₦airaland Forum

VIDEO; The next Governor of Osun and his wife have been accredited and are now set to cast their votes in Irewole Local Government.

A massive crowd turns out in support of AMBO! 🔥
#OsunDecides2026

VIDEO; The next Governor of Osun and his wife have been accredited and are now set to cast their votes in Irewole Local Government.

A massive crowd turns out in support of AMBO! 🔥#OsunDecides2026 pic.twitter.com/ykHfXhdQyX

— A. Ayofe (@abdullahayofel) August 15, 2026

🗳️ #OsunDecides2026 UPDATE:

APC Deputy Governorship Candidate, Engr. Benjamin Kayode Adereti, speaks on voter turnout and the peaceful polling environment after casting his ballot at Ilare Ward 11, Unit 3, Ife Central LGA.

#Osun2026

📸 @NTANewsNow

🗳️ #OsunDecides2026 UPDATE:

APC Deputy Governorship Candidate, Engr. Benjamin Kayode Adereti, speaks on voter turnout and the peaceful polling environment after casting his ballot at Ilare Ward 11, Unit 3, Ife Central LGA.#Osun2026

📸 @NTANewsNow pic.twitter.com/2NgY8eekil

— Adegbola John (@AdegbolaJohn3) August 15, 2026

Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 pic.twitter.com/PfV8I4Catd

— Adegbola John (@AdegbolaJohn3) August 15, 2026

He should have just used his campaign money to buy shawarma and ice cream.

Owo jona.

Oga poster,nah u make am the next governor?

PlasmaTV:
He should have just used his campaign money to buy shawarma and ice cream.

Owo jona.

u people from online country will cry hell today cos Jackson is going home to have enough time to dance

Lets go Ambo

Osun MUST be delivered to confirm 2027 victory

The man of the people

Adeleke has failed Osun people in all ramifications

Imole da okunkun pada.... Back to sender.

PlasmaTV:
He should have just used his campaign money to buy shawarma and ice cream.

Owo jona.

Oga Rest,the Obedient- machine that their leader has abandoned them in the red sea ⛵ voyage !
Some of you are worse,as you don't have anything to Offer the Masses or the Youthi- but lies, hates and bigotry.

The next governor lol..... so seun too nah Apc if you like support Ambode nah you know,Adeleke nah 4+4

nah him polling units now or what do you expect

buh nah him poling unit now or what do you expect?

Truths9ja:
Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 pic.twitter.com/PfV8I4Catd

— Adegbola John (@AdegbolaJohn3) August 15, 2026

Truths9ja:
Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

Supporters cheering Bola Oyebamiji up while casting his vote.
Ambo Ati De 🙏🏻🤲🏻🙏🏻🤲🏻.
Ambo everywhere you go 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 pic.twitter.com/PfV8I4Catd

— Adegbola John (@AdegbolaJohn3) August 15, 2026

OSUN 2026: WATCH THE VOTE — THEN WATCH THE RESULT.

Election integrity is not only about what happens during collation.

If unusual activity occurs around a polling unit, record the PU, ward and evidence.

Then, when counting ends:

Was an EC8A produced?
Was it uploaded?
What figures were recorded?
Does that polling unit reconcile into the ward total?

Incident evidence + result evidence = a stronger audit trail.

Smart ElectionGuard Pro — Follow the Evidence.

As if you live in Osun lol..... Apc dogs

Slippy:
The man of the people

Adeleke has failed Osun people in all ramifications

Tjra:
Congratulations Ambo.

Demola should return to Lagos and open a dancing school or join Davido's music team.

Osun state needs a competent leader.

lol...even oni of ife comfirm say Adeleke deserve second term 100% if you like cry till tommorow Adeleke nah 4+4

Dem wan change the dancing governor?
Wetin concern me with politics. I hope he stays though make him and davido dey dance

PlasmaTV:
He should have just used his campaign money to buy shawarma and ice cream.

Owo jona.

Na so o.

No chance for Oyetola’s lackey to return Osun to APC darkness again.

BATified2023:
u people from online country will cry hell today cos Jackson is going home to have enough time to dance

Ambo is going nowhere Adeleke remain Osun State Governor while 2027 is for Tinubu

Tjra:
Congratulations Ambo.

Demola should return to Lagos and open a dancing school or join Davido's music team.

Osun state needs a competent leader.

And Tinubu will go back to America to continue his drug case in 2027.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Truths9ja:
VIDEO; The next Governor of Osun and his wife have been accredited and are now set to cast their votes in Irewole Local Government.

A massive crowd turns out in support of AMBO! 🔥
#OsunDecides2026

VIDEO; The next Governor of Osun and his wife have been accredited and are now set to cast their votes in Irewole Local Government.

A massive crowd turns out in support of AMBO! 🔥#OsunDecides2026 pic.twitter.com/ykHfXhdQyX

— A. Ayofe (@abdullahayofel) August 15, 2026

IREWOLE: AMBO DOESN'T JUST NEED TO WIN HIS HOME LGA — WATCH THE MARGIN By CharlesCNG.

One of the numbers I am watching very closely today is Irewole.

Why?

Because this is Bola Oyebamiji's home LGA—and APC already won it in 2022.

The 2022 result was:

APC/Oyetola — 18,198
PDP/Adeleke — 14,216

APC MARGIN: +3,982

Now compare that with Ede North, one of Adeleke's strongest fortresses:

Adeleke — 23,931
APC — 9,603

ADELEKE MARGIN: +14,328

That gives us a fascinating election-night benchmark.

If Adeleke reproduces roughly +14,300 in Ede North, how much of that advantage can AMBO claw back from his own home territory?

That is why simply asking:

“WHO WON IREWOLE?”

misses the real story.

The question is:

BY HOW MUCH?

