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World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsWorld Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% (3581 Views)

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World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by LegendHero(op): 12:19am On Jan 14
The World Bank has increased its projection for Nigeria’s economic growth rate for 2026 to 4.4 percent from the 3.7 percent forecasted in June 2025.

World Bank announced the increase in its 2026 ‘Global Economic Prospects’ report on Tuesday.

The global financial institution also upgraded Nigeria’s economic growth rate for 2027 to 4.4 percent from 3.8 percent.

In addition, Bretton Woods institution estimated that Nigeria’s economy grew by 4.2 percent in 2025, compared to the 3.6 percent forecasted in June last year.

Also, the World Bank increased its 2026 global economic growth rate projection from 2.4 percent to 2.6 percent.


In the report, the financial institution also estimated 2.7 percent economic growth rate for 2025 period compared to the 2.3 percent forecasted in June last year.

According to the report, the 2027 global economic growth rate is projected at 2.7 percent, compared to the 2.6 percent forecasted in June 2025.

World Bank said the global economy is proving more resilient than anticipated despite persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty.

However, the bank noted that while global growth remains stable, it is concentrated in advanced economies and is unlikely to reduce extreme poverty, with the 2020s on track to be the weakest decade since the 1960s.

“The resilience reflects better-than-expected growth — especially in the United States, which accounts for about two-thirds of the upward revision to the forecast in 2026,” the World Bank said.

The institution said global growth will slow in 2026 as trade-related boosts fade, but easing financial conditions and fiscal expansion are expected to cushion the impact.

It added that inflation is projected to edge down to 2.6 percent in 2026, with growth picking up in 2027 as trade and policy uncertainty ease.

Indermit Gill, the World Bank Group’s chief economist, said with each passing year, the global economy has become less capable of generating growth while appearing more resilient to policy uncertainty.

“But economic dynamism and resilience cannot diverge for long without fracturing public finance and credit markets,” Gill said.

“Over the coming years, the world economy is set to grow slower than it did in the troubled 1990s — while carrying record levels of public and private debt.

“To avert stagnation and joblessness, governments in emerging and advanced economies must aggressively liberalise private investment and trade, rein in public consumption, and invest in new technologies and education.”


GROWTH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA PROJECTED TO REACH 4.3% BY 2026
The World Bank said sub-Saharan Africa’s growth is expected to rise to 4.3 percent in 2026 and 4.5 percent in 2027.

In 2026, the institution said growth in developing economies is projected to slow to 4 percent from 4.2 percent in 2025 before edging up to 4.1 percent in 2027 as trade tensions ease, commodity prices stabilise, financial conditions improve, and investment flows strengthen.

The bank noted that growth is projected to be higher in low-income countries, averaging 5.6 percent over 2026–2027, supported by stronger domestic demand, recovering exports, and moderating inflation.

The World Bank said developing economies will continue to lag behind advanced economies, with per capita income growth projected at 3 percent in 2026, widening the income gap.

“At this pace, per capita income in developing economies is expected to be only 12% of the level in advanced economies,” the institution said.

Ayhan Kose, the World Bank Group’s director of the Prospects Group, said with public debt in emerging and developing economies at its highest level in more than half a century, restoring fiscal credibility has become urgent.

“Well-designed fiscal rules can help governments stabilise debt, rebuild policy buffers, and respond more effectively to shocks,” Kose said.

“But rules alone are not enough: credibility, enforcement, and political commitment ultimately determine whether fiscal rules deliver stability and growth.”

Kose said more than half of developing economies have adopted fiscal rules, which can improve budget balances by 1.4 percent of GDP after five years and increase the likelihood of sustained improvement.

The director added that the use of fiscal rules also rises by 9 percentage points the likelihood of a multi-year improvement in budget balances.

However, Kose noted that both the short- and long-term benefits of fiscal rules depend on institutional strength, economic context, and the design of the rules.
https://www.thecable.ng/world-bank-raises-nigerias-2026-economic-growth-rate-projection-to-4-4/

Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by helinues: 6:06am On Jan 14
This is positive for the year. We hope it would be achieved.

