₦airaland Forum

Maduawuchukwu:
If Atiku runs he would win or greatly get votes in the North-East.

If President Buhari's Corpse contests in 2019, he will get 95% of the votes.

That is the following he has there as a result of pushing back Boko Haram.

They voted him for that andthey think he has come through

cstr1000:
You are not serious.
2 regions gave 12 millions while 4 regions that buhari won gave him 15 million.
If anything, the SE/SS have shown their electoral value. Ofcourse you don't exepect 2 regions to win against 4 regions. I even expected far more support from his 4 regions.
If Jonathan had gotten just one more region to make it 3-3 he would have won.
Any politician that retains the SE/SS and add another region to it will win.

Which country is that? In 2015 elections, the entire votes of South East which is about 1.5Million is less than that of Kano 1.8Million...and that was in spite of the vote stuffing for jonathan....now Buhari being on saddle in 2019..tell me how Kano votes would look like?

Clerverly:
Motor park analysis, the elections in Nigeria are not won based on the number of zones a candidate wins but rather on a simple majority, provided the candidate meets the required 1/3 of the votes in the 2/3 of the Federation.

The total votes of the entire South East/SS are bigger than that of the North West, Before you add other regions...

this people are so funny.... ...they dont even understand their own democratical system.....

tsdarkside:
wowww...what you write sound like chinese to me......

but i dont understand chinese... ...yeah,some words i understand in chinese..... ...

but this is too much chinese...!!!!.....

Of course! The zombie streak in you is responsible for that.

HoluwarTohbar:
Of course! The zombie streak in you is responsible for that.

uhhhhh...here we go again......

cstr1000:
You are not serious.
2 regions gave 12 millions while 4 regions that buhari won gave him 15 million.
If anything, the SE/SS have shown their electoral value. Ofcourse you don't exepect 2 regions to win against 4 regions. I even expected far more support from his 4 regions.
If Jonathan had gotten just one more region to make it 3-3 he would have won.
Any politician that retains the SE/SS and add another region to it will win.

2 regions gave Former President Jonathan 12 million votes?


You know this is false right?

Clerverly:
Which country is that? In 2015 elections, the entire votes of South East which is about 1.5Million is less than that of Kano 1.8Million...and that was in spite of the vote stuffing for jonathan....now Buhari being on saddle in 2019..tell me how Kano votes would look like?

Voter stuffing? As opposed to recorded cases of under-aged voters in the north all chanting and voting sai buhari, not excluding the invading foreigners from Niger-republic..
Buhari had majority votes in 4 regions and he got 15 million. Jonathan had majority votes in 2 regions with total Igbo support in every where they can be found in the country which somehow watered down buhari's stronghold especially in the SW and he got 12 million.
The importance of Igbo support can not be under-estimated, because none of the major politicians currently including buhari will ever amass such support across 4 geo-political zones again to render Igbo nation-wide support irrelevant.

https://www.nairaland.com/2139634/under-aged-children-collecting-pvc
https://www.nairaland.com/2227513/underage-children-voting-kano-state
QED.

Axelrod:
Really?
If you want to talk about Buhari's achievements, please don't mention agriculture. It's a friendly warning. Because when those who have the strength to argue finally get here, they will put that line in the thrash where it belongs.
Have you heard of Akinwumi Adesina? Erstwhile minister of agriculture and all the good this he did in that sector?
Now we have Audu Ogbe who is exporting yams. Or did anyone tell you the yams were rejected in the US because they were bad?

you're misinformed.

FarahAideed:
Buhari can only win 2019 election by using a combination of electoral fraud and military might but God willing he wont get to that stage

but I think your view is a bit naive. Buhari is going to win 2019 election provided that there is credible and saleable opposition figure who is presented.He is going to win without electoral fraud and military might.

Axelrod:
Really?
If you want to talk about Buhari's achievements, please don't mention agriculture. It's a friendly warning. Because when those who have the strength to argue finally get here, they will put that line in the thrash where it belongs.
Have you heard of Akinwumi Adesina? Erstwhile minister of agriculture and all the good this he did in that sector?
Now we have Audu Ogbe who is exporting yams. Or did anyone tell you the yams were rejected in the US because they were bad?

exported rotten yams

Mynd44:
2 regions gave Former President Jonathan 12 million votes?


You know this is false right?

