Afamed:

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?

UgwuAghachi:



You just listed States in each zone and put weird Smileys after them. Is that the way to debate


Buhari can't win Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Kogi or Kwara and Niger


Nasarawa never voted for Buhari, not even in 2015, reason why a lot of votes from Nasarawa were cancelled


Benue both tiv and idoma have suffered loss of lives to Fulani herdsmen


Plateau people hate buhari even more than people from south hate him, because they have always had ethnic and religious clashes for centuries. Plus he lost plateau in 2015


Kogi, igala want their power back after losing it to a minority egbira tribe in the person of Yahaya Bello following the death of Abubakar Audu an Igala and since APC is still fielding yahaya bello as their candidate, Igala who control 70% of Kogi are going for PDP



Niger, the Babangida factor and the Christian gbagyi group will combine to give Buhari problems


Kwara, the saraki factor. Saraki has offered to assist Atiku in kicking Buhari back to Daura whether Atiku asks for help or not

13october
sorry which kwara, has buhari lost kwara before, pls if may ask what will made him lose niger state and nasarawa, with makura and adamu with him. bro check record before commenting.

ashacot:
How anyone still nurse the feelings that Atiku will win president buhari still remain a mystery to me.

With the above, there is no way atiku will win that man.

UgwuAghachi:



You just listed States in each zone and put weird Smileys after them. Is that the way to debate


Buhari can't win Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Kogi or Kwara and Niger

Nasaraw never voted for Buhari, not even in 2015, reason why a lot of votes from Nasarawa were cancelled

Benue both tiv and idoma have suffered loss of lives to Fulani herdsmen

Plateau people hate buhari even more than people from south hate him, because they have always had ethnic and religious clashes for centuries. Plus he lost plateau in 2015

Kogi, igala want their power back after losing it to a minority egbira tribe in the person of Yahaya Bello following the death of Abubakar Audu an Igala and since APC is still fielding yahaya bello as their candidate, Igala who control 70% of Kogi are going for PDP

Niger, the Babangida factor and the Christian gbagyi group will combine to give Buhari problems

Kwara, the saraki factor. Saraki has offered to assist Atiku in kicking Buhari back to Daura whether Atiku asks for help or not

biafranation:
For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

kingkakaone:

Though I'm from South South and I didn't want to say anything due to the sensitivity of this thread and how some people don't engage in constructive arguments but insults, I think I can quote u since ur comment is mature.

What some people don't understand is that Buhari will will have more votes from the East and South this next year than he had during the last election.

Okorocha will do anything to win Imo for Buhari, same with Anambra because Obiano will strike a deal again with the FG as he did with GEJ. Ebonyi and Enugu will give him 30-40% due to the governor of Ebonyi and the heavyweights in Enugu APC.

In South South, Buhari has gotten staunch supporters from the heavyweights in some states like Delta, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Edo.
Buhari will win Edo and get up to 40% from the others except Bayelsa.

In the west, people forgot that Lagos registered APC has almost 1.9m votes as seen in their direct presidential primary. I don't think any of them will vote against their party (That is the reason Agbaje will lose because those 1.9m votes will help their candidate). Neutrals cannot influence the election because most of them will have no reason to come out and waste their energy on something that they think has no direct influence on them.
Buhari will win Ekiti (Fayemi will do anything to repay him), Ondo, Osun, Oyo also but Ogun state might be tough.
Most South west states have always gone against PDP naturally since 1999 (another factor for Buhari).

Even in North East, Buhari has always won Borno, Yobe, Bauchi. He will definitely win in these states as they are APC strong holds.

I don't need to talk about North West, Buhari will bury Atiku here.

As it stands now, Atiku may win only North Central, South East and South South but the margin will be minimum because we in South South and south East hardly come out for elections.

What this means is that Buhari still has d upper hand.

Core northerners don't care about how poor Buhari has performed, they vote out of sentiments.

I'm not for Buhari neither am I for Atiku. I prefer to be neutral for now.

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

BeansAndBread:


I've been noticing how you've been writing trash here since, Buhari would win Kogi, Kwara and Niger. He'll be very close in Nasarawa if not winning it sef but he'll lose plateau and benue.



Who cancelled it? PDP led government cancelled it? Buhari and Atiku would be very close in Nasarawa



Buhari would get more than 30% in Benue, this I'm certain of due to my source on ground.



Sure, but he ain't getting zero votes from there you know?



Who's this guy? What do you know about Igala? There's difference between Presidential and Governorship election, the people of Adamawa like Buhari but don't like Bindow but both are in APC. Many people have given examples here, the people of Kogi would vote for Buhari but not Yahaya.



Are you okay? What kind of idiotic permutation is this? The Gbagyis of Niger have high number of Muslims, the Nupes are also Muslims. There are for APC, Buhari won there last elections. I'm surprised you see Buhari not winning Nasarawa because h didn't win in 2015 but you also don't see him winning Niger despite winning in 2015, what kind of double standard is this? And as for Babangida, he has no relevance there, even when he contested under PDP, his people didn't support him.



Mchwww you obviously don't know anything, I'm from Kwara state and I can tell you with certainty that the chances of Saraki returning to the senate is very slim. You'll see

JuanDeDios:

You want to know the most surprising thing in the whole of Nigeria? How some of you don't know that statements like these hurt your interests and possibly those of whoever you're campaigning for.

