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Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 8:57pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


Dont mind there Yorobar muzslims
Making blanket or generalized predictions based on mass disenchantment with this regime,sharing votes up north or losing the middle belt will hold no water.its just theory.if you go on a state by state or lg by lg analysis,atiku has no chance.

If atiku is serious,he has to go back and consolidate his ss/se base which apc is currently overrunning.he must abandon all attempts of dividing the core north,its not possible.getting a bloc vote in ss/se that will exceed what gej got in 2015,throwing everything in the sw/nc is the only play he has now.he has less than 4 months.he may end up winning just the ss/se.he cant even get a firm grip of adamawa.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by PureMe01: 8:58pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000
u don run come here.nobody saw u in the thread where the good people of kano were calling buhari thief... buhari ne barawo .keep deceivn urself til e clear 4 ur eyes. 5 milion votes indeed...kikikikikiki grin grin grin
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 8:59pm On Oct 18, 2018
maestroferdi:
Typical APC supporter...

Atiku will fail woefully...

May we know why or how ?
Same reason buhari will fail in the east

1 Like

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by ngadaAwo: 8:59pm On Oct 18, 2018
Yyeske:
Don't mind those kids please, they said worse before the 2015 election between GEJ and Buhari and I don't need to tell you the final outcome, this was even when the PDP had the federal might to do whatever it wanted and which it carried out in several instances.
yeroba Muslim Anambra man how far
okwa imana Peter obi ejebego
Obiano no fit try rubbish
Igbos are fully behind obi
btw
ikana akpozikwa na ike nsi?
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 9:01pm On Oct 18, 2018
PureMe01:
u don run come here.nobody saw u in the thread where the good people of kano were calling buhari thief... buhari ne barawo .keep deceivn urself til e clear 4 ur eyes. 5 milion votes indeed...kikikikikiki grin grin grin
The thought of kano votes torment you guys.think of how to revive the demystified rivers bloc votes first.

3 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by maestroferdi: 9:19pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

Same reason buhari will fail in the east
Dont sound dumb...

The East is not Buhari's constituency or catchment...

Atiku is the foremost/most notable leader in the North East...

You all know it but chose to lie to yourselves...
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by PureMe01: 9:24pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

The thought of kano votes torment you guys.think of how to revive the demystified rivers bloc votes first.
rivers is a done deal.deep down u,u know.wike+magnus abe grin .the figure was slightly over 1 milion votes for PDP,this time expect 2 milion...u deal with ur fantasy 5milion votes in kano
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 9:29pm On Oct 18, 2018
CapitalCee:


Are you sayinh that Christians will definitely vote against buhari? What did he do to them?

Buhari is an islamic jihadist. He is a fulani extremist and christians up north knoe that
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 9:39pm On Oct 18, 2018
maestroferdi:
Dont sound dumb...

The East is not Buhari's constituency or catchment...

Atiku is the foremost/most notable leader in the North East...

You all know it but chose to lie to yourselves...
Vote buhari/osibanjo

2 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 9:42pm On Oct 18, 2018
PureMe01:
rivers is a done deal.deep down u,u know.wike+magnus abe grin .the figure was slightly over 1 milion votes for PDP,this time expect 2 milion...u deal with ur fantasy 5milion votes in kano
Under gej an incumbent,they managed just 1.4 million with all the federal might.apc have scored 30% in all the rivers legislative rerun polls and even won some seats something no party has done since 2003.what does that tell you?

6 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by maestroferdi: 10:00pm On Oct 18, 2018
senatordave1:

Vote buhari/osibanjo
They shall be former President and former Vice President respectively by June next year...
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by MalcoImX: 10:19pm On Oct 18, 2018
udemzyudex:

Go away with your words, they don't hold water.
Can you bet?

2 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by MalcoImX: 10:20pm On Oct 18, 2018
donphilopus:

You're a patriot.
You are too, bro. Thanks.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by MalcoImX: 10:21pm On Oct 18, 2018
donphilopus:

You're a patriot.
You are too, bro. Thanks.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by modath(f): 10:22pm On Oct 18, 2018
Dannyset:
I am very happy with analysis like this, so that when your heart want to break it will pieces beyond repair. grin cheesy


This is gold. cheesy cheesy

2 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by SternProphet: 10:27pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


Odiegwu.
Atiku will defeat Buhari hands down in the Northeast by about 65% , dont you know that people are tired of Buahri in the north? Northerners will not vote him this time. Buahri is gone

LOL. Like a switch 100 million Northerners will abandon Buhari because some lazy young guys down south WISH so.
What a tomato?.

