₦airaland Forum

flokii:
Let me now shock you.. Obi will lose even South East in 2027 including Anambra.

As for Adeleke, he is lucky that the President allowed free and fair elections in Osun State. I believe he knows too well the tsunami that would have swept him away. Just like every reasonable person would do, he has shown appreciation.

Do you know where South East is to start with?

Have you gone out of your village before to live in other parts of Nigeria?


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Addme:
Most of the north central that you listed.
He will score higher in Kano due to Kwakwanso's influence then he will have a massive show in Lagos. He may not win this time but he will compete with PBAT

🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 at massive show in Lagos got me laughing……this clowns still don’t see what is coming……we have a surprise package for your and your obi

flokii:
Let me now shock you.. Obi will lose even South East in 2027 including Anambra.

As for Adeleke, he is lucky that the President allowed free and fair elections in Osun State. I believe he knows too well the tsunami that would have swept him away.

Imagine what a whole human being is ranting!!!?
Don't worry,the authorities surely get you fished out and made to explain what you mean to portray by this.

So seun,this is what your forum is used to and used for? This is what nairaland promotes and your mods just watch?!

seunmsg:
Realistically, he stands a good chance of getting 25% in the six states and FCT that you listed. He barely got around 10% in Kogi in 2023 so there is no magic that will take him to 25% in the state in 2027. He has lost massive ground to Tinubu in southern kaduna so I don't see any miracle that can take him to 25% in Kaduna state this time around.

Overall, Peter Obi still has no realistic pathway to victory just like Atiku. In the south, he can only get 25% in 12 states. In the north, he can only get it in 7 states. So, that brings him to 19. Where will he get the remaining six states from?

The joke is on you. Southern kaduna is already on lockdown for PO

What of plateau

Validated:
NDC will get 25% in Kebbi, Kaduna, Jigawa, and in the South, he will all SS and SE and 25% in Lagos, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Kogi, and Niger. Obi will win overall popular votes.
Tinubu can only win in SW states, scratch some votes in the North. Mark you, vote suppression is not going to work, except INEC switch off server again, which will trigger another ENDSARS-like protest in Nigeria.
NB: To those asking what did Obi get in 2023, you are UNREALISTIC.
The factors influencing 2027 that were not so in 2023
1. Buhari's influence in APC is no longer in 2027. Buhari's followers will be shared between Atiku & Kwankwaso. Tinubu is on the fringes.
2. Bad government attributed to Tinubu.
Do not think the sentiment around #EndBad Govt in the north has diminished, not it has deepened.
3. LP-Unkwown VP vs Kwankwaso. The difference is CLEAR.
4. ElRufai and some Northern bigwigs that were behind APC are no longer there.
5. INEC server glitch is bygone.
3. ElRufa

He has lost massive ground in southern Kaduna says who? You? Go to southern Kaduna barnawa kakuri and the like you will be stoned

seunmsg:
Realistically, he stands a good chance of getting 25% in the six states and FCT that you listed. He barely got around 10% in Kogi in 2023 so there is no magic that will take him to 25% in the state in 2027. He has lost massive ground to Tinubu in southern kaduna so I don't see any miracle that can take him to 25% in Kaduna state this time around.

Overall, Peter Obi still has no realistic pathway to victory just like Atiku. In the south, he can only get 25% in 12 states. In the north, he can only get it in 7 states. So, that brings him to 19. Where will he get the remaining six states from?

Akpakomiza2:
Benue
Nasarawa
Plateau
Kano
Taraba
FCT

He has a small chance in kaduna and kogi

Please remove kogi, I strongly disagree.

echoxyz:
Please remove kogi, I strongly disagree.

Why so? The christians there can give him

Yep. I knew you were a paid keyboard warrior. Tinubu is resetting the country

Stomach infrastructure

emiye:
Ok, vote for the one that promised you 1 litre of "fuel" will be 200 naira !....lol Many so called Educated Nigerians with poverty mentality think like kids that a kidnapper can use candy to distract. Subsidy is over, let Nigeria breath, it is in the best interest of Nigerians in the long run. Raise your game !. You have a man resetting the country, you want a phoney one to take over. Subsidy is over, let Nigeria breath, it is in the best interest of Nigerians in the long run. Poverty mentality keeps most stuck with now,now; so i sense your pain.


A sensible person should know 900,000 votes to 150,000 will imply about 90-95% of polling booths were won by LP. Was that the case in over 14,000 polling booths in Lagos. But, if you don't have it, you simply don't.

