems to be exhausted.

"Now, which month should I sell?" You asked.

Your RSI, StochRSI, Fear & Greed Index and other indicators will tell you, but you'll need to choose a month, a team and a date. Luckily, the year of the bullrun is the date.

We have

Team O (October)
Team N (November)
Team D (December)
Team J (January, the following year).

For me, I'm team D as first choice, Team J, my second choice and Team N, my third choice.

The reason you should choose a team is so that you'll study how your team behaves and this will help you not to panic-sell in other people's team because you know how their team also behaves in price action.

From my real-life research, Team D has the best win rate, but the riskiest because you'll be holding your breath whenever that market is red for a day as you pray for it not to crash in October or November. 

After I gathered all my info, I put it on GPT to do some analysis.

Remember, I'm mainly Team D and maybe, Team J, and Team N.

As a Team D member...

In 2013, I'll should've sold some on the 3rd of December and some on the 13th of December.

In 2017, I should've sold some on the 7th of December and some on the 17th. Why 7th and 17th? Because it's derived from 2017 and same applies to 2021 ans the rest of bullrun peak year.

In 2021, I should've sold some on the 1st of December and some on the 21st of December.

If I had sold at those prices, I sold at the best or second to the best prices. Though, in 2021, Team October won, followed by Team November. My lovely Team December took third postion, but it's still good at 57-59k.

Here is the prices and info for your perusal. After you gone through it, choose your team and if you don't mind, why?

2013 BULL RUN

Top Price: ~$1,165
Happened on: Monday, December 2, 2013

2013 DETAILS:

October 3, 2013: ~$129
October 13, 2013: ~$138 ((Total: 267)

November 3, 2013: ~$204
November 13, 2013: ~$331 (Total: 535)

December 3, 2013: ~$1,048
December 13, 2013: ~$872 (Total: 1920)

January 3, 2014: ~$833
January 13, 2014: ~$860 (Total: 1693)

WINNER: Team December
Runner up: Team J

2017 BULL RUN

Top Price: ~$19,665
Happened on: Sunday, December 17, 2017

2017 DETAILS:

October 7, 2017: ~$4,400
October 17, 2017: ~$5,600 (Total: 10000)

November 7, 2017: ~$7,100
November 17, 2017: ~$7,800 (Total: 14900)

December 7, 2017: ~$14,600
December 17, 2017: ~$19,000 (Total: 33600)

January 7, 2018: ~$17,300
January 17, 2018: ~$11,000 (Total: 28000)

WINNER: Team December
Runner up: Team J

2021 BULL RUN

Top Price: ~$69,045
Happened on: Wednesday, November 10, 2021

2021 DETAILS:

October 1, 2021: ~$43,900
October 21, 2021: ~$65,000 (Total: 108,900)

November 1, 2021: ~$61,000
November 21, 2021: ~$58,200 (Total: 119200)

December 1, 2021: ~$57,000
December 21, 2021: ~$48,800 (Total: 105800)

January 1, 2022: ~$46,300
January 21, 2022: ~$38,500

WINNER: Team November
Runner up: Team October.

My team took 3rd postion. First time wey we dey carry last.

[b]2025 PROJECTION

Top Price: ~195k (projected)
Maybe happen on: Monday, December 15, 2025 (hypothetical, based on prior cycles peaking mid-December)

PROJECTION FOR 2025

October 5, 2025: ~120k
October 25, 2025: ~130k

November 5, 2025: ~145k
November 25, 2025: ~155k

December 5, 2025: ~175k
December 25, 2025: ~190k

January 5, 2026: ~185k
January 25, 2026: ~160k

For 2025, I just hit my ass and came up with the number 195k — it's not based on any indicator or calculation. I just needed a value to use, so it's just a guess.

Choose your team and if you don't mind, why do you prefer the team?

Na who give up f up ,trump mentioned he wants to make America number one in the digital asset world , ignore the dips ignore the manipulations ,keep going.

DaemoLee:
As binance don list dat $Giggle, the coin don finish.
What a beautiful run.

$Giggle Giggles.
Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

One year ago, 2024, exactly in November, I projected October to be 120k to 130k. Did we achieve it? Yes. October hit 126k, which is within the range of 120-130k.

