soroptimist:


Atiku is a terrible politician

He has been trying to monetise and corrupt the delegates under a proxy donation to each states chapter yet what i know is that barring some 'i never chop' personalities who might be swayed by the 'tasere' money Atiku will give them,i am confident that shame will be his lot and his Billions

A man who is promising Nigeria change under APC should never be allowed to get near the seat of power owing to the fact that he will seek to recoup all the money he's been sharing 1000% if he ever becomes the President

Those Jonathanians who are supporting him are doing so to spite APC about how Atiku would emerge after bribing the delegates and would use the propaganda against APC if it ever boils down to Atiku V GEJ

Fact.

Alphaoscar:
Buhari will get nothing less than 80% of SW delegates votes. the people talking about Ondo for Atiku are ignorant. The party structure is in the hands of Aketi & Sen Ajayi Boroffice and they are Tinubu apostles.

The only state that Atiku can get 30% in the SW is Ekiti and it is because Fayemi is an Atiku man but then he will have no choice than to fall in line and follow the Jagaban directive.



Anambra will surely go Buhari for sure

Rivers too will shout Sai Buhari.

infact I can't see Atiku getting more than 30% of the total votes considering the fact that the party structure has been shared before he even join the party and his much hyped mobilization prowess is overrated. even Adamawa is not sure for him.

For your mind. You think that Aketi and borofice are Tinubu stooge means they won't vote atiku abi. How many local govt APC chairmen have Atiku breathed "Fresh air" to? We talk as of our democracy is matured as of we don operate stomacracy in Nigeria. Or you think Aketi would have won CAN ticket if there was a primary? See you 8 days time

In Party Politics, it's not about conscience rather trust.

The delegates are more interested in 80% cash balance promised to them after the initial 20%.

Who will deliver after victory?

Unless Amaechi and Tinubu are sponsoring Buhari, then forget about it, Atiku is trusted to play by the rules (sharing the money)

barcanista:
I strongly disagree ma. Kano Politicians and even Government officials are loyal to Buhari FIRST before Kwankwaso. A Buhari singlehandedly sent Kwankwaso packing in 2003, and a Buhari endorsement returned Kwankwaso in 2011.

permit me to disagree with u on ds Sir! Buhari never anointed Kwakwanso to win his 2nd term. Rather, it was Buhari's mistake dt culminated in CPC's loss. Lemme break it down, Muhammad Abacha won d primary but Buhari opted for Gen Jaffar. Ds paved d way for Kwakwanso's 2nd coming. I stand to be corrected on ds.


Also, d assumption dt Buhari will win Kano delegates' vote in an election which Kwakwanso himself is also contesting is not only fallacious but also laughable. On ds, I do like us both to place a bet.


In as much as I wish Buhari wins 2015 general election(cos I already see him becoming APC's flagbearer), over-estimating his electoral value will not do us(APC supporters) any good. By now, we should av known d devils we're dealing with. D almighty PDP with d scientific rigging machinery. All APC strategists had better get it ryt ds time around cos I can't afford to live every day of my life in regret. If June 12 disappointment didn't affect me much because I was still young, Feb 14 own no go funny o!




More dan Gen Buhari, I'll cry my eyes out. Cos I can't imagine Nigeria going tru another 4years of cluelessness under d shoeless one. God abeg o!

Ngwakwe:
in Party Politics, it's not about conscience rather trust.

The delegates are more interested in 80% cash balance promised to them after the initial 20%.

Who will deliver after victory?

Is that how its done in the pdp? Interesting. Apc will teach you guys decent politics.

EldaTimba:

For your mind. You think that Aketi and borofice are Tinubu stooge means they won't vote atiku abi. How many local govt APC chairmen have Atiku breathed "Fresh air" to? We talk as of our democracy is matured as of we don operate stomacracy in Nigeria. Or you think Aketi would have won CAN ticket if there was a primary? See you 8 days time

you think all those APC chairmen control the state structures? hahaha.


FYI, Atiku will never get any meaningful votes from the SW and his main undoing is his post 2011 election antics. the man is seen as a betrayal and 80% of those delegates will only follow the last order by the decision making leaders in the states and the SW is firmly in control of Tinubu. who are even the Atiku men in SW APC? pls tell us.

Ngwakwe:
In Party Politics, it's not about conscience rather trust.
The delegates are more interested in 80% cash balance promised to them after the initial 20%.
Who will deliver after victory?
Unless Amaechi and Tinubu are sponsoring Buhari, then forget about it, Atiku is trusted to play by the rules (sharing the money)

Sylvia, Amaechi and Osho baba are strongly pro-buhari. They will speak to the delegates in "the language they understand".

Buhari's candidature is different this time. The elites are clamouring for him.

