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How Far With Our Refineries? - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Where Are The Modular Refineries? / Fg To Scrap Nnpc, Dpr, Pppra, Others; To Sell Unprofitable Refineries / Foreign Refineries To Stop Buying Nigeria’s Crude Oil Due To NDA Attacks (2) (3) (4)

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Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by buJu234: 3:25pm On Aug 18, 2016
SCAM....

cos APC & PDP are twins
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by frozenSun(m): 3:26pm On Aug 18, 2016
The refineries nova fine finish.

e still dey rub make-up

wait, she is coming.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Abbycite(m): 3:26pm On Aug 18, 2016
hmmn

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by NairaMaster1(m): 3:26pm On Aug 18, 2016
goldtube:
APC with promises are like 5&6
undecided undecided

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by JideTheBlogger(m): 3:28pm On Aug 18, 2016
undecided

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by aresssa: 3:35pm On Aug 18, 2016
1. Many rich Nigerians are afraid to openly invest their money because they stole public funds.

2. Some rich Nigerians are not interested in private enterprise and just prefer to sit their money in thr bank, live large, acquire mansions and expensive cars..

This leaves the likes of Dangote alone to bail us out since the government lack the resources to attend to our massive infrastructure deficit


This is also why I never criticise Dangote's monopoly in many sectors of our economy.

Just imagine Nigeria today without Dangote.

Because of Dangote we are set to be self sufficient in so many necessities in less than 2 years from petrol to gas, fertilizer and petrochemical and still have many more left to export.

This is one man solving multiple problems that our government couldn't solve in 55 years all in less than 4 years..

4 Likes

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by emmanuelpopson(m): 3:37pm On Aug 18, 2016
MadCow1:



There is a Fraud being perpetuated with those licenses.. Same shiit they did with GENCO's..

What they do is use those licenses to secure loans from banks, use the Loans to finance other Businesses, make a profit, repay the loans and nothing is ever built..

The Government needs to revoke the licenses of holders who have not made any in-way or progress with it..

Another thing is also that it takes a lot of ground work to build a refinery.. Example: The EIA report alone takes over a year to get. The Basic Engineering as well takes time. HAZOP and HAZID, getting the Third Pary Certification for each design, contacting the international vendors that would handle the fabrication of many parts, e.t.c.. Building a refinery is not as simple as building a 2 bedroom flat. Securing the supply agreements as well is yet another wahala on its own.

The F.G would have to mediate in many of these deals and act as a mediator to fast track many things.

on point bro.. building a massive project like a refinery isn't a child's play...paperwork and other things pointed out here are so tasking that delays the eventual building....

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Ogt1: 3:42pm On Aug 18, 2016
If OP's question is about NNPC, all he will get in reply from FG is "We will........." No real information as to how and when to improve our refineries again.
Has anyone observed how FG is parading and 'famzing' with Dangote Refinery in recent times? Dangote refinery is only what our govt is waiting on, that is their only hope and expect them to campaign on that.
As to building refineries, it takes a lot of time to build and several approvals/certifications are needed to obtained from DPR at one stage or the other during the building of the refinery. The first approval during the initial stage isn't the only approval needed from DPR.
I know about 3 private refineries (Dangote and integrated owned by Capt Iheneacho, both being built in Lagos), I've forgotten the name of the 3rd one, but already built and situated in delta, has about 10kbpd capacity or thereabout, I can't say if it has been woring.
In a nutshell, building of refinery takes years to come on line. Dangote refinery commenced preliminary plans as far bck as 2013 and still in the process of construction.
Let's remain +ve that the few that have obtained approvals from DPR and started plans on their refineries will get needed support like FX, location (which is essential because proximity to seas/ports is often preferred).

On the final note, Govt needs to fully deregulate and hand off downstream sector of oil industry. Investors will be relunctant to invest in refineries when they know Govt is there to 'order' the prices of their products for them, even if it doesn't pay the refinery operators. When govt hands off and there are competitors, prices will be forced down due to competition but our govt believes in ordering prices using military
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by frisky2good(m): 3:43pm On Aug 18, 2016
The solution to our problem is micro refineries. Deregulate it completely and allow anyone that is interested to open and operate a refinery. Some big companies use up to 1 billion Naira worth of fuel every year. They will be willing to finance any micro refinery that can guarantee them fuel at a reduced rate. 10 diesel suppliers can source for funds and start a micro refinery. All those militants in the niger delta that made money from oil surveillance contracts can open micro refineries. If we are waiting for someone to open one big refinery to satisfy us all, we will still be like this in 30 years time.

