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My Best Pick Of The Day - Sports (2) - Nairaland

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Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 8:44am On Jun 25, 2016
phemmyhelu:
BRAZIL: Série B
Luverdense vs Londrina Luverdense -0.5,-1.0 Asian Handicap

Why i'm backing the bet. Look at the league tables and you'll find two sides separated by only 1 point and think this is a bit of a dead ringer, but there's more to this than meets the eye. i could go on about Luverdense's home record, which is just hit and miss. None of that really matters for this, because Londrina had a full side when they played those previous game but now they have a crisis.

Firstly, we have to consider the sheer distance and logistical nightmare getting from Londrina to Luverdense's home town of Luccas do Rio Verde, It's gruelling 1,647km journey which the side took yesterday, heading from Londrina to Maringa airport by bus (a 2 hour drive), then catching a flight to Cuiaba(a 5 hour flight) where they now reside before making the 359km journey north by bus before the game (4 hours).

But not only do Claudio Tencati's side faces such a gruelling journey, they must make that journey without a number of key players:

Everton Sena (DF, 0 apps,0 goals)
Marcondes (DF, 2 apps, 0 goals)
Matheus (DF, 10 apps, 0goals)
Silvio (DF, 7 apps, 0 goals)
Luizao (DF, 5 apps, 0 goals)
Germano(MF, 11 apps, 1 goals)
Itamar (ST, 6 apps, 1 goals)
Rondinelly(ST, 5 apps, 0 goals)

This makes what already a difficult journey even more difficult for Londrina, and thought they do have some depth in the squad, the serious problems in their defence means Tancati is likely to lineup with 3-5-2 as he simply does not have enough defenders left to fill the gaps. Anderson, Jumar and Diogo Roque are all not 100% and are yet to play this season but could be used to fill the gaps at the back. In his squad they have named 5 full-backs but a single centre half! i expect Luverdense to take advantage.
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by projectandpages:
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Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 11:29am On Jun 27, 2016
ENGLAND -4.5 ASIAN CORNERS VERSUS ICELAND

One thing I can vouch for England for is the corner tallies they rack up.

This is set to be the biggest game in Icelandic national footballing history and they are sure to try and set up to be negative and defend against us like they have against most of the other sides, looking to hit teams on the break and grab a goal. Admittedly Iceland have done fantastic to progress but there is no way they are going to dominate this game no matter how bad I think England are. England will control the game and be in the attacking third for the majority of the game in my opinion and we should see this pick land.

In qualifying for Euro 2016 England were ranked 5th for total corners on average gained with 7.2 per game. They limited the opposition to 2.3 which ranked for the 2nd fewest corners conceded in the entire qualifying process from any side.

Iceland were dominated by Portugal and the corner count was 11-2, then they even lost to Hungary 5-3 in corners and against Austria it was 7-3 so they have lost all corner counts.

Admittedly I would feel a lot more safe on a -3.5 handicap but I still think England can get 5 more corners than Iceland in this game.

They beat Russia 6-4 in corners, Wales 9-3 and Slovakia 11-0! We tend to have plenty of shots (just not very good ones) and put plenty of balls into the box, England have Smalling and Cahill who can be good from set pieces so England do sometimes look to the set pieces for an advantage.

In a game where we should see England pushing forward regularly and limiting Icelandic attacks, I think this bet looks good. Let's be honest England have not broken down teams in this tournament so should we take a while to break the deadlock then I think this bet romps home.
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 9:57pm On Jun 27, 2016
phemmyhelu:
ENGLAND -4.5 ASIAN CORNERS VERSUS ICELAND

One thing I can vouch for England for is the corner tallies they rack up.

This is set to be the biggest game in Icelandic national footballing history and they are sure to try and set up to be negative and defend against us like they have against most of the other sides, looking to hit teams on the break and grab a goal. Admittedly Iceland have done fantastic to progress but there is no way they are going to dominate this game no matter how bad I think England are. England will control the game and be in the attacking third for the majority of the game in my opinion and we should see this pick land.

In qualifying for Euro 2016 England were ranked 5th for total corners on average gained with 7.2 per game. They limited the opposition to 2.3 which ranked for the 2nd fewest corners conceded in the entire qualifying process from any side.

Iceland were dominated by Portugal and the corner count was 11-2, then they even lost to Hungary 5-3 in corners and against Austria it was 7-3 so they have lost all corner counts.

