₦airaland Forum

Wickedfacts:
Funny enough, I agree with nearly all your points, but a few. Let me face those I don't agree with.

Firstly, with Kwankwaso not on the ballot, Tinubu will get more votes than Atiku in the North. The problem Atiku has is that Northern politicians with eyes on 2031 will sabotage Atiku. Some are not looking at contesting, they just want to be relevant in 2031 so they can cut deals with whoever is coming.

Secondly, Tinubu will take SW, NC (Benue, Plateau, Kogi, Taraba, Nassarawa, Kwara) and minimum of 5 SS states (Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Delta, Bayelsa, Edo). Obi will take his SE and maybe Cross River.

Another thing is that with Kwankwaso on Obi's side, it takes his supporters to NDC. These are people who would have voted Atiku.

Of the 3 candidates, Tinubu will score the highest number of votes.

Obi would win every SS states,Bayelsa is the first state because it is the home of NDC ,IJaws see NDC as their party.Obi would clear the whole SS states,the only place he might have issues is Rivers state .Obi won Delta in 2023 even with their Gov as vp candidate.In 2027,he would win with a bigger margin. The problem with you guys you think Govs determing votes of the whole state.Obi had no Gov in 2023 and won tinubu even in Lagos

seunmsg:
Does that Northern bloc include Kano, Kaduna, Zamfara and Borno states? Does it include the north central?

Leave am.
Atiku has Northern bloc but last off season election, APC beat ADC mercilessly in Atiku's own LGA.

If all these Uba Sani, Zulum, Muftwang, Akume, Ododo, Abba, catch Atiku ehn.

OLABAMIJI99:
Yes, Tinubu will get 25% across all the states, but we are talking about of victory here, not 25%..

Those governors you are talking about are likely to repeat what PDP governors did to Jonathan in 2015, not plotting of any 2031 ambition.Don’t be deceived.

Again, you are saying that Atiku won’t get 25% in southern Nigeria, if An unknown Obi got 25% in some Nothern states, is it Atiku a former vice president that won’t get 25% ?

You must be a joke..

Day dreaming is not a problem but it's much money delusional

Wickedfacts:
Leave am.
Atiku has Northern bloc but last off season election, APC beat ADC mercilessly in Atiku's own LGA.

If all these Uba Sani, Zulum, Muftwang, Akume, Ododo, Abba, catch Atiku ehn.

Off season election is not Presidential elections and Tinubu and Atiku were not candidates in the elections

favor914:
It isn’t Tinubu per se, it is a Yoruba issue, since Yoruba can be president, they Igbos too can be president.

Na jealousy.

Their own time will come nau.


Like they don't know that it is going to be difficult for an igbo to become president in this Nigeria without the support of the Yoruba?

OLABAMIJI99:
As Tinubu suppporter, I can confidently tell you that Tinubu has no pathway to Aso rock in 2027 because all odds are now against him unlike 2023.. I am being factual here , and Let’s not deceive or lie to ourselves to feel happy.


In 2023, the Late Buhari internally worked against Tinubu, but he had no option than to throw his weight behind him at the general election because he’s the flag bearer of his party APC which his cult followers also did as Buhari commanded. Despite that, millions still voted against Buhari’s wish especially the politically exposed Hausa Fulani Muslims who voted for Atiku ..

In 2027, Buhari is no where to be found, who is going to influence votes for Tinubu like Buhari did in 2023 ?
Is it the nothern Governors whose bodies are in APC but souls are sitting with ADC ?, the same thing is applicable to some South South and South East Governors where Obi’s candidacy has caused uncertainty in the aforementioned region..

In 2023, Obi’s candidacy made Tinubu to win

In 2027, Obi’s candidacy will make Atiku to win..

Well, what do I know ?

Let the best Muslim emerge.

Northerners are not present in social media hence you can't know there choice candidate. As at today, they are disappointed in Tinubu and an igbo man is not an option to them. They will all vote for Atiku and use internal cabal to fight INEC.

I see Atiku winning after two weeks of horror. is he the best candidate NO, but Nigeria is designed no to work therefore, we will continue going round and round.

seunmsg:
Does that Northern bloc include Kano, Kaduna, Zamfara and Borno states? Does it include the north central?

Kwankwanso would win Kano

You should be concerned about who will be second between Obi and Atiku. Even Trump knows Tinubu is already a winner.

OLABAMIJI99:
Remove emotions and face the reality.

I think you should take your own advise.

OLABAMIJI99:
I am not expecting cheers from anyone because most Atiku supporters are not online..

