UgwuAghachi:



Anybody that thinks buhari will win North East which is Atiku's home zone is a joker

Afamed:

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?

nwaanambra1:



thru massive ringing like they did in osun state.



bros let me kill your appetite.

do you knw why many are happy about the emergence of atiku? it is bc he is one man you cant rig out in an election.

atiku will giv you:

thuggery for thuggery
dollars for dollars
rigging for rigging
genuine vote for genuine vote.

and above all, he will out do any one in Nigeria on this including the APC!

Atiku is a menace!

senatordave1:
Prove him wrong

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

chisco82:

Really?

adanny01:


You've started again.

How many Igbos will be allowed to vote PDP in Kano?

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

MrJanuzaj:



Lol. Northeast comprises of :

Taraba.
Yobe.
Bornu.
Bauchi.
Adamawa.
Gombe and .
Jigawa.

Ironically the only state Atiku will win marginally is Taraba. I wont like to continue this argument please. Dont qoute me.

geadom:
Hmmmmm..... I just wish all the SE WILL TEAM UP..!!

everybody is clamoring to change the sitting government, no matter the cost not minding who will replace them

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

senatordave1:

Your funny.how can ss/se be a no go area when atiku is contesting? This region will give atiku lets votes than they gave goodluck.buhari has penetrated here than atiku has in the north.do you know that pdp fielded unpooular candidates hers while apc fielded popular candidates.

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

Princedapace:


My brother, no body is making it igbo vs Buhari.. I am already tired of some of u.

U don't want igbos to talk abi? Only una go mock igbos, only una go still don't want them to defend them selves..

It doenst make sense. U guys were laughing igbos from the statistics published.. And u don't want then to defend them selves..

The point is the 2019 election will not be like 2015. In 2015, people saw Buhari as the savior. But now, at least half of the people who voted for him no longer sew that in him..

I don't know why anything igbos dey pain some of u for nairaland. The igbos here are only trying to defend their identity..

For peace to rain on nairaland, make igbos just accept that they don't have electoral value abi?

Pls allow these guys have peace.. Haba, in 2915 u guys chose Buhari and u guys are angry igbos are choosing another person..

There was serious political apathy in 2015 among the igbos. That is what they should work on simple..

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

PaChukwudi44:

So what is your point exactly? Atiku will not get votes from the north because he is Igbo?

Bnladan:
is it d same Kaduna I live in u re talking bout?

papascode:


You don't know politics ask yourself how come it is 14 million when north west where Buhari comes from is 18 million. It shows that his region has rejected him. Total voters is 66 million nation wide. Use your head

sokera:
jesus , how can you say Igbos are 40% in Lagos ? If Igbos are 40% then Hausas are 30% ... so are you saying Yorubas in Lagos are 30% ?

Ozibe:


The same way the NE and MB combine vote is 17M plus.. Then add SE and SS 15M plus. Then add a divided SW of just 40% which is around 6M

17 + 15 + 6 = 38M roughly

Buharis only base is NW 18M and 40% SW

18 + 6 = 24M roughly



The SE and SS for atiku is nothing less than 90% if PDP takes SE for VP and also are able to convince and mobilize them to Vote.

MB and NE will stand for PDP 70 - 80% because of Fulani herdsmen and bokoharam. And again atiku is from the NE


So tell me,what are buharis's chances?

BiafraIShere:
Lol, your analysis is based on emotions and is absolutely naive!! There are as many Igbos in Lagos as there are Yorubas and that is the singular reason why Jimi Agbaje almost won and that is also the reason why Lagos votes is always divided almost in half during elections!! Igbos are completely homogeneous religious and ethnic wise, and are a close-nit group. There is also what is called meeting of umunna, market unions, religious and socio-cultural groups etc and other pressure groups, these are the places where Igbos outside the SE/SS always listen to. There is little or no difference between the Igbos in their home soil in SE/SS and others all-over Nigeria. Go to the Facebook page where Igbos congregate or even here in Nairaland then come back and tell me if there is any difference in the thinking of the Igbo man in Enugu, Onitsha, Aba, Asaba, P.H etc with that of the Igbo man in Lagos, Abuja, Kano, Kaduna etc. All these Igbos who number in their millions outside the SE/SS will all align with those in SE/SS to give a block vote and that's a fact!!! Igbos have more electoral value than the Yorubas and that's a fact. SW is the least significant of all the region's because their votes will be divided so they have little or no difference to make. Atiku needs Igbos while also looking for ways to break into the NW and try a to get at least 40%. You guys should stop attaching too much importance to your selves because political analysts already knows what is obtainable on ground.

adanny01:


Hmmmmm

With your view of the polity, an Igbo will always be left behind in the scheme of things.

The 20% you are peddling for Igbos in Kaduna is a mirage. I am from Kaduna. Even if Igbos are 20% like you said, they wont be allowed to vote in 90% of the polling centres.

In most cases, Igbos in these areas stay indoors. They dont join politics and are most times not allowed to come near polling units. The same way Igbos refuse to participate during religious crisis, the refuse to participate in political activities.

mfm04622:


North clearly prefers Buhari to Atiku. They have both contested for Presidency against each other in both 2007 and 2011. Buhari won Atiku both times by large margins. Go and check both.

Atiku will do better this time because of the party. Some voters will vote for Buhari because of Buhari. Some will vote for Buhari because of APC. How many will vote for Atiku bacause of Atiku outside Adamawa and the South East. Remember in 2011 Buhari formed a new party months to election and still got 12m votes. Those votes are for Buhari because of Buhari. Now add voters in SW and NC that will vote Buhari because of the party.

nwaanambra1:



they always deceive themselves by saying igbos are not united. that one na before.

as it stands now, igbos are the most united ethnic group in Nigeria.

in fact, igbos are gradually positioning themselves to be the most powerful ethnic group in Nigeria because u find them in large numbers in every nook and cranny of Nigeria.



IF ATIKU KNOWS WHAT IS GOOD FOR HIM, LET PICK AN IGBO SON OR DAUGHTER FOR VP AND HE WILL HAVE A LANDSLIDE VICTORY.

BUT IF HE MAKES THE MISTAKE OF PICKING ANY OTHER ETHNIC GROUP, THEN HE HAS LOST THE ELECTION ALREADY.