Slow and steady with consistency

The opposition will tell Nigerians in 2027 that they can make economy growth to be reduced as they always like to do the opposite of what this government might have done .
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel:
You know one thing I have learnt about Tinubu and his supporters, they hate facing reality, they love wishful thinking and love to live in self deception...

Do you know In 2025 Tinubu and his economic team projected a total estimate of 40 trillion in total revenue expectations for Nigeria in the 2025 budget, as at December 2025 they had only achieved 10 trillion with a gap of 30 trillion, they also had to borrow 14 trillion which has added to Nigeria's debt to help the revenue to achieve some of the budget expenses which means the 2025 budget as I am talking to you has not been implemented up to 50 percent which is why they have planned to keep running it till I think May 2026.


Now you will think oh! that's where it ends but you are wrong, the same thing is happening for the 2024 budget also as I am talking to you, the 2024 budget under Tinubu's government is still running in this 2026 just like the 2025 own, the whole of 2025 passed and they could not round up the one for 2024.


So currently Nigeria is running 3 budgets at the same time(2024, 2025 and 2026), yet around October 2025, Tinubu announced to the world that Nigeria had met the total revenue generation for 2025 which was supposed to be 40 trillion as at August, while the Finance minister Wale Edun maybe out of shame or just trying to correct the erroneous statement said that Nigeria had only met 10 trillion out of the 40 trillion projected and even had to borrow 14 trillion to help the budget.


Tinubu's government is like a student who is in 300 level but has been having so many carry overs from 100 level which might eventually see him having an extra year or years or even dropping out but keeps telling his parents and friends that he has a clean sheet and in fact is the best student in his department, Tinubu is actually running Nigeria slower than every previous government since 1960 with highest debt ever, he has actually broken that record
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by SmartPolician: 6:15am On Jan 14
helinues:
This is positive for the year. We hope it would be achieved.

Slow and steady with consistency
We have heard and read this nonsense for the past 60 years, yet the country is still a shit-hole
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by helinues: 6:16am On Jan 14
SmartPolician:
We have heard and read this nonsense for the past 60 years, yet the country is still a shit-hole
You have heard nonsense from your end for 60 years. How are we sure you are still hearing words like this

Would you have called the report nonsense if the projection was in declining?

Una bitterness for Nigeria progress is just legendary . There is nothing una bitterness and hatred can do to stop the progress of Nigeria
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by nedu666: 6:22am On Jan 14
Growth dat does not create jobs is useless growth. Growth that doesn't lift millions from poverty is useless Growth
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by seunmsg(m): 6:23am On Jan 14
Peter Obi and his supporters, oya come and drop hot salty tears as usual grin grin grin
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by AMINDA: 6:23am On Jan 14
"Na statistics we go chop" is now force-feeding us with cooked up statistics.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by seunmsg(m): 6:26am On Jan 14
AMINDA:
"Na statistics we go chop" is now force-feeding us with cooked up statistics.
Nobody is force feeding you with statistics. World Bank will do their job irrespective of your feelings. They don’t care about your negativity and bad wishes for the country’s economic outlook. They look at the economy and make their rational prediction.

All sensible people who require such data to make decisions will accept what World bank is churning out over the negativity that opposition cretins oozes all over social media. So sorry buddy, your tears won’t change the fact that our economy is stable and now growing.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by helinues: 6:28am On Jan 14
seunmsg:
Peter Obi and his supporters, oya come and drop hot salty tears as usual grin grin grin
Hahaha, see them above you crying profusely about this development news.

We will continue to be making their days sad with progress and development news about Nigeria
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by anonimi: 6:30am On Jan 14
seunmsg:
Peter Obi and his supporters, oya come and drop hot salty tears as usual grin grin grin
Is this how you and your APC leaders looters were dropping hot salty tears 😭 when PDP’s deregulation and privatisation policies gave us 16 years of widespread prosperity with high employment productivity.

This was when we had over 6% GDP growth rate consistently and low national debt.

For A-looter Propaganda Conmen, APC people, this was not enough.

How much are 200 million Nigerians forced to subsidise the massive corruption in Tinubu’s oil sector for every litre of fuel nowhuh

anonimi:
Petrol should never cost more than N70 per litre, says APC

January 19, 2015

The All Progressives Congress (APC) has described as mere tokenism the reduction of petrol price from N97 to N87 per litre, saying the petroleum product ordinarily should sell for N70.