Only Tinubu and Obi supporters will invade this thread to argue with emotions instead of facts because they are majority on this forum , and above all they are emotionally attached to their candidates..

You are very correct Atikus many supporters are not on social media. Even though I am certain Atiku won't win this election but we can't deny the fact that he's a very formidable force in this election. He will pull a very large numbers bigger than his last election.

He will come second to Tinubu.


But I must say that you are a lazy writer and analyst. Your post isn't comprehensive enough to make the front page but the website equally lacks contents so they had no choice than to move it.

OLABAMIJI99:
I am not expecting cheers from anyone because most Atiku supporters are not online..

Only Tinubu and Obi supporters will invade this thread to argue with emotions instead of facts because they are majority on this forum , and above all they are emotionally attached to their candidates..

Wetin you come dey do online since they are not here

franvincoop:
Tinubu is the only candidate as of this minute you are reading my comments that can meet the requirement to have 25% votes in atleast 24 states.
Neither Peter Obi nor Atiku is going to get 25% votes in 24 states in 2027, neither did they get it in 2023.

What Tinubu cannot get is the highest number of votes total.
Between Atiku and Obi, one of them will get the highest number of votes in 2027.
Prepare your mind for a 2nd round election in February or March 2026.
Atiku or Obi will either be a candidate in the 2nd round or a Kingmaker.

All these people making comments above don't know who President Tinubu is, i can assure everyone here President Tinubu is coming back, come 2027. By the grace of God, we shall all be alive to witness his swearing in again for second term

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Obi would win every SS states,Bayelsa is the first state because it is the home of NDC ,IJaws see NDC as their party.Obi would clear the whole SS states,the only place he might have issues is Rivers state .Obi won Delta in 2023 even with their Gov as vp candidate.In 2027,he would win with a bigger margin. The problem with you guys you think Govs determing votes of the whole state.Obi had no Gov in 2023 and won tinubu even in Lagos

Am so happy with your analysis, I will save it and come back to you after the election, to show you how shallow minded you think, because people like you depend so much on past glory ...... let's talk after the election.

The fact that ADC is under constant attack by the judiciary and INEC actually shows where the threat to tinubu reelection is . Secondly, the South isn't for one person; the votes from the South will be broken into pieces. It is the North that will decide who eventually wins the 2027 elections. In the South, Atiku, Obi, Makinde, and tinubu will all have their share of votes, but the North will be a straight fight between Atiku and tinubu. The rigging machinery that worked for APC against Atiku in 2023 is no longer there, but let's wait and see how it all pans out

OLABAMIJI99:
As Tinubu suppporter, I can confidently tell you that Tinubu has no pathway to Aso rock in 2027 because all odds are now against him unlike 2023.. I am being factual here , and Let’s not deceive or lie to ourselves to feel happy.


In 2023, the Late Buhari internally worked against Tinubu, but he had no option than to throw his weight behind him at the general election because he’s the flag bearer of his party APC which his cult followers also did as Buhari commanded. Despite that, millions still voted against Buhari’s wish especially the politically exposed Hausa Fulani Muslims who voted for Atiku ..

In 2027, Buhari is no where to be found, who is going to influence votes for Tinubu like Buhari did in 2023 ?
Is it the nothern Governors whose bodies are in APC but souls are sitting with ADC ?, the same thing is applicable to some South South and South East Governors where Obi’s candidacy has caused uncertainty in the aforementioned region..

In 2023, Obi’s candidacy made Tinubu to win

In 2027, Obi’s candidacy will make Atiku to win..

Well, what do I know ?

Let the best Muslim emerge.

You forget Atiku is not popular in the North. Due to his arrogance and stubbornness in presenting himself as a candidate repeatedly, a lot of Northern politicians detest him as he has blocked their own path to Presidency.

He will win North East hands down but both North Central and North West are still in play.

Peter Obi is not even going to be a factor this time round and he knows it. He should have tried to work something out with Atiku to give their ticket a chance.

Should be interesting the coming Presidential elections.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Obi would win every SS states,Bayelsa is the first state because it is the home of NDC ,IJaws see NDC as their party.Obi would clear the whole SS states,the only place he might have issues is Rivers state .

Mention 3 current Bayelsa politicians in the NDC. Oya, tell us.
Home of NDC but they don't have have a single LGA Chairman.
IJaws have had their shot at the Presidency under the PDP, they don't need NDC to push. It is Obi who needs NDC.

