₦airaland Forum

cr7lomo:
I really pity these illiterates money miss road people... they really dont understand politics ... they will runaway from Nigeria if Tinubu looses ....they aren't considering Trumps plans .... to get money come be illiterate no good ...

lolz, they sabi politics more than you.

Svoboda:
These guys are lining up to eat enough and fatten their businesses with huge campaign funds they're anticipating from Tinubu. It'd be foolhardy for Tinubus people to actually believe that he even stands a 25% chance in any of the states in southeast.

It seems like you’re inside every southwest voters minds to know who he is going to vote for? I’ll vote for APC for president then Alex Oti for governor. I won’t waste my vote on Atiku. APC is winning my ward hands down.

AMINDA:
According to Agbadorians, Obi Cubana, Zenco and Cubana Chiefpriest will deliver the Southeast to Tinubu but Seyi Makinde cannot deliver Ibadan to ADC. Tinubu's top-down approach instead of a bottom-up will cost him dearly in 2027. When shady characters and people with questionable wealth start pledging support to Tinubu in exchange for access and legitimacy of their ill-gotten possessions, it is not a flex. It's desperation. Anyways, you know what they say about birds of a feather.

It won't cost him a thing rather it's the best way to win in Nigeria.. bottom up has to many persons to please but the opposite: a few and their subjects will as well bow to their master's call.

Well it will take God to take Tinubu out of power and one thing I've come to understand is that God doesn't get involved with the politics of men!!

casualobserver:
Tinubu cannot win in the SE and neither he, the APC or his promoters in the SE expect him to win.

His realistic aim is to get more votes than the last time. if he can get 15%, he would have done very well.

every vote you capture from your opponent increases your margin by 2 votes. what that means is if i convert 1 of your voters you need to find 2 new votes just to make up for it. thats the aim in the SE.....not to win.


Example: if the last result was 400k to 40K , you had 90% victory with a difference of 360K. If i manage to convert just 50k of your voters to join me, the new result is 350K v 90K, your lead has been reduced to 260k. That 100K gain by converting just 50K voters may end up being the difference between victory and failure.

PS: people also need to know that it is not your absolute votes that makes you president. it is the combination of the difference in votes between you and your opponents in all the states that determines who wins. So if you can cut your opponents margin of victory from 360k to 260K as in this example, you are reducing the difference he brings to the total and reducing his chances of victory.

Also, if you get 1m votes in a state and your opponent gets 950K all you have gained from that state is 50K votes. your 1m votes count for nothing, what matters is the 50K.

in the same vein, you win a state 400k to 350K, well done, clap for yourself but all you have added is 50K votes...that state has done nothing for you, if in another state your opponent gets for example 400k votes and you only get 30k. Your 50K net votes does not even touch his 370k margin in the state he won. So people should stop masturbating over winning states, it's not winning or losing that matters but by how much. You can win in 20 states by small margins of 10-20k and your opponent wipes away your entire lead in just 1 state where he is totally dominant and gets 500k votes to your 50k. 450k margin of victory in one state wipes out 20k margin in 20 states! Also i have said it here before, you can win a presidential election in a 3 horse race without winning any state.

Make Atiku enter ADC presidential race first that’s when you’ll know that online mouth making doesn’t count .

How I wan leave Tinubu/Oti go Dey vote for Atiku and who ? Unless OTI enter ADC that’s when I go vote for ADC candidate as governor only . I’ll never vote for Atiku never .

Well they have benefited immensely from the presidency in this past 4yrs

Infact it's the first time in a long history that the igbos were actively involved or carried along in presidency.

...so if it's sweet, you enjoy it and slowly liked it never finish!

cr7lomo:
I really pity these illiterates money miss road people... they really dont understand politics ... they will runaway from Nigeria if Tinubu looses ....they aren't considering Trumps plans .... to get money come be illiterate no good ...

Obi Cubana is a graduate of Political Science from University OF Nigeria Nsukka, not what you are thinking though

sonssyo:
Obi Cubana is a graduate of Political Science from University OF Nigeria Nsukka, not what you are thinking though

U can go to school but u can't buy class... jayz 2006

casualobserver:
Tinubu cannot win in the SE and neither he, the APC or his promoters in the SE expect him to win.

His realistic aim is to get more votes than the last time. if he can get 15%, he would have done very well.

every vote you capture from your opponent increases your margin by 2 votes. what that means is if i convert 1 of your voters you need to find 2 new votes just to make up for it. thats the aim in the SE.....not to win.


Example: if the last result was 400k to 40K , you had 90% victory with a difference of 360K. If i manage to convert just 50k of your voters to join me, the new result is 350K v 90K, your lead has been reduced to 260k. That 100K gain by converting just 50K voters may end up being the difference between victory and failure.