6 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by MalcoImX: 10:28pm On Oct 18, 2018
Buhariislifeles:


He will defeat Buhari in Adamawa comfortably, the only state Atiku will may be lose is Yobe
It's not about what we think or like, it's so much about what's on ground. Buhari has a cult followership in Borno, Yobe, Gombe, Bauchi and if not for the presence of Atiku, even in Adamawa. Abusing Buhari in these areas would spell some hot slaps for the agent provocateur.

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Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by raumdeuter: 10:38pm On Oct 18, 2018
The path Atiku should be looking at is the same one Jonathan took in 2011

4 Likes

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by PureMe01: 3:23am On Oct 19, 2018
senatordave1:

Under gej an incumbent,they managed just 1.4 million with all the federal might.apc have scored 30% in all the rivers legislative rerun polls and even won some seats something no party has done since 2003.what does that tell you?
lol..i wil knw wher the federal might wil come from on dat day wen the election wil b held uniformly across al states.it wil b as usual PDP-2.1 mil;APC-70,000...aft then,u wil cry rigging again as usual.massive rigging from wike & magnus abe dis time
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by Buhariislifeles(m): 5:42am On Oct 19, 2018
raumdeuter:
The path Atiku should be looking at is the same one Jonathan took in 2011
Very good thats how it Will hsppen, Stiku will win Northcentral heavily and win Southwest with about 70% with votes from yoruba christians and that of igbos who make up 50% of SW Votes
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by SternProphet: 7:18am On Oct 19, 2018
Buhariislifeles:

Very good thats how it Will hsppen, Stiku will win Northcentral heavily and win Southwest with about 70% with votes from yoruba christians and that of igbos who make up 50% of SW Votes

Na. wa for you o. I am a Christian. RCCG member. I will never ever vote for Atiku on morality grounds. You guys have serious intellectual problems. You think politics is a straight line and everyone follows your low minded fears and insecurities. Even if people are going to vote Atiku in Yorubaland p, is it because of religion? You think we are handicapped like in SE?. I have cousins who are Muslims, some do traditional religion and I am still praying for them. Get religion out of politics. Besides Osinbajo is VP and PDP is offering SGF position ...LOL.
Meanwhile, Buhari is doing Lagos- Ibadan rail and federal roads are being connected up. In any case, it is governors and LGA chairmen that determine elections.

Please if you are a youth, you need to stop thinking narrow minded. That is for old people.

1 Like

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by 7lives: 7:42am On Oct 19, 2018
SternProphet:


Na. wa for you o. I am a Christian. RCCG member. I will never ever vote for Atiku on morality grounds. You guys have serious intellectual problems. You think politics is a straight line and everyone follows your low minded fears and insecurities. Even if people are going to vote Atiku in Yorubaland p, is it because of religion? You think we are handicapped like in SE?. I have cousins who are Muslims, some do traditional religion and I am still praying for them. Get religion out of politics. Besides Osinbajo is VP and PDP is offering SGF position ...LOL.
Meanwhile, Buhari is doing Lagos- Ibadan rail and federal roads are being connected up. In any case, it is governors and LGA chairmen that determine elections.

Please if you are a youth, you need to stop thinking narrow minded. That is for old people.

Dey just don't get it, all their Governors since 1999 have all been Christians and yet it's been gnashing of teeth about underdevelopment.
Their divide and rule CANNOT work in Yorubaland, God first, religion next, this is what both the Christians in the East and the Muslims in the North found confusing about us.

1 Like

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by gratiaeo(m): 8:19am On Oct 19, 2018
senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000
Nonsense
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by gratiaeo(m): 8:25am On Oct 19, 2018
senatordave1:

Under gej an incumbent,they managed just 1.4 million with all the federal might.apc have scored 30% in all the rivers legislative rerun polls and even won some seats something no party has done since 2003.what does that tell you?
PDP is sure of getting 49% in osun they did during governorship election
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 9:00am On Oct 19, 2018
PureMe01:
lol..i wil knw wher the federal might wil come from on dat day wen the election wil b held uniformly across al states.it wil b as usual PDP-2.1 mil;APC-70,000...aft then,u wil cry rigging again as usual.massive rigging from wike & magnus abe dis time
So when wike rigged for gej,he didnt use federal might?by the way,it was 1.4 mil to 69,000 you senseless man
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by senatordave1(m): 9:00am On Oct 19, 2018
gratiaeo:

PDP is sure of getting 49% in osun they did during governorship election
*PDP Chieftain to Udom: Choice of Ekaette Ebong Okon as Deputy is Wrong*

A persistent supporter of the Akwa Ibom State governor, Abasiodu S. Edet, from Ikot Akpa Nkuk, in Ukanafun Local Government Area, has again written to the governor, advising him against the choice of Dr Mrs Ekaette Ebong Okon, as his running mate in the 2019 governorship election in the state.

