₦airaland Forum

Same south that have always complained about being marginalised are the ones now happy that Tinubu is marginalising the north

EnEnPeecee:
In North Central he should just forget it. He is going no where

Whatever you are smoking must be dope
Abeg who be your supplier?

Eriokanmi:
If Obi should secure the pdp ticket or atiku decides to support him, election will be over and won before 4pm.

Anyone still thinking those selfish governors defecting to the apc will convince the voters in their respective states IFO tinubu needs to go back to sleep.

Delusional talk

AntiChristian:
Master strategy!

While Obi and co are still yet to get a party foundation....

Obi joined LP less than a year before the 2023 election
He won all the states in the south and some North central
It took rigging for master strategist to enter Aso rock despite all the years of planning 🤣

Tinubu is just going to replicate Wike template and thats the reason he is recruiting governors.
He knows in a free and fair contest, he has no chance

helinues:
Vote against him and support who? Atiku or Peter Obi?

Hahaha, they are both from NE and SE respectively, the regions troubled with insecurity. They don't even have command to talk to their people that might have been behind the insecurity to shelve their swords.

[b]The winner of the 2027 presidential election will be decided by how Obi and Atiku play their game.
​More states in the Middle Belt will swing to Obi because of the way Asiwaju is handling insecurity in their region, while more states in the Core North will swing to Atiku because they want to remove Asiwaju.
​Therefore, if Obi and Atiku decide to work together, the APC will lose the presidency.

​Atiku should learn politics from Asiwaju, who is one of the best politicians in Nigeria in terms of ideology. Since 1999, he has not jumped from one party to another; rather, he has maintained his ideology, used his bloc to negotiate with the center, and finally aligned with Buhari to capture the center.
​As a smart politician, he knew he would not win on his own, so he struck a deal with Buhari's CPC and allowed Buhari, who had the bigger bloc, to go first as a forerunner, win the seat, and then use the central power to strengthen their position.
​The suggestion is that Atiku should work with Peter Obi, support him to go for one tenure, and then use the resulting central power to secure his own win after Obi's four years.
​If this alliance is not well planned, and both Obi and Atiku run again, Asiwaju will win again because they will split the bloc vote[/b]

jamafa:
U talk more than this before 2023 election

Are you still counting on snatching and running away with it?
Note that "anyone including you, that will attempt to stop votes from counting would be 'counted' ".

Eriokanmi:
If Obi should secure the pdp ticket or atiku decides to support him, election will be over and won before 4pm.

Anyone still thinking those selfish governors defecting to the apc will convince the voters in their respective states IFO tinubu needs to go back to sleep.

Ikpeyi:
2027 will shock APC. They should keep playing elite politics. My problem is North, if they can vote against him...then it is finished.

mrvitalis:
Lmaoo there can never be southern block vote

South East would never vote Tinubu

South South would vote him the same way South West voted Jonathan in 2011

Middle belt never gives a block vote

If Obi accepts to take Vice to atiku Tinubu is done for.. He knows it.. Everyone knows it

Atiku should do the needful agree publicly to do one term that's all

If Atiku this...
If Obi this..
If Tinubu that..
If, If, If, If, If.....

You based your entire political calculations on if. Are you a learner?

Another thing bad about this strategy is that d forget that is people that will vote and not animals. And u cannot force people to vote against their will

If the effort put in to secure 2027 was put into bringing good governance, they won't need any oddious tactics to win elections.

mrvitalis:
Lmaoo there can never be southern block vote

South East would never vote Tinubu

South South would vote him the same way South West voted Jonathan in 2011

Middle belt never gives a block vote

If Obi accepts to take Vice to atiku Tinubu is done for.. He knows it.. Everyone knows it

Atiku should do the needful agree publicly to do one term that's all

That will be a suicide mission, Obi is better off contesting alone if he is to have a chance.

North won't vote for Atiku to spend just 4 years and send power back to the south, infact Atiku too can't make such promise with writting agreements. Aside this, majority of Southerners won't buy the ideas, particularly outside South East. If Obi and Atiku run separately, Tinubu will capitalise on their split votes like 2023 and emerge victorious. Besides, we all forgot that Tinubu too has his own supporters in millions despite the hardship facing by the populates.

My verdict; there is no path for opposition victory in 2027 base on the current reality. I can bet it 100% that with the defection of majority of governors, who has ability to rig when backed by federal power, no political strategy by opposition can remove him in 2027. At least 40% votes is guarantee from states helded by APC governors( aside 5 states from South east), which could still deliver 25% needed by them.

helinues:
Target or secured already. Hahaha

Tinubu cannot get Bloc votes in South South and South East. I also doubt North Central apart from Kogi and Kwara. The winning votes are from North West. Tinubu should settle with Nasir El Rufai. The South South and South East are not very reliable.

I am not for this type of vain analysis. I have seen two names here and know it's just vanity talk. They want to know about OBI chance. OBI cannot do anything in 2027.