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by engrchykae(m): 3:44pm On Aug 18, 2016
MadCow1:



There is a Fraud being perpetuated with those licenses.. Same shiit they did with GENCO's..

What they do is use those licenses to secure loans from banks, use the Loans to finance other Businesses, make a profit, repay the loans and nothing is ever built..

The Government needs to revoke the licenses of holders who have not made any in-way or progress with it..

Another thing is also that it takes a lot of ground work to build a refinery.. Example: The EIA report alone takes over a year to get. The Basic Engineering as well takes time. HAZOP and HAZID, getting the Third Pary Certification for each design, contacting the international vendors that would handle the fabrication of many parts, e.t.c.. Building a refinery is not as simple as building a 2 bedroom flat. Securing the supply agreements as well is yet another wahala on its own.

The F.G would have to mediate in many of these deals and act as a mediator to fast track many things.
part of the negotiation ur so-called heroes past aka founding fathers made with the criminal British was to allow shell the monopoly of whatever happens in our monoeconomy oil sector,awolowo was aware and was raising alarm until he was settled with finance minister.
Nigeria will not have it right with power, petroleum and fiscal federalism.
because some Judas Nigerians are equally enjoying the show eg ibb,obj,abdusalami abubakar.these young judases took over from the old festus okotie eboh,zik,balewa,saudauna and people like omenka,abagworo etc are warming up to take over.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Izonpikin: 3:46pm On Aug 18, 2016
frisky2good:
The solution to our problem is micro refineries. Deregulate it completely and allow anyone that is interested to open and operate a refinery. Some big companies use up to 1 billion Naira worth of fuel every year. They will be willing to finance any micro refinery that can guarantee them fuel at a reduced rate. 10 diesel suppliers can source for funds and start a micro refinery. All those militants in the niger delta that made money from oil surveillance contracts can open micro refineries. If we are waiting for someone to open one big refinery to satisfy us all, we will still be like this in 30 years time.
grin grin grin grin
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by MadCow1: 3:48pm On Aug 18, 2016
engrchykae:
part of the negotiation ur so-called heroes past aka founding fathers made with the criminal British was to allow shell the monopoly of whatever happens in our monoeconomy oil sector,awolowo was aware and was raising alarm until he was settled with finance minister.
Nigeria will not have it right with power, petroleum and fiscal federalism.
because some Judas Nigerians are equally enjoying the show eg ibb,obj,abdusalami abubakar.these young judases took over from the old festus okotie eboh,zik,balewa,saudauna and people like omenka,abagworo etc are warming up to take over.

How does SPDC have monopoly in the Oil Sector when you have over 10 Operators working in the Sector? grin grin grin


Shell's monopoly that could not save them from getting away with the environmental degradation of Ogoni Land?

Bros abeg stop with the conspiracy theory.. grin

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by CeeTeeOoo: 3:57pm On Aug 18, 2016
frisky2good:
The solution to our problem is micro refineries. Deregulate it completely and allow anyone that is interested to open and operate a refinery. Some big companies use up to 1 billion Naira worth of fuel every year. They will be willing to finance any micro refinery that can guarantee them fuel at a reduced rate. 10 diesel suppliers can source for funds and start a micro refinery. All those militants in the niger delta that made money from oil surveillance contracts can open micro refineries. If we are waiting for someone to open one big refinery to satisfy us all, we will still be like this in 30 years time.

You are soo on point! I do not understand our fixation with "Grand White Elephants!"

1,000 micro refineries of 20,000 barrels capacity is equivalent to A 2,000,000 barrels capacity Giant Refinery, only that the former will create more jobs. Another plus is that they all cannot be down at the same time so you have more redundancy in the system.

Simple logic.

The same mistake we are making with power. You do not need a gigantic 2000MW power plant always when you can get 200 separate 10MW micro power plants that are distributed to provide power, You decentralize your grid and reduce costs with transmission. Advantage of redundancy again. They cannot all be down at the same time.

Simple logic as always.