On Sunday, the federal government announced the reduction of petrol price, citing the fall of global crude oil price.

But the APC through Lai Mohammed, its spokesman, on Monday accused the government of making a show out of deceit, saying “a 10.3 per cent slash in the price of petrol was a mere tokenism at a time the price of crude oil has crashed by about 60 per cent”.

It argued that the pump price of a litre of petrol should not be more than 70 Naira, alleging that at N87 per litre, the government was forcing Nigerians to subsidise the massive corruption in the oil sector by N17 for every litre of fuel.

https://www.thecable.ng/petrol-never-cost-n70-per-litre-says-apc/
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by seunmsg(m): 6:33am On Jan 14
helinues:
Hahaha, see them above you crying profusely about this development news.

We will continue to be making their days sad with progress and development news about Nigeria
For real. Nigeria will witness economic boom this year according to all indices. While majority of Nigerians will be happy, the Atikulates and obidients will be very depressed.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by anonimi: 6:34am On Jan 14
seunmsg:
Nobody is force feeding you with statistics. World Bank will do their job irrespective of your feelings. They don’t care about your negativity and bad wishes for the country’s economic outlook. They look at the economy and make their rational prediction
What is the need to force feed people with statistics, when they are voluntarily being fed free daily bread palliative, since Tinubu and APC are too clueless and incompetent to deliver promised jobs for earning a living in dignity huh


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zYltMapDyIo?si=0-hO0Vt5C9uBxVd1


anonimi:
The eyesore on Bourdillon Road
2nd January 2025

Beyond his neighbours, there is something about the sight of people hanging around a president’s residence that does not speak well of his leadership capabilities. Maybe no one has nudged him to see it, but the impression that spectacle on Bourdillon Road generates is that Tinubu enjoys the sight of suffering humans and thrives in—and through— their poverty.

If all these years, impoverished people hang around you and you remain comfortable enough to keep them just so they can be handed tokens of your large heart, then it means you have a pro-poverty mindset. Such a frame of mind is oriented toward cultivating poverty rather than stimulating abundance.

That is why he could unproblematically relate the story of his “friend” who went from using five Rolls Royce to a far-less valued car and not consider the import of the nonsense he was saying. That spurious account was an indication that this is a man for whom poverty—of others, not himself—is an ideal.

https://punchng.com/the-eyesore-on-bourdillon-road/
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by AMINDA: 6:38am On Jan 14
seunmsg:
Nobody is force feeding you with statistics. World Bank will do their job irrespective of your feelings. They don’t care about your negativity and bad wishes for the country’s economic outlook. They look at the economy and make their rational prediction.

All sensible people who require such data to make decisions will accept what World bank is churning out over the negativity that opposition cretins oozes all over social media. So sorry buddy, your tears won’t change the fact that our economy is stable and now growing.
Nigeria is now chasing after validation from the Worldbank and IMF when the reality on ground speaks otherwise. How has the Worldbank-inspired policies been working for the country? We had 30 trillion budget deficit in 2025 (a revelation that cost the Finance Minister his job) and are currently implementing 3 consecutive budgets despite Tinubu having borrowed the most than all previous presidents with no commensurate projects to show. The Worldbank will always stay happy as long as you devalue your currency when asked to do so and continue to borrow from them.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by zeyt: 6:38am On Jan 14
We are being taking for a ride by different orgqnisations. I was always wondering for economoc growth forcast of a country that has held last cencus since 2006. We dont even know how many we are really. Number of pp based on age category. Number of ppl employed and unemployed. Number of ppl in active workforce. Actual number of Female and Males. Actual number of ppl with disability, No actiual daily birth rate or death rate, Number of ppl lacking access to certain vital government service. Number of ppl in rural and urban areas. All the basic accurate statistical data on Nigerian population are virtually missing. Without all this economic planning or accurate forcast wont be possible. We are just muddling along. We hear about growth in macro and micro economic indicators but there is no correspoding impact on the ground. There large chunk of rural population with enclosed economy and is not in the equation due lack of government presence or intervension. We just muddling along as a nation with no clear ecomomic focus or vision yet curiously and suspiciously growth is always recorded.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Ttalk: 6:46am On Jan 14
SmartPolician:
We have heard and read this nonsense for the past 60 years, yet the country is still a shit-hole
They are allergic to good news, always thinking in negative
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by creativejagaban: 7:06am On Jan 14
Brendaniel:
You know one thing I have learnt about Tinubu and his supporters, they hate facing reality, they love wishful thinking and love to live in self deception...