Evathyst:
permit me to disagree with u on ds Sir! Buhari never anointed Kwakwanso to win his 2nd term. Rather, it was Buhari's mistake dt culminated in CPC's loss. Lemme break it down, Muhammad Abacha won d primary but Buhari opted for Gen Jaffar. Ds paved d way for Kwakwanso's 2nd coming. I stand to be corrected on ds.


Also, d assumption dt Buhari will win Kano delegates' vote in an election which Kwakwanso himself is also contesting is not only fallacious but also laughable. On ds, I do like us both to place a bet.


In as much as I wish Buhari wins 2015 general election(cos I already see being APC's flagbearer), over-estimating his electoral value will not do us(APC supporters) any good. By now, we should av known d devils we're dealing with. D almighty PDP with d scientific rigging machinery. All APC strategists had better get it ryt ds time around cos I can't afford to live every day of my life in regret. If June 12 disappointment didn't affect me much because I was still young, Feb 14 own no go funny o!




More dan Gen Buhari, I'll cry my eyes out. Cos I can't imagine Nigeria going tru another 4years of cluelessness under d shoeless one. God abeg o!

Don't be too sure sis

www.dailytrust.com.ng/daily/politics/39952-apc-primaries-kano-backs-buhari

Evathyst:


In as much as I wish Buhari wins 2015 general election(cos I already see him becoming APC's flagbearer), over-estimating his electoral value will not do us(APC supporters) any good. By now, we should av known d devils we're dealing with. D almighty PDP with d scientific rigging machinery. All APC strategists had better get it ryt ds time around cos I can't afford to live every day of my life in regret. If June 12 disappointment didn't affect me much because I was still young, Feb 14 own no go funny o!




More dan Gen Buhari, I'll cry my eyes out. Cos I can't imagine Nigeria going tru another 4years of cluelessness under d shoeless one. God abeg o!

If Apc loses the 2015 elections, i am packing my bags and leaving.

Evathyst:
permit me to disagree with u on ds Sir! Buhari never anointed Kwakwanso to win his 2nd term. Rather, it was Buhari's mistake dt culminated in CPC's loss. Lemme break it down, Muhammad Abacha won d primary but Buhari opted for Gen Jaffar. Ds paved d way for Kwakwanso's 2nd coming. I stand to be corrected on ds.


Also, d assumption dt Buhari will win Kano delegates' vote in an election which Kwakwanso himself is also contesting is not only fallacious but also laughable. On ds, I do like us both to place a bet.


In as much as I wish Buhari wins 2015 general election(cos I already see him becoming APC's flagbearer), over-estimating his electoral value will not do us(APC supporters) any good. By now, we should av known d devils we're dealing with. D almighty PDP with d scientific rigging machinery. All APC strategists had better get it ryt ds time around cos I can't afford to live every day of my life in regret. If June 12 disappointment didn't affect me much because I was still young, Feb 14 own no go funny o!




More dan Gen Buhari, I'll cry my eyes out. Cos I can't imagine Nigeria going tru another 4years of cluelessness under d shoeless one. God abeg o!

Spot on my sister.. The fact we are losing sight of here is that, the zonal and state leaders of APC will decide/determine to a VERY LARGE extent who the delegates wil be voting for and NOT the popularity or other wise of any Aspirant. Please, let's be very cautious!

Alphaoscar:



you think all those APC chairmen control the state structures? hahaha.


FYI, Atiku will never get any meaningful votes from the SW and his main undoing is his post 2011 election antics. the man is seen as a betrayal and 80% of those delegates will only follow the last order by the decision making leaders in the states and the SW is firmly in control of Tinubu. who are even the Atiku men in SW APC? pls tell us.

People tend to forget this fact. Some still believe he's a pdp mole.

Obiagelli:

If Apc loses the 2015 elections, i am packing my bags and leaving.

U? Ur own is just packing? Me, I'll return back to my school in France But b4 leaving d shores of ds country, I'll first of all burn my Nat. ID card, voters card, birth certificate, NYSC certificate, State of origin certificate, Our family compound, nd anything dt has d colour green white green. Cos I would av sworn never to return to ds country again. If I no do am make mods dem ban me comot for nairaland.




But seriously speaking, if Buhari doesn't win in 2015,den I'll bliv God has removed ds country from d world map long b4 we were amalgamated. If MKO Abiola was d messiah Nigeria never had, wat den do we call Gen Muhammadu Buhari who is better dan MKO in all ramifications?

Voting pattern by delegates will be more of bloc pattern.

90-100% of votes from each of the states will go to one particular candidate, except a very few of them.