In his latest letter made available to Weekly Insight Newspaper, Mr. Edet said he was miffed by the attempt of the governor to drop Mr Moses Ekpo, without choosing his replacement from Abak 5.

While thanking the governor for reappointing his friend, Mr. Udo Ekpenyong back to the Ministry of Local Government and Chieftaincy Affairs, Mr Edet frowned at the governor’s adherence to what he called the advice of the National Legal Adviser of the PDP, Emmanuel Enoidem, to appoint Mrs Ebong Okon.

“My Excellency, I’m forced to write you another open letter because of the disastrous announcement of Deputy Governor you are about to make. My Excellency, I was very happy with you because of your peace move in Ukanafun and reappointing Hon Udo Ekpenyong commissioner. But you don fall my hand with this deputy matter that you have allowed Enoidem to mislead you.

*“My Excellency, please stop that Enoidem’s plan to shift Deputy Governor from Abak 5 to Uyo Senatorial District so that he can give it to Hon Ekaette Ebong Okon, his friend. You said you were waiting to see where APC will pick their deputy before you appoint your own. Why not take a wise decision now by putting it in the same Abak 5 that APC picked their deputy”, Edet cautioned.*

He warned of the political and electoral implications of the advice of the National Legal Adviser, insisting that it would be a political suicide to field an Ibibio/Ibibio ticket.

Mr. Edet continuing his letter said, “My Excellency, Enoidem doesn’t wish you well. Even APC is running away from Ibibio/Ibibio ticket so that they can get Annang support and you are allowing Enoidem to push you into fire. Enoidem is doing all this things because he doesn’t believe you will win the election. That is why he refused your offer to be your deputy or run for Senate. This is the same man that begged for Deputy Governor in 2014 but is running away from the same position now. After refusing to run for Senate, Enoidem went and brought Ukarakpa Chris Ekpenyong and you unwisely accepted him. Everybody including Enoidem and Ukarakpa know that Ukarakpa can’t defeat Godswill Akpabio but that is the same man Enoidem forced on you”.

In addition, Edet wrote, *“My Excellency, I understand the desperate situation you are in but like you always say a lion doesn’t eat grass no matter the situation in the jungle"* My Excellency, don’t let Enoidem make you eat grass.

“Enoidem wants to annoy the whole of Abak 5, his own people by shifting Deputy Governor to Uyo senatorial district. He wants to leave Abak 5 empty for APC even when he knows that the APC Deputy Governor is from Abak 5. Haba!”

He urged Gov. Udom Emmanuel, that while the National Legal Adviser is advising him wrongly, he was still in touch with Senator Godswill Akpabio. To prove him right, Mr. Edet said, “My Excellency, watch Enoidem very well. Are you aware that Enoidem still calls Akpabio on phone regularly. I understand he called Akpabio for a very long time few days before PDP national convention. If you doubt me, use your position as the CSO of the state and ask Airtel to give you Enoidem’s call log in the past one month. You will be shocked.”

The PDP chieftain, known for correctly predicting happenings around the governor and cautioning him accordingly, advised that if the governor is bent on denying Abak 5 the deputy Governorship position, it should not be given to Mrs Okon, but rather to Mr Akan Okon, a commissioner in the governor’s cabinet.

He wrote, *“My Excellency, even if you must put Deputy Governor in Itu, must it be Ekaette Ebong Okon?"* From what I have found out, this woman is from the same ward with Hon Henry Archibong, the House of Reps member that is going back. Do you know how she became the only PDP member in Akwa Ibom to get federal board chairman position from Buhari. Can you trust such a woman.

“Why not give Deputy Governor to Akan Okon, your commissioner that you have abandoned to be disgraced by OBA in the Senate, House of Reps and Assembly primaries. Akan Okon couldn’t produce any candidate in Itu and Ibiono. You think Akan Okon and his men in Ibiono like Ini Ememobong, Dr Iniobong Essien and Hon Ime Okon are happy with you for allowing OBA to beat them silly in the primaries after all they did to promote you.”

“My Excellency, please let Deputy Governor stay in Abak 5 or you won’t win even one local government in Annang. Don’t let Enoidem mislead you, please,” Edet pleaded passionately.

*Source - National Newstrack*
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by bishopkay: 9:31am On Oct 19, 2018
senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.[b]buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.[/b]even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000

Hahahhaa how you apc dolts cum BMCs dole out figures makes me laugh!

