₦airaland Forum

Welcome, Guest: RegisterLoginWith GoogleTrendingRecentNew

Stats: 3,329,060 members, 8,438,629 topics. Date: Friday, 03 July 2026 at 05:28 PM

Toggle theme

South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsSouth East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation (1304 Views)

1 2 Reply (Go Down)

South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op): 2:07pm On Mar 06
This post is a direct rejoinder to Regional Distribution Of Votes In The 2023 Presidential Election which (from the comments section) attempts to portray the South East as voting along tribal lines. It's election season again and the ethnic jingoists have once again resorted to politics of tribal dog whistle.

Breakdown of South East votes % from 1999 to 2023:

1999 (Obasanjo vs Olu Falae): 86% (Obasanjo), 14% (Falae).

2003 (Obasanjo vs. Buhari vs Ojukwu): 65% (Obasanjo), 28% (Ojukwu), 7% (Buhari). Note that Buhari had an Igbo running mate.

2007 (Yar'Adua vs. Buhari): 97% (Yar'Adua), 3% (Buhari). Note that Buhari had an Igbo running mate again.

2011 (Goodluck vs Buhari): 98% (Goodluck), 2% (Buhari). Buhari's % didn't change much despite not having an Igbo running mate.

2015 (Goodluck vs Buhari): 93% (Goodluck), 7% (Buhari). Buhari's % increased despite not having an Igbo running mate

2019 (Buhari vs Atiku): 89% (Atiku), 11% (Buhari). Buhari's % increased again despite Atiku having an Igbo running mate

2023 (Peter Obi vs. Tinubu vs. Atiku): 91% (PO), 5% (Tinubu), 4% (Atiku). PO had slightly less % in the SE compared to GEJ and Yar'Adua.


Note the following:

1. Ojukwu had only 28% of the votes in the SE in 2003. Why only 28% if this was about tribe? Ojukwu didn't even win any state in the SE at the presidential election.

2. Buhari had Igbo running mates in 2003 and 2007. Why only 7% and 3% respectively if there was a tribal correlation?

3. Buhari who was losing very badly in the SE with Igbo running mates, increased his % against Atiku who had an Igbo running mate.

Meanwhile from 2007 till 2023, these Igbos contested at the presidential election:

2007: Orji Uzo Kalu (Only 3% of votes in the SE)

2011: Pat Utomi (less than 1% of votes in the SE)

2019: Kingsley Moghalu (less than 1% of votes in the SE)

2023: Peter Obi (91% of votes in the SE)

nlfpmod seun the previous thread made FP, there's need for this rejoinder
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op): 2:08pm On Mar 06
These ethnic jingoists have nothing else to campaign for except tribal dog whistle
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by ChiefOloye(m): 2:13pm On Mar 06
Where is your source, bloody liar!
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op): 2:16pm On Mar 06
ChiefOloye:
Where is your source, bloody liar!
This data is based on research from multiple sources publicly available, and you can verify all the information yourself if you can do research. I would have even included the numbers each election except it will bloat the thread, It needs to be simple enough to pass the message without boring readers.

This is the 2023 Presidential Election Results for the South East:

Peter Obi (Labour Party)
Total: 2,576,000 votes (91%)

Anambra: 584,621 (95%)
Enugu: 428,640 (93%)
Imo: 352,904 (78%)
Abia: 327,095 (91%)
Ebonyi: 259,738 (80%)


Bola Tinubu (APC)
Total: 127,000 votes (5%)

Imo: 66,406 (15%)
Ebonyi: 42,402 (13%)
Abia: 8,914 (2%)
Enugu: 4,772 (1%)
Anambra: 5,111 (1%)


Atiku Abubakar (PDP)
Total: 91,000 votes (3%)

Abia: 22,676 (6%)
Ebonyi: 13,503 (4%)
Imo: 30,234 (7%)
Enugu: 15,749 (3%)
Anambra: 9,036 (1%)
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by helinues: 2:16pm On Mar 06
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF VOTES IN THE 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