The ethnic populations of those zones gave Jonathan majority support. It does not have to be excluded to the South-eastern/south-south region.
The Igbo is a ubiquitous ethnic group. I am not discounting pockets of Yoruba votes and other hausa/Fulani and some other northern ethnic votes that went to jonathan.
But with the Buhari/osibanjo ticket and with the bigoted nature of the 2015 election, it would be foolishness to think JOnathan's 12 million came from anywhere else but his traditional backers most notably the ubiquitous Igbo nation.

This is the first time in our democracy, the Igbo nation voted for the losing side and still made it a very close election even with such unprecedented odds.

Bubu till death fall on him...

Sai Baba till 2023

Wailers will only wail till 2023

Mynd44:
If President Buhari's Corpse contests in 2019, he will get 95% of the votes.

That is the following he has there as a result of pushing back Boko Haram.

They voted him for that andthey think he has come through

Buhari can get majority of the north-east.
The only thing ATiku needs to do is to get as much northern votes as possible. It doesn't have to be majority.
Then sweep the entire SE/SS, get Igbo support nationwide, and then somehow get a region to join them and he has won.
A 3-3 scenario with SE/SS support is a victory for the SE/SS.

Axelrod:
Really?
If you want to talk about Buhari's achievements, please don't mention agriculture. It's a friendly warning. Because when those who have the strength to argue finally get here, they will put that line in the thrash where it belongs.
Have you heard of Akinwumi Adesina? Erstwhile minister of agriculture and all the good this he did in that sector?
Now we have Audu Ogbe who is exporting yams. Or did anyone tell you the yams were rejected in the US because they were bad?

What kind of half-baked postulations are u making!



Throughout Akinwumi's tenure, did u see a back to farming as prominent as this?! Were farmers n farming this lucrative?! If it had been, gej would still have had a better chance of winning!?


List one good thing Akunwumi did, that hasnt been blown out of d water by Audu?!

most of the people positn here are posting out of sychophancy, especially the buhari supporters. The fact is you can still have the largest number of votes and still lose the election. u will to atleast have 25% of votes cast in other states or region to clinch the ticket.That will prove difficult for buhari especially in the SE/SS and some part of SW. While another viable nothern candidate will sweep this region, and split the nothern votes.

cstr1000:
Voter stuffing? As opposed to recorded cases of under-aged voters in the north all chanting and voting sai buhari, not excluding the invading foreigners from Niger-republic..
Buhari had majority votes in 4 regions and he got 15 million. Jonathan had majority votes in 2 regions with total Igbo support in every where they can be found in the country which somehow watered down buhari's stronghold especially in the SW and he got 12 million.
The importance of Igbo support can not be under-estimated, because none of the major politicians currently including buhari will ever amass such support across 4 geo-political zones again to render Igbo nation-wide support irrelevant.

https://www.nairaland.com/2139634/under-aged-children-collecting-pvc
https://www.nairaland.com/2227513/underage-children-voting-kano-state
QED.

. Saying that it is the Igbo support that gives Jonathan the majority votes he has in 2015 is a thrash. even in the north there are so many northerners who voted for Jonathan in the north. He is the president and he has a wide support even in the north then Jonathan won taraba state are you telling me that it was because of the Igbo's living in the Taraba that he win?. And talking of voters coming in from Niger republic to vote is an utter disdain to Jonathan's government. This shows that he can't even protect the borders of the country even during election. And vote that came from SS is by far more than that of SE. even the votes from the North is more than that of the SE. And Igbo's in the north are voteless minority so their votes can't decide the winner.

If only igbos can stop insulting the south west and for once play a good politics just for one task of not re-electing Buhari.

tinsel:
If only igbos can stop insulting the south west and for once play a good politics just for one task of not re-electing Buhari.

I think the middle-belt have more electoral value than the south-west.

Clerverly:
Which country is that? In 2015 elections, the entire votes of South East which is about 1.5Million is less than that of Kano 1.8Million...and that was in spite of the vote stuffing for jonathan....now Buhari being on saddle in 2019..tell me how Kano votes would look like?

South east have never be interested in voting,an Atiku and Peter Obi combination,you would see the real votes of SE. Buhari have contested elections 4times and even in 2011,Northern votes alone couldn't win it for him

Dmtoli:
. Saying that it is the Igbo support that gives Jonathan the majority votes he has in 2015 is a thrash. even in the north there are so many northerners who voted for Jonathan in the north. He is the president and he has a wide support even in the north then Jonathan won taraba state are you telling me that it was because of the Igbo's living in the Taraba that he win?. And talking of voters coming in from Niger republic to vote is an utter disdain to Jonathan's government. This shows that he can't even protect the borders of the country even during election. And vote that came from SS is by far more than that of SE. even the votes from the North is more than that of the SE. And Igbo's in the north are voteless minority so their votes can't decide the winner.

