₦airaland Forum

Hi

3rd trading week in June


Forex traders competition update. May - October edition 2026


Players are playing for 6 months, to see how they can efficiently manage and handle investment funds bestowed upon them.



Our players have really been so magnificent and tried to hold onto their accounts for 7 weeks now, showing great and curated afforts to manage and effectively discipline themselves in managing account and money







Active players playing now.

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇

Davigle:
Davigle

Headway live cent account
11105837
Investor password: 0u!PPnY5

I will be depositing 10k ngn by Friday into my account.

Locked and loaded

Alexas58:
Login details for competition

Trading broker: hfm
Trading account id: 102461773
Server: Hfmarketsglobal-live4
Password: ilegenddClown!1

Sponsored by Lasolex Ventures

The WWW of Bear Market.

It's a normal market structure, but most people don't pay attention to it. It happened in ALL previous cycles and if you pay attention, you'll see lots of secrets.

The first w is in white box, the second in honeydew box and the last in orange box.

We're currently in honeydew and our next W is orange. Choose your favourite box and trade.

For anyone expanding their monitoring setup beyond minerstat, BTC Tools (https://btc-tools.com/) has some useful utilities for ASIC management. I've found it handy for specific Antminer configurations and hashrate optimization tasks that complement the main dashboard.

For those managing a fleet of Antminers, the Braiins Toolbox (https://braiins-toolbox.com/) is worth checking out alongside the firmware itself. It’s a lightweight desktop app that handles network scanning, batch firmware updates, and configuration pushes across multiple miners at once. Much easier than logging into each dashboard individually, especially when dealing with mixed fleets on stock and custom firmware. Also works for quick pool config changes and performance tweaks without having to rely on the web interface for every single unit.

+1 for VNISH on this use case. I've been running it on a few S19s for power‑limited setups and the tuning options are much deeper than stock. You can dial in frequency and voltage per board, not just global presets, which helps a lot when you're trying to hit that specific 70‑80 TH sweet spot without wasting watts.
The official site has all the model‑specific firmware and documentation: https://vnish-software.com/ – worth bookmarking if you're experimenting with different S19 variants. Also check the changelogs there, they've been adding support for newer hashboards gradually.

The trader and almighty Yanch shaker highlights WWW of Bear Market” — three W-shaped price structures (white box for first W,

honeydew/light box for second, orange for third) on what appears to be a multi-year chart (likely a major index or stock like Bitcoin or a broad market, given the scale and drawdowns of 66-87%).


It’s annotated with dozens of specific entries (Shorts at 858, 679, 497, etc.), Longs, Hedges, exact percentage drops, time bars (“17 bars, 119d”, “25 bars, 175d”), and outcome labels.

The post claims this is a “normal market structure” that happens in ALL previous cycles and contains “lots of secrets” if you pay attention.
Problems with this approach



1. Extreme hindsight bias / curve-fitting:
With enough lines, boxes, arrows, and labels, you can find any pattern on a historical chart. The “WWW” here seems selectively boxed to fit the narrative. Real markets are noisy; W shapes appear everywhere in both bull and bear moves. Why these specific three and not others?



2. Over-annotation syndrome:
The chart is cluttered with precise levels (410, 341, 497, etc.), hedges, multiple timeframes, and outcome calls.
This is typical of traders showcasing “perfect” past trades.
In real-time, you don’t know which W will form, where the bottom of each leg is, or whether the next move is continuation or reversal. Those clean arrows and boxes aren’t available prospectively.


3. No clear, testable rules:
What exactly is the strategy? “Look for WWW in bear market”? How do you define the start of a bear market? Entry/exit rules for each W? Stop losses? Position sizing? Risk per trade?



Mention of “hedges,” “Long in BY,” “Short in BY,” “No DJ” etc. feels like vague insider shorthand rather than a replicable system.

Good strategies have simple, mechanical (or clearly defined discretionary) rules that can be backtested or forward-tested.


4. Survivorship / selection bias:
The trader is only showing one (or a few) examples where this allegedly worked.

What about times when similar-looking Ws failed?

Bear markets have many fakeouts, dead cat bounces, and capitulation spikes. Claiming it happened in “ALL previous cycles” is a big red flag without systematic evidence.


5. Psychological dangers:
This style encourages over-trading and overconfidence.
Seeing all those labeled “Short” and “Hedge” wins makes it seem easy.