North Central:
🔵Tinubu — 40.03%
🟣Obi — 32.18%
🔴Atiku — 26.42%
🟠Kwankwaso — 1.37%

North East:
🔴Atiku — 51.71%
🔵Tinubu — 35.19%
🟣Obi — 9.35%
🟠Kwankwaso — 3.75%

North West:
🔵Tinubu — 40.08%
🔴Atiku — 35.35%
🟠Kwankwaso — 19.25%
🟣Obi — 5.31%

South East:
🟣Obi — 89.42%
🔵Tinubu — 5.83%
🔴Atiku — 4.17%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.38%

South South:
🟣Obi — 44.09%
🔵Tinubu — 29.13%
🔴Atiku — 26.15%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.63%

South West:
🔵Tinubu — 55.77%
🔴Atiku — 23.04%
🟣Obi — 20.78%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.41%

🔵APC 🟣LP 🔴PDP 🟠NNPP

Considering the thread below which is a testament of home horrible Peter Obi was As Anambra state governor for 8 years, how on earth did Obi receive 89% of votes from the region if not due to tribalism?

Did Peter Obi govern elsewhere after Anambra state where he performed Excellently to have warranted to be voted 89% in his region?

You people should make it sensible to us. To even say it's same you people who claimed others voted by tribal line and still leading with far margin reeks of hypocrisy

https://www.nairaland.com/870945/what-exactly-peter-obi-doing
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by Racoon(m): 2:17pm On Mar 06
A solemn fact is that the SE always reject anyone or anything that is inimical to national progress or development. History has always proven it right
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op): 2:20pm On Mar 06
helinues:
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF VOTES IN THE 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

North Central:
🔵Tinubu — 40.03%
🟣Obi — 32.18%
🔴Atiku — 26.42%
🟠Kwankwaso — 1.37%

North East:
🔴Atiku — 51.71%
🔵Tinubu — 35.19%
🟣Obi — 9.35%
🟠Kwankwaso — 3.75%

North West:
🔵Tinubu — 40.08%
🔴Atiku — 35.35%
🟠Kwankwaso — 19.25%
🟣Obi — 5.31%

South East:
🟣Obi — 89.42%
🔵Tinubu — 5.83%
🔴Atiku — 4.17%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.38%

South South:
🟣Obi — 44.09%
🔵Tinubu — 29.13%
🔴Atiku — 26.15%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.63%

South West:
🔵Tinubu — 55.77%
🔴Atiku — 23.04%
🟣Obi — 20.78%
🟠Kwankwaso — 0.41%

🔵APC 🟣LP 🔴PDP 🟠NNPP
Unfortunately for Agbadorians, Obidients are made up highly informed people who can do their own research and will detect and destroy propaganda with facts.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by helinues: 2:22pm On Mar 06
givedemwotowoto:
Unfortunately for Agbadorians, Obidients are made up highly informed people who can do their own research and will detect and match propaganda head to head.
Engage with me intellectually or I will block you again. Same attitude for years, your blocking just expired today I guess and already resumed the boring attitude
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by Didijiji: 2:22pm On Mar 06
Racoon:
A solemn fact is that the SE always reject anyone or anything that is inimical to national progress or development. History has always proven it right
God bless you

Others regions keep supporting and voting rubbish

I hope we can realize the level of damage APC has done to Nigeria
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by mrvitalis(m): 2:24pm On Mar 06
My pride as an igbo man is simply that my people Boldly rejected Buhari and Tinubu

Proudly... My people know a potential bad president from a mile away
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op): 2:25pm On Mar 06
helinues:
Engage with me intellectually or I will block you again. Same attitude for years, your blocking just expired today I guess and already resumed the boring attitude
You blocked me? I didn't notice. No wonder I only saw your post once in a long while. I thought you got a job and got very busy or something.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by helinues: 2:27pm On Mar 06
We will never allow their mischievousness which they used to sway people in the past.

Just watch them to be sounding incoherently on the questions I asked which should be logical to any reasoning faculty.