My rough scoreboard:

APC +4,000 → essentially repeats 2022.

APC +7,000 → meaningful improvement.

APC +10,000 → major home-LGA performance.

APC +14,000 → extraordinary performance; Irewole alone has almost neutralised an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage.

And +14,000 would be no ordinary victory.

With around 35,000 valid votes, something like:

APC — 24,000
ACCORD — 10,000
Others — 1,000

would be required.

That is a landslide, not merely a home-LGA win.

So as Irewole results begin arriving, don't just watch who is leading.

WATCH THE MARGIN.

Because if Adeleke comes out of Ede North +14,000, but AMBO comes out of Irewole +10,000, then approximately 10,000 of Adeleke's Ede North firewall has already been erased before we even examine the other 28 LGAs.

And if Irewole somehow approaches APC +14,000:

ONE ADELEKE FORTRESS HAS EFFECTIVELY MET ONE AMBO LANDSLIDE.

Then we move to Osogbo, Ife, Ijesaland and the other battlegrounds to see who is accumulating the remaining margins.

This is exactly why Smart ElectionGuard Pro's Forecast Engine should not merely display who won an LGA.

It should tell us:

2022 MARGIN → 2026 LIVE MARGIN → SWING → STATEWIDE IMPACT

Because in Osun today:

WINNING LGAs MATTERS. WINNING MARGINS MAY MATTER EVEN MORE.

For the actual Forecast Engine UI, I would display Irewole as:

IREWOLE — HOME-LGA MARGIN WATCH

2022: APC +3,982
2026 LIVE: APC +_____
SWING vs 2022: _____
EDE NORTH OFFSET BENCHMARK: +14,328
OFFSET ACHIEVED: ___%

How much of an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage has Irewole neutralised?

Apcpalava:
lol...even oni of ife comfirm say Adeleke deserve second term 100% if you like cry till tommorow Adeleke nah 4+4

so Ooni is the mouth piece of the Osun people? Let's wait for the result bro

This man should be popping his champaige by tomorrow Afternoon. Okpehbolo we remove adeleke

MEGAWATCH:
And Tinubu will go back to America to continue his drug case in 2027.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Guy, isn't this boring to you?

Apcpalava:
lol...even oni of ife comfirm say Adeleke deserve second term 100% if you like cry till tommorow Adeleke nah 4+4

Ooni is a man like me and you. I appreciate his office and him as a person. But on this election, he has no say. The voice of the people of Osun state will be heard loud and clear.

Slippy:
The man of the people

Adeleke has failed Osun people in all ramifications

This is strong, but it repeats the same turnout caution in several places. The best compression is to keep three things: **early signs of strong participation, the 42% benchmark, and the argument that turnout geography matters more than turnout alone.**


WHAT DOES THE TURNOUT TELL US SO FAR ABOUT TODAY'S OSUN ELECTION? By CharlesCNG.

Early pictures suggest one thing:

OSUN VOTERS APPEAR HIGHLY ENGAGED.

But long queues are evidence of enthusiasm—not yet a statewide turnout percentage. That will become clearer when accreditation and voting figures emerge.

Still, the geography is interesting.

Reports show large voter presence in Ede, Adeleke's political base.

But turnout is not confined to Ede. Ikire in Irewole, home territory of APC candidate Bola Oyebamiji, also recorded heavy early participation, while Oriade showed long queues.

That matters because:

TURNOUT IS NOT JUST ABOUT HOW MANY VOTE—BUT WHERE THEY VOTE.

THE BENCHMARK: ABOUT 42%

Osun recorded roughly 42% turnout in 2022, with about 804,000 votes cast from approximately 1.95 million registered voters.

Today, Osun has 2,339,233 registered voters, with 1,906,391 PVCs collected.

That means:

42% turnout ≈ 982,000 voters
45% turnout** ≈ 1.05 million
50% turnout ≈ 1.17 million

But the statewide figure tells only half the story.

Heavy turnout in Ede strengthens Adeleke's natural base.

Heavy turnout in Irewole could amplify Oyebamiji's home-LGA advantage.

Exceptional participation in Osogbo, Ife, Ilesa, Oriade and other battlegrounds could determine where the statewide margin finally moves.

So the real questions are:

Who is mobilising his strongholds better?
Who is reducing abstention?
Who is winning turnout in the battleground LGAs?

THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE AN APATHETIC ELECTION.

Ede is turning out.

Ikire is turning out.

Oriade is showing significant participation.

Now we wait to see whether those crowds become actual accredited votes across all 30 LGAs.

So don't just watch the turnout percentage.

WATCH THE TURNOUT MAP.

Because in a close election, turnout is electoral geography—and electoral geography can decide the winner.

Tjra:
Guy, isn't this boring to you?

Na your head dem go still cut next time....


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

APC is very likely to win this election for the following reasons.

1. The margin of Adeleke’s win in 2022 wasn’t spectacular.
2. The person he won isn’t the one contesting this time.
3. Adeleke is not contesting on the tested platform that brought him in 2022.
4. Osun state people like to align their state with the center.
5. The rancour in APC in 2022 isn’t there anymore.
6. All past governors of the state, except Aregbesola are behind the APC, something that has never happened.

I don’t have a horse in the race. May the best man win.

By

BATified2023:
u people from online country will cry hell today cos Jackson is going home to have enough time to dance

The person you quoted is supporting APC candidate, he has been very active here for d past week now.

Please stop associating anyone you see on social media as Obi supporter or Igbo.


Get a life!!

It's getting boring everyday

I stumbled on the Osun debate where this candidate AMBO spoke I was greatly impressed - calm, composed, articulate and intelligent man.

I later googled his work experience to see he was an Investment Banker and later Finance Commissioner. We need more intelligent men like this as governors in this country.

All the best to Osun people on their election today.