₦airaland Forum

iLegendd:
With the type of suffering you're going through and even putting your account number on your page for giveaway, understanding my post is impossible. It's only for people who have eaten and have strength to assimilate 0s and 1s.

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

Angry at this dip not because frustrated,all capital tied and I'm seeing gems I can't stack, the dip ain't normal. Hold.from December 🚀

iLegendd:
With the type of suffering you're going through and even putting your account number on your page for giveaway, understanding my post is impossible. It's only for people who have eaten and have strength to assimilate 0s and 1s.

Replying with all your emotions in letters means l struck your nerves,didn't l?

Ballzproblemm:
Angry at this dip not because frustrated,all capital tied and I'm seeing gems I can't stack, the dip ain't normal. Hold.from December 🚀

Name the gems

If btc hits 94539.39 to 93639.26
This range is a good trade
Long position

Take profit 102k

Gucciboy:
Replying with all your emotions in letters means l struck your nerves,didn't l?

You did.

One thing about me is, even when I know something, I never stop learning, researching and digging more data, especially on a topic I'm interested.

After years of studying halving, but neglecting it, someone sent me a video on TG and it's about halving. I watched it and got inspired again to look into it.

Immediately, I watched at least 25 videos to see their perspective if I'll finally take it seriously and find a way to add it to my too arsenal and I finally did and it's not too late.

here's my finding... "I'll keep it short." Not a promise, but I'll try.

It's quite easy. Go to Tradingview and search for Bitcoin Halving. There are 3-4 I like, but lest use the one by akaLOCKSMITH.

When you add it, go to the settings and untick that red and green background and you'll be left with green line for start of cycle, yellow line for start of halving and red line = 80 weeks from halving (1 year and half month + or - ).

Now, let me explain what I found in simple English.

From my findings, after the 80th week, red line, the market is dead for BTC. I don't know about alts since it's not my specialty.

If you look at the image below you'll see where a yellow arrow is pointing. That the the body of any candle taller than the one that prints under the red line. That place is my highest stoploss incase the cycle want to be different.

NO CANDLE has ever gone above any candle the red line printed on. The highest it could do is to retest it like 2017/2018 did. If this year retests it, that's 111.5k. For the yellow, it's 114k ≈ 115k. My question is, will this time be different?

Now, let me post for 2013, 2017, 2021 and...

By the way, 2013 topped in December, 2013, but the 80th week, the red, printed in June, 2014. This is to say, the top has happened 6-7 months ahead in that 2013 cycle.

In 2017, it printed red two months after the top.
In 1 an 2021, it printed red the following month.
In 2025, it also printed red the following month.

I'm not going to make decisions for you and end up taking the blame for misleading you.

As I said, whenever this red prints, all my cycle prediction for BTC automatically becomes void and I switch straight to my bear market strategy even though I know it may go retest the blue line or even break it for the first time.

Lesson: Focus on time, not price, after the 80th week of every halving cycle. You must make this switch, else you bleed. This doesn't mean there won't be relief rallies, there will, but for BTC, it HASN'T YET gone above the blue line.

This is not a financial advice, but my finding and I urge you to disregard it and follow your rules as long as you have a strong conviction in it.

Below is for 2013, 2017, and 2021.

I'm only a researcher and a messenger — the final decision is on you. "Fed is printing, global liquidity is rising, QE will soon start, etc. and the market will pump because the cycle is different and it's a supercycle. Alt season must happen, else the cycle won't end."

These are some of the things on YouTube. The same YouTubers who said this cycle is different forgot that the word "different" could go both ways. It could be the first time without parabolic alt season — considering the level of liquidation on the 10th of October which made every sensible person realize something about alts.

NOTE: WE STILL HAVE 15 DAYS FOR THE MONTHLY CANDLE TO CLOSE AND WE MIGHT BE LUCKY TO SEE IT PUMP ABOVE THE BLUE LINE, BUT THE MOMENT DECEMBER COMES WITHOUT IT GOING ABOVE IT, THEN IT'S DONE AND DUSTED FOR THE CYCLES.