In 2022/23 Okupe and Baba Ayo Adebanjo carried him on their back to OBASANJO, Afe Babalola and everywhere and created opposition for Tinubu despite the very serious battle and conspiracies and betrayals Tinubu was facing in the APC. They worked against Ancestors and betrayed OSUGBO Covenant and paid the Price before Tinubu's Second Year Anniversary.

Honestly Only God can stop Tinubu and Wike the prime minister of Nigeria from 3rd tenure,
The control:
INEC
Supreme court
Judiciary
Governors
National Assembly
Police
Army
CBN
EFCC
PDP
LP
2027 election is written already
We have entered one chance

Strategy plan A

Making sure that there is disunity and must be pending court cases on all opposition parties

Release of Nnamdi kanu on election year

Reduction of fuel price and other goods

Tinubu cannot secure block vote from my own South South and not in South East either no matter the number of governors in APC and you can bookmark this. I'm from SS and Tinubu is still very much unpopular here till now and you can ask anyone living in SS to confirm this. 2027 election will be determined by how Atiku and Obi play their games, if they can reach a concrete agreement to work together then it will be difficult for Tinubu but if they contest separately just like in 2023 then Tinubu will win.

Yakubu Gowon was military era, any region could be president then, once you have the required rank, IBB and Abdulsalam were too, but you see democracy that requires voting, it will be difficult.

SmartPolician:
North Central's Yakubu Gowon was in government for a long time. Jonathan was planning to hand over to David Mark before Buhari kicked him out.

Nigerians don't care about equity and fairness. If not, Yorubas and Fulanis shouldn't have come close to power in the next 20 years, considering that Obasanjo and Buhari spent 8 years each.

EnEnPeecee:
In North Central he should just forget it. He is going no where

tinubu must win Northern Central.

AntiChristian:
Master strategy!

While Obi and co are still yet to get a party foundation....

Master strategy of rigging abi which one if I may ask?

Secured

Abeg which south are they talking here.
Walahi SW president won't see 10k votes in SE.
I think his people say our votes are worthless. Let see what thr yeye 2.5 million vote can do in 2027 without North votes

Jayjayconcept:
Honestly Only God can stop Tinubu and Wike the prime minister of Nigeria from 3rd tenure,
The control:
INEC
Supreme court
Judiciary
Governors
National Assembly
Police
Army
CBN
EFCC
PDP
LP
2027 election is written already
We have entered one chance

Strategy plan A

Making sure that there is disunity and must be pending court cases on all opposition parties

Release of Nnamdi kanu on election year

Reduction of fuel price and other goods

All these people are less than a million when u remove pdp and l labour party. When 10 million show for street they will run for thr life

lailo:
You guys are still living in delusion.
1. Peter Obi can never get PDP or ADC ticket,
2. Peter Obi and Atiku can never work together,
3. Peter Obi can never clear North and
4. Atiku can never clear south.
5. Peter Obi and Atiku will contest on different platforms and face each other in the next election
All these will give Tinubu 2nd term.
Get that reality into your skul

Sorry to disappoint u.Obi is not leaving the coalition. And he is not desperate to be president. And igbos are not desperate to produce president now.We are only desperate to remove SW president for our economic gain.The political gain can come later

Bendeco02:
If we still have three major contenstants like 2023. That's advantage to him.

He will use FG/incumbent power to manipulate results through Governors and INEC

All the APC governors will deliver their states or reduce the opposition margine.

For example, states that Peter Obi supposed win with over 90% votes, they will reduce it to 55 - 60%,

Why did imo and Ebonyi deliver in last election in 2023.The already had apc governors. Imagine an imo man like me even mentioning SW president in my village for people to vote him now with kanu matter.
Do you know in 2023 all politicians who contested under apc for different offices in imo state whr not putting Tinubu picture on thr poster not to collect..lol And now the hate for him has doubled in SE.Walahi if u go to so many village mention Tinubu the youths fit unalive u because of Kanu matter

Tunibu should try as much as possible to plan to rig 2027 presidential election. Because his government is very unpopular particularly in the North. Even to his tribe he is just a necessary evil they are not happy with him too.

This report shows that 2027 has already started quietly behind the scenes. Politics in Nigeria has always been about numbers, regions, and alliances, not noise on social media. Targeting the South and North-Central looks like a logical move from a purely strategic point of view, especially after what happened in 2023.

That said, strategy alone doesn’t automatically translate to votes. Nigerians are far more politically aware now. Performance, economy, security, and daily living conditions will matter more than party calculations or defections. Governors switching parties doesn’t always mean the people move with them.

It will be interesting to see how both the ruling party and the opposition sell their records to ordinary voters before 2027. In the end, no bloc vote is guaranteed. The ballot will still be the final test.

Boss20:
Tinubu cannot secure block vote from my own South South and not in South East either no matter the number of governors in APC and you can bookmark this. I'm from SS and Tinubu is still very much unpopular here till now and you can ask anyone living in SS to confirm this. 2027 election will be determined by how Atiku and Obi play their games, if they can reach a concrete agreement to work together then it will be difficult for Tinubu but if they contest separately just like in 2023 then Tinubu will win.