Ops name sound like that olodo uprising hypeman of Edo governor or are you the one make you no dey confused thunder here

WENGERNOMICS:
Lemme help you reframe your question: Which Northern States will Obi/Kwankwanso get if INEC and Tinubu are somehow convinced against vote manipulation and changing figures? He will get it from at least 15 northern states and 19 southern states. But we know Tinubu and INEC will not allow that. On election day 2023, a PDP chief agent in Lagos state reported that Labour party had over 900,000 votes in Lagos and APC had about 150,000 votes. But when the results were read, it was Labour 600,000 and APC 550,000. So we already know what will happen in 2027 . APC will rig and there is nothing anybody can do about it

The announced result was less than 600k for Obi and more than 550k for Tinubu. It was 582k to 572k. Your post can be reported as false and you could be banned.

franchasofficia:
May God bless honest Nigerians like you.


Thank you for saying the truth

Honest ke? Lies are now called truth?

mfm04622:
How much do you want to bet ?
We can do state by state or if you are very confident, all or nothing! How much?

My own preditions
1. Obi can't win the general election
2. He will score less than in 2023
3. He won't get 25% in any Northeast or Northwest state.
4. He won't win any state outside of SE and SS

Don't tell me you are an mfm member.

Derived001:
You all keep been delusional and ignoring the fact that kwankwaso is a very big force in Kano and the vice presidential candidate of NDC

In 2023 he was but afterwards, the election showed he was a principality in Kano only.

emiye:
Ok, vote for the one that promised you 1 litre of "fuel" will be 200 naira !....lol Many so called Educated Nigerians with poverty mentality think like kids that a kidnapper can use candy to distract. Subsidy is over, let Nigeria breath, it is in the best interest of Nigerians in the long run. Raise your game !. You have a man resetting the country, you want a phoney one to take over. Subsidy is over, let Nigeria breath, it is in the best interest of Nigerians in the long run. Poverty mentality keeps most stuck with now,now; so i sense your pain.


A sensible person should know 900,000 votes to 150,000 will imply about 90-95% of polling booths were won by LP. Was that the case in over 14,000 polling booths in Lagos. But, if you don't have it, you simply don't.

Let the poor breath, don't suffocate them.

WhizdomXX:
Don't tell me you are an mfm member.

I am not!

seunmsg:
Realistically, he stands a good chance of getting 25% in the six states and FCT that you listed. He barely got around 10% in Kogi in 2023 so there is no magic that will take him to 25% in the state in 2027. He has lost massive ground to Tinubu in southern kaduna so I don't see any miracle that can take him to 25% in Kaduna state this time around.

Overall, Peter Obi still has no realistic pathway to victory just like Atiku. In the south, he can only get 25% in 12 states. In the north, he can only get it in 7 states. So, that brings him to 19. Where will he get the remaining six states from?

I wished Obi step down so that Tinubu can deal with the north as planned

WhizdomXX:
In 2023 he was but afterwards, the election showed he was a principality in Kano only.

Principality that took Tinubu vote in Kano Abi principality that won the governorship election for his political godson that still betrayed him 😂😂😂😂

Thanks for your correction. I was giving estimated figures. It is almost impossible to have 600k votes on the dot and 150k votes on the dot. So I was giving rough estimates. Same as what you did. The reported figure must have been 582,185 or something like that and not 582,000 right?

WhizdomXX:
The announced result was less than 600k for Obi and more than 550k for Tinubu. It was 582k to 572k. Your post can be reported as false and you could be banned.

MEGAWATCH:
Do you know where South East is to start with?

Have you gone out of your village before to live in other parts of Nigeria?


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Wanderer , I have been to your SE and know why you guys run away from it when you come of age.

Zero opportunities and highly claustrophobic.

ExudeLoveToAll:
were you not in Nigeria when the courts said irev results not admissible in court? You are feigning ignorance?

Really? Lies no go kill you

And how is this your statement on irev relevant to your claim that Obi scored 900k votes in Lagos?

Is there any evidence anywhere that this statement is true? Even Obi have never made this claim.

No, the court did not declare IReV results inadmissible.
​Both the Presidential Election Petition Court (PEPC) and the Supreme Court of Nigeria accepted IReV (INEC Result Viewing portal) records into evidence during election petition proceedings.
​However, the courts made several key legal determinations regarding the status and role of the IReV portal:
​IReV is a viewing portal, not a collation center: The court held that the IReV portal is designed for public transparency and viewing, not for official legal collation. Official collation in Nigeria remains dependent on hard-copy, manually signed polling unit results (Form EC8A).
​Failure to upload results does not nullify an election: The Supreme Court ruled that INEC’s technical failure or delay in uploading results to IReV in real-time did not automatically invalidate an election outcome.