In reality, shorting bear market rallies (or timing longs in downtrends) is brutal — high emotional cost, borrow fees, squeezes, and whipsaws.


Would I adopt this?

No. Not as presented.


It might contain some useful observations about how bear markets often unfold in waves with sharp rallies (the Ws could loosely relate to multi-leg declines with relief rallies), but that’s not new or secret. Technical analysis has known patterns like Elliott Wave, ABC corrections, or measured moves, but they are probabilistic at best and require strict risk management.



Better alternatives for bear markets


• Trend following with clear rules: Moving average crossovers, breakouts, or Donchian channels for direction.


• Risk-defined strategies: Options (puts, put spreads), inverse ETFs, or shorting with tight stops.


• Macro + fundamentals: Combine price action with broader signals (yield curve, leading indicators, sentiment).


• Simple is better: Many successful traders in downtrends just reduce size dramatically, focus on highest-conviction setups, or go to cash/money market until conditions improve.


• Backtest any pattern rigorously before trusting it with real money.


Bottom line: The trader might be skilled and this specific period may have played out as drawn, but the presentation screams “storytelling” more than “edge.” Treat it as educational chart poorrnn rather than a strategy to copy. If you like technical patterns, study cleaner systems with verifiable stats (win rate, risk-reward, max drawdown) from sources that show both wins and losses. Always paper trade or small-size anything new. Trading is hard enough without adopting vague multi-W mysteries.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

iLegendd:
The WWW of Bear Market.

It's a normal market structure, but most people don't pay attention to it. It happened in ALL previous cycles and if you pay attention, you'll see lots of secrets.

The first w is in white box, the second in honeydew box and the last in orange box.

Tlfexo1:
It's so disheartening to find out that ilegendd is scamming people through crypto

He scammed me, help pls

Ilegendd aka Valwezzy , aka Joeclef author,
Aka ilegenddd , aka Oxidde, aka mercy first,
aka cmoney22222, aka tflex01, aka analyscam

iLegendd:
This account is my alternate account. I use it in scamming innocent people. Contact it at your own risk. You'll cry!

iLegendd:
I Want to Remove the Idea of the 4-Year Cycle with Boxnalysis

How?

Boxnalysis is simple. You long at the beginning of the box or in NTM lowest price before the beginning of the box, and sell or hedge at the end of the box. Each box, based on color, has how many months it takes and it's constant for life.

Red box is 5 months (Mar, Apr, May, Jun, Jul of BMY) — Aug = NTM. (New cycle starts from red box and ends in white box).

.Urple box is 6 months (Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec. of BMY and Jan, Feb of RY) — Mar = NTM.

Green box is 4 months (Apr, May, Jun, Jul of RY) — Aug = NTM.

Blue box is 6 months (Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec of RY and Jan, Feb of SY) — Mar = NTM.

Yellow box is 5 months (Apr, May, Jun, Jul, Aug of SY) — Sep = NTM.

White box is 4 months (Oct, Nov, Dec of SY and bonus, Jan of BY) — Feb = NTM.

Honeydew box is 4 months (Mar, Apr, May, Jun of BY) — Jul = NTM that goes up.

Orange is 6-7 months (Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec of BY and Jan of BMY) — Feb = NTM.

That is 4 years, including FAMAMs months of NTM.

NTM = No Trade Month (dumping)
BM = Buy Year
BMY = Buy More Year
RY = Relax Year
SY = Sell Year}
BuBumReSel (Buy, Buy-more, Relax and Sell).

Also, each month has a number you multiple with to get the height of each box since we already know the widths above, which is how many months they are.

Red (BBP x1.5)
.urple (BBP x1.5)
Green (BBP x1.8 )
Blue (BBP x2.2)
Yellow (BBP x1.6)
White (BBP x1.8 )

BBP = Box Bottom Price. If there is a long way to go, multiply answer by the  height multiplier to expand the height of the box.

For bear market, white box is still part of it and they are

White (MTP /1.5 or /1.2)
Honeydew (BTP/2 or BTP/2.8 )
Orange (BTP/1.6)

BTP = Box Top Price
MTP = Market Top Price.

Divide multiple times from market top price to get lower prices.

Some of you may be confused by now, so let me stop.

Good morning, please can boxnalysis also be applied in forex trading?

luke55720:
Good morning, please can boxnalysis also be applied in forex trading?

I have only tried it on BTC.

