₦airaland Forum

NUMBER OF STATES WHERE LEADING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES SECURED 25%+ OF VALID VOTES — 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Bola Ahmed Tinubu:
🟣 South West — 6/6
🟤 South South — 4/6
🟢 South East — 0/5
🟠 North Central — 6/6
⚫️ North East — 6/6
🔴 North West — 7/7
Total — 29

Atiku Abubakar:
🟣 South West — 2/6
🟤 South South — 3/6
🟢 South East — 0/5
🟠 North Central — 4/6
⚫️ North East — 6/6
🔴 North West — 6/7
Total — 21

Peter Obi:
🟣 South West — 1/6
🟤 South South — 5/6
🟢 South East — 5/5
🟠 North Central — 4/6
⚫️ North East — 1/6
🔴 North West — 0/7
Total — 16

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso:
🟣 South West — 0/6
🟤 South South — 0/6
🟢 South East — 0/5
🟠 North Central — 0/6
⚫️ North East — 0/6
🔴 North West — 1/7
Total — 1

⚫ NE 🔴 NW 🟠 NC 🟣 SW 🟢 SE 🟤 SS

#Statisense
(INEC)

Source

2023
Tinubu : 29 States
Atiku : 21 States
Obi + kwankwaso: 16+ 1= 17 States

I no wan hear "his manhood was stolen" in 2027 o 🙄😌

South east is the only self loving region

God bless the South-South region.

They understand politics and they don’t play politics of bitterness.

E clear like sky..

Can the INEC just declare Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu without wasting our scarce resources on the election?

Tinubu will win the election.

A Presidential candidate must secure a minimum of 25% of votes in at least 24 states to have a chance of being declared a winner.

The chances of Mr Atiku scoring 25% in 24 states is very slim, if not zero, as I can't think of a single Southern state where ADC will secure 25% of the votes, now that Mr Obi has left the party.

As for NDC, in 2023, Mr Obi and Mr Kwankwaso only secured 25% of the votes in a combined total of 17 states. That means they need an additional 7 states. NDC may secure 25% in Lagos, but it will not anywhere else in the South West, and the North East where ADC will likely dominate. The party may also secure 25% of votes in 2 or 3 NW States. That will still leave them short of 24 states.

APC will gain 25% in more Southern States than it did last time, and will secure 25% in almost all North Central states, and in 2 or 3 North East, and North West states, so APC is unlikely to have a problem reaching 24.

APC is still in poll position for the coming elections. All each Southern APC Governor needs to do is ensure that ADC's doesn't win 25% of the votes in their state. Even if Mr Atiku wins all 19 Northern States, he will still need to gain 25% of votes in at least 5 Southern states to have a chance of being declared a winner. I don't know about other Southern regions, but in the SW, ADC will struggle to get 5% in any SW State. I could be wrong, but I don't see ADC getting 25% in any SS or SE State. If this scenario plays out, then Mr Atiku cannot be declared President even if he gets 500 million votes in the North.

Mr Obi's withdrawal from ADC has killed the party in the South. ADC leaders know it. That is why they are presently very bitter and demoralised. When they appear on TV these days, they wear long faces and appear deflated. Without Mr Obi, there is no Southern political heavyweight in ADC that can deliver 25% in any Southern state.

DeLaRue:
The minimum number of states a candidate must score 25% of votes in to be declared a winner is 24.

The chances of Mr Atiku scoring 25% in 24 is very slim, almost zero, as I can't think of a single Southern state where ADC will secure 25% of the votes, now that Mr Obi has left the party.

As for NDC, in 2023, Mr Obi and Mr Kwankwaso only secured 25% of the votes in a combined total of 17 states. That means they need an additional 7 states. NDC may secure 25% in Lagos, but nowhere else in the South West, and the North East where ADC will likely dominate. So, the party face a very tall order to reach the required threshold in 24 States.

APC will gain 25% in more Southern States than it did last time, and will secure 25% in almost all North Central states, and in 2 or 3 North East and North West states.

APC is still in poll position for the coming elections. All each Southern APC Governor needs to do is ensure that ADC's doesn't win 25% of the votes in their state.

Nigerian Electoral College in display with this analysis. Kudos

Summary. Atiku and president Tinubu wasn't popular in South East in the 2023 election

While Peter Obi is unrecognized in NW and NE

LegendHero:
God bless the South-South region.

They understand politics and they don’t play politics of bitterness.

They should be staking higher in 2027 because of the possibility of VP position for the region in 2031

Inec should just declared Tinubu president. Instead of wasting time with any y election.

blamingthedevil:
South east is the only self loving region

No. The SW is where tribalistic voting happened. In the SE, tHeY dOn'T dO tRiBaLiSm.

Kanwulia come and see what I was saying.

Yarimo and ORS after elections

With INEC APC chairman rigging plans for Tinubu.

blamingthedevil:
2023
Tinubu : 29 States
Atiku : 21 States
Obi + kwankwaso: 16+ 1= 17 States

I no wan hear "his manhood was stolen" in 2027 o 🙄😌

Lol
People are too sentimental and gullible

helinues:
Summary. Atiku and president Tinubu wasn't popular in South East in the 2023 election

While Peter Obi is unrecognized in NW and NE

Not at all. It's ethnic politics being played in the south east. It might also happen in 2027. It's well

TokoEkambi:
No. The SW is where tribalistic voting happened. In the SE, tHeY dOn'T dO tRiBaLiSm.

Na so
Na only Onwubuasi dey competent according to his brothers in the SE.
Nobody wey no get brother.
Next year, they will understand that very well.

I can’t wait for 2027 . May the best candidate for Nigeria win

Kwankwaso gained in this union, while i think Obi isnt gaining anything significant. Only Kano. Seriously? Na waooo!

Tinubu will surely witness a decline in performance due to his harsh economic reform.

Was the election free and fair?

Was it not written by Mohamoud JEGA?

Pigs xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Sure nah
APC top all d Conner

i like kwankwanso , he is very intelligent political strategist , he knows his weakness and strong points

WhizdomXX:
Kanwulia come and see what I was saying.

This stats is for the wilfully blind obidients to see again have been screaming that PO won the last elections but was rigged out, essentially he didn't satisfy the basic constitutional requirements of 2/3 of 36 to win because of lack of spread, they won lagos but elections wasn't rigged but all the places Tinubu won elections were massively rigged while forgetting enugu state where PO won more than 98%

Amaka xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Election that Tinubu rigged

blamingthedevil:
NUMBER OF STATES WHERE LEADING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES SECURED 25%+ OF VALID VOTES — 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION



Source

The result of election mared with glitches.

South East no try at all. No other candidates has 25%