Don't forget March and July ALWAYS pump in a bull market, so those are two months to short.

One thing newbies should know is, something called INVALIDATION.

That redline is an invalidator. Some newbies think the moment you change your mind, you're a failure. These same people will send a cheating w/m away because she's not the person he used to know. He CHANGED HIS MIND about her, but can't about BTC when things get invalidated.

I'm longing xmr now

The bull run has started

The bull run has started

Alexas58 said so

Let's enter the market aggressively now and long XMR

Price is currently at 410

Enter aggressively

For futures traders , we are targeting next price level of 600.


Stop loss is at 210
Manage Ur risk appropriately

Hmmmmm.......

Alexas58 does not see btc going to 76kat least for now.
We are in November.

We have a lot of support!

We just hit major support region at 95k.
And immediately I placed my first buy on shitcoins again.

I am here for shitcoins!


I am a shitcoins lover

We can range here a little for now


Let's enter the market and buy XMR
The bull run is now!

Alexas58:
Alexas58 does not see btc going to 76kat least for now.
We are in November.

We have a lot of support!

We just hit major support region at 95k.
And immediately I placed my first buy on shitcoins again.

I am here for shitcoins!


I am a shitcoins lover

We can range here a little for now


Let's enter the market and buy XMR
The bull run is now!

.

2025 bull run


Xmr is screaming buy me pls!.
Why have you not bought it?



Why are you wasting time?


Alexas58 said buy XMR now!

In January, I made a post about Tilson T3 signal. I said from the 20th of October, if the green or blue turn red, SELLLLL.

HERE is a link to see the post and the pictures I uploaded. It's a short read. From the image below, it turned red and I had been meaning to post it, but felt you guys already knew about it through that post and there wasn't any need.

https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4206#133882064

Did you see a green colour there? Yes, zoom it. On the 20th of October, it turned red, so it's over based on history except if this time is different.

If you think you've missed shorting it at the top, then enter a short trade with money you can lose and let your liquidation be 126k and don't put stoploss. Maybe, because of you, we might just go back there, but if we don't, you win BIG!

Tilson indicator and 80 week cycle said it's over for BTC, but it's left for you to make your own decision.

The stubborn CME gap is finally about to happen soon, thanks to dth cross.

myonekobosay:
Hmmmmm.......

u later change ur trendline lol

iLegendd:
In January, I made a post about Tilson T3 signal. I said from the 20th of October, if the green or blue turn red, SELLLLL.

HERE is a link to see the post and the pictures I uploaded. It's a short read. From the image below, it turned red and I had been meaning to post it, but felt you guys already knew about it through that post and there wasn't any need.

Did you see a green colour there? Yes, zoom it. On the 20th of October, it turned red, so it's over based on history except if this time is different.

You are one great contributor of this thread & I have high regard for u, but I think the problem I observe about u is u always want to be right. Things doesn't work that way. You should stand for something. This has led to u coming up with so many cumbersome rules which an average person can't follow. Almost seem like u speak from both side of the mouth just to be in a safe position. Your post is suggesting bull run is over, but if the market should pump now u will come up with another rule.

This has made grace.glory very different from every analyst on this thread, dude position on alt season has been firm & has hardly switch lane, even if an alt season doesn't happen, alot of us will always respect him for his firm position. You kinda switch too often which can be misleading. Don't see this as an attack, but just an observation.

OgogoroFreak:
@clems88 Must have gotten a trailer load of $SOL since he prayed and fasted for SOL to fall below $200

This man shaaa

Baba dey always presss alts people neck without mercy

OgogoroFreak:
Hahahahaha... 😂

Is that the fear of a BULLIEVER?

Werey don rekt people with altcoin call 😅

iLegendd:
Exact halving to top durations in weeks for every cycle.

By default, it must be 77-80 weeks and that is 1 year and 5 months (plus or minus 1 month).