If blocking is hungry you, just sound incoherently or attack my opinion
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by givedemwotowoto(op):
mrvitalis:
My pride as an igbo man is simply that my people Boldly rejected Buhari and Tinubu

Proudly... My people know a potential bad president from a mile away
Racoon:
A solemn fact is that the SE always reject anyone or anything that is inimical to national progress or development. History has always proven it right
100% and history proved Igbos were right, way ahead of what most people only realized recently.

Buhari ran for office with Igbo running mates twice yet the SE was very resounding in their rejection. Over 10 or 20 years later, the country realized that was the best decision for Nigeria.

Imagine if Buhari had been in office since 2003, Nigeria's economy would never have developed to the point OBJ YarAdua and GEJ built it before it crumbled again since 2015
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by UzorIyke(m): 3:15pm On Mar 06
South East the only zone that keep Nigeria as one.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by Coly2012(m): 4:44pm On Mar 06
Our past will always come hunting us, that is your case today, you attitude and incoherent comments and post in the past have made Nlanders not to notice you reasonable and coherent contributions this days cause once they notice it's you nonsense comes to their mind. So don't blame anybody.
helinues:
We will never allow their mischievousness which they used to sway people in the past.

Just watch them to be sounding incoherently on the questions I asked which should be logical to any reasoning faculty.

If blocking is hungry you, just sound incoherently or attack my opinion
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by safarifarms(m): 5:46pm On Mar 06
givedemwotowoto:
These ethnic jingoists have nothing else to campaign for except tribal dog whistle
So interestingly this has been the pattern of Igbos. They vote mostly in one direction. Why the noice in the instance that they choose to vote same way for their own? Why didn't they complain when they voted whole heartedly for people of other tribes? This makes me admire the Igbos more. They are consistent and more particularly always voting in the direction of good.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by killsmith(f): 6:01pm On Mar 06
Igbo rejected buhari, who ended up as a national tragedy, a record of 5 good times.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by jmoore(m): 6:17pm On Mar 06
The tribal bigots whose brains are suffering from memory loss only want to use 2023 as case study.

But intelligent people use 1999-2023 to get a solid case.

Since 1999, southwest and north has never given majority of their votes to a presidential candidate from southeast.

But southeast voted for Obasanjo, Yar Adua, Jonathan and Atiku.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by jmoore(m): 6:18pm On Mar 06
ChiefOloye:
Where is your source, bloody liar!
You need a source to know morning and afternoon?

Obvious you are a kid.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by DatNiggaDaz: 6:41pm On Mar 06
grin grin

I have been saying it, our neigbours sre the true representation of what a true definition öf progress, development and National pride means.

Their support pattern for any presidential candidate who eventually took the mantle of leadership has shown that the country Was doing extremely well under their leadership and every presidential candidate they rejected has turned and is turning out to be an absolute disazter

Give it to our neigbours for real. My ND peeps too are trying in that direction.

Jah bless our neigbours and my ND peeps

cheesy
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by franchasofficia:
helinues:
We will never allow their mischievousness which they used to sway people in the past.

Just watch them to be sounding incoherently on the questions I asked which should be logical to any reasoning faculty.

If blocking is hungry you, just sound incoherently or attack my opinion
But the poster's comment is backed with facts and figures bro.


Nigeria's Presidential election didn't start in 2023, our second most important democratic dispensation started in 1999, so any regional voting pattern analysis you want to make, you must start from 1999 or even 1993 Presidential election.


The op laid bay the results of Presidential results from 1999 to 2023 with verifiable facts and pointed out the candidates, their tribes and the percentage votes they got in Southeast.


Igbos rejected a whole Ojukwu.


Igbos rejected Buhari twice despite having very highly respected Igbo politicians as running mate.


Igbos unfortunately vote mostly based on individual personality and public perception of that person's life and lifestyle.


Some Igbos like every other tribe and race may engage in crime for financial gain, but when it comes to leadership, Igbos abhor electing a known corrupt, brutal and wicked person as their leader. Whenever it happens, check very well INEC did wonders or if at all they make mistake voting the person the first time thinking he is nice, they won't reelect that person again.