Then who can?? Atiku? Lol 🤣🤣🤣
Even Obi won't win any state in the South South .....Even the South East Obi might loose some states ....
Tinubu gave a Kaduna Christian defense Minister ...Have you heard of any killings in Kaduna ....
Tinubu have the minority ethnic Ethnic north group on his side . ...An independent local Government control ..Now just take a look at opposition . ...
Obi and Atiku won't belong the same party
Kwankwasso won't give up at least Kano to Atiku or Obi they would fight for the NW vote .....Tinubu doesn't need to Win NW Obj didn't yet he won...
NE Atiku would share with Tinubu....
Obi Can't win any state outside SE with any serious party how much more a new one......SE politician would be on his watch to know his next move because they won't allow the disability caused by labour Party to happen again ....Of whom all their representative in National assembly who won Under LP have joined APC. ....
Tinubu has given the NC central more key appointments than they've gotten in any dispensation........
Tinubu would only focus on two regions NC and SS. .
All are under his control .....I don't see an Atiku winning any NC that would jeopardize their chances to the Presidency by 2031. . ..
The Presidency is likely moving to NC or NE in 2031... t

I don't like BAT but he was willing to wait 8 years to support buhari, obi and atiku have to set aside their differences and work as one, only then can they unseat APC.
Even APC is a combination of 3-4 parties to upset Jonathan. Tinubu knows this, that's y pdp and LP are disorganized, with moles, and betrayals.

Boss20:
Tinubu cannot secure block vote from my own South South and not in South East either no matter the number of governors in APC and you can bookmark this. I'm from SS and Tinubu is still very much unpopular here till now and you can ask anyone living in SS to confirm this. 2027 election will be determined by how Atiku and Obi play their games, if they can reach a concrete agreement to work together then it will be difficult for Tinubu but if they contest separately just like in 2023 then Tinubu will win.

Who is securing the block vote .. Atiku or Obi..Which state are you from You can only talk of your state ...SS isn't SE or SW with a Single ethnic group remember that.........and are no longer PDP strongholds ....
As it stands Amaechi might not even control Obio Akpor with ADC how much the whole Rivers state..You should know how election in River State would be ...
Delta and Edo is already gone ...As for Bayelsa they might not yet it's not going to affect much because it's population is small...
Akwa ibom of course you know were the Senate president is from ...Cross River is the only one that would be keenly contested .. .
Now tell me who can assemble a SS block votes for Obi when they are divided without money power??...You see I don't mention Atiku because that's a no go area already for leaving GEJ to Join Bubu ...
You are just talking what you don't know
I have lived in Rivers State and I know how it goes on there it's money Politics as it happens in Rivers last election
it won't be different from Bayelsa ....Cross River would likely go along with Akwa ibom ....
Edo and Delta can't be divided they tend to follow the same pattern of whom Tompolo is already on Tinubu side .... Okowa a former Vp candidate to Atiku has joined AP
SE vote is the least that would only be for Obi outside the East I doubt he might win any state ..

That is what he knows..just thinking how to grab, snatch and capture states ...but cannot provide good governance and improve the economy and country

THOSE WHO TRULY LOVE NIGERIA AND NIGERIANS WILL NOT BE PARTISAN IN THE ONGOING SQUABBLE FOR THE FUTURE CONTROL OF THE NATIONAL WEALTH THROUGH THE 2027 GENERAL ELECTIONS BY THE SELFISH, SELF-CENTERED POLITICIANS.

RATHER, WE SHOULD ALL BE ON OUR KNEES THAT GOD, WHO KNOWS THE CONTENTS OF HUMAN HEARTS, SHOULD INTERVENE AND PREVENT ALL BAD LEADERS FROM CONTINUING OR ACCESSING POSITIONS OF POWER AT ANY LEVEL OF THE ADMINISTRATIVE SYSTEM IN THE COUNTRY.

PATRIOTS SHOULD LEARN BY EXPERIENCE THAT THE NAME OF A PARTY DOES NOT DEFINE GOVERNANCE QUALITY, BUT THE CHARACTER CONTENTS OF THE LEADERS. BAD LEADERS ABOUND IN ALL PARTIES, TRIBES, RELIGIONS, AND REGIONS.

THE PEOPLE SHOULD MIND WHO TO SUPPORT BECAUSE THEY ULTIMATELY CREATE THE LEADERS. INTEGRITY AND SELFLESSNESS SHOULD BE THE COMPASS FOR ANYONE'S SUPPORT FOR THE CONTESTANTS, AND NOT THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS THAT COULD ACCRUE FROM SUCH SUPPORT. THE SUPPORTERS' NARROW PERSONAL INTERESTS SHOULD GIVE WAY FOR THE LARGER PUBLIC INTEREST TO PREVAIL.

Nigerians it's left for you to decide your fate and destiny in 2027 and 2027 election if you still want to continue with the poverty, hunger, hardship, inflation, high costs of living, high rate of unemployment or not?

Ikpeyi:
2027 will shock APC. They should keep playing elite politics. My problem is North, if they can vote against him...then it is finished.

Abeg ,who is the opposition? That should be the question