Buhari cleared the entire north with big big figures. If jonathan relied on those northern votes, he would have lost shamefully.
I am not saying only igbos voted for him. Other contributed immensly, but the Igbo is a majority ethnic group spread across the country.
The only majority ethnic that did not publicly declared for buhari.
There are probably more Igbo voters outside the south-east than even those in the SE.

PMB will win 2017 but kogi state will fail APC due to bad governance

cstr1000:
Buhari can get majority of the north-east.
The only thing ATiku needs to do is to get as much northern votes as possible. It doesn't have to be majority.
Then sweep the entire SE/SS, get Igbo support nationwide, and then somehow get a region to join them and he has won.
A 3-3 scenario with SE/SS support is a victory for the SE/SS.

Elections are won by fractions and majority. A candidate can win two regions and become president. But the candidate has to pick the regions.

The SE/SS votes can only match up to the NE. The SW will not give anyone block votes. It will be 60-40 maximum.

As for the NC, funny zone.

PMB will win 2019 but kogi state will fail APC due to bad governance

Mynd44:
Elections are won by fractions and majority. A candidate can win two regions and become president. But the candidate has to pick the regions.

The SE/SS votes can only match up to the NE. The SW will not give anyone block votes. It will be 60-40 maximum.

As for the NC, funny zone.

A 4 regions against 2 is an inevitable lose regardless of the permutation.
A SE/SS , NC, SW will win any remaining 2. It is as simple as that. Though I am not saying atiku will win those regions.
Even if Buhari win 95% majority votes in the north-east. As long as he does not win a numerical advantage in the number of regions, the game is still in play. And that is my point.

The SW gave Buhari bloc votes. It was impossible not to.
The redeemed-osibanjo connection, the tinubu-APC factor, the GEJ factor all made it a blco vote for buhari in the SW. Majority of the 40% votes in the SW to buhari came from none-yorubas especially in Lagos.

cstr1000:
I think the middle-belt have more electoral value than the south-west.

All votes are needed even from disgruntled in all parts of the north. But the problem is igbos. If we can just stop the name callings and abusive languages and for once play a good politics. Just for removing Buhari. Otherwise the man will be there for another 4 years and the abusive language and hatred will continue.

.

cstr1000:
A 4 regions against 2 is an inevitable lose regardless of the permutation.
A SE/SS , NC, SW will win any remaining 2. It is as simple as that. Though I am not saying atiku will win those regions.
Even if Buhari win 95% majority votes in the north-east. As long as he does not win a numerical advantage in the number of regions, the game is still in play. And that is my point.

The SW gave Buhari bloc votes. It was impossible not to.
The redeemed-osibanjo connection, the tinubu-APC factor, the GEJ factor all made it a blco vote for buhari in the SW. Majority of the 40% votes to buhari came from none-yorubas especially in Lagos.

chaiiii....you people sef.....una love wahala too much....

cstr1000:
A 4 regions against 2 is an inevitable lose regardless of the permutation.
A SE/SS , NC, SW will win any remaining 2. It is as simple as that. Though I am not saying atiku will win those regions.
Even if Buhari win 95% majority votes in the north-east. As long as he does not win a numerical advantage in the number of regions, the game is still in play. And that is my point.

The SW gave Buhari bloc votes. It was impossible not to.
The redeemed-osibanjo connection, the tinubu-APC factor, the GEJ factor all made it a blco vote for buhari in the SW. Majority of the 40% votes in the SW to buhari came from none-yorubas especially in Lagos

The same narrative that made Agbaje lose the election.

Keep setting up your candidates oooo

tsdarkside:
chaiiii....you people sef.....una love wahala too much....

The truth can be wahala. That is why it is bitter.

jumper524:
the fact that Buhari plunged us into recession doesn't change the fact that if good luck or anybody were to be president it would have been averted. I remember vividly during the last days of goodlucks regime how economist were predicting doom for Nigeria.. many federal civil servant were scared of the fact that they won't be able to pay salaries... but thank god for buhari... salaries is no longer a problem at the federal level. because of Buhari and the recession I can see vast improvement in agriculture at the northern part of the country... its only a matter of time for the country to be fully stable..

Talk wat u know oga...both my parents are federal workers and the last salary paid was February, and it wasn't even complete salary...