3 Likes 2 Shares

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by iLovenaijabet: 4:13pm On Aug 18, 2016
help us ask this government...you dont have to ask naijabet sha
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by ken4jj(m): 4:20pm On Aug 18, 2016
989900:
This one of the lowlights of this admin.

While I can relate to the difficulties/excuses from vandalism to corruption, I can't give PMB a pass, this is one of OBJ's, and GEJ' biggest failures, and it is still the same merry go round with PMB -- that sucks.

The refineries are about the most important thing to the republic, considering its DIRECT EFFECT on our economy, reserves, and the Naira -- absolutely no excuse can justify the lack of new modular refineries, nor the low performance state of the existing ones.

We need results, working on it for over 14 months for a problem you claim to have the solution is unacceptable.

Either peacefully or otherwise, you just have to get it done.

I just love that last word "get it done". I keep telling these boys on this forum, what will vindicate the govt is Result and not Promise. If their is no clear result on ground then work done is equal to Cos 90 degrees and it does not matter if they inherited bulshit because nobody was forced to lead. They practically begged to be voted for.
I operate in a sector where there is no excuse for failure. It is either you "get it done" or you give way. I wish we can have that kind of no nonsense approach to governance instead of living on excuses every administration.

3 Likes 3 Shares

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Abagworo(m): 4:25pm On Aug 18, 2016
It's all politics. The biggest mistake ever made in oil sector was reversal of refinery sales by Yar'Adua. That was a very costly economic mistake. I guess Buhari has good advicers hence his refusal to revoke sales of power plants despite the fraud and nepotism involved.

Let us still be patient as many challenges are springing up in the Niger Delta area scaring investors away. Surely if oil is discovered in the North in large quantity functional refineries will work witjout interference there.

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by 4wrd9ja: 4:26pm On Aug 18, 2016
abbaadamufan:
Good observation,

I think it's a case of doing the right thing at a time when the climate is bad(the wrong time). The move to open up the sector and grant licences to private refinery operators is the perfect one, if government wants the innovative ability of the private sector to move the petroleum sector past the 80s kind of way it's been operating.

But who'll spend money on a refinery today, when production of crude is hampered by militants?

It will take only a Dangote, or someone else with the cash and government backing to try this feat in this climate.

I don't think this administration has the acumen to take loans to get the economy floating again. Besides it's a bad move.

A good economy is one that can stay afloat even when a government doesn't meddle with it.
This are fake economic theories that will never work here ,we are in this shit because some people keep repeating this line that has never work ,countries adopt economic models that suit their situation not some copy and paste, the private sector alone can not Solve a country's problem during the meltdown in the u s a it was still the government that bailed them out. you can't hand over the whole economy to one man monopolist dangote, its not in the interest of the country in the long run, the government has to wake up to its duty like a responsible father not all this excuses

3 Likes

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by ephi123(f): 4:33pm On Aug 18, 2016
989900:
This one of the lowlights of this admin.

While I can relate to the difficulties/excuses from vandalism to corruption, I can't give PMB a pass, this is one of OBJ's, and GEJ' biggest failures, and it is still the same merry go round with PMB -- that sucks.

The refineries are about the most important thing to the republic, considering its DIRECT EFFECT on our economy, reserves, and the Naira -- absolutely no excuse can justify the lack of new modular refineries, nor the low performance state of the existing ones.

We need results, working on it for over 14 months for a problem you claim to have the solution is unacceptable.

Either peacefully or otherwise, you just have to get it done.

Sir, are you attempting to WAIL?! Then there is hope for the others. I see keneking too, I see you guys cheesy
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Nobody: 4:41pm On Aug 18, 2016
MadCow1:



There is a Fraud being perpetuated with those licenses.. Same shiit they did with GENCO's..

What they do is use those licenses to secure loans from banks, use the Loans to finance other Businesses, make a profit, repay the loans and nothing is ever built..

The Government needs to revoke the licenses of holders who have not made any in-way or progress with it..

Another thing is also that it takes a lot of ground work to build a refinery.. Example: The EIA report alone takes over a year to get. The Basic Engineering as well takes time. HAZOP and HAZID, getting the Third Pary Certification for each design, contacting the international vendors that would handle the fabrication of many parts, e.t.c.. Building a refinery is not as simple as building a 2 bedroom flat. Securing the supply agreements as well is yet another wahala on its own.