@Obiagelli, I disagree to agree with the Aspirants stand in so many states. I'd just like to point out 3 States which have been said to be 50:50. Ondo, Kogi and Ekiti States can never be 50:50. With what I'm seeing now, 2/3 would favour Buhari, while one would favour Atiku. With the presence of Barrister Rotimi Akeredolu (SAN) and Hon. Dino Melaye, in Ondo and Kogi States respectively, Buhari shall surely win. Don't forget that these 2 men are among his closest allies. As for Ekiti, with the Presence of Fayemi, Atiku is gonna win there, though by a small margin.

I also disagree with that of Anambra because so many Delegates from there respect Ngige very well. And whoever Ngige supports, is who Anambra Delegates would support. It may be 65:35 in Favour of Buhari. As for Edo, it surely gonna be 75:25 in Favour of Buhari!

Pls y'all should stop encouraging Atiku wrongly!

Evathyst:
U? Ur own is just packing? Me, I'll return back to my school in France But b4 keeping d shores of ds country, I'll first of all burn my Nat. ID card, voters card, birth certificate, NYSC certificate, State of origin certificate, Our family compound, nd anything dt has d colour green white green. Cos I would av sworn never to return to ds country again. If I no do am make mods dem ban me comot for nairaland.




But seriously speaking, of Buhari doesn't win in 2015,den I'll bliv God has removed ds country from d world map long b4 we were amalgamated. If MKO Abiola was d messiah Nigeria never had, wat den do we call Gen Muhammadu Buhari who is better dan MKO in all ramifications?

well said.

donphilopus:
@Obiagelli, I disagree to agree with the Aspirants stand in so many states. I'd just like to point out 3 States which have been said to be 50:50. Ondo, Kogi and Ekiti States can never be 50:50. With what I'm seeing now, 2/3 would favour Buhari, while one would favour Atiku. With the presence of Barrister Rotimi Akeredolu (SAN) and Hon. Dino Melaye, in Ondo and Kogi States respectively, Buhari shall surely win. Don't forget that these 2 men are among his closest allies. As for Ekiti, with the Presence of Fayemi, Atiku is gonna win there, though by a small margin.

I also disagree with that of Anambra because so many Delegates from there respect Ngige very well. And whoever Ngige supports, is who Anambra Delegates would support. It may be 65:35 in Favour of Buhari. As for Edo, it surely gonna be 75:25 in Favour of Buhari!

Pls y'all should stop encouraging Atiku wrongly!

I decided to post the article here so we can discuss the worst case scenario. I also don't agree with many of the states.

emiye:
Voting pattern by delegates will be more of bloc pattern.

90-100% of votes from each of the states will go to one particular candidate, except a very few of them.

The more reason why Atiku's money is inconsequential.

Obiagelli:


Don't be too sure sis

www.dailytrust.com.ng/daily/politics/39952-apc-primaries-kano-backs-buhari

U&I know political permutations ain't done on d pages of newspaper. While I may be tempted to regard Newspaper analysis as bookmakers verdict, d reality on ground definitely suggest otherwise. As doz who play Naijabet, 1960, Merrybet etc dey will tell u never to joke with reality.



Once again, except Kwakwanso withdraws from d presidential race, he'll av more votes from APC'S kano delegates at d primary. Bookmark ds post so dt u can quote it on Dec 11

Obiagelli:
www.thisdaylive.com/articles/how-the-apc-aspirants-stand-across-the-states/195583/

Interesting analysis, the apc primaries excites me, even though i had a nightmare that Atiku won yesterday.

Btw when did i start dreaming about politicians choi.

The only person you are permitted to dream off is me!

On a more serious note, your dream will come to past. Buhari's presence in the south west is exaggerated

Besides that primary politics is different from general election. Atiku will give Buhari tutorial in this. Atiku is not in the media because he knows what is required. He is seriously engaging the delegates. That's what is required.

youngalex:
@ Obiagelli u didn't factor in the influence of money in the voting process,most delegates know théy need to effectively utilize this oppurtunity at least to improve on their pocket infrastructure..I sincerely advise your man to get loan to finance this primaries cos am sure the former No.2 man will dole out pounds,euros and dollars...never underestimate the power of money...IN POLiTICS THERE IS NO MORALITY IF YOU WANT MORALITY GO tO CHURCH..ROTIMI

I'm not sure so many of you know the kind of Delegates going for the National Conference. When I heard today that one of the most Successful Lawyers from my hometown is a National Delegate to the APC National Convention, I was so perplexed. And I also believe that so many National Delegates are Stakeholders, they ain't Children. Don't take them for people who you can easily give money to vote you. They're Charismatic People!

Obiagelli:

I decided to post the article here so we can discuss the worst case scenario. I also don't agree with many of the states.

