schoolboij:


There are more ibos in the north than northerners sef. Osus and delusion are 5&6. You claim there are 2m ibos in Kano but could not give 100k vote to Jonathan. Even if there are 100m ibos in SW, they can never vote against yoruba interest.

Afamed:

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?

dasensible1:
You're very intelligent

MrJanuzaj:



Lol. Northeast comprises of :

Taraba.
Yobe.
Bornu.
Bauchi.
Adamawa.
Gombe and .
Jigawa.

Ironically the only state Atiku will win marginally is Taraba. I wont like to continue this argument please. Dont qoute me.

Ozibe:

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

senatordave1:

Hes very trite.buhari has die hard followers ready to destroy anything,atiku dont have such and thats the beginning of his failings.down here south,most polling units are delivered by top politicians and buhari has seriously bridged that gap.the polls may be inconclusive like that of osun with majority of the rerun being in bubu territory

senatordave1:

My brother,your one of the liberal south easterners here.lets just wait sha although rumours point to bruce.but ikpeazu must go

MrJanuzaj:


North central with Nassarawa,Niger, Platueau, Benue, Kogi and Kwara will give Atiku 90% Lmao.

Northeast with Yobe, Taraba, Bauchi, Gombe, Adamawa, Jigawa and Bornu will give Atiku 90%?
Lmao again.
Today i know that kids are allowed to register on Nairaland

jumpandpas:



What of Buhari that failed woefully for three times, why didn't your own figure see him through?.

PaChukwudi44:

I hope you realized that Atiku is also a northerner and a Muslim? 2015 was the only Presidential election Buhari won and not the only one he contested

jaybee3:


You do realise Buhari’s base/region has about 18M+ registered voters right?
Atiku will get his share of the votes but the margin won’t compensate for the possible support he will muster from the SE.

Some heavyweight politicians from the SS have also defected to Buhari’s side and that will surely translate to suppression of votes for PDP and reduction is margin

The 18M plus votes from the NW region is the main problem!!!!

UgwuAghachi:



You just listed States in each zone and put weird Smileys after them. Is that the way to debate


Buhari can't win Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Kogi or Kwara and Niger


Nasarawa never voted for Buhari, not even in 2015, reason why a lot of votes from Nasarawa were cancelled


Benue both tiv and idoma have suffered loss of lives to Fulani herdsmen


Plateau people hate buhari even more than people from south hate him, because they have always had ethnic and religious clashes for centuries. Plus he lost plateau in 2015


Kogi, igala want their power back after losing it to a minority egbira tribe in the person of Yahaya Bello following the death of Abubakar Audu an Igala and since APC is still fielding yahaya bello as their candidate, Igala who control 70% of Kogi are going for PDP



Niger, the Babangida factor and the Christian gbagyi group will combine to give Buhari problems


Kwara, the saraki factor. Saraki has offered to assist Atiku in kicking Buhari back to Daura whether Atiku asks for help or not

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

UgwuAghachi:

I was in school when I registered

Ozibe:


Man wake up.

Turn out 65 to 70 in which region?

Yes PVC collection in the NW is 18m as stated b4. And a combined Pvc from SE, SS and MB will do the magic. The add NE which is Atiku's base and 40% of Sw.

All SW sitting governors are APC but needed a battalion to rig and win election in Osun, APC:s strongest hold outside Lagos.

Awka ibom, rivers and delta are pdp's strongest base. U must be dreaming.. APC will not even see 5%

I trust the south east we are waiting for APC. Those who died under the watch and machination of this evil government, will not forgive us if we give them 1%

senatordave1:

Buhari has always polled reasonable figures and gone farther than atiku who polled only 2 million.many pdp governors are ok with buhari than atiku.am afraid atiku may be alone in this campaign.in the ss,only dickson is fully with him.in the west,only fayose and the hated daniels

UgwuAghachi:



You just listed States in each zone and put weird Smileys after them. Is that the way to debate


Buhari can't win Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Kogi or Kwara and Niger


Nasarawa never voted for Buhari, not even in 2015, reason why a lot of votes from Nasarawa were cancelled


Benue both tiv and idoma have suffered loss of lives to Fulani herdsmen


Plateau people hate buhari even more than people from south hate him, because they have always had ethnic and religious clashes for centuries. Plus he lost plateau in 2015


Kogi, igala want their power back after losing it to a minority egbira tribe in the person of Yahaya Bello following the death of Abubakar Audu an Igala and since APC is still fielding yahaya bello as their candidate, Igala who control 70% of Kogi are going for PDP



Niger, the Babangida factor and the Christian gbagyi group will combine to give Buhari problems


Kwara, the saraki factor. Saraki has offered to assist Atiku in kicking Buhari back to Daura whether Atiku asks for help or not

kingkakaone:



[s]
Though I'm from South South and I didn't want to say anything due to the sensitivity of this thread and how some people don't engage in constructive arguments but insults, I think I can quote u since ur comment is mature.

What some people don't understand is that Buhari will will have more votes from the East and South this next year than he had during the last election.