PS: people also need to know that it is not your absolute votes that makes you president. it is the combination of the difference in votes between you and your opponents in all the states that determines who wins. So if you can cut your opponents margin of victory from 360k to 260K as in this example, you are reducing the difference he brings to the total and reducing his chances of victory.

Also, if you get 1m votes in a state and your opponent gets 950K all you have gained from that state is 50K votes. your 1m votes count for nothing, what matters is the 50K.

in the same vein, you win a state 400k to 350K, well done, clap for yourself but all you have added is 50K votes...that state has done nothing for you, if in another state your opponent gets for example 400k votes and you only get 30k. Your 50K net votes does not even touch his 370k margin in the state he won. So people should stop masturbating over winning states, it's not winning or losing that matters but by how much. You can win in 20 states by small margins of 10-20k and your opponent wipes away your entire lead in just 1 state where he is totally dominant and gets 500k votes to your 50k. 450k margin of victory in one state wipes out 20k margin in 20 states! Also i have said it here before, you can win a presidential election in a 3 horse race without winning any state.

With inflation and prices of food items coming down and visible impact of infrastructure and economic improvement couples with the fact that at least five Governors and top politicians from the region are actively campaigning for Asiwaju's re-election, they know that they will need to perform and deliver in order to bargain for better deals for their respective States in Asiwaju's second term. Tinubu will surely perform far more better in the SE than in the last election.
The moment has changed. Politicians don't play emotion only obedients do. People thought Obi had a chance in the last election because Buhari didn't support his party candidate well and allowed all sorts of jargons from his Cabal but even a madman in upper uweka could see that Tinubu's second term is almost a done deal.

mascot87:
You need to get a job because been a nuisance on a daily basis ranting at every political thread on Nairaland will not help you. You are just crying everywhere like say them do you

data bwoy we know what you’re

at the end of d day igbos are not emotional people dey are pure business men.

Another post by deluded apc data boys to believe they have SE on lockdown due to some greedy Igbo millionaires who have little or no political influence!

Let's give some context to this fallacy....in 2023,Anambra billionaire and very influential polician Chief Arthur Eze swore never to support Peter Obi!
He was not alone as very prominent and well rooted politicians like Senator Uche Ekwunife had refused to support Obi!
At the end,Obi didn't only amass more than 95% votes in Anambra state,he also wiped out more than 90% of SE votes despite rumours that the SE results were suppressed!

What that showed is that winning an election in Nigeria despite the rigging and vote buying,is purely dependent on the will of the electorates not emergency celebrity politicians who cannot even get up to 50 votes in the polling unit!

All these grandstanding no follow!

B

mrvitalis:
Why is iseac fayose not supporting Tinubu?

Lot of people would be beaten to dea.th on that election day sha I'm so sure about it because people would think they can rig as usual...

Oga shut it this is not about Rigging

A child can't not supersede the father in wisdom.

We saw pure rigging in Obis region the 2023 elwction

cr7lomo:
I really pity these illiterates money miss road people... they really dont understand politics ... they will runaway from Nigeria if Tinubu looses ....they aren't considering Trumps plans .... to get money come be illiterate no good ...

And you think Common Obi can Subdued Tinubu. Put the mathematics together. Who do you think is more prepared between Obi n Tinubu.


Obi that can't win Tinubu when they were both aspirant

Obi will now win when Tinubu is the President

Be sensible pls

AMINDA:
Kindly stop stalking me from thread to thread and seeking my validation. I have never noticed your moniker and never will.

Ok, but you have noticed my moniker, right? He said you need a job, how is that a problem? Haven't I told you also you need a job or you want me to send task force to carry you to my cocoa farm to get more meaning for your life? Igbo people that matters in political space and bread winners are decamping to join Tinubu, but you are still living 16th century in AI-driven 21 st century political context of that of Nigeria.

Almost all 2023 obidients have moved to Tinubu directly or indirectly, but you are still polluting thread-to-thread on nairaland. Show us your party membership self or you just they take noise as expected. Tinubu remains your president for another term join city boys in your area to avoid had I known

Flangelo12:
Even you will vote Tinubu.

You're just doing your job on Nairaland.

Make your sponsors no ask for refund.

Insult!

casualobserver:
Tinubu cannot win in the SE and neither he, the APC or his promoters in the SE expect him to win.

His realistic aim is to get more votes than the last time. if he can get 15%, he would have done very well.

every vote you capture from your opponent increases your margin by 2 votes. what that means is if i convert 1 of your voters you need to find 2 new votes just to make up for it. thats the aim in the SE.....not to win.


Example: if the last result was 400k to 40K , you had 90% victory with a difference of 360K. If i manage to convert just 50k of your voters to join me, the new result is 350K v 90K, your lead has been reduced to 260k. That 100K gain by converting just 50K voters may end up being the difference between victory and failure.