Admittedly I would feel a lot more safe on a -3.5 handicap but I still think England can get 5 more corners than Iceland in this game.

They beat Russia 6-4 in corners, Wales 9-3 and Slovakia 11-0! We tend to have plenty of shots (just not very good ones) and put plenty of balls into the box, England have Smalling and Cahill who can be good from set pieces so England do sometimes look to the set pieces for an advantage.

In a game where we should see England pushing forward regularly and limiting Icelandic attacks, I think this bet looks good. Let's be honest England have not broken down teams in this tournament so should we take a while to break the deadlock then I think this bet romps home.
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by dottozil: 10:11pm On Jun 27, 2016
kudos to you bro, but the Asian handicap thing most Nigerian bookies don't have it
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 10:21pm On Jun 27, 2016
use 9japredict
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by VajanahDischaj(f): 4:05am On Jun 28, 2016
phemmyhelu:
Won grin grin grin
pls mention me naaaaa
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 11:30am On Jun 28, 2016
china Cup
Tianjin Teda - Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande win and over 1.5
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 11:42am On Jun 28, 2016
VajanahDischaj:
pls mention me naaaaa
send me mail phemmyhelu84@gmail.com
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 3:37pm On Jun 28, 2016
phemmyhelu:
china Cup
Tianjin Teda - Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande win and over 1.5
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 5:36pm On Jun 29, 2016
SANDEFJORD TO BEAT K. OSLO

This in the second division in Norway at 6pm.

I am not going too crazy stakes wise as freaky results can happen in these low leagues but I like the look of this for sure and here is why...

2nd plays 11th here and Sandefjord look very likely to be in the top 2 come the end of the season. They have won 10 of their opening 14 games and are the leading goalscorers in the division with 27 goals for a 2.7 goals scored per game average and they have the 2nd best defence conceding just 11.

Oslo have won 2 drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 7 home games and they have won 4 out of 14 in total this season. Upon further inspection 3 of those wins have come against Ranheim, Byrne and Hodd. Ranheim is a respectable win as they are 7th but both Byrne and Hodd are in the relegation zones so no major wins in those games.

Of the 3 losses at home this season for Oslo, 2 of them were against sides who had not won away (and still haven't). Strommen and Mjondalen have played 14 games away from home combined and have only that win each to show for it, so clearly this team are not good in general or at home.

Sandefjord are top of the away league table, winning 5 and losing 2. The first loss was their first away game of the season at Levanger who now sit in 3rd place and are a good side, and the other at Kongsvinger who are a good home side, scoring 14 in 7 home games so far.

Since that away loss to Levanger in early April, Sandefjord have played 16 games in all competitions winning 13 of them drawing 2 and losing just 1. They had a 10 game winning streak before the away loss to Kongsvinger, they then drew at home to top of the league Kristiansund but since then have got back on track with 0-2 and 3-2 wins.

Oslo are 6th bottom at present and Sandefjord have played ALL 5 sides directly below them. They have won ALL 5, also all five of these games were away so clearly they have the better of these poor sides and have no problems overcoming them away from home with 3 of the victories covering a -1 handicap.

The scores were: 0-2 against bottom and 16th placed Raufoss, 0-2 against Byrne in 15th, 1-2 at Ull/Kisa in 14th, 1-3 Hodd in 13th and 1-2 tp 12th placed Fredrikstad.

Sandefjord have 3 players who have scored at least 4 goals this season already so goals are coming from various parts of the pitch so they are very much a good organised side with a lot of quality in their ranks. The top scorer for Oslo has 4 goals.
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 7:51pm On Jun 29, 2016
phemmyhelu:
SANDEFJORD TO BEAT K. OSLO

This in the second division in Norway at 6pm.

I am not going too crazy stakes wise as freaky results can happen in these low leagues but I like the look of this for sure and here is why...

2nd plays 11th here and Sandefjord look very likely to be in the top 2 come the end of the season. They have won 10 of their opening 14 games and are the leading goalscorers in the division with 27 goals for a 2.7 goals scored per game average and they have the 2nd best defence conceding just 11.

Oslo have won 2 drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 7 home games and they have won 4 out of 14 in total this season. Upon further inspection 3 of those wins have come against Ranheim, Byrne and Hodd. Ranheim is a respectable win as they are 7th but both Byrne and Hodd are in the relegation zones so no major wins in those games.