Okorocha will do anything to win Imo for Buhari, same with Anambra because Obiano will strike a deal again with the FG as he did with GEJ. Ebonyi and Enugu will give him 30-40% due to the governor of Ebonyi and the heavyweights in Enugu APC.

In South South, Buhari has gotten staunch supporters from the heavyweights in some states like Delta, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Edo.
Buhari will win Edo and get up to 40% from the others except Bayelsa.

In the west, people forgot that Lagos registered APC has almost 1.9m votes as seen in their direct presidential primary. I don't think any of them will vote against their party (That is the reason Agbaje will lose because those 1.9m votes will help their candidate). Neutrals cannot influence the election because most of them will have no reason to come out and waste their energy on something that they think has no direct influence on them.
Buhari will win Ekiti (Fayemi will do anything to repay him), Ondo, Osun, Oyo also but Ogun state might be tough.
Most South west states have always gone against PDP naturally since 1999 (another factor for Buhari).

Even in North East, Buhari has always won Borno, Yobe, Bauchi. He will definitely win in these states as they are APC strong holds.

I don't need to talk about North West, Buhari will bury Atiku here.

As it stands now, Atiku may win only North Central, South East and South South but the margin will be minimum because we in South South and south East hardly come out for elections.

What this means is that Buhari still has d upper hand.

Core northerners don't care about how poor Buhari has performed, they vote out of sentiments.

I'm not for Buhari neither am I for Atiku. I prefer to be neutral for now.

[/s]

candygist:


So igbo votes are more than kaduna indigines now abi. Come 2019 una go wise

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

nwaanambra1:



they always deceive themselves by saying igbos are not united. that one na before.

as it stands now, igbos are the most united ethnic group in Nigeria.

in fact, igbos are gradually positioning themselves to be the most powerful ethnic group in Nigeria because u find them in large numbers in every nook and cranny of Nigeria.

IF ATIKU KNOWS WHAT IS GOOD FOR HIM, LET PICK AN IGBO SON OR DAUGHTER FOR VP AND HE WILL HAVE A LANDSLIDE VICTORY.

BUT IF HE MAKES THE MISTAKE OF PICKING ANY OTHER ETHNIC GROUP, THEN HE HAS LOST THE ELECTION ALREADY.

MrJanuzaj:


No wahala just continue labelling Atiku as an Igbo candidate and expect the core north even Atikus Adamawa state to vote him.
With the slogan of restructuring which Atiku is fronting and the hate-induced support igbos seem to have been offering him. It means one thing to the northerners (i.e NE, NW, Niger state and Some minorities in Nassarawa, Platueae and Kwara) 'DIVISION', this will be a complete anathema to them. The yorubas you are talking about will not touch him too.

kingkakaone:

Though I'm from South South and I didn't want to say anything due to the sensitivity of this thread and how some people don't engage in constructive arguments but insults, I think I can quote u since ur comment is mature.

What some people don't understand is that Buhari will will have more votes from the East and South this next year than he had during the last election.

Okorocha will do anything to win Imo for Buhari, same with Anambra because Obiano will strike a deal again with the FG as he did with GEJ. Ebonyi and Enugu will give him 30-40% due to the governor of Ebonyi and the heavyweights in Enugu APC.

In South South, Buhari has gotten staunch supporters from the heavyweights in some states like Delta, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Edo.
Buhari will win Edo and get up to 40% from the others except Bayelsa.

In the west, people forgot that Lagos registered APC has almost 1.9m votes as seen in their direct presidential primary. I don't think any of them will vote against their party (That is the reason Agbaje will lose because those 1.9m votes will help their candidate). Neutrals cannot influence the election because most of them will have no reason to come out and waste their energy on something that they think has no direct influence on them.
Buhari will win Ekiti (Fayemi will do anything to repay him), Ondo, Osun, Oyo also but Ogun state might be tough.
Most South west states have always gone against PDP naturally since 1999 (another factor for Buhari).

Even in North East, Buhari has always won Borno, Yobe, Bauchi. He will definitely win in these states as they are APC strong holds.

I don't need to talk about North West, Buhari will bury Atiku here.

As it stands now, Atiku may win only North Central, South East and South South but the margin will be minimum because we in South South and south East hardly come out for elections.

What this means is that Buhari still has d upper hand.

Core northerners don't care about how poor Buhari has performed, they vote out of sentiments.

I'm not for Buhari neither am I for Atiku. I prefer to be neutral for now.

schoolboij:


The way you deluded fools reason. There are more Yoruba in the north than ibos. Keep deceiving yourself with foolish propaganda. Go to Kano, sokoto, maiduguri, kaduna etc. Yorubas don't just make noise like you pigs.

PaChukwudi44:
It is not the same as number of eligible voters by ethnicity. We all know a sizeable number of voters in some regions belong to non-indigenes

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

sorry1:
Gej is not Muslim and he didn't come from the north... Reason na... Atiku is a different ball game... You afonjas are now permutating doom for atiku now, in 2019 when he finally wins now, you afonjas will start telling us how you lots engineered his victory... Despicable set of people

Afamed:

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?