That's it sha. I believe the writer of this Article is either sympathetic to PDP or Atiku because I can't imagine Atiku winning or even sharing the Votes of Anambra, Ebony, Ondo and Kogi States!

Evathyst:
permit me to disagree with u on ds Sir! Buhari never anointed Kwakwanso to win his 2nd term. Rather, it was Buhari's mistake dt culminated in CPC's loss. Lemme break it down, Muhammad Abacha won d primary but Buhari opted for Gen Jaffar. Ds paved d way for Kwakwanso's 2nd coming. I stand to be corrected on ds.


Also, d assumption dt Buhari will win Kano delegates' vote in an election which Kwakwanso himself is also contesting is not only fallacious but also laughable. On ds, I do like us both to place a bet.


In as much as I wish Buhari wins 2015 general election(cos I already see him becoming APC's flagbearer), over-estimating his electoral value will not do us(APC supporters) any good. By now, we should av known d devils we're dealing with. D almighty PDP with d scientific rigging machinery. All APC strategists had better get it ryt ds time around cos I can't afford to live every day of my life in regret. If June 12 disappointment didn't affect me much because I was still young, Feb 14 own no go funny o!




More dan Gen Buhari, I'll cry my eyes out. Cos I can't imagine Nigeria going tru another 4years of cluelessness under d shoeless one. God abeg o!

I think there are far better things to do on February 14 than hoping that Buhari gets elected.

If you have nothing to do take a simple walk in the park with the love of your life and buy some ice cream!

Emotional attack for any Nigerian politician? Not worth it! There are better things in life to worry about.

Obiagelli:

Is that how its done in the pdp? Interesting. Apc will teach you guys decent politics.

What do you expect when our Politicians are on full-time sharing job, who pays their bills?

Loyalty in Nigerian Politics is paid for either through Political appointment or fat bank account.

mikeansy:


The only person you are permitted to dream off is me!

On a more serious note, your dream will come to past. Buhari's presence in the south west is exaggerated

Besides that primary politics is different from general election. Atiku will give Buhari tutorial in this. Atiku is not in the media because he knows what is required. He is seriously engaging the delegates. That's what is required.

Okay let's wait and see, btw i have rebuked the nightmare.

Obiagelli:


Okay let's wait and see, btw i have rebuked the nightmare.

Promise not to cry when Atiku emerge

Also promise to accept my condolence and e-bear-hug

Ngwakwe:


What do you expect when our Politicians are on full-time sharing job, who pays their bills?

Loyalty in Nigerian Politics is paid for either through Political appointment or fat bank account.

I think the apc primaries will test this theory. I can't wait.

mikeansy:


Promise not to cry when Atiku emerge

Also promise to accept my condolence and e-bear-hug

If Atiku wins the primaries, i will leave nairaland.

Obiagelli:

If Atiku wins the primaries, i will leave nairaland.

Please don't

I will sincerely miss u

soroptimist:
South South

Edo will go to Buhari as Adams Oshiomhole,Prince Tony Momoh,John Odigie Oyegun are all rooting for Buhari.......

Prince Tony Momoh had been a Buhari loyalist since God created Heaven and the Earth,he was even the Chairman of CPC

Same with John Odigie Oyegun who was an ANPP ally of Gen Buhari

Atiku will dance naked in Edo


Rivers- Wetin i wan talk for this one,it is palpable even to the blind that Rotimi Amaechi even carry Buhari candidature for head pass me sef

So na Buhari 100%


Bayelsa- Former Governor Timipre Sylva is an unrepentant Buhari-leaning politician

Tonye Okio,Preye Aganaba and others are the stand well well Evangelists of the Buhari phenomenon from Bayelsa


Delta- Looks toss up.....Olorogun O'tega Emerhor seems to be the face of APC in that state and he is known to be an Atiku loyalist but the likes of Festus Keyamo have been known to be seriously working to deliver a massive chunk of the delegates for Gen Buhari

Akwa-Ibom- Buhari will ace this state without any gain-saying

John James Akpanudoedeghe,Sam Ewang who are the face of APC and controls the delegates are Buhari leaning......even recently Sam Ewang granted an interview which was unambigiously Pro-Buhari in nature

Bros, you've said it all. This' exactly what I told Idumuose yesterday. You were even present at the thread. It seems Bayelsa is even missing in this list. The ratio here should be 95:5 or even 100:0 in favour of Buhari. All the SS Governors or Formers Governors in APC are desperately working for Buhari's Candidature. Timipre Sylva is definitely gonna deliver Bayelsa for Buhari!

mikeansy:


Please don't

I will sincerely miss u

What is the point, i am active in this section, if Atiku wins the apc ticket, there is nothing more to talk about Nigerian Politics.