₦airaland Forum

The Director of the Government Advancement Initiative for Nigeria (GAIN), Dr. Malcolm Fabiyi, has said the results of their recent polling revealed growing dissatisfaction among Nigerians with the state of security in the country, with even a significant portion of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's supporters expressing concern.

Speaking in an interview with Rudolf Okonkwo on 90MinutesAfrica, the public policy expert disclosed that approximately 80% of Nigerians feel less safe today than five years ago.

More striking, however, is that about 60% of individuals who voted for President Tinubu in the 2023 election also report feeling less secure since he assumed office.

Fabiyi emphasized that security has become a critical issue that the government cannot afford to overlook, warning that it could play a decisive role in shaping the outcome of the 2027 general elections.

According to him, any opposition seeking to connect with voters must prioritize security alongside the economy, as both issues now dominate public discourse.

The polling data further highlights a shift in voter behavior, suggesting that Nigerians are increasingly focused on individual candidates rather than political parties.

For instance, 75% of those who supported Peter Obi in 2023 indicated they would vote for him again regardless of his party affiliation.

In contrast, only about 35% of Atiku Abubakar's supporters expressed similar loyalty.

Fabiyi noted that this trend could significantly influence future electoral dynamics, particularly if opposition parties succeed in presenting a unified candidate.

Such a development, he argued, would make the 2027 election highly competitive and less predictable.

In addition to security concerns, economic challenges are emerging as major factors likely to drive voter turnout.

"Historically, voter participation in Nigeria's presidential elections has hovered around 21 to 22 million," Fabiyi said. "However, current conditions may alter this pattern."

Fabiyi explained that for the first time in recent history, middle and upper-class Nigerians are showing increased political engagement, largely due to policies that directly affect their finances.

He further pointed out that discussions around taxation have intensified, drawing more citizens into political conversations, which may motivate greater electoral participation.

He also observed that insecurity, once perceived as a problem affecting mainly certain regions or demographics, has now become widespread.

"Previously, affluent Nigerians relied on private security and police escorts for protection. However, recent changes in government policy have reduced such privileges, making insecurity a shared concern across all social classes," he stated.

He concluded that the convergence of economic strain and pervasive insecurity has created a strong desire for change among Nigerians. This growing discontent, he suggested, could reshape the political landscape in the lead-up to the 2027 elections.

80% of Nigerians feel less safe today than five years ago.More striking, however, is that about 60% of individuals who voted for President Tinubu in the 2023 election also report feeling less secure since he assumed office.

helinues:
Source: Sahara reporters

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dre11:
https://saharareporters.com/2026/05/20/60-tinubu-voters-feel-less-safe-under-his-government-poll

helinues:
Source: Sahara reporters

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SouthSouth1914:
Mr president in more interested in playing commando style politics than delivering on his campaign promises. Only those interested in stomach infrastructures or ethnic affiliation are willing to stand on his blokos which is alright!

helinues:
Source: Sahara reporters

Outta thread

Image123:
Dem go still vote am again. Why? Because dem know say things go worse if dem allow clueless people like Atiku and Obi as oga. We no feel safe for GEJ or fPMB time. Na prayers we dey pray.

Jeezuzpick:
Tell me where your village is located. If it's anywhere in the NC, SW, NE, NW, even parts of SE and SS it can be overrun by bandits if APC continue in office. Me, o, I will take clueless people who will not allow innocents to keep on being slaughtered with impunity.

All it takes is to replace "rehabilitation" of terrorists with public trial and public execution by firing squad, and everywhere will become peaceful again. What we're seeing right now is the proliferation of terrorists due to the absence of real, painful consequences to mass murder, as encouraged by this government.

Chucks13:
Pls keep that story to yourself Tinubu will rule your a s s till 2035.