Obi will lose woefully in the SS.
In Akwa Ibom, when Udom was leading Atiku's campaign as DG, Tinubu still beat Obi.
In Edo, Monday will turn Saturday to Sunday just to see Tinubu win. The only LP Senator there sef has run to APC. The political machinery is for APC.
In Delta, the people in NDC are those who lost out in APC primaries. They are all working for Tinubu.
In Rivers, Obi is a forgone conclusion.
In Cross River, NDC has nothing there.

Even in the NDC, they know Obi is not a factor. That's why they threw out Aisha Yesufu, Peter, Morris Monye, Seun Salako and all Obidients from getting tickets.

mrvitalis:
Atiku is a very bad Politicians 2019, 2023 and now 2027 is his to lose

He has already started making the same mistake he made in 2019 and 2023

Is first mistake was his arrogance to Obi
1 month before Obi left I saw his supporters posting how Obi should be grateful to be his vice
How obi might not even be given vice

I honestly expected atiku to go diplomatic with Obi
Openly talking about doing one term and handing over to Obi would have done the magic same thing Obi did to kwankwaso

Atiku wanted to intimidate Obi into submission , that showed what he planned when he got power
She was not ready to form partnership he wanted submission same mistake he made with Wike

As it stands now he should be consolidating in the north but don’t know what’s wrong ,his home state is in turmoil

Atiku is not really smart sha

Una too dey rate obi
I swear
He basically has nothing to offer

onatisi:
The fact that ADC is under constant attack by the judiciary and INEC actually shows where the threat to tinubu reelection is . Secondly, the South isn't for one person; the votes from the South will be broken into pieces. It is the North that will decide who eventually wins the 2027 elections. In the South, Atiku, Obi, Makinde, and tinubu will all have their share of votes, but the North will be a straight fight between Atiku and tinubu. The rigging machinery that worked for APC against Atiku in 2023 is no longer there, but let's wait and see how it all pans out

Atiku stands no chance against Tinubu. I 2007 when OBJ dealt with him, he ran to Tinubu for succour. You can't know because you were still doing Nwa boy in PDP then.

The North is to produce the President in 2031 and various power brokers are angling for the position.
They jointly and severally strip Atiku naked in 2027 to advance their chances in 2031.

So many people failed to remember that church played a major role in Obi votes figures in 2023, they forget now that church no send Obi again.....you will see the figures this time..... Church is even backing Tinubu this time.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Off season election is not Presidential elections and Tinubu and Atiku were not candidates in the elections

Atiku can't influence off season but it is Presidential he can influence.

No wonder Babachir and that Elisha Abbo are dragging him like a goat.

Wickedfacts:
Which Atiku is Northern champion?
Someone who lost the last runoff election in his own Local Government.

By the way, Buhari had a CPC Governor. So, don't say he didn't have Governors with him. Tell us the Governor with Atiku.

A CPC governor, al Makura of nasarawa state only emerged after the presidential election, after Buhari had lost to Gej in 2011.

In the north, govs tend to look the other way during presidential polls, just to protect their own mandates. Same thing happens in the south east. Forget about the hype.

Nigeria politics is rigged against Atiku

I don't know if Tinubu will come back in 2027.
All I know is that the election will go to a 2nd round and Tinubu is already in the 2nd round waiting for a challenger be it Atiku or Obi.
It's for Atiku and Obi to decide who will meet Tinubu in the ring for 2nd round election.

Imagine just for a second that Atiku meets with Tinubu in the 2nd round, which makes Obi the Kingmaker as whomever Obi supports will win the 2nd round elections.
I would love to watch Obidients vote for Tinubu in the 2nd round against Atiku as it would be interesting to watch Obidients bend over backwards to woo Atiku or watch them defend the Muslim Muslim ticket based on rotation of power from North to South.
New lessons will be learnt again in 2027, this time na students go dey give lectures.

Lekby25:
All these people making comments above don't know who President Tinubu is, i can assure everyone here President Tinubu is coming back, come 2027. By the grace of God, we shall all be alive to witness his swearing in again for second term

micflo28:
The realignment of Obi with Kwankwaso is a bullet no one is seeing coming. Kwankwaso is expanding reaches beyond Kano, if Obi can secure Rivers and some other SS states, Kano is in the bag for him together with Kaduna and Nasarawa, Obi will coast to victory. Kwankwaso is more appealing to the North than Atiku.

Is like you are writing from space...did I hear you say Obi will win Rivers......since you are from space , check your dictionary and look for the meaning of " Wike"

Svoboda:
A CPC governor, al Makura of nasarawa state only emerged after the presidential election, after Buhari had lost to Gej in 2011.

In the north, govs tend to look the other way during presidential polls, just to protect their own mandates. Same thing happens in the south east. Forget about the hype.