Team October, I hope you've sold. I'm Team November and mostly December, so I'm holding my breath. I hope I won't regret for not joining Team O.

iLegendd:
One year ago, 2024, exactly in November, I projected October to be 120k to 130k. Did we achieve it? Yes. October hit 126k, which is within the range of 120-130k.

Team October, I hope you've sold. I'm Team November and mostly December, so I'm holding my breath. I hope I won't regret for not joining Team O.

You guys should ignore all these noise makers next year ooooo.
I won't sympathize with anyone who doesn't.

MamaFutures:
You guys should ignore all these noise makers next year ooooo.
I won't sympathize with anyone who doesn't.

.

0 legend, u don start ur usual post àbi....

No relevance.. Just posting

Seun pls extend this block stuff for like a year ńa.. I don block 0legend and 3 weeks is to small

seanwilliam:
The current pump is not sustainable in the long run, except he keeps talking about it. You’ll be surprised that Zk pumped just because of the shoutout from vitalik not because of anything they’re building😂. Alts coin live on hype.
take whatever profit you make and wait for another dump. Vitalik wey no fit pump eth to $5k . If you check the below screenshot, what he did is’ scratch my back I scratch your back ‘
If there’s no other dump, you only lose opportunity and not capital. Please let’s learn how to keep profit no matter how little o.
Wagmi📍

📌 For reference

It seems only few selected coi.ns are experiencing surge

Why the corrections? D** th cross is happening in few days time. Though, it might be a fake out.

What is a kpai cross? It's when the 50 SMA, blue line, goes below 200 SMA, red line.

What happens when kpai cross occurs? Market dumps, then pumps, then corrects days or weeks later.

What about golden cross? It's when that 50 SMA that went down starts going back up. What happen? Market will pump, then dumps on the day it crosses in most cases, then slowly starts gaining strength to go up.

When it happens matters. This is why you need to understand the 4 year cycle, Re-se-bu-bum.

Team October, 2025.

Using the method I posted in 2024, you're to sell on Oct 5th and 25th. What was the price of BTC on those days?

Oct 5th was 125k-126k (Top of October)
Oct 25th was 111k -115k.

harry2sexy:
Na to find free usdt dey stack my spot bag from next weekend.

Prices will still dip. Hopefully Sol enters 156 region which is very very likely

Order set for 150.

After 150 spot buy, 25% dip from 150 and I'll buy again at 112 region

iLegendd:
Why the corrections? D** th cross is happening in few days time. Though, it might be a fake out.

What is a kpai cross? It's when the 50 SMA, blue line, goes below 200 SMA, red line.

What happens when kpai cross occurs? Market dumps, then pumps, then corrects days or weeks later.

What about golden cross? It's when that 50 SMA that went down starts going back up. What happen? Market will pump, then dumps on the day it crosses in most cases, then slowly starts gaining strength to go up.

When it happens matters. This is why you need to understand the 4 year cycle, Re-se-bu-bum.

1 saw the dump coming but I thought it will reach 77k before the pump

iLegendd:
Why the corrections? D** th cross is happening in few days time. Though, it might be a fake out.

What is a kpai cross? It's when the 50 SMA, blue line, goes below 200 SMA, red line.

What happens when kpai cross occurs? Market dumps, then pumps, then corrects days or weeks later.

What about golden cross? It's when that 50 SMA that went down starts going back up. What happen? Market will pump, then dumps on the day it crosses in most cases, then slowly starts gaining strength to go up.

When it happens matters. This is why you need to understand the 4 year cycle, Re-se-bu-bum.

am currently riding on the bearish trend but I go leave market if btc reach 102k
Am still doubting if btc will reach 77k that why I ask u few days back

Clemss88:
I just need to to get to all time high. Let it just pull a zec

What do you guys think about ZEC? Is it still worth buying?

Prices are where they were in July. Took a 4x leverage trade on my swing trade. Holding for the next 8weeks.

Hopefully the buy at 156/sol hit stop loss at 117 or so, so i can buy properly

If prices like let it pump to heaven. I'm tired of the losses. It's time I have my peace of mind . All positions closed .