Do you know In 2025 Tinubu and his economic team projected a total estimate of 50 trillion in total revenue expectations for Nigeria in the 2025 budget, as at December 2025 they had only achieved 10 trillion with a gap of 40 trillion, they also had to borrow 14 trillion which has added to Nigeria's debt to help the revenue to achieve some of the budget expenses which means the 2025 budget as I am talking to you has not been implemented up to 50 percent which is why they have planned to keep running it till I think May 2026.


Now you will think oh! that's where it ends but you are wrong, the same thing is happening for the 2024 budget also as I am talking to you, the 2024 budget under Tinubu's government is still running in this 2026 just like the 2025 own, the whole of 2025 passed and they could not round up the one for 2024.


So currently Nigeria is running 3 budgets at the same time(2024, 2025 and 2026), yet around October 2025, Tinubu announced to the world that Nigeria had met the total revenue generation for 2025 which was supposed to be 50 trillion as at August, while the CBN governor Wale Edun maybe out of shame or just trying to correct the erroneous statement said that Nigeria had only met 10 trillion out of the 50 trillion projected and even had to borrow 14 trillion to help the budget.


Tinubu's government is like a student who is in 300 level but has been having so many carry overs from 100 level which might eventually see him having an extra year or years or even dropping out but keeps telling his parents and friends that he has a clean sheet and in fact is the best student in his department, Tinubu is actually running Nigeria slower than every previous government since 1960 with highest debt ever, he has actually broken that record
Good news make you purge grin

Pele, it is a matter of time, one trillion dollars economy is a goal grin

Continue to look for negative news grin

I am sure you are seriously angry with the world bank for such a positive news. Once again, Pele grin We can't help your situation. Jagaban on the throne till 2031. grin (I know that will make you purge the more grin).

Tinubu till 2031.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel: 7:10am On Jan 14
creativejagaban:
Good news make you purge grin

Pele, it is a matter of time, one trillion dollars economy is a goal grin

Continue to look for negative news grin

I am sure you are seriously angry with the world bank for such a positive news. Once again, Pele grin We can't help your situation. Jagaban on the throne till 2031. grin (I know that will make you purge the more grin).

Tinubu till 2031.
Like I said in my first paragraph, you just validated my statement...
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by ibabz(m): 7:15am On Jan 14
Does World Bank know about this?
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Thedon22:
AMINDA:
"Na statistics we go chop" is now force-feeding us with cooked up statistics.
Are you patriotic at all? When World Bank gives a positive review you say it's cooked up, but when they give a negative review you are happy and dance to high heavens. Does that show you love Nigeria?
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by PigTormentor: 7:19am On Jan 14
The deluded Racoon with guy will not be here to comment now grin
He's always hunting for bad business economic. Ews but now, he will pretend like he didn't see this one.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by MoneyMan5:
nedu666:
Growth dat does not create jobs is useless growth. Growth that doesn't lift millions from poverty is useless Growth
You think lifting millions from poverty can be achieved with just waving a magic wand and it work in just 2 years even despite the generational decline and mismanagement in Nigeria?

You can not lift millions from poverty with just a single step it takes a lot of steps and good consistent economic policies that develop GDP overtime.

Even China didn't just lift millions from poverty in one or two years it took decades of planning and good management.

Most Nigerians will continue to fall for bad politicians with sweet mouth because you guys believe in fantasy and lala land, you don't have any realistic expectations.

You think Peter Obi would be able to lift millions from poverty in 2 years? With which policies? Let assume he return subsidy and keep subsidizing dollars, instead of that 4.4 forecast growth it would be minus 10 decline and Nigeria on the brink of bankruptcy with zero foreign reserve.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Putindbutt(m): 7:32am On Jan 14
Watch those bitter people who claimed they love Nigeria more than others start dropping hot tears. You say you wanted the best for the country yet whenever you hear any positive news, you start dropping tears.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Putindbutt(m): 7:33am On Jan 14
See as thread dry... Wailers and Bitter Obidients left the group chat.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by creativejagaban: 7:33am On Jan 14
Brendaniel:
Like I said in my first paragraph, you just validated my statement...
Continue. Good news make you purge like I said.