IGBOSON1:
Hehehehehe

Talk about blatant...in-your-face rigging! They took the bull by the horns and went for broke with the 2023 elections in Lagos state!

Regarding your last sentence, they may be able to get away with it in their own south-west home-turf....minus Lagos owing to its multi-ethnic/cosmopolitan demographics! But the key to whether they can get away with it nationally and steal the next election, like they stole the last one, lies with the core north! I mention the core north as the key in all this because Tinubu and his gang can't try it in the south-east, south-south and large parts of the middle-belt! If the core north wants to stand for the truth and ensure A FREE, FAIR AND TRANSPARENT ELECTION, then it's curtains for Tinubu....no matter the malfeasance he gets away with in his own region! Something tells me next time around the core north will not tolerate being taken for a ride, and will demand votes count! If validly cast votes in their region favor Tinubu, then so be it, but no rigging should be tolerated as no one is anyone else's slave!

Ogogoro dey talk through you.

givedemwotowoto:
Realistically, nobody is supposed to win the Presidential election on first ballot.

Tinubu is expected to have the highest 25% coverage among the 3, but he's also expected to come second or third depending on what happens in the NW

Una go just dey open mouth whaaaaaah after drinking ogogoro

loffyloffy:
Really? Lies no go kill you

And how is this your statement on irev relevant to your claim that Obi scored 900k votes in Lagos?

Is there any evidence anywhere that this statement is true? Even Obi have never made this claim.

No, the court did not declare IReV results inadmissible.
​Both the Presidential Election Petition Court (PEPC) and the Supreme Court of Nigeria accepted IReV (INEC Result Viewing portal) records into evidence during election petition proceedings.
​However, the courts made several key legal determinations regarding the status and role of the IReV portal:
​IReV is a viewing portal, not a collation center: The court held that the IReV portal is designed for public transparency and viewing, not for official legal collation. Official collation in Nigeria remains dependent on hard-copy, manually signed polling unit results (Form EC8A).
​Failure to upload results does not nullify an election: The Supreme Court ruled that INEC’s technical failure or delay in uploading results to IReV in real-time did not automatically invalidate an election outcome.

Thank you for correcting that Obidient who simply regurgitated what they overheard, deep into the night, at a beer parlour.

Peter Obi turned up with boxes of blurry images, and an image of some bathing on IREV, to ask for elections to be cancelled in those polling units. Of course the fact the the actual paper forms existed, some singed off by LP agents, and showed the actual figures was something he and his legal team conviniently ignored.

We will never use IREV in Nigeria as the source of truth and rightfully so.

seunmsg:
Mtcheew.

re- voting Tinibu is like telling Northern Muslim ( whom gave him 5.8m ) to leave Islam and adopt Budashim .
Prevent your self from Heart attack .
Yorubas want to vote Tinibu,IBo want to vote OBi
Then Miraculously this two ethnic group want Hausa Fulani to dump Abubakar on the ballot for Tinibu or OBi .una funny
Despite present bad candidates is a ethnic election.

Educationalserv:
re- voting Tinibu is like telling Northern Muslim ( whom gave him 5.8m ) to leave Islam and adopt Budashim .
Prevent your self from Heart attack .
Yorubas want to vote Tinibu,IBo want to vote OBi
Then Miraculously this two ethnic group want Hausa Fulani to dump Abubakar on the ballot for Tinibu or OBi .una funny
Despite present bad candidates is a ethnic election.

They can vote whoever they like, it changes nothing. Party structure will ensure Tinubu gets over 25% in all the NW and NE states. So, overall victory for Tinubu in SW, NC and SS is enough to get him reelected. Keep hating, it won't make Peter Obi win the election.

seunmsg:
They can vote whoever they like, it changes nothing. Party structure will ensure Tinubu gets over 25% in all the NW and NE states. So, overall victory for Tinubu in SW, NC and SS is enough to get him reelected. Keep hating, it won't make Peter Obi win the election.

party structures hunger they wire am too .the party structures that attended the Campaign council chair meeting where kidnapped on way home .they just deceiving yoruba people

WENGERNOMICS:
Thanks for your correction. I was giving estimated figures. It is almost impossible to have 600k votes on the dot and 150k votes on the dot. So I was giving rough estimates. Same as what you did. The reported figure must have been 582,185 or something like that and not 582,000 right?

Yes, Okay I get you but that 50k difference could create a very wrong impressioneanwhile announced result was less than 10k difference.

D