Clemss88:
If prices like let it pump to heaven. I'm tired of the losses. It's time I have my peace of mind . All positions closed .

Why are u closing position?
Are u not in spot?
If u have been able to hold till this moment, why not just wait it out till January? Closing your position at this point is not a good decision if u ask me.

Una still dey, my people strong oo.

Fundamental rule:

Buy in red, sell in green.

Why una dey always forget

$Zen ti zeh

GRACEGLORY:
📌 For reference

I hope you don’t see that post and this reply as an attack on you my bro.
Whoever holds any coin other than btc now should be taking profit aggressively on every pump.
Alts currently is like the Yoruba adage about “ lálá tó ròke, ilè nínbò” meaning Alts that go up must come down, the crash will be fatal!. Alt live on hypes, not because of utility or nonsense building claims .

Take for example , if it was before , Aster , the supposed hyper liquid killer should be atleast x10 now , the biggest KOL( CZ) in the world announced he bought with his money, it pumped a little and dumped heavily even below his entry price. Market respects no one at the moment except TRUMP😂😂.
Check xpl, at launch, nothing wey dem no claim finish, currently it’s down 84%! This keeps happening to a host of ‘utility’ coins. I don’t even want to talk about memecoin.


As of now ,Zk will only profit those who bought recently not people that has been holding, technically 99% of people in that coin are currently in loss same with 95% of other alts too.
For ZK to invalid that thesis above, it needs to do atleast x10 from the current price.

Is that possible? YES
is it worth it to take the risk of hodling now judging by the current market condition ? BIG NO.
Most people are waiting to get to their entry and exit the market totally. If you snooze péré, you become exit liquidity and bag holder.The concept of hodl is gradually dying as it’s no longer rewarding as it’s used to be.
So people should just be taking profit on every pump here and there and put it on btc for long term hodl till market resets and momentum returns.

God bless you my bro.

DaemoLee:
$Giggle Giggles.
Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

Some people could’ve shorted it

iLegendd:
Who remembered my November 2024 post? Where I did a deep research on when to sell and we all belonged to different teams.

Seanwilliam, I hope you remembered your team?

I'll do a recap of that post and the strategy we used.

Here is a link to read the full post: https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4013#132886886

Typing...

Still team October o. Currently , I’m sticking to my original plan, I’m de-risking, gradually reducing my market exposure.
Now this is what I’m saying, when you made this post in November last year , sol was almost 250$
One year later , sol is under 160$ roughly 40% down. Whereas btc was around 70k$ or so that time, now it’s 105k that’s roughly 35% higher. Don’t forget sol is the most popular alt among degens and retail o. . Now imagine what happened to random alts😂😂.


Alts keep proving b tc maxi right.

jayce232:
Why are u closing position?
Are u not in spot?
If u have been able to hold till this moment, why not just wait it out till January? Closing your position at this point is not a good decision if u ask me.

lol. I said more than this during June bloodbath. I believed i would be swimming in money by now instead I’m currently swimming in regrets
Best thing to do now is to de risk and leave little thing in the market or get out and plan ahead for a fatal bt c crash to buy no matter how long it takes.

Fastt is another underrated player in this game.
The man no dey use eyes see small profit on alts 😂, he go sharperly take am to carry oyoyo..








I feel bad mehn, so lambo and Bahamas 🇧🇸 dream don die like that ?😂😂

Chikacha, tflex and that bro wey one buy condo that time wey alts Dey pump, where una dey o.
Where do we go from here? Chai.

seanwilliam:
Fastt is another underrated player in this game.
The man no dey use eyes see small profit on alts 😂, he go sharperly take am to carry oyoyo..


I feel bad mehn, so lambo and Bahamas 🇧🇸 dream don die like that ?😂😂

Chikach. a, tfle. x and that bro wey one buy condo that time wey alts Dey pump, where una dey o.
Where do we go from here? Chai.

True @ bold. I always look forward to his contribution. Only man that stated Trump was coming to destabilize the market after the elections, while majority of us were happy he won. Last last Trump really turn this market upside down.