If Nigeria sanitizes it's electoral system and reduce rigging to barest minimum through automated polling unit result collation, you will realize that no corrupt person or someone with questionable character or wealth will ever emerge elected government official in Southeast. I can boldly tell you this.


When it comes to leadership, we always want the cleanest among us to lead us even though we might not be clean ourselves.



I can confidently tell you that if it was an Igbo politician like Rochas Okorocha or Orji Uzo Kalu, etc that contested for President in 2023, he might win Southeast but his total votes and the margin will be very small compared to the landslide victory Obi got in Southeast.


Another Igbo politician that will enjoy massive Igbo following like Obi in future if he continues the way he started is Alex Otti current Abia state Governor.


If you compare how Igbos voted for Igbo Presidential candidate from 1999 to 2027 and how Northerners voted for Buhari from same 1999 to 2019, you will notice a difference. Northerners didn't care if their votes were wasted on Buhari or not, they kept voting him in bloc, but it was only in 2023 that Igbos had a Presidential candidate of Igbo extraction they believed was competent that Igbos voted for their tribesman massively, that only happened in 2023.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by soil4soil(m): 7:20pm On Mar 06
Your campaigning is too late because everyone knows what is true about South East and their voting pattern.

It is the principal they vote for not the vice
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by AcadaWriter0: 7:23pm On Mar 06
South East is consistently strong. It’s a straightforward, solid choice.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by Ofunaofu: 7:26pm On Mar 06
ChiefOloye:
Where is your source, bloody liar!
It’s obvious you were born in 2023 and immediately handed a phone
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by ChiefOloye(m): 7:45pm On Mar 06
jmoore:
You need a source to know morning and afternoon?

Obvious you are a kid.
I'm old as your dad, if he not in his sixties.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by helinues: 7:49pm On Mar 06
franchasofficia:
But the poster's comment is backed with facts and figures bro.


Nigeria's Presidential election didn't start in 2023, our second most important democratic dispensation started in 1999, so any regional voting pattern analysis you want to make, you must start from 1999 or even 1993 Presidential election.


The op laid bay the results of Presidential results from 1999 to 2023 with verifiable facts and pointed out the candidates, their tribes and the percentage votes they got in Southeast.


Igbos rejected a whole Ojukwu.


Igbos rejected Buhari twice despite having very highly respected Igbo politicians as running mate.


Igbos unfortunately vote mostly based on individual personality and public perception of that person's life and lifestyle.


Some Igbos like every other tribe and race may engage in crime for financial gain, but when it comes to leadership, Igbos abhor electing a known corrupt, brutal and wicked person as their leader. Whenever it happens, check very well INEC did wonders or if at all they make mistake voting the person the first time thinking he is nice, they won't reelect that person again.


If Nigeria sanitizes it's electoral system and reduce rigging to barest minimum through automated polling unit result collation, you will realize that no corrupt person or someone with questionable character or wealth will ever emerge elected government official in Southeast. I can boldly tell you this.


When it comes to leadership, we always want the cleanest among us to lead us even though we might not be clean ourselves.



I can confidently tell you that if it was an Igbo politician like Rochas Okorocha or Orji Uzo Kalu, etc that contested for President in 2023, he might win Southeast but his total votes and the margin will be very small compared to the landslide victory Obi got in Southeast.


Another Igbo politician that will enjoy massive Igbo following like Obi in future if he continues the way he started is Alex Otti current Abia state Governor.


If you compare how Igbos voted for Igbo Presidential candidate from 1999 to 2027 and how Northerners voted for Buhari from same 1999 to 2019, you will notice a difference. Northerners didn't care if their votes were wasted on Buhari or not, they kept voting him in bloc, but it was only in 2023 that Igbos had a Presidential candidate of Igbo extraction they believed was competent that Igbos voted for their tribesman massively, that only happened in 2023.
how on earth did Obi receive 89% of votes from the region if not due to tribalism?