The F.G would have to mediate in many of these deals and act as a mediator to fast track many things.

You are right, the government needs to revoke the licences from unserious holders. because as far back as 2005/2006 about 19 licenses were awarded for refineries but these folks used it as a bargaining chip to acquire oil blocks and some even said if govt does not deregulate the industry they can't go ahead to invest.


but then, I believe there is only one way for infrastructural breakthrough in Nigeria. that includes, oil refineries, railway, power generating plants etc - The government should build those infrastructures and then sell them to the public. If that means taking foreign loans from ADB, IDB, or the World Bank, so be it. there is a risk that those loans may be squandered - as happened in the past - but that is minimal under the present federal government.

for instance, smaller enterprises in places like the U.S enjoy huge government grants and subsidies. If you take away government, America's active tech startup sector will shrink immensely if it didn't collapse. Tesla motors was given close to half a billion dollars loan by the Obama administration to develop their Model S. But come to Nigeria, they'd be telling you that government has no business in business.

As you said it takes alot of ground work to build a refinery, but unfortunately, we have only one Dangote.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Amanwulu1(m): 4:45pm On Aug 18, 2016
[quote author=Joavid post=48581666]/quote] U see how ur mind is working n I dare to with every sense of sincerity dat u can make a better manager of nigeria group of company dan buhari. Unfortunately, u n many like u who can articulate dis kind of idea decided to hand our country to someone whose brain is dead.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by 989900: 4:50pm On Aug 18, 2016
ephi123:


Sir, are you attempting to WAIL?! Then there is hope for the others. I see keneking too, I see you guys cheesy

Dear ephi123,

There is a word call 'objectivity', it defies affiliation, and predisposition to 'wailing, 'zombieing', or 'wailing-zombieing'.

Kindly look up 'objectivity'.

Warm Regards.
989900.

1 Like

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Nobody: 4:59pm On Aug 18, 2016
CeeTeeOoo:


You are soo on point! I do not understand our fixation with "Grand White Elephants!"

1,000 micro refineries of 20,000 barrels capacity is equivalent to A 2,000,000 barrels capacity Giant Refinery, only that the former will create more jobs. Another plus is that they all cannot be down at the same time so you have more redundancy in the system.

Simple logic.

The same mistake we are making with power. You do not need a gigantic 2000MW power plant always when you can get 200 separate 10MW micro power plants that are distributed to provide power, You decentralize your grid and reduce costs with transmission. Advantage of redundancy again. They cannot all be down at the same time.

Simple logic as always.

yes. it's sounds very easy. but something tells Ms it's going to very difficult in Nigeria.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by frisky2good(m): 5:04pm On Aug 18, 2016
Very true

CeeTeeOoo:


You are soo on point! I do not understand our fixation with "Grand White Elephants!"

1,000 micro refineries of 20,000 barrels capacity is equivalent to A 2,000,000 barrels capacity Giant Refinery, only that the former will create more jobs. Another plus is that they all cannot be down at the same time so you have more redundancy in the system.

Simple logic.

The same mistake we are making with power. You do not need a gigantic 2000MW power plant always when you can get 200 separate 10MW micro power plants that are distributed to provide power, You decentralize your grid and reduce costs with transmission. Advantage of redundancy again. They cannot all be down at the same time.

Simple logic as always.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by engrchykae(m): 5:16pm On Aug 18, 2016
MadCow1:


How does SPDC have monopoly in the Oil Sector when you have over 10 Operators working in the Sector? grin grin grin


Shell's monopoly that could not save them from getting away with the environmental degradation of Ogoni Land?

Bros abeg stop with the conspiracy theory.. grin
they are not a. force. to be reckoned with yet they mounted pressure for saro wiwa to. be murdered,by. the way,u said they didn't get away with the environmental pollution I want you. to tell. us what punishment has been meted out. on shell as they paid. heavily for their messing up of gulf of Mexico?
its people like you
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by MadCow1: 5:31pm On Aug 18, 2016
engrchykae:
they are not a. force. to be reckoned with yet they mounted pressure for saro wiwa to. be murdered,by. the way,u said they didn't get away with the environmental pollution I want you. to tell. us what punishment has been meted out. on shell as they paid. heavily for their messing up of gulf of Mexico?
its people like you


Lol.. You said SPDC had Monopoly in the Oil Sector.. That's False. I am attacking your comment directly.