PS: people also need to know that it is not your absolute votes that makes you president. it is the combination of the difference in votes between you and your opponents in all the states that determines who wins. So if you can cut your opponents margin of victory from 360k to 260K as in this example, you are reducing the difference he brings to the total and reducing his chances of victory.

Also, if you get 1m votes in a state and your opponent gets 950K all you have gained from that state is 50K votes. your 1m votes count for nothing, what matters is the 50K.

in the same vein, you win a state 400k to 350K, well done, clap for yourself but all you have added is 50K votes...that state has done nothing for you, if in another state your opponent gets for example 400k votes and you only get 30k. Your 50K net votes does not even touch his 370k margin in the state he won. So people should stop masturbating over winning states, it's not winning or losing that matters but by how much. You can win in 20 states by small margins of 10-20k and your opponent wipes away your entire lead in just 1 state where he is totally dominant and gets 500k votes to your 50k. 450k margin of victory in one state wipes out 20k margin in 20 states! Also i have said it here before, you can win a presidential election in a 3 horse race without winning any state.

Pls keep ur single vote n let's hear word.

If he's not winning igbo land at least he will have good votes

When a presidential candidate has huge questionable supporters the results is always against him eventually because the citizens will know they will be voting for their downfalls if they vote for him

Akpakomiza2:
No party implodes, aggrieved or dissatisfied parties defect. ADC is even likely to implode before APC

The north is going to vote skirt and blouse.

kay29000:
Ofcos he knows he can't get 25%. He just wants to get more votes than last elections. The last elections, he got less than 3% in the south east...if he can get 10% this time around, it would help him in the grand scheme of things.

While he loses 50 percent more in the north.

/
So the OP means that hustlers represent the whole Igbo people from the SE? They are milking the cow to fatten their pockets. It is political time. That's all.

//

alobright17:
It seems like you’re inside every southwest voters minds to know who he is going to vote for? I’ll vote for APC for president then Alex Oti for governor. I won’t waste my vote on Atiku. APC is winning my ward hands down.

So your ward alone is enough to grant Tinubu 25% in your state?

You are correct , I thought his brother Won House of Rep the other time or it was just primary he won? Joke apart they don't have electoral value at all.

Svoboda:
No matter how hard he tries, he can't even get the 25% percent threshold, because he is dealing with moneybags who have no electoral value in the southeast. For context, Obi Cubanas brother has been struggling to get to the house of reps for years, and despite being associated with the Cubana label has failed woefully. None of them can guarantee that they can win their polling units for Tinubu in 2027. That said, this govt are masters in the use and dump syndrome. The looming implosion in the APC will crystallize like a volcano soon after the primaries. A lot of his loyalists are keeping the lid on their anger. In Kano, Jibrin Barau and Ganduje have already started off their proxy war over who controls Kano APC. This is just the appetizer.

tincityboy:
Whether they are lining up or not doesn't matter ... What matters is the north will decide who will win from the south , whether na obi or tinubu.. If Atiku go against the zoning , Asiwarju should just wait for our votes at jibowu park , we will waybill it to him from the east , .. Either Obi gets the ADC ticket or we waybill the whole old eastern region vote lagos like any other goods ..This is not Jonathan era .. Igbos might need the presidency but we can't sacrifice Southern presidency for VP role , Obi knows better ,

Ask yourself what is southern presidency? It's a pertinent question. If it's southern solidarity era, then Tinubu should step down for Obi to complete the souths tenure. After all, in 27 years the southwest has had someone in asorock either as principal or as vice, a combined 19 years. So, the Igbos aren't good enough for southern solidarity or what? Personally, I'd rather Obi is sworn in as vice in 2027 than for the southwest to have potentially spent 24 years strutting the corridors of power.

That's true oooooooo
But why is he afraid of real-time transmission of results
Why is he through he's senate frustrating free and fair elections when he's sure of winning
Keep playing boy

mrvitalis:
Why is iseac fayose not supporting Tinubu?

Lot of people would be beaten to dea.th on that election day sha I'm so sure about it because people would think they can rig as usual...

You can't do nada except in your region where anything goes. Come try your shenanigans for south West make your people cry on top your matter

Hahajahaha. As much as i like Tinubu,, these guys are not the ones that can win SE for him. They will play their part with Money andnsome social media influence, but grassroots, Naaaa. Not them

Non of them have electoral value. They will fail even in their bedrooms.

Empresa:
The Truth is that the Igbos think differently and so does not follow the bandwagon.

Secondly, non of them have a grassroot following and so all of them are practically wasting time and resources.

I see Igbos voting PO again

You pictured it the way it is.....Igbos are built differently in reasoning....

mrvitalis:
Why is iseac fayose not supporting Tinubu?

Lot of people would be beaten to dea.th on that election day sha I'm so sure about it because people would think they can rig as usual...

Who is Isaac Fayose supporting?

If not for Lagos state money tulumbu has access to since all this years

For his scheming and manipulation

Wolai

The guy is really pedestrian