Did Peter Obi govern elsewhere after Anambra state where he performed Excellently to have warranted to be voted 89% in his region?
Stop cherry picking on issues like your principal

Just respond to the above quote

https://www.nairaland.com/870945/what-exactly-peter-obi-doing
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by aariwa(m): 7:51pm On Mar 06
Shows that SE knows with their business acumen and penchant for wanting a progressive country as against one riddled with retrogressive politics, already knows by foresight candidates who will perform well….if the people who south east supported with less than 80% performed far better than the ones they didn’t support; then you can imagine what the performance of the one they supported more than 90% like Obi would have been…he would have fixed the country 100% better than it was under OBJ, Yaradua and Jonathan in less than 4 years
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by franchasofficia: 8:08pm On Mar 06
helinues:
Stop cherry picking on issues like your principal

Just respond to the above quote

https://www.nairaland.com/870945/what-exactly-peter-obi-doing
In Igbo land, Odimegwu Ojukwu remains one of the most respected elites dead or alive, you might not like him, to you and your tribesmen, he might be a bad man who led his people to unplanned war according to your own logic and belief which you guys are entitled to.


Same way, to Igbos, Peter Obi performed excellently well and better than all the Governors in Southeast of his time and even till date that we now have Alex Otti that started very well and we hope he continues and end excellently as he started.


So if Igbos adjudge Peter Obi is an excellent leader based on their perception of his performance as Anambra Governor and other leadership positions he held, they are entitled to it and the only way you can disprove them is by waiting until Peter Obi becomes President and fails to deliver like Buhari and Tinubu whom their people believed held the magic wand and they became that President they so desired and they performed abysmally poor before the whole Nigerians and the world at large.


You might have a different yardstick for measuring good leaders in your region, Igbos may also have a different yardstick for measuring good leaders in their own region, so when they say this their leader failed or performed, you can only wait until such leader gets to federal position then you access him based on the national yardstick since he is now governing not just his region but the entire nation.


Lastly, few people's opinion online does not represent the will or opinion of an entire state or region or even nation.


My opinion alone or few of us online that criticize Tinubu can never be enough to conclude that Tinubu failed as President. You will need to take a look at the KPIs and majority opinion and perception of the people about the leader being assessed.


Always take note of this.
Re: South East Voting Patterns (1999–2023): The Data Shows No Tribal Correlation by helinues: 8:12pm On Mar 06
franchasofficia:
In Igbo land, Odimegwu Ojukwu remains one of the most respected elites dead or alive, you might not like him, to you and your tribesmen, he might be a bad man who led his people to unplanned war according to your own logic and belief which you guys are entitled to.


Same way, to Igbos, Peter Obi performed excellently well and better than all the Governors in Southeast of his time and even till date that we now have Alex Otti that started very well and we hope he continues and end excellently as he started.


So if Igbos adjudge Peter Obi is an excellent leader based on their perception of his performance as Anambra Governor and other leadership positions he held, they are entitled to it and the only way you can disprove them is by waiting until Peter Obi becomes President and fails to deliver like Buhari and Tinubu whom their people believed held the magic wand and they became that President they so desired and they performed abysmally poor before the whole Nigerians and the world at large.


You might have a different yardstick for measuring good leaders in your region, Igbos may also have a different yardstick for measuring good leaders in their own region, so when they say this their leader failed or performed, you can only wait until such leader gets to federal position then you access him based on the national yardstick since he is now governing not just his region but the entire nation.
But 80% of the people on that thread are Igbo's. Infact, there are some monikers on that thread who condemned the poor leadership of Peter Obi as Anambra state governor but today those monikers want to be telling us Obi is the messiah. As how now

https://www.nairaland.com/870945/what-exactly-peter-obi-doing
1 2 Reply

Voting Patterns In The South East 1999 Till 2023. Show Me The Tribal Correlation2023 Presidential Election Projection By Voting Patterns And Trends.(opinion)2016 Vs 2020: Data Shows Oshiomhole Was Inconsequential In Edo Gov Elections234

Is This The Fastest Way To Ruin Your Reputation As A Nigerian?(pics)I'll Be Nigerian President Before You - NDC Spokesperson Assures Peter ObiWhat Sauce For Ladoja: