₦airaland Forum

There is really no opposition in Nigeria in the true sense of the word. There are only politicians who have been temporarily kicked out of the inner sanctum of power and influence but who share no fundamental difference with the current temporary occupants of the power structure. Nonetheless, if all the people vegetating on the margins of the power structure came together, they could easily displace those within it in 2027.

Although the coalition of so-called opposition politicians angling to get back to power in 2027 has not articulated a coherent blueprint to show that it will be different from President Bola Tinubu (I strongly believe they are indistinguishable from him), it can effectively instrumentalize the crying incompetence, in-your-face corruption, ethnic bigotry, insufferable arrogance, unabating misery and insouciance that have become the hallmarks of Tinubu’s administration to convince a traumatized nation that it can offer an alternative.

It doesn’t matter if they will replicate or even exacerbate Tinubu’s unrelieved disaster when they get to power. Even the prospect of temporary relief from Tinubu’s unending torment is enough to get most people to give them a chance. But they have shown that they lack the discipline, cohesion and foresight required to wrest power from Tinubu.

Even before they have had a chance to come together, they are splintered. This became clear in the aftermath of the Supreme Court ruling that restored David Mark’s leadership of the ADC. Neither Peter Obi nor Rabiu Kwankwaso said a word about it.

There are credible rumors that Obi and Kwankwaso didn’t react to the Supreme Court judgment because they had already moved on. They are said to be heading to the NDC and no longer care about what happens to the ADC.

In other words, we are back to the 2023 factionalization of the “opposition.” Both Obi and Kwankwaso appear to be allergic to the internal democratic processes of political parties. They want to be canonized as candidates without contest. Since they can’t find that, they are moving away.

https://www.farooqkperogi.com/2026/05/atiku-obi-kwankwaso-are-tinubus-most.html

Smiles.

Whenever I reason about those opposition and their self inflicted drama, I just dey laugh..Even if they unite together and get serious, it's too late for them to win the election in 2027 because election campaign funds will still be issue. Only Atiku is financially strong in the coalition, they are yet to have any governor.

Meanwhile, there are 2 Africa countries on standby ready to fund president Tinubu's reelection. Gambia and Senegal ( Why, story not for now)

Like I have been consistently saying, should Obi or Kwankwanso leave ADC, they are definitely working for president Tinubu

The three are differently guilty of not being a oppositions, Atiku and Kwankwaso should have respected the gentlemen rotation arrangements between the North and the South, while Obi should have remained in Labour Party, rather than moving to ADC

IamPatriotic:
The three are differently guilty of not being a oppositions, Atiku and Kwankwaso should have respected the gentlemen rotation arrangements between the North and the South, while Obi should have remained in Labour Party, rather than moving to ADC

Agreements on zoning are internal matters of political parties, not constitutional. Anyone with political ambition that feels his interest is not well served in a political party should be allowed to leave. This is democracy. There is no zoning in the ADC. It was made clear to Obi from the get-go, but he chose to join, nonetheless.

It's really does look like they're working for Tinubu with all these clownery they're performing. How hard is it to choose a consensus candidate to bear the flag of the party? Everybody wants to be president but sadly they can not pull the numbers to win individually.

The problem with Atiku - Obi partnership is lack of clarity.

It's not enough to want to unseat Tinubu as President, you both must be on the same page.

Think about it this way: If you meet a partner, both of you having a desire to be married and have kids is not enough for marriage to work. Do you have similar values (e.g. What if she doesn't believe in traditional values while you do)? Are you on the same page in life (e.g. What if she wants to pursue further education or career first before children, while you want to start having children right away)?

The problem is that Atiku and Obi didn't establish the rules of engagement from day 1. They left the most important issue to be open ended, and it came back to hurt them later on. To Peter Obi, fairness means conducting direct primaries, he campaigns and rallies people like El-Rufai, and if he doesn't succeed in the end, he will accept the results. To Atiku, he wants to be named the consensus candidate because he thinks he's the bigger opponent.

While they probably talked about it, they didn't establish it as a core principle of selecting the candidate, to represent fairness for each party.

Here we are with few days left, and a tyrant on the other side instigating his own divisions using the system, essentially trying to destroy democracy.

I have to say Peter Obi - Kwankwaso is 7.5 million votes and not enough to defeat Tinubu's 8.7 million. Only a united opposition can defeat Tinubu.

These recycled politicians are all ambitious and can't do better than what they done before. Wake me up when we have someone fresh

I think Obi is overestimating his popularity. The core North would rather vote for Tinubu than vote for Obi, regardless of who he picks as his running mate. Even Kwankwaso, whom Obi is counting on, is only popular in Kano and perhaps parts of Jigawa. Obi should have been patient and accepted the role of Atiku’s running mate, as that might have helped ease the sentiment the core North holds against him.

Although, the South deserves to complete the remaining four years, even if Obi were given the ticket without Atiku’s support, it would be impossible for him to win in the core North. If Obi insists on contesting under the platform of the NDC, he will not win, and that will be the end of his presidential ambition. Tinubu will win, and by 2031, the momentum will shift back to the North.

This lousy clown masquerading as a lecturer is an empty deluded noise maker.
Tinubu is your president till 2031.

There is no credible organised opposition to the 2nd term of Tinubu. Our philosophy in Yorubaland is that we don't vilify our son whether good or bad. Omo Eni o le buru, ki a fi fun ekun je (you cannot feed your son to a tiger because he is a bad boy). If a boy fails in Yorubaland, you simply ask him to repeat the class. If you are saying that Tinubu has failed (though he is doing exceptionally well), then he must be allowed to repeat the presidency. Afterall, he said EMILOKAN
It is still the turn of the Yorubas, so Obi et al. should wait for their turn. You see this 2027, it is either snatch or grab. Una go learn in what way again?

If the opposition factionalize again, let's all just forget it. I would not even advise anyone to bother voting once that happens.

Considering BAT's imperialistic mindset. It may also take an act of God for Nigeria to escape being ruled by him forever. Because this is not about 2027 alone. BAT more than any other president is certain to impose a string of hand picked and loyal successors who will serve him and not Nigeria untill he leaves this world.

They will start crying "rigging" by the time they divide their house and lose again in 2027.
We already know the end from the beginning.

If obi gets 1 million votes this coming election, then he tries. The way he handles internal party affairs is just too terrible. He may have good intentions for the country but he is not a rugged person to achieve a landmark within Nigerian political space.
And besides, his popularity in 2023 was driven by hijacking endsars and end bad governance protests orchestrated by majority of youths that were angered by APC and Buhari government and killings by the Fulani jihadists. He hijacked that and rode on it. It can't happen again. He is the one campaigning for tinubu the most now indirectly.

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationally become the turn of the Northto produce the President of Nigeria.

Opposition of opposition, they are only deceiving themselves, Na people wen take them serious I pity for.

IamPatriotic:
The three are differently guilty of not being a oppositions, Atiku and Kwankwaso should have respected the gentlemen rotation arrangements between the North and the South, while Obi should have remained in Labour Party, rather than moving to ADC

So you really do not know why Obi left LP? Then you should not be in this space with that level of ignorance.

callmeDDD:
If obi gets 1 million votes this coming election, then he tries.

Remember you said worse in 2022
He shocked you all
2027 maybe the shocker of your lives
He might look confused now but he has insisted that he must be on the ballot

Very unserious opposition without tactics or plan, everyone wants to be president at the same time.

Anything that makes Atiku and Obi contest separately automatically makes Tinubu win again.

How do you intend to win a president with 32 governors and 87 senators with a divided opposition?

Disappointed in these egocentric men in the opposition

Who does not know this... 2023 on repeat

wolesmile:
They will start crying "rigging" by the time they divide their house and lose again in 2027.
We already know the end from the beginning.

2023 did they even say rigging, because they are after certificate and drugs matter, if u check the results from East,

DeepSight:
If the opposition factionalize again, let's all just forget it. I would not even advise anyone to bother voting once that happens.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu built what became APC over a period of 9 years from 2006 to 2015. from the ashes of AD after OBJ ran roughshod over everyone else and made PDP the only game in town

he started from lagos and then expanded to a regional party and when the time was right made strategic alliances. he also built a network of support over those 10 years across nigeria - and that network came through for him in the 2023 election. it was not a smooth growth and ACN/AC/APC also suffered losses and setbacks.

all these opposition politicians are trying to shoehorn a decades work into a year. atiku disappears to dubai for two and half years after every election.

i always say Peter obi could have followed the exact template created by Tinubu and grown APGA into an actual regional party controlling the SE as a single voting bloc and having actual negotiating power - but he opted for the easy way of aligning with an almighty PDP.

This assertion is wrong, Obi is open to direct primaries, it's Atiku that's hell bent on consensus.
If consensus is to be considered, the south should have it in order to balance the unwritten zonal law of 8 years north, 8 years south

Soludo already nailed it in 2022. God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

IamPatriotic:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationallybecomethe turn of the Northto producethethe President of Nigeria.

Here is someone that understands the game. RMK that has constantly threw jabs at Obi that's they're not mates political, intellectually and academical. Saying him having a PhD and an engineer to play second fiddle to Obi is an insult.
Suddenly, the same RMK wants to be vice to him? I am suspecting there's a pact between PBAT, Atiku or Obi that both will continue to be a spoiler until the conclusion of 2027 elections.

Willy2025:
There is no credible organised opposition to the 2nd term of Tinubu. Our philosophy in Yorubaland is that we don't vilify our son whether good or bad. Omo Eni o le buru, ki a fi fun ekun je (you cannot feed your son to a tiger because he is a bad boy). If a boy fails in Yorubaland, you simply ask him to repeat the class. If you are saying that Tinubu has failed (though he is doing exceptionally well), then he must be allowed to repeat the presidency. Afterall, he said EMILOKAN
It is still the turn of the Yorubas, so Obi et al. should wait for their turn. You see this 2027, it is either snatch or grab. Una go learn in what way again?

Why did your son lose in Lagos that he governed for 8 years and resides in and in Osun, his state of origin? Do you think your son is currently President because of your votes?

you understand the matter

IamPatriotic:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationallybecomethe turn of the Northto producethethe President of Nigeria.

AMINDA:
Why did your son lose in Lagos that he governed for 8 years and resides in and Osun, his state of origin? Do you think your son is currently President because of your votes?

After winning both state, what was his gain since then? Not even a local councillor today can said to belong to your oga.
Which party is ruling Lagos after that same election?
You lot will never learn.

GloriousGbola:
Bola Ahmed Tinubu built what became APC over a period of 9 years from 2006 to 2015. from the ashes of AD after OBJ ran roughshod over everyone else and made PDP the only game in town

he started from lagos and then expanded to a regional party and when the time was right made strategic alliances. he also built a network of support over those 10 years across nigeria - and that network came through for him in the 2023 election. it was not a smooth growth and ACN/AC/APC also suffered losses and setbacks.

all these opposition politicians are trying to shoehorn a decades work into a year. atiku disappears to dubai for two and half years after every election.

i always say Peter obi could have followed the exact template created by Tinubu and grown APGA into an actual regional party controlling the SE as a single voting bloc and having actual negotiating power - but he opted for the easy way of aligning with an almighty PDP.

Well said.

Another thing I always think and say is this. If the opposition cannot make sacrifices of time, they are not ready. I am no lover of BAT, indeed I dislike the man, but to give the devil his dues, not only did he do all you said, he was willing and able to sit back for eight good years to let Buhari go ahead and thereby have a united front capable of unseating the government. That was strategy. That was timing. He didn't even join the ticket as a vice presidential candidate. Stood back on the argument that a Christian was needed.

And not one single one of the leading opposition candidates appears able to do even a fraction of this in terms of making the sacrifice of time to unseat him. They all want to go at once.

If they do that, not even I would vote for them.

cc: wizardofng

“They want to be canonized as candidates without contest” - Kperogi

As usual, we shall be expecting their crying and lamenting after 2027

I totally agree with you . After having a gentleman agreement with Atiku, Obi foolishly allowed his low IQ online supporters to deceive him. While he was governor, he was getting advice from a mad man, now he wants to be president, he's still getting advice from unintelligent people..
2013 when the opposition formed a coalition, none of the presidential aspirants attacked eachother, fast forward to 2025, a new coalition is formed but unfortunately have a very toxic set of people (obidients) . That coalition can never win.

IamPatriotic:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationally become the turn of the Northto produce the President of Nigeria.

And that’s a very legitimate and strategic way to position yourself for future electoral success. To win election, you must start making strategic choices years ahead of the election.

Atiku’s main pitfall as a presidential candidate is his inability to be strategic. He just throws his head into every electoral contest since 1993 without reading the room. Before 2023, the last time Tinubu contested for any election was 2003. That’s a 20 years of waiting and consolidating. That’s how to play politics.

I won’t be surprised if El-Rufai throws in his support for the OK ticket. They are all positioning themselves rightly for 2031.