One trillion dollars economy is a goal.

We will get there.

Continue to search for negative news. It doesn't bother the Jagaban of Africa.

How do you feel that most of the people in ADC (the structure of criminalities) are sponsors of terrorism and banditryhuh

Tinubu till 2031.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel: 7:35am On Jan 14
creativejagaban:
Continue. Good news make you purge like I said.

One trillion dollars economy is a goal.

We will get there.

Continue to search for negative news. It doesn't bother the Jagaban of Africa.

How do you feel that most of the people in ADC (the structure of criminalities) are sponsors of terrorism and banditryhuh

Tinubu till 2032.
Still validating my first paragraph...
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by LegalWolf: 7:53am On Jan 14
Brendaniel:
You know one thing I have learnt about Tinubu and his supporters, they hate facing reality, they love wishful thinking and love to live in self deception...

Do you know In 2025 Tinubu and his economic team projected a total estimate of 50 trillion in total revenue expectations for Nigeria in the 2025 budget, as at December 2025 they had only achieved 10 trillion with a gap of 40 trillion, they also had to borrow 14 trillion which has added to Nigeria's debt to help the revenue to achieve some of the budget expenses which means the 2025 budget as I am talking to you has not been implemented up to 50 percent which is why they have planned to keep running it till I think May 2026.


Now you will think oh! that's where it ends but you are wrong, the same thing is happening for the 2024 budget also as I am talking to you, the 2024 budget under Tinubu's government is still running in this 2026 just like the 2025 own, the whole of 2025 passed and they could not round up the one for 2024.


So currently Nigeria is running 3 budgets at the same time(2024, 2025 and 2026), yet around October 2025, Tinubu announced to the world that Nigeria had met the total revenue generation for 2025 which was supposed to be 50 trillion as at August, while the CBN governor Wale Edun maybe out of shame or just trying to correct the erroneous statement said that Nigeria had only met 10 trillion out of the 50 trillion projected and even had to borrow 14 trillion to help the budget.


Tinubu's government is like a student who is in 300 level but has been having so many carry overs from 100 level which might eventually see him having an extra year or years or even dropping out but keeps telling his parents and friends that he has a clean sheet and in fact is the best student in his department, Tinubu is actually running Nigeria slower than every previous government since 1960 with highest debt ever, he has actually broken that record
You go explain explain explain, no evidence! Obi's dream is a cancer that must not be allowed to fester!
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel: 8:03am On Jan 14
LegalWolf:
You go explain explain explain, no evidence! Obi's dream is a cancer that must not be allowed to fester!
And how is it a cancer?

Please can you explain?
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by lionshare: 8:04am On Jan 14
Brendaniel:
You know one thing I have learnt about Tinubu and his supporters, they hate facing reality, they love wishful thinking and love to live in self deception...




So currently Nigeria is running 3 budgets at the same time(2024, 2025 and 2026), yet around October 2025, Tinubu announced to the world that Nigeria had met the total revenue generation for 2025 which was supposed to be 50 trillion as at August, while the CBN governor Wale Edun maybe out of shame or just trying to correct the erroneous statement said that Nigeria had only met 10 trillion out of the 50 trillion projected and even had to borrow 14 trillion to help the budget.
Wale Edun CBN governor? Cmon you can do better
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel: 8:05am On Jan 14
lionshare:
Wale Edun CBN governor? Cmon you can do better
It was an error, it will be corrected, thank you...
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by lionshare: 8:30am On Jan 14
Brendaniel:
It was an error, it will be corrected, thank you...
Good! Also, correct the numbers as well because they are wrong.
Re: World Bank Raises Nigeria’s 2026 Economic Growth Rate Projection To 4.4% by Brendaniel: 8:40am On Jan 14
lionshare:
Good! Also, correct the numbers as well because they are wrong.
only one and it has been corrected
1 2 3 Reply

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