Of the 3 losses at home this season for Oslo, 2 of them were against sides who had not won away (and still haven't). Strommen and Mjondalen have played 14 games away from home combined and have only that win each to show for it, so clearly this team are not good in general or at home.

Sandefjord are top of the away league table, winning 5 and losing 2. The first loss was their first away game of the season at Levanger who now sit in 3rd place and are a good side, and the other at Kongsvinger who are a good home side, scoring 14 in 7 home games so far.

Since that away loss to Levanger in early April, Sandefjord have played 16 games in all competitions winning 13 of them drawing 2 and losing just 1. They had a 10 game winning streak before the away loss to Kongsvinger, they then drew at home to top of the league Kristiansund but since then have got back on track with 0-2 and 3-2 wins.

Oslo are 6th bottom at present and Sandefjord have played ALL 5 sides directly below them. They have won ALL 5, also all five of these games were away so clearly they have the better of these poor sides and have no problems overcoming them away from home with 3 of the victories covering a -1 handicap.

The scores were: 0-2 against bottom and 16th placed Raufoss, 0-2 against Byrne in 15th, 1-2 at Ull/Kisa in 14th, 1-3 Hodd in 13th and 1-2 tp 12th placed Fredrikstad.

Sandefjord have 3 players who have scored at least 4 goals this season already so goals are coming from various parts of the pitch so they are very much a good organised side with a lot of quality in their ranks. The top scorer for Oslo has 4 goals.
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 11:27am On Jun 30, 2016
Din. Minsk (Blr) vs Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or +2 European Handicap

Betting on the Europa league might be dangerous. Betting on the away team in a Europa league game is probably even more dangerous. And betting on a Latvian side away in the Europa league is probably suicidal, but i see real value here for many reasons and i'm willing to put aside my heart here and go with my head.

Minsk really are in bad shape at the moment and though they sit 4th the Belarussian league, they come into this game after back-to-back losses at home to bottom side Neman Grodno (0-1) and away at 9th placed Isloch (3-1) it's a squad that is literally falling apart at the moment and for today's game against the Latvian league leaders they'll be without Begunov (DF, 4 apps, 1 goals), Bangura (DF, 13 apps, 0 goals) leaving them pretty weak at the back. but it was also announced a few days back that first choice goalkeeper Alexander Gutor has now left the club, looking likely to join Gazovik Orenburg in the near future. And as well as that, it's looking increasingly likely that midfielder Nenad Adamovic (12apps, 2 goals) is packing is bags too. There's also rumours that captain Hutar will be on his way. This could well be the case of "pulling a Nordsjaelland' for Dinamo Minsk. They are in real financial trouble at the moment and are struggling to live up to their Europa league qualification last year.

The previous Dinamo Minsk owner, Chizh was a highly influential person in Belarus and guided them to Europa League group stages last year with investment. But having in some way betrayed Belarussian president Lukashenko, Chizh is now behind bars and financial investment in this club has ceased. they really are in turmoil at the moment, losing players left right and centre and i'm hoping that Spartaks can take advantage.

The visitors are the latvian league leaders and although Latvia isn't obviously the biggest footballing country out there, they are a pretty decent side with a squad worth $3.5m. In recent years they've beaten Montenegro side Budnocost away from home and managed a very decent draw against Serbian side Vojvodina, so they have some experience at the level and though they are clearly underdogs, i think they could well take advantage of the problem in the Dinamo Minsk camp here and get something from the game.
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 7:28pm On Jun 30, 2016
phemmyhelu:
Din. Minsk (Blr) vs Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or +2 European Handicap

Betting on the Europa league might be dangerous. Betting on the away team in a Europa league game is probably even more dangerous. And betting on a Latvian side away in the Europa league is probably suicidal, but i see real value here for many reasons and i'm willing to put aside my heart here and go with my head.

Minsk really are in bad shape at the moment and though they sit 4th the Belarussian league, they come into this game after back-to-back losses at home to bottom side Neman Grodno (0-1) and away at 9th placed Isloch (3-1) it's a squad that is literally falling apart at the moment and for today's game against the Latvian league leaders they'll be without Begunov (DF, 4 apps, 1 goals), Bangura (DF, 13 apps, 0 goals) leaving them pretty weak at the back. but it was also announced a few days back that first choice goalkeeper Alexander Gutor has now left the club, looking likely to join Gazovik Orenburg in the near future. And as well as that, it's looking increasingly likely that midfielder Nenad Adamovic (12apps, 2 goals) is packing is bags too. There's also rumours that captain Hutar will be on his way. This could well be the case of "pulling a Nordsjaelland' for Dinamo Minsk. They are in real financial trouble at the moment and are struggling to live up to their Europa league qualification last year.