Unfortunately what you people have failed to put into consideration is that when buhari had people going into a voters frenzy in the north in 2003, 2007 and 2011 elections, he was yet to be tested. He was yet to be tried so people had the mindset of ooh an incorruptible fellow and other shit. But now, he's been demystified thoroughly and we've all seen him for who he really is!
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by PureMe01: 9:38am On Oct 19, 2018
senatordave1:

So when wike rigged for gej,he didnt use federal might?by the way,it was 1.4 mil to 69,000 you senseless man
if u ar expecting anything different.sorry for u and your delusionary world
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by NASTYNASOSO: 9:58am On Oct 19, 2018
Buhariislifeles:
I have been following the trend of elections in this country starting feom 1993 presidential elections till date, and have carefully analysed what will happen in the Northeast states in the forthcoming general elections, below is my prediction.


1. Taraba: This state has been under the fair grip of PDP right from 1999 till date, this is predominantly a Christian dominated state, and the key factor to winning elections in Taraba state is to get the endorsement of TY Danjuma, currently he is not happy with Buhari, and coupled with the herdmens crises there. It will be an easy victory for PDP. The recent defection of Hajiya Alhassan is a very big blow for the APC.
Verdict: PDP 80% APC 15% Others 5%.


Bauchi: Atiku was the person that sponsored the current governor of Bauchi state Mohammed Abubakar , the governor did not do well and many bauchi indigenes are also disenchanted with Buharis administration. With people like Speaker Yakubu Dogara having defected to PDP, their chances have greatly improved. APC will also get some votes too. The governor might work for PDP.

Verdict: PDP 50% APC 50%.

Adamawa: just like the governor of bauchi, Jibrilla Bindow was also sponsored by Atiku Abubakar during the last elections. Adamawa has a good number of Christians there who are sympathetic to PDP. This is the home state of Atiku the PDP candidate, so expect him to secure his home state. Also Aisha Buhari the wife of the president has distanced herself from supporting APC because her relative was denied governorship ticket.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Gombe: this is a PDP state, the Governor Dankwanbo has ruled Gombe for 8 years now and due to his sterling performance, over his tenure, the people of Gombe like him and will likely listen to him, he has solidly thrown his weight behind Atiku. PDP is Gombe, Gombe is PDP, although APC will get some votes here.

PDP 65% APC 35%.

Bornu: this state has been under seige by boko haram even before Buhari came on board, its true that the government has recorded some success there, there are pockets of attacks here and there. Although former PDP factional chiarman and former governor Modu sheriff went back to APC, it will nor have much impact.

PDP 50% APC 50%.

Yobe state: although Buharis popularity has deceased in the north, he will clinch this state slightly, this is due to absence of strong opposition in the state. Its among the states which has been under the attack of Boko haram, but it has subsided a little. The margin of win might not be as big as in 2015, because Atiku is also a northerner and this is his region.

PDP: 45%. APC 55%

HMMMMMMMMMMMMM

STUPID ANALYSIS FROM A LIFELESS OP.
THIS CLEARLY SHOWS HOW MYOPIC AND MISCHIEVOUS THE WRITER IS.
FOR ONE HE KNOWS NOTHING ABOUT THE NORTH EAST AND HE HAS NEVER BEEN TO THAT AREA.
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by dotcodotuk: 10:46am On Oct 19, 2018
maestroferdi:
Typical APC supporter...

Atiku will fail woefully...

May we know why or how ?

In summary

Northeast. BUHARI.
Southwest. BUAHRI.
Northcentral. DRAW.
Southeast. Atiku.
SouthSouth Atiku.
Northwest. Buhari.

Buhari. 17.5 million votes

Atiku. 10.8 million votes
Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by 9jaArea: 10:48am On Oct 19, 2018
Buhariislifeles:



Are you not seeing the trend of things happening in this country? The northerners are tired of dullhari. Its only Afonja betrayers that votes for the lifeless islamic jihadist

You will get a glimpse of what will happen when the campaigns starts don't just conclude yet without full knowledge of what is on ground.

It is more difficult for Buhari to lose than it is for him to win, you southerners sit at the comfort of your homes and allocate thousands of votes to Atiku in the north.

1 Like

Re: Analysis For The Next Elections In The Northeast. Sincere Opinion by gentlegenius(m): 10:56am On Oct 19, 2018
SternProphet:
How can you start a thread based on lies. Atiku is not a politician who can beat Buhari in the NE. It has not happened before. Buhari's mum is from the NE. He was governor of the entire North East in the 70s. I don't know the ignorance and narrow mindedness that is afflicting people today. Buhari actually has Kanuri and Fulani blood and very wide acceptability. Atiku is just an inheritor of Shehu Yaradua's political structure. It was Yaradua 'death at the hands of Abacha that made Atiku (an ordinary business man to even get into politics to continue with the structure.
Hmmm... The north east loves buhari because he was their governor in the 70s.
Give yourself a round of applause.
But before you do that, answer this: Where were the north east when buhari lost 3 consecutive presidential elections between 2003 and 2011?

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