Jammykay:
Ilegendd aka Valwezzy , aka Joeclef author,
Aka ilegenddd , aka Oxidde, aka mercy first,
aka cmoney22222, aka tflex01, aka analyscam

I can bet by this time in December, you must've given up.

luke55720:
Good morning, please can boxnalysis also be applied in forex trading?

Boxnalysis is working on btcee because of cycles, I don't think it can work on forex.

iLegendd:
I can bet by this time in December, you must've given up.

😂😂😂

😅❤️

Deleted

I

Itzlinda:
Just accept the fact you are wrong and move on and stop doing shalaye.

The market is doing exactly opposite of your prediction.

No one can predict market movement short term with accuracy.

Buying at 60k won't be a bad idea if your timeline isn't few months

My timeline is few months cause I expect a correction in 2028 leading to one of the longest bear markets lasting through 2029..

The extreme left translated nature of the next cycle is why I believe we'd have the longest bear market still coming - but first an expansion on the broader crypto market (going parabolic) and making new highs

I've come to the realisation that 80% of the people reading my post expect a normal bear market with the price of BTC going to 40k in October where they buy and wait for the four yr cycle to play out as it always does so no need to spam this thread with what I've said earlier.


Like I said, you'd understand better in the first half of 2027..


BTC was at 60k when I said the lows are in went to 82k (over 30% ⬆️) before a sweep of the low to 59k ish, you might argue we made a new low, while I see only a sweep/backtest of the previous lows..

Like I said before, the most extreme we could get is a sweep of 55k on BTC on weekly and that would also be with a wick Swiftly closing above 60k as the previous two (6th Feb and 4th June)..


And rightly, I don't really expect all my calls on the LTF to play out exactly 💯 as visualized..

But my HFT thesis still remains the same:
- No close below 60k on the weekly, and the bottom is already in..
- the next market cycle would be so left translated that you'd get to understand why I say the 4yr cycle is broken ( at least from what retail expects)
- ETH and Alts (even memes) would have such a run from late 2026 to early to mid 2027 that most retail would FOMO back at the top cause it's a 4yr cycle they believe.
- BTC won't make a new ATH in 2028 or 2029..
- the crash of 2029 in crypto and traditional stocks would be compared to the one of 1929

harry2sexy:
I think a wick into July to touch 48k then consolidation till 3rd quarter of the year seems reasonable.

Then from 4th quarters of the year into early next year, those imbalance at 25k will be filled.

So stack up enough usdt for spot trading because this is one funny marathon

Stack up ke.

Look for a pull back and short that shit.
While wait for that level doing nothing? When you can short and raise more capital

Maybe, I should just reveal this. I call it "The Fasted Money You Can Ever Make."

There was a time I posted this image below. From that dotted white line to another dotted white line is 4 years.

Also, do you remember SITM? The horizontal line of every box. Whatever has a horizontal has a vertical and we have never spoken about the vertical line before, so today, we will and I'll show you how to use it to make money.

Typing...

But I'm revealing too much o! Anyway, make I just do am.

Now, let's check magic of the WWW and you'll see for yourself and it's been 100% accurate in every 3 previous cycles, including this 4th one.

Typing...

Photo credit: JammyKay.

The two images below are white box and honeydew box. Each box has a vertical red line at the middle, but for white box, well use the vertical dotted white line I talked about above. On that white box, you'll see a W and you'll see a yellow arrow pointing at the candle close to the dotted white line.

Any short you take on the first or second weekly candle after the dotted white line is equivalent to money ritual. You sell the short in Feb, any of the weeks it'll dump the most.

For honeydew box, we'll use the middle red line. After that red line, short the following 1 or 2 weeks and sell your short in June's low or October or best, No-DJ.

It has been 100% accurate in all cycles. That's one of the reasons I did 100x leverage around 80-82k price range. The blue arrow shows where you'll sell.

The market is just waiting for any negative news it'll blame for the awaiting crash. Las las, Trump will fall for it and end up taking the blame as usual. It might even be China or Isreal.

Best 1 minute video I have watched today.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4IQopBxzOo?si=nPhtAzSAfEYkReEf

daharry:
I


My timeline is few months cause I expect a correction in 2028 leading to one of the longest bear markets lasting through 2029..