SPDC may have coerced the government to deal with Ken Saro-Wiwa, but remember that we were under Military rule and everyone knows they were complicit in illegalities.. Ken was killed after a Military trial by Gen. Sani Abacha who wasn't the nicest of Heads of State. Infact, I doubt Abacha needed SPDC's go ahead to kill Ken.

Go and find out about the rulings recieved by Ogoni from Shell in both punitive and compensatory damages..


The Gulf of Mexico? Wasn't that BP? undecided


And what do you want to say about people like me? undecided You better keep this conversation civil and on the topic being discussed because you may not like where this will lead should you chose to make it personal.

Thanks.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Nobody: 5:48pm On Aug 18, 2016
Keneking:
PMB is undecided angry
Someone who is planning to bring back NEPA, NITEL and Nigeria Airways has no plans for the refineries.
I am sure, he likes national antiquities angry
He would keep it till Mr. Dangote starts his own refineries in December 2018 shocked
A government that plans to bring in crude oil from Chad and Niger to be refined in Kaduna, has no clue grin
They plan to take crude from Lagos through the borders to neighbouring Chad and Niger. Useless government.

Lolssss...... keneking
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Reference(m): 6:06pm On Aug 18, 2016
Joavid:
This month makes it one year since 65 companies were granted licences to build modular refineries in Nigeria.
So far only one company was in the news when it claimed that it's refinery will be ready before 2016 ends. They later moved it early 2017.
and this has confirmed my assertion that private enterprises will not solve Nigeria's infrastructure deficits, and the way out is for governments to build those infrastructure and then sell them to the public. If that means taking foreign loans from ADB, IDB, or the World Bank, so be it. Yes, there is a risk that those loans may be squandered - as happened in the past - but that is minimal, understanding the present federal government.
But then, I expect such things to be important enough for Nigerians to keep track of their progress, but over time we got distracted with what Ayo Fayose or Dino Melaye is saying. I think we should keep our eyes on the things that matter most.

#justthinkingaloud

No ma'am, you canot run/manage/operate what you have not built effectively except you were part of the system that built it. That is why the only privatisations that have worked in Nigeria are not of physical plants, industries or ventures but of systems and licenses and fanchises. The telecos were privatised but NITEL remains dead. The GENCOS and DISCOS have the same problems, the petrochemical and fertilizer plants have the same challenges so are the much maligned steel plants. We have this problem of lack of capacity and it doesn't come easy, it will be a slow learning process which we must endure.

Amongst those who bought into power, how many had previous experiences running plants. None. They are all hybrids of politicians and ex-political leaders in colabo with white collar (and I say this with all conviction) foreign mercenary operators, not the blue chip energy companies that can properly invest and have the know how and international connections to make the system truly work. The Mike Adenuga model was just a one off, serious businesses like power and petroleum/petrochemicals require the likes of an MTN or an Etisalat type of investor and they will hardly want to take on local assets with their chatacteristic problems but rather build their own.

We cannot expect miracles within a short time. We just liberalised our fx market a matter of weeks ago and the petroleum sector months ago (even though these are not fully deregulated) so we are in a period of wait and we have to wait for the injuries of economic somersaults to heal sufficiently for more investment to come in. But like a farmer we cannot continue to dig up the seed to check whether it as taken root lest we lose it completely.

My advice to government is to stay away from enterprise CONSISTENTLY, and make the public know that businesses is their (public) not government's responsibility. What the government has to do is to invest in infrastructure and create the enabling environment by sound, business friendly policies, programs and reforms. That is hard infrastructure such as roads, rails, ports, etc and soft infrastructure such as the foreign reserve, sovereign wealth fund and a healthy debt portfolio.