Northern Governors and everyone knows power is coming to the North in 2031. That's why Obi even signed a 4-year houseboy agreement with Kwankwaso.
Atiku is running in 2027 so as to double-cross these Northern Governors to get power before they are due.
So, they are not supporting Tinubu because they like him, they are doing so to enhance the chances of their own survival.

micflo28:
The realignment of Obi with Kwankwaso is a bullet no one is seeing coming. Kwankwaso is expanding reaches beyond Kano, if Obi can secure Rivers and some other SS states, Kano is in the bag for him together with Kaduna and Nasarawa, Obi will coast to victory. Kwankwaso is more appealing to the North than Atiku.

A dozen Obis can't win Rivers.

Wickedfacts:
Mention 3 current Bayelsa politicians in the NDC. Oya, tell us.
Home of NDC but they don't have have a single LGA Chairman.
IJaws have had their shot at the Presidency under the PDP, they don't need NDC to push. It is Obi who needs NDC.

Obi will lose woefully in the SS.
In Akwa Ibom, when Udom was leading Atiku's campaign as DG, Tinubu still beat Obi.
In Edo, Monday will turn Saturday to Sunday just to see Tinubu win. The only LP Senator there sef has run to APC. The political machinery is for APC.
In Delta, the people in NDC are those who lost out in APC primaries. They are all working for Tinubu.
In Rivers, Obi is a forgone conclusion.
In Cross River, NDC has nothing there.

Even in the NDC, they know Obi is not a factor. That's why they threw out Aisha Yesufu, Peter, Morris Monye, Seun Salako and all Obidients from getting tickets.

This pure wishful thinking. Politics is projection and analysis and not fantasy.

Did Peter Obi have any stalwart in public office before he won edo and delta in 2023?

Enough is Enough, don't wish Nigeria evil.PMB came destroyed Naija and now that the country is gradually recovering you wishing the country evil.

franvincoop:
I don't know if Tinubu will come back in 2027.
All I know is that the election will go to a 2nd round and Tinubu is already in the 2nd round waiting for a challenger be it Atiku or Obi.
It's for Atiku and Obi to decide who will meet Tinubu in the ring for 2nd round election.

Imagine just for a second that Atiku meets with Tinubu in the 2nd round, which makes Obi the Kingmaker as whomever Obi supports will win the 2nd round elections.
I would love to watch Obidients vote for Tinubu in the 2nd round against Atiku as it would be interesting to watch Obidients bend over backwards to woo Atiku or watch them defend the Muslim Muslim ticket based on rotation of power from North to South.
New lessons will be learnt again in 2027, this time na students go dey give lectures.

No Obidient, except yoruba Obidients, will vote for Tinubu in the event that it boils down to a direct contest between Atiku and Tinubu.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Kwankwanso would win Kano

Not as Vice to Obi.

Wickedfacts:
Mention 3 current Bayelsa politicians in the NDC. Oya, tell us.
Home of NDC but they don't have have a single LGA Chairman.
IJaws have had their shot at the Presidency under the PDP, they don't need NDC to push. It is Obi who needs NDC.

Obi will lose woefully in the SS.
In Akwa Ibom, when Udom was leading Atiku's campaign as DG, Tinubu still beat Obi.
In Edo, Monday will turn Saturday to Sunday just to see Tinubu win. The only LP Senator there sef has run to APC. The political machinery is for APC.
In Delta, the people in NDC are those who lost out in APC primaries. They are all working for Tinubu.
In Rivers, Obi is a forgone conclusion.
In Cross River, NDC has nothing there.

Even in the NDC, they know Obi is not a factor. That's why they threw out Aisha Yesufu, Peter, Morris Monye, Seun Salako and all Obidients from getting tickets.

Your problem is you overate Politicians thinking they would force people to vote for tinubu,same tinubu that Couldn't win Lagos with all the politicians backing him

Wickedfacts:
Northern Governors and everyone knows power is coming to the North in 2031. That's why Obi even signed a 4-year houseboy agreement with Kwankwaso.
Atiku is running in 2027 so as to double-cross these Northern Governors to get power before they are due.
So, they are not supporting Tinubu because they like him, they are doing so to enhance the chances of their own survival.

So, all the northern govs are collectively going to run as president in 2031?

After all said and done, it's the emirs and islamic clerics who have some level of control over the populace that will determine what happens in the north in 2027, and not northern govs who control nothing.

If Atiku has truly inherited Buharis support, which I believe he substantially has, it's over for Tinubu who doesn't even sincerely trust those governors.