The extreme left translated nature of the next cycle is why I believe we'd have the longest bear market still coming - but first an expansion on the broader crypto market (going parabolic) and making new highs

I've come to the realisation that 80% of the people reading my post expect a normal bear market with the price of BTC going to 40k in October where they buy and wait for the four yr cycle to play out as it always does so no need to spam this thread with what I've said earlier.


Like I said, you'd understand better in the first half of 2027..


BTC was at 60k when I said the lows are in went to 82k (over 30% ⬆️) before a sweep of the low to 59k ish, you might argue we made a new low, while I see only a sweep/backtest of the previous lows..

Like I said before, the most extreme we could get is a sweep of 55k on BTC on weekly and that would also be with a wick Swiftly closing above 60k as the previous two (6th Feb and 4th June)..


And rightly, I don't really expect all my calls on the LTF to play out exactly 💯 as visualized..

But my HFT thesis still remains the same:
- No close below 60k on the weekly, and the bottom is already in..
- the next market cycle would be so left translated that you'd get to understand why I say the 4yr cycle is broken ( at least from what retail expects)
- ETH and Alts (even memes) would have such a run from late 2026 to early to mid 2027 that most retail would FOMO back at the top cause it's a 4yr cycle they believe.
- BTC won't make a new ATH in 2028 or 2029..
- the crash of 2029 in crypto and traditional stocks would be compared to the one of 1929

2028 is a halving year and there was never a cycle where we have brutal bear market in a halving year.

If It ain't broke don't fix it.
This your same thesis is what has recked so many people because they think this time is different and it turned out it isn't.

Stop all the mental gymnastics to predict what has no any historical rhyming.

Bitcoin tops in October 2025. Bear market usually last 1 year. We have between now and October to go lower below 59k or start a new bull market.

Don't over complicate

Why do I like this high-low blue candle? It's not good for normal hungry-man 5 or 15 minutes timeframe trading, but the second best for Boxnalysis trading.

The candle doesn't care about anything but the top and bottom price. It removes all the emotional rollercoaster.

Currently, our weekly candle is 67k top and 62k bottom. With this info, I'll only take the market seriously when we leave the 6-range to another even number like 8 or 4, as in, 80k to 89k or 49k down to 40k. The first number must be an even number.

iLegendd:
The God of Boxnalysis said I should inform you that we're in Honeydew box and in all cycles, it behaved EXACTLY the same way.

And that is...

If you divide the top price of honeydew box by 2 or 2.8, you'll get the bottom price.

2014 and 2018 used /2 while 2022 used /2.8 to find the bottom of the price.

This year, 2026, the top price of honeydew is 82.5k and of you divide that by 2 or 2.8, you'll get $41.2k or $29.9k.

For me, I'll go with 41.2k and I'll wait for the 29.5k or let's call it 32-29k in another box called orange box.

The green cycled areas are the top prices of honeydew box in different bear markets and the red arrow were the prices they dumped to.

So, be ready for a crash and we have 2 weeks left before we enter another box.

I'm just a messenger.

seem btc gonna hit 25k

Itzlinda:
2028 is a halving year and there was never a cycle where we have brutal bear market in a bear market.

It ain't broke don't fix it.
This your same thesis is what has recked so many people because they think this time is different and it turned out it isn't.

Stop all the mental gymnastics to predict what has no any historical rhyming.

Bitcoin tops in October 2025. Bear market usually last 1 year. We have between now and October to go lower below 59k or start a new bull market.

Don't over complicate it.

The earlier u stop wasting your time on that confusionist, the better for u. That was the same guy that posted on this thread in January btcee was going to see a new ATH in March. He is always commenting nonsensee.

Bitisi

Itzlinda:
2028 is a halving year and there was never a cycle where we have brutal bear market in a bear market.

It ain't broke don't fix it.
This your same thesis is what has recked so many people because they think this time is different and it turned out it isn't.

Stop all the mental gymnastics to predict what has no any historical rhyming.

Bitcoin tops in October 2025. Bear market usually last 1 year. We have between now and October to go lower below 59k or start a new bull market.

Don't over complicate it.

Verbtips:
seem btc gonna hit 25k

I just kept my lowest low at 32-29k based Boxnalysis and upper low at 51-48k and still based on Boxnalysis.

For 25k, I'll only agree to that if we hit 32k and consolidate there, knowing fully well there are billionaires to liquidate at 25k, then yeah, I'll agree.

What you don't wait for happens faster than that you're monitoring.

iLegendd:
I have only tried it on BTC.

Okay, Thank you Sir