The previous Dinamo Minsk owner, Chizh was a highly influential person in Belarus and guided them to Europa League group stages last year with investment. But having in some way betrayed Belarussian president Lukashenko, Chizh is now behind bars and financial investment in this club has ceased. they really are in turmoil at the moment, losing players left right and centre and i'm hoping that Spartaks can take advantage.

The visitors are the latvian league leaders and although Latvia isn't obviously the biggest footballing country out there, they are a pretty decent side with a squad worth $3.5m. In recent years they've beaten Montenegro side Budnocost away from home and managed a very decent draw against Serbian side Vojvodina, so they have some experience at the level and though they are clearly underdogs, i think they could well take advantage of the problem in the Dinamo Minsk camp here and get something from the game.
lost embarassed embarassed embarassed Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or Won grin grin grin+2 European Handicap
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op):
PORTUGAL -2.5 ASIAN CORNER HANDICAP V WALES
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 10:25am On Jul 06, 2016
We have already cashed in on Portugal corners in this tournament and I am looking to do it again here. Although last time out we lost on the Wales corner handicap, Belgium did get 8 on that night so I am not reading into it too much and the facts are that Wales do not usually get many and Portugal definitely do.

Wales have had an average of 3.2 corners per game so far in the tournament. They managed to get 7 against Belgium but I think Portugal are going to be a lot more defensively sound than Belgium were with the absentees in defence in the last game.

With Ronaldo and Nani attacking, Wales will not want to leave space in behind for them to get into and naturally they will sit deeper and they can most certainly rack up the shots and crosses and again this should lead to more corners for Portugal.

Portugal's average corner count this tournament so far is 7.4 so a lot higher than the 3.2 of Wales and also a fair bit higher than the -2.5 handicap!

I think the 2.5 is generous here given the wing play of the Portuguese and I also see Wales having fewer attacks with the absence of Ramsey as he has been instrumental in their success so far.

Wales have lost 4 of their 5 games in terms of most corners, by 2-3, 3-9, 0-6 and 7-8 margins. They conceded 9 to England and 8 to Belgium.

Considering Portugal have conceded 4 in a game as their highest tally, I do not envisage too many Wales corners and if they only reach the 3-4 mark I think we land this pick as Portugal rack up at least 6-7.

Portugal have conceded 2 corners per game on average with Wales conceding 6 on average so again this is well above the -2.5 line and I was expecting to see it at a 3.5 line and I dare say this will get backed in by tomorrow and may shift up to a straight -3 handicap on the asian line.

Providing Portugal get 3 or more corners we land this pick. They have won 4 of 5 games on corner counts with impressive totals of 11-2, 10-0, 9-3 and 6-1.
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 10:30am On Jul 06, 2016
Union Comercio / Sporting Cristal - Over 2.5
Vitoria DNB
TPS to win
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 10:06pm On Jul 06, 2016
phemmyhelu:
PORTUGAL -2.5 ASIAN CORNER HANDICAP V WALES
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 10:13pm On Jul 06, 2016
NE Revolution vs NY City - Over 2.5 Goal
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 2:38pm On Jul 07, 2016
phemmyhelu:
NE Revolution vs NY City - Over 2.5 Goal
Lost embarassed embarassed embarassed
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 2:40pm On Jul 07, 2016
phemmyhelu:
Union Comercio / Sporting Cristal - Over 2.5
Vitoria DNB
TPS to win
Lost embarassed embarassed embarassed
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 2:40pm On Jul 07, 2016
POLAND: Super Cup
Legia vs Lech Poznan Lech Poznan or Draw (Double Chance)
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 7:53pm On Jul 07, 2016
phemmyhelu:
POLAND: Super Cup
Legia vs Lech Poznan Lech Poznan or Draw (Double Chance)
Won grin grin grin
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by phemmyhelu(op): 1:07pm On Jul 08, 2016
Athlone Town vs Shelbourne - Over 3.0 Goal Line
Re: My Best Pick Of The Day by sukerb(m): 1:22pm On Jul 08, 2016
phemmyhelu:
Athlone Town vs Shelbourne - Over 3.0 Goal Line
You are doing a very good job here............ keep it up.
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