Dangote is a lead, a necessary one. Others are watching and will dive in if he suceeds, but will run if he fails. We as a nation have to hold our nerve and make that lead succeed at all costs. Telecos and power out of government hands has saved us through the treasury trillions over the last decade. We may not appreciate it now but just imagine if those bills were still being paid by government, both the legitimate ones and the corrupted ones, surely we will have been far poorer than we are now. Please don't bring that era back, no matter your interests.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Koleman(m): 6:23pm On Aug 18, 2016
My thoughts too. What is wrong? Am confused really. Does it have to do with administrative bottle necks? or is the fault from private companies themselves? I doubt the later. How can u indicate interest and backdown when the licence is finally granted? 65 Different companies cannot just make the same decision except the reason is a from a common source. I think this govt ain't serious about boosting domestic capacity if not any administrative or Legislative bottle neck should have been dealt with by now I say this because one of the Potential investors in an interview on channels TV made these complaints. some existing laws will have to be changed or modified but I see no willingness from either the executive or legislature.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by engrchykae(m): 6:24pm On Aug 18, 2016
MadCow1:



Lol.. You said SPDC had Monopoly in the Oil Sector.. That's False. I am attacking your comment directly.

SPDC may have coerced the government to deal with Ken Saro-Wiwa, but remember that we were under Military rule and everyone knows they were complicit in illegalities.. Ken was killed after a Military trial by Gen. Sani Abacha who wasn't the nicest of Heads of State. Infact, I doubt Abacha needed SPDC's go ahead to kill Ken.

Go and find out about the rulings recieved by Ogoni from Shell in both punitive and compensatory damages..


The Gulf of Mexico? Wasn't that BP? undecided


And what do you want to say about people like me? undecided You better keep this conversation civil and on the topic being discussed because you may not like where this will lead should you chose to make it personal.

Thanks.

its people like you either out. of the ostrich nature in them or deliberate attempt to make people believe that all is well with the current system.
whether spdc or BP does not matter since they are managed by one parent body.
For. ur info,all the coupists in Nigeria who have been pretending to be strongmen like abacha ,ibb,obj are. all loyal or submissive to British and Americans demands.
ur country is governed from Downing street not from ur ceremonial aso villa.
by the way,I want to see where the argument will lead.
Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Reference(m): 6:41pm On Aug 18, 2016
Joavid:


You are right, the government needs to revoke the licences from unserious holders. because as far back as 2005/2006 about 19 licenses were awarded for refineries but these folks used it as a bargaining chip to acquire oil blocks and some even said if govt does not deregulate the industry they can't go ahead to invest.


but then, I believe there is only one way for infrastructural breakthrough in Nigeria. that includes, oil refineries, railway, power generating plants etc - The government should build those infrastructures and then sell them to the public. If that means taking foreign loans from ADB, IDB, or the World Bank, so be it. there is a risk that those loans may be squandered - as happened in the past - but that is minimal under the present federal government.

for instance, smaller enterprises in places like the U.S enjoy huge government grants and subsidies. If you take away government, America's active tech startup sector will shrink immensely if it didn't collapse. Tesla motors was given close to half a billion dollars loan by the Obama administration to develop their Model S. But come to Nigeria, they'd be telling you that government has no business in business.

As you said it takes alot of ground work to build a refinery, but unfortunately, we have only one Dangote.


And that is all we need, just one. We are self sufficient in cement, so he can do it. He has proven to be one basket that can safely keep all our economic eggs in. Ultimately it is risky but we cannot do otherwise. We have to grow Nigerian businesses free of interference, politicking and patronage. it is the only way to true prosperity. You ask government to build these things and watch and see how politics, religion and ethnicity ruins everything. It is not today that government has tried unsucessfully to re-enter into business. When the Telecos were privatised government kept a licenses for M-Tel, how many lines do they have fourteen years later. Do they still exist. How many lines did the defunct NITEL have despite trillions spent since independence. Do you know that cement was an essential commodity when Buhari was President in 1983 despite the sixteen cement plants owned by government at various levels at that time. Today our population has almost doubled the figure in 1983, Dangote does not have up to 16 cement plants but he together with other privates have turned an essential commodity into an export commodity but it didn't take just the three years, it took decades of investments, of political battles, of rough economic terrain to get there.

So what government should do is not to change the game. Steady power or local refining doesn't require decades to achieve. It requires constant and consistent government nuturing. The farmer doesn't grow the crop, he nutures it. Government should apply the economic fertilizers of sound and monetary and fiscal policies consistently applied and remove the weeds of red tape and other anti-business legislation. Investment will flow naturally and timely.