1. 2012 Halving → 2013 Top
Halving: 28 Nov 2012
Top: 4 Dec 2013
Days: 371
Weeks: 53 weeks exactly

2. 2016 Halving → 2017 Top
Halving: 9 Jul 2016
Top: 16 Dec 2017
Days: 525
Weeks: 75 weeks


3. 2020 Halving → 2021 Top
Halving: 11 May 2020
Top: 10 Nov 2021
Days: 548
Weeks: 78.28 weeks
(≈ 78 weeks, 2 days)

4. 2024 Halving → 2025 Top (126k)

Using the mid-range top date: 10 Oct 2025
Halving: 20 Apr 2024
Top: 10 Oct 2025
Days: 538
Weeks: 76.85 weeks
(≈ 76 weeks, 6 days)


Final Summary

Cycle to Weeks from Halving

Only the first cycle (2012→2013) topped early. The last three cycles all top within 75–80 weeks, matching 77–80 week rule almost perfectly.


So...

First halving happened on 28 November 2012 at a Bitcoin price of about $12.35.
The cycle top after this halving was on 4 December 2013, when Bitcoin reached about $1,151.17.
This is about a 93.2× pump, which equals roughly +9,220%.

Second halving happened on 9 July 2016 at a Bitcoin price of about $663.
The top that followed occurred on 16 December 2017, with Bitcoin reaching about $19,497.
This is about a 29.4× pump, which equals roughly +2,840%.

Third halving happened on 11 May 2020 at a price of about $8,755.
The top came on 10 November 2021, when Bitcoin reached about $69,044.
This is about a 7.89× pump, which equals roughly +689%.

Fourth halving happened on 20 April 2024 at a price of about $64,968.
The top that followed is at $126,000, which happened in early to mid October 2025, approximately around 10 October 2025.
This is about a 1.94× pump, which equals roughly +94%.

Typing...

Lol so the top is in? Means we are bleeped. Who will buy altcoins again next cycle?

who say bullrun is over for Q4 keh

Robnectar:
who say bullrun is over for Q4 keh

make we dey watch,

Verbtips:
make we dey watch,

we here then

jayce232:
You are one great contributor of this thread & I have high regard for u, but I think the problem I observe about u is u always want to be right. Things doesn't work that way. You should stand for something. This has led to u coming up with so many cumbersome rules which an average person can't follow. Almost seem like u speak from both side of the mouth just to be in a safe position. Your post is suggesting bull run is over, but if the market should pump now u will come up with another rule.

This has made grace.glory very different from every analyst on this thread, dude position on alt season has been firm & has hardly switch lane, even if an alt season doesn't happen, alot of us will always respect him for his firm position. You kinda switch too often which can be misleading. Don't see this as an attack, but just an observation.

Great observations, but I don't really think I switch lane, I just improve often and adjust to the new discoveries if they're better than the previous or on the same level. Don't you think that is a good thing? I know you do.

In real life, we all have pride and principles, but in crypto, I don't have pride, I have change.

Crypto is a thing of probability and growth, not constant. I understand keeping up with me can be overwhelming because of new info. If I tell you to buy a coin and I later realize things aren't the same, I announce it.

My previous posts here are not invalid, they just improve and I announce them and their different alternatives. (I guess my problem is 'oversharing').

Since I grow everyday, I end up sharing regularly. I guess the spirit of always wanting to share is the reason you see it that way. I'll work on it.

If your school refuses to change curriculum after years, you'll revolt, trust me. My system doesn't change, but roads that lead to it regularly improve.

The main disadvantage I find in my post is "length" or people keeping up, but since I see here as more of an open diary and my contents is a future book, it ends up being lengthy and humans don't like that — we have shorter attention span as we evolve. So, my apologies in that regard.

All I'm trying to defend is, I don't switch often — I improve often and not ashamed to announce the improvement with my full chest.

This my approach will only be valued when I'm no longer here, trust me. People will one day miss it and say, "Where is iLégend, he used to give us update back to back."

I'm not angry at your observations because if I were you, I'll feel the same way. Keeping up with me is overwhelmingly hard and I know it, hence I regularly go on break even when I have new and better things to post.

So, appreciate you for your post.