UgwuAghachi:


[s]
In your mind you're being articulate. Ewedu politicking at its best

What do I know about Kogi? I know Lokoja, to Kabba to Anyigba to Okene


From Nataco to Ganaja to GRA in Lokoja to Total in Okene to Kogi state Uni to the Hotel owned by forner Chief of Naval staff Idris in Anyigba. To the concrete roads of Obajana built by Dangote. I know Kogi state more than you, so shut up and don't make me laugh [/s]

MrJanuzaj:


Oga i am an igbo person, (if u like disagree like some of u here) . But the way igbos voice are louder for Atiku which is clearly as a result of hate for PMB. Even Atikus state Adamawa will vote against him. Igbos are known to be the highest "insulters" of the North. Anybody they support clearly, will most likely lose as Yoruba and Core north will vote in the opposite direction and these 2 are more in number. If you like believe me if you like dont na una sabi.

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

paj4love:
With all the millions of vote the north and west gave to APC in 2015, how much was the difference between PDP and APC Mr. Millionaire ?

livelymatilda22:

Most igbos won't vote come 2019 because their biafran leader nnamdi kanu asked them not to, until they get referendum..

Hope you haven't forgotten that..

UgwuAghachi:



You just listed States in each zone and put weird Smileys after them. Is that the way to debate


Buhari can't win Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Kogi or Kwara and Niger


Nasarawa never voted for Buhari, not even in 2015, reason why a lot of votes from Nasarawa were cancelled


Benue both tiv and idoma have suffered loss of lives to Fulani herdsmen


Plateau people hate buhari even more than people from south hate him, because they have always had ethnic and religious clashes for centuries. Plus he lost plateau in 2015


Kogi, igala want their power back after losing it to a minority egbira tribe in the person of Yahaya Bello following the death of Abubakar Audu an Igala and since APC is still fielding yahaya bello as their candidate, Igala who control 70% of Kogi are going for PDP



Niger, the Babangida factor and the Christian gbagyi group will combine to give Buhari problems


Kwara, the saraki factor. Saraki has offered to assist Atiku in kicking Buhari back to Daura whether Atiku asks for help or not

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

gunnersway:

U must be as crazy as this apc members. Buhari emerged unopposed so tell me the need for an election since he's the only contestant. And again how in hell will the location of apc convention yesterday contain 14 million persons, where the hell did this 14million people come from by the way? Government of lies, by the liars and for the dumb like u.

BeansAndBread:
Ok sir **slaps his disfigured akpu molded head**

twosquare:
Just shaking my head �. Na so numbers dey turn vote. Buhari might not even win a landslide in North-West because he don fall some people's hand. Just look at Osun results. He enjoyed the vote of the populace in ousting GEJ, but now, I don't think so. So, whatever figures you want to delude yourself with, know men are not robots. It's gonna be tough. SW vote will be ➗. He has lost NC due to the way he handled the herdsmen issues (remember these people voted him in 2015), SS is a no-go area. Same with South East. Remaining NW and NE. I hope you can make your decisions.

Princedapace:


That has always been my point that the Atiku team needs to find a way to kill the political apathy among the igbos.. That is his best option now..

Becus he can't win west. Tibunu is there. Be can get up to 40-49% of south west. He just needs to get at least 10million votes or more from both south south and east..

That is possible if he picks a VP who has the appeal of both south south and east..

If he picks vp from west, he will lose becus he can never win west as long as Tibunu is still alive..

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

kingkakaone:

Though I'm from South South and I didn't want to say anything due to the sensitivity of this thread and how some people don't engage in constructive arguments but insults, I think I can quote u since ur comment is mature.

What some people don't understand is that Buhari will will have more votes from the East and South this next year than he had during the last election.

Okorocha will do anything to win Imo for Buhari, same with Anambra because Obiano will strike a deal again with the FG as he did with GEJ. Ebonyi and Enugu will give him 30-40% due to the governor of Ebonyi and the heavyweights in Enugu APC.

In South South, Buhari has gotten staunch supporters from the heavyweights in some states like Delta, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Edo.
Buhari will win Edo and get up to 40% from the others except Bayelsa.

In the west, people forgot that Lagos registered APC has almost 1.9m votes as seen in their direct presidential primary. I don't think any of them will vote against their party (That is the reason Agbaje will lose because those 1.9m votes will help their candidate). Neutrals cannot influence the election because most of them will have no reason to come out and waste their energy on something that they think has no direct influence on them.
Buhari will win Ekiti (Fayemi will do anything to repay him), Ondo, Osun, Oyo also but Ogun state might be tough.
Most South west states have always gone against PDP naturally since 1999 (another factor for Buhari).

Even in North East, Buhari has always won Borno, Yobe, Bauchi. He will definitely win in these states as they are APC strong holds.

I don't need to talk about North West, Buhari will bury Atiku here.

As it stands now, Atiku may win only North Central, South East and South South but the margin will be minimum because we in South South and south East hardly come out for elections.

What this means is that Buhari still has d upper hand.

Core northerners don't care about how poor Buhari has performed, they vote out of sentiments.

I'm not for Buhari neither am I for Atiku. I prefer to be neutral for now.

senatordave1:

Like i said earlier,the ss/se people are very educated and not zombies or robots that will always vote one way for one party.there a lot of liberals and non partisan voters than detest pdp.no matter what,they will vote less for atiku than they did for gej and vote more for buhari.in other to safeguard their 2023 interests in case apc wins,they need to vote the way the south west did in 2015.

goaldynman:


There are more Igbos in Southwest than Yoruba's!!

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.