4 Likes

Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by engrchykae(m): 6:42pm On Aug 18, 2016
Reference:


No ma'am, you canot run/manage/operate what you have not built effectively except you were part of the system that built it. That is why the only privatisations that have worked in Nigeria are not of physical plants, industries or ventures but of systems and licenses and fanchises. The telecos were privatised but NITEL remains dead. The GENCOS and DISCOS have the same problems, the petrochemical and fertilizer plants have the same challenges so are the much maligned steel plants. We have this problem of lack of capacity and it doesn't come easy, it will be a slow learning process which we must endure.

Amongst those who bought into power, how many had previous experiences running plants. None. They are all hybrids of politicians and ex-political leaders in colabo with white collar (and I say this with all conviction) foreign mercenary operators, not the blue chip energy companies that can properly invest and have the know how and international connections to make the system truly work. The Mike Adenuga model was just a one off, serious businesses like power and petroleum/petrochemicals require the likes of an MTN or an Etisalat type of investor and they will hardly want to take on local assets with their chatacteristic problems but rather build their own.

We cannot expect miracles within a short time. We just liberalised our fx market a matter of weeks ago and the petroleum sector months ago (even though these are not fully deregulated) so we are in a period of wait and we have to wait for the injuries of economic somersaults to heal sufficiently for more investment to come in. But like a farmer we cannot continue to dig up the seed to check whether it as taken root lest we lose it completely.

My advice to government is to stay away from enterprise CONSISTENTLY, and make the public know that businesses is their (public) not government's responsibility. What the government has to do is to invest in infrastructure and create the enabling environment by sound, business friendly policies, programs and reforms. That is hard infrastructure such as roads, rails, ports, etc and soft infrastructure such as the foreign reserve, sovereign wealth fund and a healthy debt portfolio.

Dangote is a lead, a necessary one. Others are watching and will dive in if he suceeds, but will run if he fails. We as a nation have to hold our nerve and make that lead succeed at all costs. Telecos and power out of government hands has saved us through the treasury trillions over the last decade. We may not appreciate it now but just imagine if those bills were still being paid by government, both the legitimate ones and the corrupted ones, surely we will have been far poorer than we are now. Please don't bring that era back, no matter your interests.
the sectors that were successfully privatised such as telecom were successful because the Anglo American big daddies were not. interested in them.
but areas such as agriculture,petroleum/petrochemicals,ajaokuta/steel will never work because
_political friends are appeased with rice importation licences.
-tin gods of aso villa are appeased with petroleum products importation licenses.
power will not work because of mega power generator companies such as aggreko,john Holt,etc have a strong presence in Nigeria.
as a very big market as viewed by the West because they do not look at Nigeria as a people but as a market,Nigeria needs to be importing food which runs into trillions of dollars.
so all. the noise about agriculture,power refining petroleum locally will remain party manifesto for a long while

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Re: How Far With Our Refineries? by Reference(m): 6:54pm On Aug 18, 2016
Koleman:
My thoughts too. What is wrong? Am confused really. Does it have to do with administrative bottle necks? or is the fault from private companies themselves? I doubt the later. How can u indicate interest and backdown when the licence is finally granted? 65 Different companies cannot just make the same decision except the reason is a from a common source. I think this govt ain't serious about boosting domestic capacity if not any administrative or Legislative bottle neck should have been dealt with by now I say this because one of the Potential investors in an interview on channels TV made these complaints. some existing laws will have to be changed or modified but I see no willingness from either the executive or legislature.

This is what I am saying. You cannot be an umpire and player in a game. The government should get out of business and stick with regulation, dispose assets and effect the necessary legislation (rules of the game) so that players know their limits and their goals. The worst virus that afflicts the cassava of business is uncertainty.'Will they, will they not'. If I put 2 billion dollars in Nigerian Crude Refining, what if government comes in and reintroduces subsidy, what if they build refineries and hand them out like candy to our competition, what if, what if....these are they causes of delay. Dangote is only building because he is like my folks in the village who sleep in the open and drink water from the stream, he has immunity from government flip flops and grown a cowboy thick skin and he is the prime shareholder in his group. Don't think everyone is like that. No one from Eskom or General Electric can take the risks Dangote can. Ghey will merely succcumb like Mungo Park did while exploring the River Niger.

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